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21.
ABSTRACT

The application of artificial neural networks (ANNs) has been widely used recently in streamflow forecasting because of their ?exible mathematical structure. However, several researchers have indicated that using ANNs in streamflow forecasting often produces a timing lag between observed and simulated time series. In addition, ANNs under- or overestimate a number of peak flows. In this paper, we proposed three data-processing techniques to improve ANN prediction and deal with its weaknesses. The Wilson-Hilferty transformation (WH) and two methods of baseflow separation (one parameter digital filter, OPDF, and recursive digital filter, RDF) were coupled with ANNs to build three hybrid models: ANN-WH, ANN-OPDF and ANN-RDF. The network behaviour was quantitatively evaluated by examining the differences between model output and observed variables. The results show that even following the guidelines of the Wilson-Hilferty transformation, which significantly reduces the effect of local variations, it was found that the ANN-WH model has shown no significant improvement of peak flow estimation or of timing error. However, combining baseflow with streamflow and rainfall provides important information to ANN models concerning the flow process operating in the aquifer and the watershed systems. The model produced excellent performance in terms of various statistical indices where timing error was totally eradicated and peak flow estimation significantly improved.
Editor D. Koutsoyiannis; Associate editor Y. Gyasi-Agyei  相似文献   
22.
The Mamora aquifer, in the northern Moroccan Meseta, constitutes the main regional water resource. Its impermeable basement is mostly composed of blue marls. The lithostratigraphy of the basin aquifer is characterised by a sequence of sandstones, sandy limestones, conglomerates and sandy clays.The structure of the basement of the Mamora aquifer, deduced from electrical resistivity measurements, allowed the hydrogeological behaviour of the reservoir, and the direction of the groundwater flow, to be established. The combination of the lithological, morphological, piezometric, geophysical and structural investigations revealed a northward thickening of the substrate with groundwater flow towards the Rharb (to the north) and towards the Atlantic Ocean (northwest). This ‘multicriteria’ approach enabled a structural model to be defined, which correlated well with the aquifer geometry and the groundwater flow. The variability of the hydrogeological units, and the northward thickening of the sedimentary facies, were controlled by northeast-southwest orientated faults, which affect their impermeability.  相似文献   
23.
This paper attempts to investigate the tectonics of the southern Rif Cordillera. Hydrogeological and oil well data, together with interpretation of seismic reflection lines help to characterize the architecture of the Rharb–Mamora Basin located in the frontal region of the Gibraltar Arc. The facies map constructed from the drilling data exhibits four main types of Pliocene facies: (i) conglomerates; (ii) limestones; (iii) sandstones and sands more or less rich with shelly remains; (iv) clays. The lateral variation of deposits is accompanied by thickening, which can reach a few tens of metres. Thickening of layers and lithofacies variation indicate synsedimentary faulting processes. Two major fault zones have been identified: Kenitra–Sidi Slimane Fault Zone (K2SFZ) and Rabat–Kenitra Fault Zone (RKFZ). In the western coastal area, the geometrical configuration suggests a partition into horsts and grabens in the southern part, and a system of three geological units in the northern part. The analysis and interpretation of the gravity data reveal an important gravity anomaly, referred to as the Kenitra Gravity Anomaly. It corresponds to the Hercynian faults deduced by the seismic reflection line interpretation: K2SFZ and RKFZ. From Larache to El Jadida cities, the Kenitra area represents the hinge between the positive and negative gravity values, with a major negative anomaly in the eastern part of Kenitra. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
24.
Combining the results from field observations, high resolution 2D-electric resistivity and high resolution seismic refraction tomography, we have found new evidence for active faulting in the Dhar Doum area, northwestern Atlantic coast of Morocco. Qualitative interpretation of the inverted resistivity and seismic refraction data reveals the presence of two thrust faults that cut the topographic surface and displace the most recent sedimentary deposits. Furthermore, one of these seismically imaged faults strongly correlates with the Dhar Doum?CLalla Zahra fault. The steepening at the surface and the flattening with depth of this fault are likely to indicate an important strike-slip component associated with a major reverse component. If extended offshore to the west, the Dhar Doum fault could be a continuation of the southernmost deformational front of the Cadiz oceanic accretionary prism. Therefore, this structure is very likely to represent the actual active southern deformational front of the oceanic accretionary prism, as well as that of the Rif fold-and-thrust belt. The southward thickening of the growth strata composing the uppermost dune system and the occurrence of Plio-Quaternary conglomerates north of the Dhar Doum?CLalla Zahra fault suggest that the neotectonic activity may have started by the end of the Pliocene and have continued to the present as indicated by the folding-and-faulting of the most recent sedimentary deposits and the presence of high scarps. The identification of active faulting in the study area that may have a profound influence on seismic hazard analysis of the whole Rif foredeep basin.  相似文献   
25.
The Tafilalt is one of a number of generally unexplored sub‐basins in the eastern Anti‐Atlas of Morocco, all of which probably underwent a similar tectono‐stratigraphic evolution during the Palaeozoic Era. Analysis of over 1000 km of 2‐D seismic reflection profiles, with the interpretation of ten regional seismic sections and five isopach and isobath maps, suggests a multi‐phase deformation history for the Palaeozoic‐aged Tafilalt sub‐basins. Extensional phases were probably initiated in the Cambrian, followed by uniform thermal subsidence up to at least the end of the Silurian. Major extension and subsidence did not begin prior to Middle/Upper Devonian times. Extensional movements on the major faults bounding the basin to the north and to the south took place in synchronisation with Upper Devonian sedimentation, which provides the thickest part of the sedimentary sequence in the basin. The onset of the compressional phase in Carboniferous times is indicated by reflectors in the Carboniferous sequence progressively onlapping onto the Upper Devonian sequence. This period of compression developed folds and faults in the Upper Palaeozoic‐aged strata, producing a structural style characteristic of thin‐skinned fold and thrust belts. The Late Palaeozoic units are detached over a regional décollement with a northward tectonic vergence. The folds have been formed by the process of fault‐propagation folding related to the thrust imbricates that ramp up‐section from the décollement. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
26.
Groundwater constitutes the main source of water supply in the High Mekerra watershed of northwestern Algeria. This resource is currently under heavy pressures to meet the growing needs of drinking water and irrigation. This study assesses the geochemical characteristics of groundwater of the High Mekerra watershed at 21 points distributed across the two main aquifers (Ras El Ma and Mouley Slissen) in the region. Hydrochemical facies of Ras El Ma groundwater are dominantly MgCl and CaCl type, while those of Mouley Slissen groundwater are of CaHCO3 type. Principal component analysis shows a strong correlation between groundwater mineralization and Ca2+, Na+, Cl? and SO4 2? ions stemming from the dissolution of carbonates, gypsum and anhydrite. Groundwater mineralization evolves from south to north. Geochemical modeling shows that the High Mekerra groundwater is saturated with respect to calcite and dolomite and undersaturated with respect to gypsum and anhydrite. Nitrate concentrations that exceed the WHO standard (50 mg L?1) at several points are linked to the agro-pastoral activities in this region.  相似文献   
27.
Being a laborious approach, manual calibration of hydrologic model in a semi-arid context requires in-depth knowledge of the watershed and as much as possible field input data to obtain reliable simulations. In this study, manual calibration and relative sensitivity analysis approaches of the SWAT model (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) were applied for water balance in a 1993 km2 watershed (on the R’dom river) located in North-western Morocco. The watershed is located in a semi-arid area dominated by agro-forestry activities. The objectives of this study were (i) to perform a local sensitivity analysis of the SWAT model taking into consideration the watershed characteristics and (ii) to implement a detailed methodology of manual calibration and validation of the model in a semi-arid context. Sensitivity analysis has been carried out on 12 different SWAT input parameters, and has revealed that 4 input parameters only were the most influential ones on flow components of the R’dom watershed. Model manual calibration was conducted along 2006 and 2007 by comparing measured and predicted monthly and daily discharges and taking Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE), determination coefficient (R 2), and percent bias (PBIAS) as goodness-of-fit indicators. Validation has been performed by the same approach through 2008 and 2009 period. All final NSE values were above 0.5, R 2 values exceeded 0.7, and PBIAS lower than 25% demonstrating satisfactory model performances over the study watershed conditions. The SWAT model set-up with measured input data, manually calibrated and validated, reflects well the real hydrologic processes occurring in the R’dom watershed and can be used to assess current and future conditions and to evaluate alternative management practices.  相似文献   
28.
This paper deals with the relationship between the physical characteristics of the Rharb-Mamora basin (Northern Morocco) and the distribution of hydraulic conductivity values in the Plio-Quaternary aquifer. A steady state groundwater model has been calibrated using these values. The distribution of hydraulic conductivity corresponds to a hydrodynamic partition with permeabilities of 2×10–3 to 5×10–2 ms–1 (in the coastal part). A numerical modeling process shows a relative error map between calculated and measured piezometric surfaces, in order to facilitate calibration in steady state.The distribution of hydraulic conductivity values, and the lateral variation of sequences (deduced from engineering geology methods e.g. hydrogeological drilling data, seismic reflection interpretation, and geostatistical analysis), are controlled by synsedimentary fault activity, which deepened the Mio-Pliocene basement resulting in a thickening of overlying permeable rocks.
Resumen Esta nota trata la relación existente entre las características físicas y la distribución de la conductividad hidráulica de los acuíferos subyacentes de la cuenca del Rharb-Mamora (norte de Marruecos). Para la simulación del flujo del agua subterránea se ha establecido un modelo en régimen permanente. La distribución de la conductividad hidráulica corresponde a un reparto hidrodinámico cuyo grado de permeabilidad es generalmente alto: desde 2×10–3 hasta 5×10–2 ms–1 (zona costera). Con el objetivo de facilitar la calibración del modelo en régimen permanente, el proceso numérico realizado mostró errores relativos entre la piezometría calculada y medida. La distribución de los valores de permeabilidad y la variación lateral de las unidades permeables ha sido deducida a partir de métodos de geología aplicada (análisis de los sondeos hidrogeológicos, interpretación de los perfiles de sísmica de reflexión y aplicación de métodos geoestadísticos), y están controlados por la actividad de las fallas sinsedimentarias que influyen sobre la topografía del basamento mio-plioceno y el grosor de las unidades acuíferas.

Résumé Cette note traite la relation entre les caractéristiques physique du bassin Rharb-Mamora (Nord du Maroc) et la répartition de la conductivité hydraulique du réseau aquifère. Le modèle de simulation des écoulements souterrains a été établi en régime permanent. La distribution de la conductivité hydraulique correspond à un découpage hydrodynamique dont le degré de perméabilité est généralement bon entre 2×10–3 to 5×10–2 ms–1 (zone côtière). Afin de faciliter le calage en régime permanent, le code numérique établi permet de mettre en évidence les erreurs relatives entre la piézométrie calculée et mesurée.La distribution des valeurs de perméabilité et la variation latérale des unités perméables, déduites des méthodes de la géologie appliquée (analyse des forages hydrogéologiques, interprétation des profils sismique réflexion et analyse géostatistique), sont contrôlées par lactivité des failles synsédimentaires qui influencent lapprofondissement du substratum hydrogéologique mio-pliocène et lépaississement des corps perméables.
  相似文献   
29.
A large travertine outcrop south of Errachidia, southern Morocco, was studied and U/Th dated. The carbonate fraction was provided by groundwaters then, as now, from the eastern High Atlas percolating through the regional Infra-Cenomanian aquifer. There were two main periods of accumulation at ca 262 kyr BP and 20–11.5 kyr BP separated by a long discontinuity with some limited weathering and erosion and correlated in part with a period of erosion at 30–20 kyr BP further to the west. The two travertine-deposition periods suggest increased rainfall and/or cooler thermal conditions in the eastern High Atlas source regions. Massive travertine accumulation ceased at the end of the Upper Pleistocene. To cite this article: L. Boudad et al., C. R. Geoscience 335 (2003).To cite this article: L. Boudad et al., C. R. Geoscience 335 (2003).  相似文献   
30.
Neoproterozoic volcanic series are exposed in the northern edge of the Saghro massif (Eastern Anti-Atlas, Morocco). Four volcanic rock types (basalt, andesite, dacite, and rhyolite) were distinguished in the Boumalne inlier within the so-called Saghro volcanic sequences based on petrographic and geochemical observations. Boumalne volcanic rocks contain high Al2O3, Fe2O3, Ba, Sr, Zr, Rb, and Nb contents, including calc-alkaline affinity in composition. Boumalne volcanic rocks are similar to other lower-Neoproterozoic volcanic rocks such Agouiniy formation in Sirwa inlier and in other parts of Bou-Azzer inlier. Indeed, they indicate an active subduction signature. The geochemical data show a LREE enrichment compared to HREE. The fractional crystallization has played a major role during the evolution of the magma. The less-siliceous dacitic rocks could have been formed after a low degree of partial melting of mafic parental magma source, whereas the rich-siliceous rhyolite may have been derived from dacitic magma source by a higher degree of fractional crystallization.  相似文献   
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