Integrating knowledge to assess coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise: The development of the DIVA tool   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Jochen Hinkel  Richard J.T. Klein 《Global Environmental Change》2009,19(3):384-395

This paper describes the development of the DIVA tool, a user-friendly tool for assessing coastal vulnerability from subnational to global levels. The development involved the two major challenges of integrating knowledge in the form of data, scenarios and models from various natural, social and engineering science disciplines and making this integrated knowledge accessible to a broad community of end-users. These challenges were addressed by (i) creating and applying the DIVA method, an iterative, modular method for developing integrating models amongst distributed partners and (ii) making the data, scenarios and integrated model, equipped with a powerful graphical user interface, directly and freely available to end-users.  相似文献   

The importance of three centuries of land-use change for the global and regional terrestrial carbon cycle   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

Jelle G. Van Minnen  Kees Klein Goldewijk  Elke Stehfest  Bas Eickhout  Gerard van Drecht  Rik Leemans 《Climatic change》2009,97(1-2):123-144

Large amounts of carbon (C) have been released into the atmosphere over the past centuries. Less than half of this C stays in the atmosphere. The remainder is taken up by the oceans and terrestrial ecosystems. Where does the C come from and where and when does this uptake occur? We address these questions by providing new estimates of regional land-use emissions and natural carbon fluxes for the 1700–2000 period, simultaneously considering multiple anthropogenic (e.g. land and energy demand) and biochemical factors in a geographically explicit manner. The observed historical atmospheric CO₂ concentration profile for the 1700 to 2000 period has been reproduced well. The terrestrial natural biosphere has been a major carbon sink, due to changes in climate, atmospheric CO₂, nitrogen and management. Due to land-use change large amounts of carbon have been emitted into the atmosphere. The net effect was an emission of 35 Pg C into the atmosphere for the 1700 to 2000 period. If land use had remained constant at its distribution in 1700, then the terrestrial C uptake would have increased by 142 Pg C. This overall difference of including or excluding land-use changes (i.e. 177 Pg C) comes to more than half of the historical fossil-fuel related emissions of 308 Pg C. Historically, global land-use emissions were predominantly caused by the expansion of cropland and pasture, while wood harvesting (for timber and fuel wood) only played a minor role. These findings are robust even when changing some of the important drivers like the extent of historical land-use changes. Under varying assumptions, land-use emissions over the past three centuries could have increased up to 20%, but remained significantly lower than from other sources. Combining the regional land-use and natural C fluxes, North America and Europe were net C sources before 1900, but turned into sinks during the twentieth century. Nowadays, these fluxes are a magnitude smaller than energy- and industry-related emissions. Tropical regions were C neutral prior to 1950, but then accelerated deforestation turned these regions into major C sources. The energy- and industry-related emissions are currently increasing in many tropical regions, but are still less than the land-use emissions. Based on the presented relevance of the land-use and natural fluxes for the historical C cycle and the significance of fossil-fuel emissions nowadays, there is a need for an integrated approach for energy, nature and land use in evaluating possible climate change mitigation policies.  相似文献   

Social actors and their role in metropolitan governance in Montréal: towards an inclusive coalition?     

Juan-Luis Klein  Diane-Gabrielle Tremblay 《GeoJournal》2010,75(6):567-579

The article is about the role of civil society organizations in the governance of the Montréal metropolitan region. It identifies a high level of cooperation around metropolitan scale issues on the part of these organizations. In the Montréal region, government agencies as well as private corporations demonstrate readiness to work alongside civil society organizations on joint projects. Evidence of this type of collaboration is particularly strong in the case of economic development, neighbourhood revitalization and cultural initiatives. This form of cooperation is perceived as a manifestation of the so-called “Québec model” and is an asset for the Montréal metropolitan region. The article demonstrates that interventions that involve social organizations are more likely to be successful than those that turn their back on these organizations.  相似文献   

Predictive modelling of dump water impact on the surroundings of the lignite dump site Jänschwalde (Eastern Germany)     

Nils Hoth  Steffen Wagner  Frieder Hfner 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》2001,73(2)

Open cast mining of lignite leads to dumps containing highly mineralised pore waters. To predict the impact of the dump waters on the undisturbed aquifers two steps are necessary. (1) The prediction of dump water quality at times when steady state flow conditions will be established. (2) The simulation of the dump ground water migration with a model that is able to handle the complexity of the homogeneous and heterogeneous interactions of the migration process.For the investigated site Jänschwalde, which is still dewatered, a chemical mass balance was performed. The predicted alkalinity potentials exceed acidity potentials for the dump as a whole. The distribution of these parameters show high alkalinity potentials for the northern part.In order to model the migration process the transport code PCGEOFIM^® [Anwenderdokumentaion, IBGW Leipzig, (in German)] was coupled with the geochemical equilibrium code PHREEQC [USGS, Water-Resources Investigations Report]. This was done to simulate redox reactions, mineral dissolution and precipitation, and cation exchange in the ground water zone. The model is verified by a column flow test. The results of the simulations show a small effect of the migrating dump waters on the quartenary aquifer with respect to acidity changes. This results from calcite buffering and cation exchange. The impact on the quartenary aquifer by sulphate is much higher.  相似文献   

On the current profile in the German Bight: A two-month BroadBand ADCP time series of high vertical resolution     

Holger Klein 《Ocean Dynamics》1995,47(2):77-92

Summary A bottom mounted BroadBand ADCP was deployed for about two months in the German Bight (54° 15.3′, N, 7° 35.5′ E) at 40 m depth. The ADCP recorded current data and echo intensity between 3 and 38m depth with a vertical resolution of 1 m. The data, which provide continuous vertical current profiles, are investigated with regard to the vertical variations of residual and tidal currents and kinetic energies. To investigate the temporal variability of the current profiles, the time series are subdivided into 8-day intervals. Furthermore, the data are compared with historical data. According to the ADCP profiles, the water column can be subdivided into three layers: A primarily wind-driven near-surface layer (∼10m), a middepth layer with great directional variability, and a near-bottom layer of about 10 m thickness with a strictly logarithmic current profile.

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über das Stromprofil in der Deutschen Bucht: Eine zweimonatige BroadBand ADCP Zeitserie mit hoher vertikaler Aufl?sung

Zusammenfassung Ein am Boden stehender BroadBand ADCP wurde für zwei Monate in der Deutschen Bucht (54° 15.3′ N, 7° 35.5′ E) in 40 m Wassertiefe eingesetzt. Er registrierte Str?mungsdaten und Echointensit?t zwischen 3 und 38 m Wassertiefe mit einer vertikalen Aufl?sung von 1 m. Dieser Datensatz, der kontinuierliche vertikale Stromprofile liefert, wird hinsichtlich der vertikalen Variation von Rest- und Gezeitenstr?men und kinetischer Energie analysiert. Zur Untersuchung der zeitlichen Variabilit?t der Stromprofile wird die Gesamtzeitserie in 8-Tage-Intervalle unterteilt. Ferner werden die Ergebnisse mit historischen Messungen verglichen. Aus den ADCP-Profilen ergibt sich eine prinzipielle Dreiteilung der Wassers?ule: Eine vorwiegend windgetriebene oberfl?chennahe Schicht (∼10m), eine mittlere Schicht mit hoher Richtungsvariabilit?t und eine etwa 10 m m?chtige Bodenschicht mit streng logarithmischem Stromprofil.

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Dynamic soil–structure interaction of coupled shear walls by boundary element method     

D. Capuani  R. Klein  H. Antes  A. Tralli 《地震工程与结构动力学》1995,24(6):861-879

For a class of civil engineering structures, that can be accurately represented by ‘coupled shear walls’ (CSWs), a discrete model for the analysis of the dynamic interaction with the underlying soil is proposed. The CSWs, with one or more rows of openings, rest on a rigid foundation embedded in the elastic or viscoelastic half-space. A hierarchical finite element model based on an equivalent continuum approach is adopted for the structure. A frequency-domain boundary element method is used to represent the half-space. Finally, the set of equations governing the response of the coupled soil-structure system to harmonic lateral loads acting on the structure is also given. The frequency deviation effect with respect to the fixed-base structure and the effects of radiation and material damping in the soil are presented for different characteristics of the structure and different soil properties.  相似文献   

Assessment of the feasibility of utilizing Landsat for detection and monitoring of landfills in a statewide GIS     

E. Johnson  M. Klein  K. Mickus 《Environmental Geology》1993,22(2):129-140

Use of satellite data could be beneficial and cost effective in detecting and monitoring landfills in a state-wide geographic information system (GIS). To assure the feasibility of this approach, multitemporal Landsat data were used to detect several selected active and inactive landfills in central and southwest Missouri. The landfills were visually delineated from aerial photography of approximately the same two dates. A classification procedure based on homogeneity of the digital numbers was performed on each landfill scene for each time period using four spectral bands: two visible, one near-infrared, and one mid-infrared. The mid-infrared band proved more useful in delineating landfills, especially when spectral change was compared to the near-infrared band. The active landfills were spectrally different from surrounding land cover as were the two landfills which closed after the collection of the first Landsat scene. These landfills showed considerable areal change between the two selected time periods as verified by the aerial photographs. The inactive landfills were more difficult to discern from surrounding land cover types because they were grass covered and spectrally similar to pasture. Consequently, areal change could not be assigned to these older landfills because the reclamation process was practically complete.  相似文献   

Tidal triggering of reservoir-associated earthquakes   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Fred W. Klein   《Engineering Geology》1976,10(2-4):197-210

If the effect of a reservoir is to bring a fault zone gradually to failure and trigger an earthquake, then it is reasonable that rapidly fluctuating tidal stresses may influence the time of the induced earthquakes. An examination of earthquakes from eight reservoirs shows that earthquakes at six sites occur at preferred times in the semidiurnal tidal cycle. Tidal-stress orientations and the phase within the semidiurnal tidal cycle were calculated for only the largest earthquakes occurring at each site. This insures the elimination of aftershocks and selects earthquakes which are independent of each other. Sites of a significant earthquake/tide correlation with less than a 3% chance of occurring randomly include Hebgen Lake, Mont., U.S.A.; Kariba, Rhodesia; Kerr Dam, Mont., U.S.A.; Kremasta, Greece; Lake Mead, Nev., U.S.A.; and Monteynard, France. Each data set includes from about ten to twenty earthquakes. In most of the above cases earthquake triggering seems to occur when tidal stress enhances slip, i.e., when tidal stresses are oriented to enhance the tectonic stress.  相似文献   

Drainage area and the variation of channel geometry downstream   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Micha Klein 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1981,6(6):589-593

Recent geomorphological studies tend to deal with small basins. The understanding of small basin dynamics provides important information for the understanding of large basin dynamics assuming that the extrapolation of small basin data to larger basins is valid. This work tests the validity of this extrapolation of data with reference to channel geometry. An analysis of the variation of channel width downstream reveals that the value b =0.5 (W = aQ^b) is a ‘good’ average. However, the use of a one-line model consisting of a simple power function incurs a loss of a considerable amount of relevant information concerning the channel form and hence the channel processes. It has been shown that the –b– value for small basins and very big basins is lower than the one for the intermediate basins.  相似文献   

The relevance of Old World archeology to the first entry of man into the New World     

Richard G. Klein 《Quaternary Research》1975,5(3):391-394

Archeological evidence from the USSR suggests that cultural adaptations to the most rigorous (most continental) environments of northern Eurasia were not achieved until 35–40,000 BP. This presumably sets an absolute basement date for the entry of man into Alaska through the region of Beringia. The absence of evidence for pre-14,000 yr old man in the 48 adjacent United States comparable in any sense to the evidence that has been developed for man prior to 14,000 y.a. in the Old World suggests that movement south out of Alaska only occurred after 14,000 BP.  相似文献