By studying the past behaviour of Azorean volcanoes, sunspot and Earth tide correlations have been discovered, and may certainly help in prediction. Some evidence has also been found that buckling of the thin roof of magma chambers may be the mechanism responsible for the eruptions, including the accompanying seismic swarms. If this is the case, geodetic control of the adjacent regions will probably be decisive in forecasting future activity. 相似文献
This letter presents seafloor classification study results of a hybrid artificial neural network architecture known as learning vector quantization. Single beam echo-sounding backscatter waveform data from three different seafloors of the western continental shelf of India are utilized. In this letter, an analysis is presented to establish the hybrid network as an efficient alternative for real-time seafloor classification of the acoustic backscatter data. 相似文献
Dynamic aspects of the long runout Ontake-san debris avalanche are evaluated by a comparison of several models. An unsteady numerical model assumes two-dimensional flow of an incompressible biviscous or Newtonian fluid, represented as a continuum with a free surface. Internal deformation of the flowing mass is considered, as well as boundary resistances. Thus flow thinning and deposit shape as well as flow kinematics may be modeled. Parameters are adjusted to match observed runout, with additional constraints on velocity and emplacement time. With abundant constraints for Ontake-san, from careful field investigations by Japanese research teams, our analysis indicates that a substantial decrease in flow resistance occurred as a function of displacement. Constant-property models that match runout tend to overestimate the peak velocities and to underestimate the emplacement times. A staged increase in mobility in both constant volume and variable volume models leads to results consistent with field data. Runout in a channel overflow area was also modeled. Qualitatively similar results have been obtained by other researchers using simple sliding block models with empirical parameters, a slide block model with rational parameter selection, a modified flood simulation, and a multi-element frictional slide model. The relative merits of these models are compared.
The field mechanisms associated with this mobility increase with displacement are poorly understood, but the question is now identified as a target for future research at debris avalanche sites, and some plausible mechanisms are considered. The main reason probably involves the entrainment of river water and saturated sediment, leading to enhanced efficiency of fluid pressure mechanisms with undrained shear; in addition, progressive shearing reduced the mean particle size and angularity, and the cohesion and friction (and apparent viscosity) of avalanche debris near the wetted perimeter. Hydroplaning — the shearing of water films and slurries — may have occurred locally. 相似文献
Northeastern Brazil is, within the present knowledge of historical and instrumental seismicity, one the most seismic active areas in intraplate South America. Seismic activity in the region has occurred mainly around the Potiguar basin. This seismicity includes earthquake swarms characterized by instrumentally-recorded events ≤ 5.2 mb and paleoseismic events ≥ 7.0. Our study concentrates in the João Câmara (JC) epicentral area, where an earthquake swarm composed of more than 40,000 aftershocks occurred mainly from 1986 to 1990 along the Samambaia fault; 14 of which had mb > 4.0 and two of which had 5.1 and 5.0 mb. We describe and compare this aftershock sequence with the present-day stress field and the tectonic fabric in an attempt to understand fault geometry and local control of seismogenic faulting. Earthquake data indicate that seismicity decreased steadily from 1986 to 1998. We selected 2,746 epicenters, which provided a high-quality and precise dataset. It indicates that the fault trends 37° azimuth, dips 76°–80° to NW, and forms an alignment 27 km long that cuts across the NNE–SSW-trending ductile Precambrian fabric. The depth of these events ranged from 1 km to 9 km. The fault forms an echelon array of three main left-bend segments: one in the northern and two in the southern part of the fault. A low-seismicity zone, which marks a contractional bend, occurs between the northern and southern segments. Focal mechanisms indicate that the area is under an E–W-oriented compression, which led to strike–slip shear along the Samambaia fault with a small normal component. The fault is at 53° to the maximum compression and is severely misoriented for reactivation under the present-day stress field. The seismicity, however, spatially coincides with a brittle fabric composed of quartz veins and silicified-fault zones. We conclude that the Samambaia fault is a discontinuous and reactivated structure marked at the surface by a well-defined brittle fabric, which is associated with silica-rich fluids. 相似文献
Flow-type landslides are an important hazard that can cause great destruction due to the rapid flow velocity and large disaster area. This paper presents a catastrophic flowslide that recently occurred at a landfill in Shenzhen, China. This disaster involved an area about 1100 m in length and 630 m in maximum width, and caused the death of 77 people and the destruction of 33 buildings. The precise reason for the landfill’s failure is still unknown, and therefore we try to contribute an increased understanding of the event for future prevention. In this study, the failure mechanism of the studied slope was analyzed and described under partially saturated condition. The solid–fluid transition during the flowslide occurrence was described using a unified constitutive model. The model was used to perform the hydro-elasto-plastic modeling in the pre-failure stage, the viscous modeling in the post-failure stage, and the second-order work criterion was introduced in between to model the solid–fluid transition. The consistent evolution of the flowslide, including initiation, propagation, and deposit stages, was simulated and analyzed using the finite element method with Lagrangian integration points after careful calibration of the viscous parameters. The numerical results were compared with the real case and used to explain the failure mechanism. 相似文献