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31.
Assessing the effects of land cover and future climate conditions on the provision of hydrological services in a medium‐sized watershed of Portugal 下载免费PDF全文
Claudia Carvalho‐Santos João Pedro Nunes António T. Monteiro Lars Hein João Pradinho Honrado 《水文研究》2016,30(5):720-738
The separated and combined effects of land‐cover scenarios and future climate on the provision of hydrological services were evaluated in Vez watershed, northern Portugal. Soil and Water Assessment Tool was calibrated against daily discharge, sediments and nitrates, with good agreements between model predictions and field observations. Four hypothetical land‐cover scenarios were applied under current climate conditions (eucalyptus/pine, oak, agriculture/vine and low vegetation). A statistical downscaling of four General Circulation Models, bias‐corrected with ground observations, was carried out for 2021–2040 and 2041–2060, using representative concentration pathway 4.5 scenario. Also, the combined effects of future climate conditions were evaluated under eucalyptus/pine and agriculture/vine scenario. Results for land cover revealed that eucalyptus/pine scenario reduced by 7% the annual water quantity and up to 17% in the summer period. Although climate change has only a modest effect on the reduction of the total annual discharge (?7%), the effect on the water levels during summer was more pronounced, between ?15% and ?38%. This study shows that climate change can affect the provision of hydrological services by reducing dry season flows and by increasing flood risks during the wet months. Regarding the combined effects, future climate may reduce the low flows, which can be aggravated with eucalyptus/pine scenario. In turn, peak flows and soil erosion can be offset. Future climate may increase soil erosion and nitrate concentration, which can be aggravated with agriculture scenario. Results moreover emphasize the need to consider both climate and land‐cover impacts in adaptation and land management options at the watershed scale. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
32.
Coastal lagoons and beach ridges as complementary sedimentary archives for the reconstruction of Holocene relative sea‐level changes 下载免费PDF全文
Lasse Sander Mikkel U. Hede Mikkel Fruergaard Lars Nielsen Lars B. Clemmensen Aart Kroon Peter N. Johannessen Lars H. Nielsen Morten Pejrup 《地学学报》2016,28(1):43-49
Coastal lagoons and beach ridges are genetically independent, though non‐continuous, sedimentary archives. We here combine the results from two recently published studies in order to produce an 8000‐year‐long record of Holocene relative sea‐level changes on the island of Samsø, southern Kattegat, Denmark. The reconstruction of the initial mid‐Holocene sea‐level rise is based on the sedimentary infill from topography‐confined coastal lagoons (Sander et al., Boreas, 2015b). Sea‐level index points over the mid‐ to late Holocene period of sea‐level stability and fall are retrieved from the internal structures of a wide beach‐ridge system (Hede et al., The Holocene, 2015). Data from sediment coring, georadar and absolute dating are thus combined in an inter‐disciplinary approach that is highly reproducible in micro‐tidal environments characterised by high sediment supply. We show here that the commonly proximate occurrence of coastal lagoons and beach ridges allows us to produce seamless time series of relative sea‐level changes from field sites in SW Scandinavia and in similar coastal environments. 相似文献
33.
Full-Scale Spectrum of Boundary-Layer Winds 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
34.
35.
Johan Spross Lars Olsson Håkan Stille 《Georisk: Assessment and Management of Risk for Engineered Systems and Geohazards》2018,12(3):183-189
The Swedish Geotechnical Society has adopted a general methodology for risk management in geotechnical engineering projects to reduce the costs related to negative outcomes of geotechnical risks. This technical note highlights the main features of the methodology and strives to inspire the international geotechnical community to apply sensible risk management methods. In the authors’ opinion, a successful geotechnical risk management needs to be structured, be tailored to the project, and permeate the engineers’ everyday work. Then, sufficient quality can be achieved in the project with larger probability. 相似文献
36.
Nathalie van Vliet Ole Mertz Andreas Heinimann Tobias Langanke Unai Pascual Birgit Schmook Cristina Adams Dietrich Schmidt-Vogt Peter Messerli Stephen Leisz Jean-Christophe Castella Lars Jørgensen Torben Birch-Thomsen Cornelia Hett Thilde Bech-Bruun Amy Ickowitz Kim Chi Vu Kono Yasuyuki Jefferson Fox Christine Padoch Alan D. Ziegler 《Global Environmental Change》2012,22(2):418-429
This meta-analysis of land-cover transformations of the past 10–15 years in tropical forest-agriculture frontiers world-wide shows that swidden agriculture decreases in landscapes with access to local, national and international markets that encourage cattle production and cash cropping, including biofuels. Conservation policies and practices also accelerate changes in swidden by restricting forest clearing and encouraging commercial agriculture. However, swidden remains important in many frontier areas where farmers have unequal or insecure access to investment and market opportunities, or where multi-functionality of land uses has been preserved as a strategy to adapt to current ecological, economic and political circumstances. In some areas swidden remains important simply because intensification is not a viable choice, for example when population densities and/or food market demands are low. The transformation of swidden landscapes into more intensive land uses has generally increased household incomes, but has also led to negative effects on the social and human capital of local communities to varying degrees. From an environmental perspective, the transition from swidden to other land uses often contributes to permanent deforestation, loss of biodiversity, increased weed pressure, declines in soil fertility, and accelerated soil erosion. Our prognosis is that, despite the global trend towards land use intensification, in many areas swidden will remain part of rural landscapes as the safety component of diversified systems, particularly in response to risks and uncertainties associated with more intensive land use systems. 相似文献
37.
The garnet-clinopyroxene Fe-Mg geothermometer — a reinterpretation of existing experimental data 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
Erling J. Krogh 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1988,99(1):44-48
Experimental data on the partitioning of Fe2+ and Mg between garnet and clinopyroxene (Råheim and Green 1974; Mori and Green 1978; Ellis and Green 1979) have been used to construct a new expression for the garnet-clinopyroxene geothermometer, including a curvilinear relationship between In Kd and X
Ca(ga): T(°C)=((-6173(XCa)2+6731 X
Ca+1879 +10 P(kb))/(lnKd+1.393))–273Application of this geothermometer to a suite of samples of eclogites and associated omphacite-garnet-bearing gneisses from the uppermost allochthon within the North Norwegian Caledonides shows that the calculated temperatures do not vary with rather great variations in the mg number of the garnet (0.17–0.54) and Na content of the clinopyroxene (0.11–0.44). Temperatures below 900° C calculated using the present equation are somewhat lower than those obtained by the method of Powell (1985), the difference being larger for lower temperatures and lower values of X
Ca. 相似文献
38.
Anders Elverhi Willy Fjeldskaar Anders Solheim Mona Nyland-Berg Lars Russwurm 《Quaternary Science Reviews》1993,12(10)
On the basis of geomorphological and sedimentological data, we believe that the entire Barents Sea was covered by grounded ice during the last glacial maximum. 14C dates on shells embedded in tills suggest marine conditions in the Barents Sea as late as 22 ka BP; and models of the deglaciation history based on uplift data from the northern Norwegian coast suggest that significant parts of the Barents Sea Ice Sheet calved off as early as 15 ka BP. The growth of the ice sheet is related to glacioeustatic fall and the exposure of shallow banks in the central Barents Sea, where ice caps may develop and expand to finally coalesce with the expanding ice masses from Svalbard and Fennoscandia.The outlined model for growth and decay of the Barents Sea Ice Sheet suggests a system which developed and existed under periods of maximum climatic deterioration, and where its growth and decay were strongly related to the fall and rise of sea level. 相似文献
39.
Lars Landner 《Marine pollution bulletin》1994,29(6-12):593-598
The changing concepts and challenges that the process industry has to face in relation to environmental protection are discussed. The original requirements on industry to reduce emissions of contaminants through the installation of filters and waste water treatment facilities or through process modification and introduction of ‘clean production’ strategies were mainly based on economic and technical considerations rather than on an effort to avoid environmental impacts. The introduction of concepts such as ‘assimilative capacity of the environment’ and ‘critical load’ provided useful instruments for setting effect-related emission standards, resulting in acceptable environmental protection. However, the actual requirement for ‘sustainability’ has forced industry to focus not only on controlling emissions of contaminants and pollutants, but to take a global environmental approach, including the choice of raw materials and energy sources, recycling and re-utilization of wastes and to take responsibility for the fate of their products, during their whole lifecycle. 相似文献
40.
R.D. Tucker T.E. Krogh R.J. Ross Jr. S.H. Williams 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1990,100(1-3)
High initial parent/daughter element ratios and a unique dual decay scheme make UPb zicron ages more precise and reliable than most isotopic ages, and thus inherently superior for time-scale calibration. Employing improved techniques to the conventional method of UPb dating, we have analyzed microgram-size (2–12 × 10−8 g) zircon fractions from biostratigraphically controlled volcanic ashes and dated key Paleozoic time-markers with a precision better than 1% (±2Ma). Four of the stratotype samples from Britain for which fission-track ages [1] were previously reported have yielded improved ages of:438.7 ± 2.0Ma for the lower Silurian zone of Coronograptus cyphus from Llandovery strata at Dob's Linn, southern Scotland;457.5 ± 2.2 Ma for a Middle Ordovician Caradoc (Longvillian) ash near Bala, North Wales, and;465.7 ± 2.1and464.6 ± 1.8 Ma for the Didymograptus artus Zone and the type Didymograptus Murchisoni Zone, respectively, of the Llanvirn Series at Arenig Fawr and Abereiddi Bay, Wales. Another sample from the zone of Dicellograptus anceps (P. pacificus Subzone) of the Ashgill Series at Dob's Linn has been dated at445.7 ± 2.4Ma, suggesting placement of the Ordovician-Silurian time boundary at approximately 441 Ma. A sixth bentonite from Caradocian age strata of North America (Spechts Ferry Shale, Decorah Formation, Missouri) is453.7 ± 1.8Ma old, indicating that the Rocklandian Stage of the Mohawkian Series is only slightly younger than the Longvillian Stage of the Caradoc Series in Britain. 相似文献