均生函数与BP神经网络耦合模拟预测模型(MGF-BP-I)的建立与应用   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

刘丹辉  马龙  刘廷玺  杜志军  王静茹  黄星 《水文》2016,36(6):7-15

水文气候因子模拟预测对气候变化研究、农业墒情预报、生态环境改善、水资源合理开发利用等具有一定参考意义。均生函数、BP神经网络及其结合改进方式在模拟预测中各有优点,被广泛应用,但仍有进一步改进空间。针对MGF、MGF-OSR、MGF-OSR-BP等方法粗选因子集、粗选集组合筛选、收敛适应性、精度控制等可改进空间,进一步发挥均生函数和BP神经网络优势,建立了MGF-BP-I模拟预测模型。利用MGF-OSR、MGF-OSR-BP、MGF-BP-I对科尔沁沙地区域平均年降水进行了模拟预测。结果表明,建模期MGF-OSR-BP、MGF-BP-I拟合效果均较好,MGF-BP-I建模阶段最优模式精度优于MGF-OSR-BP,MGF-BP-I整体同时最优模式结果也非常好。检验期,MGF-BP-I检验阶段最优及整体同时最优两种模式拟合效果最好,相比其他模式精度有所提高。MGF-BP-I考虑更加全面,充分发挥了均生函数和BP神经网络优势,精度远高于MGF-OSR和MGF-OSR-BP,MGF-BP-I整体同时最优模式更符合实际应用,效果理想,可用于水文气候因子模拟预测。  相似文献   

Detachment folding in a Lower Cambrian–Upper Permian karst reservoir: 3D model of the Yubei 3D area (eastern Markit Slope,Tarim Basin,Northwest China)     

JiuMei Li  LiangJie Tang  Yong Yue  Meng Li  ShengLong Zhang  Yu Long  ShaoHui Luo 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2016,9(14):630

A three-dimensional (3D) structural modeling of the Lower Cambrian–Upper Permian Yubei 3D area was performed to understand its structural evolution. This model reproduces the present-day structure of the basin and comprises 11 horizons within Lower Cambrian to Upper Permian rocks. The analysis is based on 3D depth views and faults. The results image salt movements due to tectonics and/or burial. From these observations, this paper deduces that salt structures are correlated to the main faults and tectonic events. From the model analysis, we interpret the timing and geometry of Tarim Basin tectonics. The fault geometry can be resolved based on the strike of the fault, the morphology of hanging wall strata, and the stratigraphic distribution. Emphasis is placed on gypsum rock detachment, considering its movements during the Middle Caledonian event and decoupling effects during tectonic evolution. Moreover, we point to the structural control of the Paleozoic basement and the crustal architecture (Yubei 3D Zone) on the geometry of the Tarim Basin.  相似文献   

辽东湾中部海域春季大型底栖生物的群落结构及影响因子     

张晓举  丁龙  冯春晖 《海洋科学》2016,40(10):43-48

2013年5月对辽东湾中部的大型底栖生物进行了调查,分析了该海域底栖生物的种类组成、丰度、生物量、群落结构及其与环境因子的关系。调查海域共发现大型底栖生物70种,包括多毛类24种,甲壳类18种,软体动物20种,棘皮动物7种,纽虫1种。相对重要性指数大于100的种类有14种,排名前3位的分别是日本游泳水虱、毛蚶、日本长尾虫。底栖动物丰度平均值为244.2个/m~2,生物量为52.52 g/m~2,棘皮动物是生物量的重要贡献者。多样性指数平均值为3.24,丰度生物量比较曲线分析结果认为调查海域大型底栖动物群落未受到干扰,底栖生物群落的结构相似性较低,在20%的相似程度上可分为5个组。底层水中溶解氧含量是影响底栖生物的主要因素,不同底质条件是影响底栖生物生物量和群落结构的重要因素。  相似文献   

Molybdenum Mass Fractions and Isotopic Compositions of International Geological Reference Materials          下载免费PDF全文

Pei‐Pei Zhao  Jie Li  Le Zhang  Zhi‐Bing Wang  De‐Xin Kong  Jin‐Long Ma  Gang‐Jian Wei  Ji‐Feng Xu 《Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research》2016,40(2):217-226

The double‐spike method with multi‐collector inductively coupled plasma‐mass spectrometry was used to measure the Mo mass fractions and isotopic compositions of a set of geological reference materials including the mineral molybdenite, seawater, coral, as well as igneous and sedimentary rocks. The long‐term reproducibility of the Mo isotopic measurements, based on two‐year analyses of NIST SRM 3134 reference solutions and seawater samples, was ≤ 0.07‰ (two standard deviations, 2s, n = 167) for δ^98/95Mo. Accuracy was evaluated by analyses of Atlantic seawater, which yielded a mean δ^98/95Mo of 2.03 ± 0.06‰ (2s, n = 30, relative to NIST SRM 3134 = 0‰) and mass fraction of 0.0104 ± 0.0006 μg g^?1 (2s, n = 30), which is indistinguishable from seawater samples taken world‐wide and measured in other laboratories. The comprehensive data set presented in this study serves as a reference for quality assurance and interlaboratory comparison of high‐precision Mo mass fractions and isotopic compositions.  相似文献   

青藏高原东北部降尘通量及粒度特征分析          下载免费PDF全文

鄂崇毅  席永帅  孙永娟  赵亚娟  杨龙  吕顺昌 《盐湖研究》2016,24(2):62-67, 74

青藏高原东北缘是柴达木沙尘暴东移的必经之道和沉降区,对青藏高原东北部降尘时空分异特征进行分析,有助于认识青藏高原区域粉尘输送的现代过程和机制。2013年12月至2015年5月分别在青海湖小泊湖(XBH)、西宁多巴(DB)、西宁青海师大科技楼顶(KJLD)设置降尘缸,进行湿法收集。对其降尘通量和粒度特征进行了时空分异特征分析,结果显示,1)西宁地区2014年降尘通量为442~542 g/m~2·a,青海湖XBH采集点指示的2014年降尘通量为415 g/m~2·a,降尘通量年际变化较大,各站点降尘通量季节变化趋势一致,降尘主要集中在冬春季,夏季降尘通量最低;2)各站点降尘粒度组成特征非常相似,以粉砂为主(4~63μm),西宁地区尘暴与非尘暴降尘粒度频率曲线呈近似正态分布,尘暴期间降尘粒径较非尘暴时段大;3)XBH、DB和KJLD 3点所有样品平均粒径分别为37μm、34μm和31μm,中值粒径分别为31μm、27μm和26μm;对比低海拔兰州尘暴粒径特征,发现降尘粒径存在一定的海拔依赖性,即粒度随海拔增高逐渐变粗。  相似文献   

Advanced glycation endproducts in 35 types of seafood products consumed in eastern China     

WANG Jing  LI Zhenxing  PAVASE Ramesh Tushar  LIN Hong  ZOU Long  WEN Jie  LV Liangtao 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2016,15(4):690-696

Advanced glycation endproducts(AGEs) have been recognized as hazards in processed foods that can induce chronic diseases such as cardiovascular disease, diabetes, and diabetic nephropathy. In this study, we investigated the AGEs contents of 35 types of industrial seafood products that are consumed frequently in eastern China. Total fluorescent AGEs level and Nε-carboxymethyl-lysine(CML) content were evaluated by fluorescence spectrophotometry and gas chromatography-mass spectrometry(GC-MS), respectively. The level of total fluorescent AGEs in seafood samples ranged from 39.37 to 1178.3 AU, and was higher in canned and packaged instant aquatic products that were processed at high temperatures. The CML content in seafood samples ranged from 44.8 to 439.1 mg per kg dried sample, and was higher in roasted seafood samples. The total fluorescent AGEs and CML content increased when seafood underwent high-temperature processing, but did not show an obvious correlation. The present study suggested that commonly consumed seafood contains different levels of AGEs, and the seafood processed at high temperatures always displays a high level of either AGEs or CML.  相似文献   

西藏谢通门地区中侏罗世花岗岩的地球化学特征及时代依据     

王贝  李鹏  刘智贤  程龙  闫磊  王卫军 《地质通报》2016,35(9):1479-1487

西藏谢通门县一带区域上属于冈底斯花岗岩带南亚带,侵入岩极其发育,目前填绘有白垩纪、古近纪和新近纪岩体。通过同位素年代学研究,获得12个锆石的U-Pb同位素年龄数据,在原划归白垩纪、古近纪和新近纪岩体中解体出侏罗纪侵入体,按其岩石类型特征,归并为早侏罗世东热村序列和中侏罗世东嘎乡序列。其中,在约拉嘎莫岩体中获得锆石U-Pb同位素年龄166.9±2.8Ma,时代为中侏罗世巴柔期。  相似文献   

北斗区域系统国外典型地区定位性能分析          下载免费PDF全文

高洪宇  李宏武 《海洋测绘》2016,(4):46-48

为掌握北斗区域系统在国外典型区域内的定位性能,利用STK软件仿真建立了该系统"5GEO+5IGSO+4MEO"星座,在此基础上对关岛、索马里、堪培拉等地区的卫星可见性和几何精度因子进行了系统分析。结果表明,北斗区域系统足以全天候满足上述区域内用户的导航定位需求。  相似文献   

Characteristics, differences and main controlling factors of source rocks in the central-southern South China Sea Basins     

WANG Yibo  XIE Xiaojun  LAN Lei  GUO Ji  WANG Long  TANG Wu 《《地质学报》英文版》2018,92(Z2):113-114

  相似文献   

三峡库岸滑坡变形特征及影响因素分析          下载免费PDF全文

李远宁  潘勇  冯晓亮  陈龙  程奎 《探矿工程》2018,45(8):127-131

三峡库区涉水滑坡主要影响因素是水位和降雨量,也是库区滑坡体失稳的主要影响因素和诱发因素。库区每年重复着水位升降不利于滑坡的稳定,而降雨特别是大强度的降雨也诱发产生滑坡。当水位波动遇到降雨,出现工况叠加,滑坡将加剧。因此,有必要对影响滑坡变形的主导因素进行了解分析。2016年6月三峡库区全面展开了自动化监测,使得数据统计方便可靠。本文采用滑坡变形速率、降雨量、库水位变化、最大水位变化速率、淹没程度,运用灰色关联度分析法对涉水滑坡进行了计算分析。水位下降阶段,文中土质滑坡变形受库水位影响最大。水位上升阶段,该土质滑坡上部变形受降雨影响最大,下部受水位影响最大。文中岩质滑坡总是受库水位影响最大。  相似文献