Impact of climate change and urban development on extreme flows in the Grote Nete watershed,Belgium     

Mohsen Tavakoli  Florimond De Smedt  Thomas Vansteenkiste  Patrick Willems 《Natural Hazards》2014,71(3):2127-2142

This study investigates how extreme flows in the Grote Nete watershed located in the Flanders region of Belgium will respond to climate change and urban growth using the hydrological model WetSpa. Three climate change scenarios (low, mean and high), three urban development scenarios (low, medium and high) and the nine combined climate–urban change scenarios are considered. The results indicate that extreme low flows would decrease noticeably by climate change, while they would be less sensitive to urban development. On the other hand, extreme peak flows are predicted to increase considerably due to both climate change and urban growth. It is concluded that coupling the effects of land use change with climate change may lead to severe increase in the frequency river floods in winter as well as the frequency of extreme river low flows in summer.  相似文献   

Prediction of Uplift Pile Displacement Based on Cone Penetration Tests (CPT)     

A. Saeedi Azizkandi  A. Kashkooli  M. H. Baziar 《Geotechnical and Geological Engineering》2014,32(4):1043-1052

Accurate prediction of uplift pile displacement is necessary to ensure appropriate structural and serviceability performance of civil projects. On the other hand, in recent years, machine-learning models have been applied to many geotechnical-engineering problems, with some degrees of success. The scope of this research includes three main stages: (1) the compilation of load–displacement data sets, obtained from the published literature, (2) analysis of machine learning models that predict the uplift pile displacement based on the cone penetration test data, and the relative importance of input parameters that have been evaluated using senility analysis by the artificial neural network, In addition, this paper also examines the different selection of input parameters and internal network parameters to obtain the optimum model, (3) A parametric study has also been performed for the input parameters to study the consistency of the suggested model. The statistical parameters and parametric study obtained in this research show the superiority of the current model. It is demonstrated that machine learning models such as ANN and GP models outperform the traditional methods, and provide accurate uplift pile displacement predictions.  相似文献   

Structural performance of automated multi-depth shuttle warehouses (AMSWs) under low-to-moderate seismic actions     

Kondratenko  Aleksei  Kanyilmaz  Alper  Castiglioni  Carlo Andrea  Morelli  Francesco  Kohrangi  Mohsen 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2022,20(2):1247-1295

Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering - Automated Multi-Depth Shuttle Warehouses (AMSWs) are compact storage systems that provide a large surface occupation and therefore maximum storage density....  相似文献   

On the assessment of ground water parameter uncertainty over an arid aquifer     

BaharehSadat Hamraz  Abolfazl Akbarpour  Mohsen Pourreza Bilondi  Sadegh Sadeghi Tabas 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2015,8(12):10759-10773

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Evaluation of spatial and spatiotemporal estimation methods in simulation of precipitation variability patterns   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Bardia Bayat  Banafsheh Zahraie  Farahnaz Taghavi  Mohsen Nasseri 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2013,113(3-4):429-444

Identification of spatial and spatiotemporal precipitation variations plays an important role in different hydrological applications such as missing data estimation. In this paper, the results of Bayesian maximum entropy (BME) and ordinary kriging (OK) are compared for modeling spatial and spatiotemporal variations of annual precipitation with and without incorporating elevation variations. The study area of this research is Namak Lake watershed located in the central part of Iran with an area of approximately 90,000 km². The BME and OK methods have been used to model the spatial and spatiotemporal variations of precipitation in this watershed, and their performances have been evaluated using cross-validation statistics. The results of the case study have shown the superiority of BME over OK in both spatial and spatiotemporal modes. The results have shown that BME estimates are less biased and more accurate than OK. The improvements in the BME estimates are mostly related to incorporating hard and soft data in the estimation process, which resulted in more detailed and reliable results. Estimation error variance for BME results is less than OK estimations in the study area in both spatial and spatiotemporal modes.  相似文献   

Hydrogeological aspects of groundwater drainage of the urban areas in Kuwait City     

Muhammad F. Al‐Rashed  Mohsen M. Sherif 《水文研究》2001,15(5):777-795

Residential areas in Kuwait City have witnessed a dramatic rise in subsurface water tables over the last three decades. This water rise phenomenon is attributed mainly to over irrigation practices of private gardens along with leakage from domestic and sewage networks. This paper presents a comprehensive study for urban drainage in two selected areas representing the two hydrogeological settings encountered in Kuwait City. In the first area, a vertical drainage scheme was applied successfully over an area of 1 km². The system has been under continuous operation and monitoring for more than 4 years without problems, providing a permanent solution for the water rise problem in this area. The hydrogeological system has approached steady state conditions and the water levels have dropped to about 3·5 m below the ground surface. In the second area a dual drainage scheme, composing of horizontal and vertical elements, is proposed. Horizontal elements are suggested in the areas where the deep groundwater contains hazardous gases that may pose environmental problems. The proposed drainage scheme in the second area has not yet been implemented. Field tests were conducted to assess the aquifer parameters in both areas and a numerical model has been developed to predict the long‐term response of the hydrogeological system in the two areas under consideration. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Magnetized Kelvin-Helmholtz instability in the presence of a radiation field     

Mohsen Shadmehri  Zahra Enayati  Mahdi Khajavi 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2012,341(2):369-374

The purpose of this study is to analyze the dynamical role of a radiation field on the growth rate of the unstable Kelvin-Helmholtz (KH) perturbations. As a first step toward this purpose, the analyze is done in a general way, irrespective of applying the model to a specific astronomical system. The transition zone between the two layers of the fluid is ignored. Then, we perform a linear analysis and by imposing suitable boundary conditions and considering a radiation field, we obtain appropriate dispersion relation. Unstable modes are studied by solving the dispersion equation numerically, and then growth rates of them are obtained. By analyzing our dispersion relation, we show that for a wide range of the input parameters, the radiation field has a destabilizing effect on KH instability. In eruptions of the galaxies or supermassive stars, the radiation field is dynamically important and because of the enhanced KH growth rates in the presence of the radiation; these eruptions can inject more momentum and energy into their environment and excite more turbulent motions.  相似文献   

Thin accretion disc with a corona in a central magnetic field     

Fazeleh Khajenabi  Mohsen Shadmehri  Sami Dib 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2008,314(4):251-260

We study the steady-state structure of an accretion disc with a corona surrounding a central, rotating, magnetized star. We assume that the magneto-rotational instability is the dominant mechanism of angular momentum transport inside the disc and is responsible for producing magnetic tubes above the disc. In our model, a fraction of the dissipated energy inside the disc is transported to the corona via these magnetic tubes. This energy exchange from the disc to the corona which depends on the disc physical properties is modified because of the magnetic interaction between the stellar magnetic field and the accretion disc. According to our fully analytical solutions for such a system, the existence of a corona not only increases the surface density but reduces the temperature of the accretion disc. Also, the presence of a corona enhances the ratio of gas pressure to the total pressure. Our solutions show that when the strength of the magnetic field of the central neutron star is large or the star is rotating fast enough, profiles of the physical variables of the disc significantly modify due to the existence of a corona.  相似文献   

Hot accretion with outflow and thermal conduction     

Mohsen Shadmehri 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2008,317(3-4):201-207

We present self-similar solutions for advection-dominated accretion flows with thermal conduction in the presence of outflows. Possible effects of outflows on the accretion flow are parametrized and a saturated form of thermal conduction, as is appropriate for the weakly-collisional regime of interest, is included in our model. While the cooling effect of outflows is noticeable, thermal conduction provides an extra heating source. In comparison to accretion flows without winds, we show that the disc rotates faster and becomes cooler because of the angular momentum and energy flux which are taking away by the winds. But thermal conduction opposes the effects of winds and not only decreases the rotational velocity, but increases the temperature. However, reduction of the surface density and the enhanced accretion velocity are amplified by both of the winds and the thermal conduction. We find that for stronger outflows, a higher level of saturated thermal conduction is needed to significantly modify the physical profiles of the accretion flow.  相似文献   

The role of Kelvin–Helmholtz instability in dusty and partially ionized outflows     

Mohsen Shadmehri  Turlough P. Downes 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2008,387(3):1318-1322

We investigate the linear theory of Kelvin–Helmholtz instability at the interface between a partially ionized dusty outflow and the ambient material analytically. We model the interaction as a multifluid system in a planar geometry. The unstable modes are independent from the charge polarity of the dust particles. Although our results show a stabilizing effect for charged dust particles, the growth time-scale of the growing modes gradually becomes independent of the mass or charge of the dust particles when the magnetic-field strength increases. We show that growth time-scale decreases with increasing the magnetic field. Also, as the mass of the dust particles increases, the growth time-scale of the unstable mode increases.  相似文献