Ecohydrological modelling in a deciduous boreal forest: Model evaluation for application in non-stationary climates     

Adrienne M. Marshall  Timothy E. Link  Gerald N. Flerchinger  Dmitry J. Nicolsky  Melissa S. Lucash 《水文研究》2021,35(6):e14251

Soil moisture is an important driver of growth in boreal Alaska, but estimating soil hydraulic parameters can be challenging in this data-sparse region. Parameter estimation is further complicated in regions with rapidly warming climate, where there is a need to minimize model error dependence on interannual climate variations. To better identify soil hydraulic parameters and quantify energy and water balance and soil moisture dynamics, we applied the physically based, one-dimensional ecohydrological Simultaneous Heat and Water (SHAW) model, loosely coupled with the Geophysical Institute of Permafrost Laboratory (GIPL) model, to an upland deciduous forest stand in interior Alaska over a 13-year period. Using a Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation parameterisation, SHAW reproduced interannual and vertical spatial variability of soil moisture during a five-year validation period quite well, with root mean squared error (RMSE) of volumetric water content at 0.5 m as low as 0.020 cm³/cm³. Many parameter sets reproduced reasonable soil moisture dynamics, suggesting considerable equifinality. Model performance generally declined in the eight-year validation period, indicating some overfitting and demonstrating the importance of interannual variability in model evaluation. We compared the performance of parameter sets selected based on traditional performance measures such as the RMSE that minimize error in soil moisture simulation, with one that is designed to minimize the dependence of model error on interannual climate variability using a new diagnostic approach we call CSMP, which stands for Climate Sensitivity of Model Performance. Use of the CSMP approach moderately decreases traditional model performance but may be more suitable for climate change applications, for which it is important that model error is independent from climate variability. These findings illustrate (1) that the SHAW model, coupled with GIPL, can adequately simulate soil moisture dynamics in this boreal deciduous region, (2) the importance of interannual variability in model parameterisation, and (3) a novel objective function for parameter selection to improve applicability in non-stationary climates.  相似文献   

Simulated water budget of a small forested watershed in the continental/maritime hydroclimatic region of the United States          下载免费PDF全文

Liang Wei  Timothy E. Link  Andrew T. Hudak  John D. Marshall  Kathleen L. Kavanagh  John T. Abatzoglou  Hang Zhou  Robert E. Pangle  Gerald N. Flerchinger 《水文研究》2016,30(13):2000-2013

Annual streamflows have decreased across mountain watersheds in the Pacific Northwest of the United States over the last ~70 years; however, in some watersheds, observed annual flows have increased. Physically based models are useful tools to reveal the combined effects of climate and vegetation on long‐term water balances by explicitly simulating the internal watershed hydrological fluxes that affect discharge. We used the physically based Simultaneous Heat and Water (SHAW) model to simulate the inter‐annual hydrological dynamics of a 4 km² watershed in northern Idaho. The model simulates seasonal and annual water balance components including evaporation, transpiration, storage changes, deep drainage, and trends in streamflow. Independent measurements were used to parameterize the model, including forest transpiration, stomatal feedback to vapour pressure, forest properties (height, leaf area index, and biomass), soil properties, soil moisture, snow depth, and snow water equivalent. No calibrations were applied to fit the simulated streamflow to observations. The model reasonably simulated the annual runoff variations during the evaluation period from water year 2004 to 2009, which verified the ability of SHAW to simulate the water budget in this small watershed. The simulations indicated that inter‐annual variations in streamflow were driven by variations in precipitation and soil water storage. One key parameterization issue was leaf area index, which strongly influenced interception across the catchment. This approach appears promising to help elucidate the mechanisms responsible for hydrological trends and variations resulting from climate and vegetation changes on small watersheds in the region. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Sur le rôle de la pollution stratosphérique dans les éclipses de lune     

František Link 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》1962,6(3):250-256

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Evaluation of a low‐cost temperature measurement system for environmental applications     

Jason Hubbart  Timothy Link  Colin Campbell  Doug Cobos 《水文研究》2005,19(7):1517-1523

Thermochron iButtons incorporate the latest in digital technology, making them smaller, less expensive, durable and potentially more reliable than many other temperature logging devices. The objective of this study was to test the accuracy of an inexpensive air temperature measurement system, composed of a Thermochron iButton and radiation shield. Sixty‐one iButtons were subjected to a sequence of two water baths (0 °C and 24·9 °C) to assess the absolute accuracy of the sensors. Five solar radiation shields were tested in a greenhouse setting to evaluate the reduction in radiative heating. Significant differences (p < 0·05) were detected between instruments subsequent to both water‐bath treatment analyses. The accuracy of the sensors was well within the manufacturer's stated specification of ±1·0 °C with a collective temperature variance of ±0·21 °C. Temperature responses generated by the Thermochron iButtons in different radiation shields were consistent, but varied significantly (p < 0·05) from 28 to 44 °C based on diurnal temperature ranges. Results indicate that the Thermochron iButton is an accurate, inexpensive alternative to more expensive temperature data‐logging systems, and is well suited for obtaining quality spatially distributed data for hydrologic and water quality investigations. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A comparison of community and trophic structure in five marine ecosystems based on energy budgets and system metrics   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Sarah Gaichas  Georg Skaret  Jannike Falk-Petersen  Jason S. Link  William Overholtz  Bernard A. Megrey  Harald Gjster  William T. Stockhausen  Are Dommasnes  Kevin D. Friedland  Kerim Aydin 《Progress in Oceanography》2009,81(1-4):47

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Sur l'importance de la diffusion élevée pendant le crépuscule     

František Link  Luděk Neužil  Igor Zacharov 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》1964,8(3):274-286

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A comparison of biological trends from four marine ecosystems: Synchronies, differences, and commonalities   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Jason S. Link  William T. Stockhausen  Georg Skaret  William Overholtz  Bernard A. Megrey  Harald Gjster  Sarah Gaichas  Are Dommasnes  Jannike Falk-Petersen  Joseph Kane  Franz J. Mueter  Kevin D. Friedland  Jonathan A. Hare 《Progress in Oceanography》2009,81(1-4):29

Major features of four marine ecosystems were analyzed based on a broad range of fisheries-associated datasets and a suite of oceanographic surveys. The ecosystems analyzed included the Gulf of Maine/Georges Bank in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean, the Norwegian/Barents Seas in the Northeast Atlantic Ocean, and the eastern Bering Sea and the Gulf of Alaska in the Northeast Pacific Ocean. We examined survey trends in major fish abundances, total system fish biomass, and zooplankton biomasses. We standardized each time series and examined trends and anomalies over time, using both time series and cross-correlational statistical methods. We compared dynamics of functionally analogous species from each of these four ecosystems. Major commonalities among ecosystems included a relatively stable amount of total fish biomass and the importance of large calanoid copepods, small pelagic fishes and gadids. Some of the changes in these components were synchronous across ecosystems. Major differences between ecosystems included gradients in the magnitude of total fish biomass, commercial fish biomass, and the timing of major detected events. This work demonstrates the value of comparative analysis across a wide range of marine ecosystems, suggestive of very few but none-the-less detectable common features across all northern hemisphere ocean systems.  相似文献   

Computer program to analyze directional data, based on the methods of Fisher and Watson     

John H. Schuenemeyer  George S. Koch Jr.  Richard F. Link 《Mathematical Geology》1972,4(3):177-202

Based on the methods of Fisher and Watson,Fortran iv computer programs are presented for the following analyses of directional observations on the sphere: (1) to determine if points are randomly distributed; (2) to estimate the azimuth and inclination of the center (mean direction) of a cluster and to estimate the precision (closeness) with which points are clustered; (3) to determine if two or more clusters have the same mean direction; (4) to determine if two clusters have the same precision of clustering; and (5) to locate the pole of a greatcircle girdle of points. Limitations of these analyses for undirected directional observations on the hemisphere also are given.  相似文献   

Analyse de l'Ombre extérieure pendant les Éclipses de lune     

J. DUBOIS  F. Link 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1970,1(4):462-475

Sommaire L'analyse photométrique de l'ombre extérieure pendant 20 éclipses de 1921 à 1968 sur la base d'un matériau homogène d'observations révèle l'existence de la luminescence du sol lunaire excitée par les radiations corpusculaires solaires. L'influence de la haute atmosphère terrestre vers 25 km d'altitude se manifeste au bord de l'ombre.

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Photometric analysis of the peripheric umbra during 20 eclipses between 1921 and 1968 based upon the homogeneous observational material reveals the existence of the lunar luminescence excited by solar corpuscular radiations. The influence of the terrestrial upper atmosphere at about 25 km height is detectable on the border of the umbra.

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En congé de l'Institut Astronomique de l'Académie des Sciences, Prague.  相似文献   

On a possible relation between lunar transient phenomena and the earth-shine     

F. Link 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1973,6(1-2):125-126

The brightness of the Earth-shine and the frequency of some categories of lunar transient phenomena show an enhancement near the full Moon, when the latter enters or exits the bow-shock front of the magnetosphere.  相似文献