GIS-based assessment of landslide susceptibility on the base of the Weights-of-Evidence model   总被引：4，自引：2，他引：2  

Bettina Neuh?user  Bodo Damm  Birgit Terhorst 《Landslides》2012,9(4):511-528

The major scope of the study is the assessment of landslide susceptibility of Flysch areas including the Penninic Klippen in the Vienna Forest (Lower Austria) by means of Geographical Information System (GIS)-based modelling. A statistical/probabilistic method, referred to as Weights-of-Evidence (WofE), is applied in a GIS environment in order to derive quantitative spatial information on the predisposition to landslides. While previous research in this area concentrated on local geomorphological, pedological and slope stability analyses, the present study is carried out at a regional level. The results of the modelling emphasise the relevance of clay shale zones within the Flysch formations for the occurrence of landslides. Moreover, the distribution of mass movements is closely connected to the fault system and nappe boundaries. An increased frequency of landslides is observed in the proximity to drainage lines, which can change to torrential conditions after heavy rainfall. Furthermore, landslide susceptibility is enhanced on N-W facing slopes, which are exposed to the prevailing direction of wind and rainfall. Both of the latter geofactors indirectly show the major importance of the hydrological conditions, in particular, of precipitation and surface runoff, for the occurrence of mass movements in the study area. Model performance was checked with an independent validation set of landslides, which are not used in the model. An area of 15% of the susceptibility map, classified as highly susceptible, “predicted” 40% of the landslides.  相似文献   

On the determination of the closure parameters in higher-order closure models     

Marion Wichmann  Eberhard Schaller 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1986,37(4):323-341

In higher-order closure models at least the pressure redistribution and the dissipation of the turbulent kinetic energy and the temperature variance have to be parameterized. Due to this, the introduction of proportionality coefficients — the so-called closure parameters — is forced, which have to be determined before the model is used. We compare a group of models which use the return-to-isotropy hypothesis (Rotta, 1951) to describe the pressure redistribution and assume local isotropy for the smallest eddies in order to parameterize the dissipation. Special concern is given to the method of Mellor and Yamada (1982). Some of the closure parameters are re-derived on the basis of sensitivity studies requiring that both shear production and buoyancy behave in a realistic way if pressure redistribution or dissipation is changed by varying the closure parameters. This set of parameters is compared with those obtained by fitting to experimental data, by use of the Monin-Obukhov similarity theory and by considering ratios of variances, covariances and mean flow gradients, respectively. It is shown that the various sets of closure parameters are at least of the same order. The differences give some insight into the advantages and disadvantages of the various determination procedures. However, the general accordance of the different parameter sets supports the assumption of universal constants.  相似文献   

Ozone Production Efficiency in Savanna and Forested Areas during the EXPRESSO Experiment     

T. Marion  P. E. Perros  R. Losno  E. Steiner 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2001,38(1):3-30

NO, NO_x, NO_y and O₃ have been measuredduring the airborne EXPRESSO experiment, November 96,which took place near Bangui (Central Africa) at thebeginning of the dry season. This period correspondsto an intense burning activity. Chemical andphotochemical characteristics of the planetaryboundary layer, which corresponds most of the time tothe monsoon layer, and the Harmattan layer, which issituated above the latter, have been studied forsavanna as well as rain forest areas. These two layersare very different when considering the chemicalcomposition (especially for ozone and NO_z) andthe photochemical age.The relationship of photochemical ozone productionversus photochemical NO_x oxidation products hasbeen investigated. Results indicate an ozoneproduction efficiency (OPE) ranging from 6.3 to 14.8in the planetary boundary layer. Thus, this layer ischaracteristic of a photochemically young and activeair mass. In this layer, the ozone potentialproduction increases with the air mass photochemicalage. On the other hand, the Harmattan layer shows anOPE ranging from 4.6 to 7.4. These values arecharacteristic of photochemically well-aged airmasses. In this layer, the ozone potential productionseems to be exhausted with values around 4.0 (i.e., 4ozone molecules produced for each NO_x moleculeemitted).  相似文献   

Decadal variability on the northwest european shelf     

Jürgen Sündermann  Gerd Becker  Peter Damm  Dries van den Eynde  Alexander Frohse  Remi Laane  Wim van Leussen  Thomas Pohlmann  Wim van Raaphorst  Günther Radach  Helga Schultz  Marijke Visser 《Ocean Dynamics》1996,48(3-4):365-400

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Variability in fluxes of nutrients (N,P, Si) into the North Sea from the Atlantic Ocean and skagerrak caused by variability in water flow     

Remi W. P. M. Laane  Einar Svendsen  Günther Radach  Gerard Groeneveld  Peter Damm  Johannes PÄtsch  D. S. Danielssen  Lars FØyn  Martin Skogen  Marek Ostrowski  Kees J. M. Kramer 《Ocean Dynamics》1996,48(3-4):401-419

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Climate Warming and Water Management Adaptation for California   总被引：1，自引：3，他引：1  

Stacy K. Tanaka  Tingju Zhu  Jay R. Lund  Richard E. Howitt  Marion W. Jenkins  Manuel A. Pulido  Mélanie Tauber  Randall S. Ritzema  Inês C. Ferreira 《Climatic change》2006,76(3-4):361-387

The ability of California's water supply system to adapt to long-term climatic and demographic changes is examined. Two climate warming and a historical climate scenario are examined with population and land use estimates for the year 2100 using a statewide economic-engineering optimization model of water supply management. Methodologically, the results of this analysis indicate that for long-term climate change studies of complex systems, there is considerable value in including other major changes expected during a long-term time-frame (such as population changes), allowing the system to adapt to changes in conditions (a common feature of human societies), and representing the system in sufficient hydrologic and operational detail and breadth to allow significant adaptation. While the policy results of this study are preliminary, they point to a considerable engineering and economic ability of complex, diverse, and inter-tied systems to adapt to significant changes in climate and population. More specifically, California's water supply system appears physically capable of adapting to significant changes in climate and population, albeit at a significant cost. Such adaptation would entail large changes in the operation of California's large groundwater storage capacity, significant transfers of water among water users, and some adoption of new technologies.  相似文献   

Bulk-rock geochemistry and plagioclase zoning in lavas exposed along the northern flank of the Western Blanco Depression (Northeast Pacific): Insight into open-system magma chamber processes   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Carole Cordier  Martial Caroff  Thierry Juteau  Corinne Fleutelot  Christophe Hmond  Marion Drouin  Joseph Cotten  Claire Bollinger 《Lithos》2007,99(3-4):289-311

The present study is based on a set of lavas and crosscutting dikes collected by dives along detailed vertical transects on the northern flank of the western part of the Blanco Transform Fault, Northeast Pacific. The studied area consists of a small basin, the Western Blanco Depression (WBD), extending from the southern end of the Juan de Fuca ridge to a pseudofault trace 60 km eastward. The Northern Scarp of the WBD comprises a volcanic unit overlying a sheeted-dike complex. Major and trace element data, coupled with Sr–Nd isotope ratios, reveal a two-component mantle source, composed by an isotopically depleted matrix variably veined by more enriched material. One chemical group (NS2), indistinguishable from the other Northern Scarp samples on the basis of trace element data, has an unusually depleted isotopic composition typical of a nearly pure mantle end-member. Some cogenetic samples of the Northern Scarp have been used to constrain the differentiation modalities. Anorthite and MgO content profiles in plagioclase xenocrysts and phenocrysts reveal (i) the existence of H₂O-bearing evolved melts in the mushy zones and (ii) the occurrence of mixing process between these melts and anhydrous mafic liquids. The hydration is supported by other petrographic features such as high magmatic fO₂ values, calculated from Fe–Ti oxide pairs, and the presence of pyroxene inclusions in plagioclase phenocrysts. Mixing, consistent with the existence of Ni-rich ferrobasalts, is interpreted to be the consequence of the reservoir refilling by mafic liquids (Mg# = 70). These petrological and geochemical evidences are combined with the evolution of Mg# with depth to suggest a periodic open-system magma chamber evolution beneath the southern end of the Juan de Fuca ridge.  相似文献   

Cosmic-ray-induced fission of heavy nuclides: Possible influence on apparent U-fission track ages of extraterrestrial samples     

G. Damm  K. Thiel  W. Herr 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1978,40(3):439-444

The rates of cosmic-ray-induced fission of U, Th, Bi, Pb, and Au in mineral samples as a function of burial depth in the lunar surface layer are calculated using the available experimental particle flux and cross section data. Theoretical correction factors are given for apparent fission track ages of extraterrestrial samples of different burial depths which were exposed to cosmic rays for various time fractions of their solidification age. Samples having typical lunar heavy element contents can yield apparent fission track ages which are too high by a factor of up to 13 due to cosmic-ray-induced fission. The interference may be neglected, if the ratio of exposure age to solidification age remains 5 × 10⁻³. The calculations show, that the induced fission of Bi, Pb, and Au which are known to have high meteoritic abundances may dominate spontaneous ²³⁸U-fission in long-time exposed meteorites of low U and Th contents.  相似文献   

Geologic assessment of environmental impact in Lake Macatawa,Michigan     

John B. Anderson  Richard Wheeler  Charles P. Dunning  Sue Shepley  Marion Fowke 《Environmental Geology》1978,2(2):67-78

A historical record of the effects of human development upon Lake Macatawa is established using geologic criteria. Significant cultural events are recognized using the pollen record, particularly ambrosia/vesiculate pollen ratios, and occurrences of detrital and chemical contaminants within the more recent sedimentary column. Detrital contaminants include such things as cinder and ash from coal burning power plants and animal hair from early tanning operations. Trace metal contaminants, frequently associated with specific industrial events, are particularly useful in establishing a modern sedimentary chronology. The impact of human activity upon Lake Macatawa is measured using fossil diatoms. The advantage of this method of environmental impact assessment is that it provides a historical perspective in which changes within an environment are related to its natural conditions.  相似文献   

²¹⁰Pb in GEOSECS water profiles from the North Pacific     

Y. Nozaki  K.K. Turekian  K. Von Damm 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1980,49(2):393-400

Ten GEOSECS profiles from the North Pacific have been analyzed for²¹⁰Pb. GEOSECS²²⁶Ra data on the same profiles are used to calculate²¹⁰Pb excess or deficiency relative to secular equilibrium. The resultant profiles are divisible into a thermocline zone (<2000m) showing an expected decrease with depth, a mid-water zone of about 2000 m showing small constant deficiencies with a zone of increasing deficiency to a bottom zone of about 1000 m having the highest deficiency virtually invariant with depth. The exponentially decreasing portion in the thermocline yields a “diffusion” coefficient of 3 cm²/s. The mid-water deficiencies yield ? model residence times of 400 years northeast of Hawaii decreasing to 100 years at the most marginal stations.  相似文献