Snow hydrology signatures for model identification within a limits‐of‐acceptability approach          下载免费PDF全文

Bettina Schaefli 《水文研究》2016,30(22):4019-4035

Discharge simulation from snow‐dominated catchments seems to be an easy task. Any spatially explicit precipitation–runoff model coupled to a temperature‐index snow model generally yields simulations that mimic well the observed daily discharges. The robustness of such models is, however, questionable: in the presence of strong annual discharge cycles, small model residuals do not guarantee high explanatory power of the underlying model. This paper proposes a methodology for snow hydrological model identification within a limits‐of‐acceptability framework, where acceptable model simulations are the ones that reproduce a set of signatures within an a priori specified range. The signatures proposed here namely include the relationship between the air temperature regime and the discharge regime, a new snow hydrology signature that can be readily transferred to other Alpine settings. The discriminatory power of all analysed signatures is assessed with a new measure of their discriminatory power in the model prediction domain. The value of the proposed snow hydrology signatures and of the limits‐of‐acceptability approach is demonstrated for the Dischma river in Switzerland, whose discharge shows a strong temporal variability of hydrologic forcing conditions over the last 30 years. The signature‐based model identification for this case study leads to the surprising conclusion that the observed discharge data contains a multi‐year period that cannot be reproduced with the model at hand. This model‐data mismatch might well result from a yet to be identified problem with the discharge observations, which would have been difficult to detect in a classical residual‐based model identification approach. Overall, the detailed results for this case study underline the robustness of the limits‐of‐acceptability approach in the presence of error‐prone observations if it is applied in combination with relatively robust signatures. Future work will show whether snow hydrology signatures and their limits‐of‐acceptability can be regionalized to ungauged catchments, which would make this model selection approach particularly powerful for Alpine environments. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Characteristics of Momentum and Heat Transfer over Semiarid Grasslands with Different Grazing Intensities in Inner Mongolia, China          下载免费PDF全文

WANG Lei  LIU Hui-Zhi  Bettina KETZER  FENG Jian-Wu  Christian BERNHOFER 《大气和海洋科学快报》2011,4(5):264-269

The drag coefficient (C d) and heat transfer coefficient (C h) with the bulk transfer scheme are usually used to calculate the momentum and heat fluxes in meteorological models.The aerodynamic roughness length (z 0m) and thermal roughness length (z 0h) are two crucial parameters for bulk transfer equations.To improve the meteorological models,the seasonal and interannual variations of z 0m,z 0h,coefficient kB 1,C d,and C h were investigated based on eddy covariance data over different grazed semiarid grasslands of Inner Mongolia during the growing seasons (May to September) from 2005 to 2008.For an ungrazed Leymus chinensis grassland (ungrazed since 1979),z 0m and z 0h had significant seasonal and interannual variations.z 0m was affected by the amount and distribution of rainfall.kB 1 exhibited a relatively negative variation compared with z 0h,which indicates that the seasonal variation of z 0h cannot be described by kB 1.To parameterize z 0m and z 0h,the linear regressions between ln(z 0m),ln(z 0h),and the leaf area index (LAI) were performed with R 2 =0.71 and 0.83.The monthly average kB 1 was found to decrease linearly with LAI.The four-year averaged values of C d and C h were 4.5×10 3 and 3.9×10 3,respectively.The monthly average C d only varied by 8% while the variation of C h was 18%,which reflects the different impacts of dead vegetation on momentum and heat transfer at this natural grassland.Moreover,with the removal of vegetation cover,grazing intensities reduced z 0m,z 0h,C d,and C h.  相似文献   

Changes of woody plant interaction and spatial distribution between rocky and sandy soil areas in a semi-arid savanna, South Africa     

J. Schleicher  K. Wiegand  D. Ward 《Journal of Arid Environments》2011,75(3):270-278

We examined the impact of shrub-shrub interactions and soil type (rocky or sandy) on growth and spatial distribution of the two savanna shrub species Tarchonanthus camphoratus and Acacia mellifera. To explore plant interactions, we compared the size of juvenile and mature T. camphoratus shrubs between different locations (under the subcanopy of A. mellifera and in the open). Juvenile T. camphoratus shrubs had similar sizes regardless of location; however, in rocky soil, mature shrubs in the open were larger than those near A. mellifera, implying an inter-specific competitive effect of A. mellifera on T. camphoratus. Juvenile T. camphoratus shrubs grew faster in the sandy than in the rocky area. Furthermore, we used the Wiegand-Moloney O-ring statistics to explore the spatial distribution of T. camphoratus. T. camphoratus showed spatial aggregation, but in the rocky area T. camphoratus juveniles were positively associated with A. mellifera (indicating facilitation as the pattern-creating process), whereas in the sandy area they were positively associated with mature T. camphoratus shrubs (indicating seed dispersal as the pattern-creating process). T. camphoratus exhibited encroachment potential in the sandy area. We showed how spatial pattern analysis can help to explore processes determining woody plant spacing and recommend its further use.  相似文献   

Comment on Rust et al.: Human–Carnivore Conflict in Namibia Is Not Simply About Black and White     

Gail Christine Potgieter  Florian Johannes Weise  Bettina Wachter  Jörg Melzheimer  Ingrid Wiesel  Ken Stratford 《社会与自然资源》2017,30(10):1299-1303

Carnivore conservationists agree that addressing the socioeconomic needs of people is critical to human-carnivore conflict mitigation. We therefore welcome studies that encompass complex social and cultural factors that affect the severity of human-carnivore conflict on Namibian farmlands. However, we contend that the recent study by Rust et al. (2016 Rust, N. A., J. Tzanopoulos, T. Humle, and D. C. MacMillan. 2016. Why has human–carnivore conflict not been resolved in Namibia? Society &; Natural Resources 29 (9):1079–94. doi:10.1080/08941920.2016.1150544[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) was poorly designed, used inappropriate sampling methods, lacked quantitative information on their qualitative results, and ultimately produced unsupported conclusions about the role of historic apartheid and current racism in exacerbating human-carnivore conflict in Namibia. We outline our concerns regarding the methods used, and demonstrate that the conclusions drawn by Rust et al. were not supported by their data.  相似文献   

The last 7500 cal yr B.P. of westerly rainfall in Central Chile inferred from a high-resolution pollen record from Laguna Aculeo (34°S)     

Rodrigo Villa-Martínez  Carolina Villagrn  Bettina Jenny 《Quaternary Research》2003,60(3):284-293

We report multiproxy analyses of a sediment core obtained from Laguna Aculeo that spans the past 7500 years. Laguna Aculeo (33°50′S, 70°55′W) is one of the few natural inland lakes located in the Mediterranean zone of Central Chile, near the northern margin of the influence of the southern westerlies. The record shows elevated pollen counts of halophytes and seasonally drying of the lake basin prior to 5700 cal yr B.P., indicating severe aridity and warmer-than-present conditions. This was followed by the establishment of a fresh-water lake, along with an increase in arboreal and herbaceous plant diversity between 5700 and 3200 cal yr B.P. An intensification of this trend started at 3200 cal yr B.P., along with the abrupt decrease of halophytes until 100 cal yr B.P. Within this humid period, pollen accumulation rates show large-amplitude fluctuations, coeval with numerous turbidite layers, suggesting a highly variable and torrential rainfall pattern. This intense and variable precipitation regime is probably associated with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. We suggest that the modern Mediterranean climate of Central Chile was established at 3200 cal yr B.P. Paleovegetation and paleolimnological changes starting at 100 cal yr B.P. correlate with documented human activity surrounding the lake.  相似文献   

Li abundances in eclogite minerals: a clue to a crustal or mantle origin?     

Alan B. Woodland  Hans-Michael Seitz  Rainer Altherr  Horst Marschall  Bettina Olker  Thomas Ludwig 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2002,143(5):587-601

The mineral phases of 33 eclogite and garnet clinopyroxenite samples from various tectonic settings were analysed for Li by secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS). In all samples, Li is preferentially incorporated into clinopyroxene (0.4 to 80 µg/g), whereas co-existing garnet contains only minor amounts of Li (0.01 to 3.7 µg/g). When present, glaucophane shows Li abundances which are similar to those of clinopyroxene, but phengite contains significantly less Li than clinopyroxene. Additional phases, such as amphibole, quartz, clinozoisite and kyanite, have low Li concentrations (<1 µg/g). No correlation is apparent between the Li contents and major-element compositions of clinopyroxene or garnet. On the basis of both measured Li concentrations in clinopyroxene and estimated Li abundances in the whole rocks, the investigated samples can be subdivided into high-Li and low-Li groups. These groups coincide with the mode of origin of the rocks. Metabasaltic (metagabbroic) eclogites from high-pressure terranes belong to the high-Li group whereas, except for one eclogite, all kimberlite- and basanite-hosted xenoliths have low Li contents. Samples from eclogites and garnet clinopyroxenites associated with orogenic peridotites fall into both groups. It is suggested that the high-Li eclogites originated from basaltic oceanic crust whereby the notable Li enrichment of some samples was probably caused by low-temperature hydrothermal alteration prior to subduction. Furthermore, the low-Li eclogites and garnet clinopyroxenites may represent high-pressure cumulates from mafic melts percolating through the mantle.  相似文献   

Copper and zinc content of periphyton from two rivers as a function of dissolved metal concentration   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Renata Behra  Rolf Landwehrjohann  Katrin Vogel  Bettina Wagner  Laura Sigg 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》2002,64(3):300-306

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Climatic variability during the last 90 ka of the southern and northern Levantine Basin as evident from marine records and speleothems     

Ahuva Almogi-Labin  Miryam Bar-Matthews  Dan Shriki  Elina Kolosovsky  Martine Paterne  Bettina Schilman  Avner Ayalon  Zeev Aizenshtat  Alan Matthews   《Quaternary Science Reviews》2009,28(25-26):2882-2896

The influence of the northern Atlantic and tropical monsoonal systems, as recorded by the River Nile, on the climate variability of the southeastern Mediterranean was studied in two cores taken by the R/V Marion Dufresne: one core taken SE of Cyprus representing the northern Levantine Basin (core 9501, 980 m water depth) and the other located ˜380 km further south, represents the southeastern Levantine Basin in an area influenced by the River Nile plume (core 9509, 884 m water depth). The study was performed at relatively high resolution using several proxies: δ¹⁸O of Globigerinoides ruber, sediment characteristics and index colour parameters in core sections representing the last 86 ka. A low-resolution alkenone sea surface temperature record was also measured. The time frame in both cores was mostly constrained by ‘wiggle’ matching with the nearby well-dated δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C record of the Soreq Cave, which is mainly influenced by the eastern Mediterranean water vapor. The sedimentary record of the southern core is strongly influenced by the River Nile contribution throughout the last 86 ka, as evidenced by the higher sedimentation rates compared with the northern core (20 cm/ka vs. 5 cm/ka), continuously darker sediment colour, and higher TOC values (0.6–0.9 vs. 0.25 wt% not including sapropels). During sapropels S1 and S3, present in both cores, the influence of the River Nile became more widespread, reaching as far as Cyprus. Yet, the influence of the River Nile remained stronger in the south, as evident by the higher TOC values in the southern core throughout the entire 90 ka period and the longer duration of S1 in the southern core. An anomalous low δ¹⁸O interval that is not recorded in western Mediterranean occurred between 58 and 49 ka in the Levantine Basin and is more developed in the northern core. This period correlates with D-O interstadial 14 and maximum northern hemisphere insolation during the lastglacial cycle, suggesting that the warming mainly impacted the northern Levant.The Eastern Mediterranean Sea and land area was considerably warmer than the western Mediterranean throughout the LGM – Holocene transition, and the δ¹⁸O_{G. ruber} drop of 4.5‰ is significantly greater than the 3‰ shift found for the western Mediterranean δ¹⁸O_{G. bulloides}, both differences reflecting an increased continental effect from the western to eastern Mediterranean. Comparison between the marine and the land δ¹⁸O records suggests that the origin of rain over the land is composed of mixed signal from the southern and northern Levantine Basin. The study of Δδ¹⁸O_sea–land variations demonstrates that various factors have influenced the sea–land relationship during the last 90 ka. The ‘amount effect’ has an important influence on rainfall δ¹⁸O during interglacial periods (particularly sapropel periods), whereas during glacial periods, increased land distances and elevation differences arising from decrease in sea level may have brought about decrease in δ¹⁸O of rainfall due to Rayleigh distillation processes. These influences were superimposed on those of sea surface water δ¹⁸O changes brought about by continental ice melting, and the strong effects felt in the southern Levantine Basin of the high River Nile input during periods of enhanced monsoonal activity.  相似文献   

Advances in aquatic photochemistry: A special feature to honor the career of Dr. Barbara Sulzberger     

Yu-Ping Chin  Bettina Voelker 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》2009,71(2):103-103

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Metabolism of the S-triazine herbizide atrazine in early life stages of the zebrafish, Danio rerio     

C. Wiegand  E. Krause  C. Steinberg  S. Pflugmacher 《Marine environmental research》2000,50(1-5)

Increasing anthropogenic pollution of the environment can have adverse consequences for organisms which are more subtle than direct toxicity. Detectable levels of persistent pollutants remain even if the substance is no longer used. An example is atrazine, a herbicide in common use throughout the world but one which has been banned in Germany since 1992. As a lipophilic substance, atrazine is bioconcentrated which may lead to chronic intoxication or physiological stress. In order to withstand chemical stressors, many organisms possess detoxication enzymes, for example certain P-450 monoxygenases and glutathione S-transferases. But detoxication demands cellular energy, and in developing organisms, such as fish embryos which have particularly high energy needs for sustaining growth and organogenesis, the additional energy needs of detoxication may present additional stress. In this study, uptake of atrazine, cytochrome P-450 binding spectra, effects on microsomal and soluble glutathione S-transferase activities, and the initial detoxication steps of atrazine via microsomal and soluble glutathione S-transferases were studied using early life stages of zebrafish.  相似文献