Drivers of long-term precipitation and runoff variability in the southeastern USA     

Johanna?Engstr?mEmail authorView author&#;s OrcID profile  Peter?Waylen 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,131(3-4):1133-1146

The hydroclimatology of the southeastern USA (AL, GA, NC, SC, and TN) is analyzed from a holistic perspective, including multiple climate drivers. Monthly precipitation modeled by the PRISM group and runoff data (1952–2011) from 18 basins are analyzed using a single-field based principal component’s analysis. Results indicate that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation are the main atmospheric drivers of hydroclimate variability in the region, sometimes operating at several months’ lag. Their influence is the strongest in the fall through spring, which corresponds with the dry season in the southern parts of the study area thereby increasing pressure on already limited water resources. The Arctic Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, and Pacific-North American patterns vary on shorter-term bases, and also show a significant, but temporally more sporadic influence. Insight is also brought to the ongoing discussion, confirming the disassociation of the Arctic and North Atlantic Oscillation. Findings can be used in water resources forecasting, giving an indication of expected water volumes several months ahead.  相似文献   

Would constraining US fossil fuel production affect global CO<Subscript>2</Subscript> emissions? A case study of US leasing policy     

Peter Erickson  Michael Lazarus 《Climatic change》2018,150(1-2):29-42

Avoiding dangerous climate change will require a rapid transition away from fossil fuels. By some estimates, global consumption and production of fossil fuels—particularly coal and oil—will need to end almost entirely within 50 years. Given the scale of such a transition, nations may need to consider policies that constrain growth in fossil fuel supplies in addition to those that reduce demand. Here, we examine the emissions implications of a supply-constraining measure that was rapidly gaining momentum in the United States (US) under the Obama administration: ceasing the issuance of new leases for fossil fuel extraction on federal lands and waters. Such a measure could reduce global carbon dioxide emissions by an estimated 280 million tons annually by 2030, comparable to that of other major climate policies adopted or considered by the Obama administration. Our findings suggest that measures to constrain fossil fuel supply—though not currently viable in a US Trump administration—deserve further consideration at subnational levels in the US or by other countries now, and by future US administrations.  相似文献   

A distinction between summer rainy season and summer monsoon season over the Central Highlands of Vietnam     

Ngo-Thanh  Huong  Ngo-Duc  Thanh  Nguyen-Hong  Hanh  Baker  Peter  Phan-Van  Tan 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,132(3-4):1237-1246

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - The daily rainfall data at 13 stations over the Central Highlands (CH) Vietnam were collected for the period 1981–2014. Two different sets of criteria...  相似文献   

Effect of Surface Heterogeneity on the Boundary-Layer Height: A Case Study at a Semi-Arid Forest     

Peter Brugger  Tirtha Banerjee  Frederik De Roo  Konstantin Kröniger  Rafat Qubaja  Shani Rohatyn  Eyal Rotenberg  Feodor Tatarinov  Dan Yakir  Fulin Yang  Matthias Mauder 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2018,169(2):233-250

We investigate the effects of an isolated meso-\(\gamma \)-scale surface heterogeneity for roughness and albedo on the atmospheric boundary-layer (ABL) height, with a case study at a semi-arid forest surrounded by sparse shrubland (forest area: \(28~\text{ km }^2\), forest length in the main wind direction: 7 km). Doppler lidar and ceilometer measurements at this semi-arid forest show an increase in the ABL height over the forest compared with the shrubland on four out of eight days. The differences in the ABL height between shrubland and forest are explained for all days with a model that assumes a linear growth of the internal boundary layer of the forest through the convective ABL upwind of the forest followed by a square-root growth into the stable free atmosphere. For the environmental conditions that existed during our measurements, the increase in ABL height due to large sensible heat fluxes from the forest (\(600~\text {W~m}^{-2}\) in summer) is subdued by stable stratification in the free atmosphere above the ABL, or reduced by high wind speeds in the mixed layer.  相似文献   

Preface to Special Issue on Climate Science for Service Partnership China     

Stephen BELCHER  Peter STOTT  Lianchun SONG  Qingchen CHAO  Riyu LU  Tianjun ZHOU 《大气科学进展》2018,35(8):897-898

正This special issue of Advances in Atmospheric Sciences provides a selection of research highlights from the Climate Science for Service Partnership China(CSSP China).This pioneering partnership between China and UK based researchers has broken new ground in the development of climate science for services.By accelerating and enhancing collaborative science,CSSP China has built a strong foundation for services to support climate and weather resilient economic development  相似文献   

Swimming upstream: addressing fossil fuel supply under the UNFCCC     

Georgia Piggot  Peter Erickson  Harro van Asselt  Michael Lazarus 《Climate Policy》2018,18(9):1189-1202

Reducing fossil fuel supply is necessary to meet the Paris Agreement goal to keep warming ‘well below 2°C’, yet the Agreement is silent on the topic of fossil fuels. This article outlines reasons why it is important that Parties to the Agreement find ways to more explicitly address the phasing out of fossil fuel production under the UNFCCC. It describes how countries aiming to keep fossil fuel supply in line with Paris goals could articulate and report their actions within the current architecture of the Agreement. It also outlines specific mechanisms of the Paris Agreement through which issues related to the curtailment of fossil fuel supply can be addressed. Mapping out a transition away from fossil fuels – and facilitating this transition under the auspices of the UNFCCC process – can enhance the ambition and effectiveness of national and international climate mitigation efforts.

Key policy insights

• The international commitment to limit global average temperature increases to ‘well below 2°C’ provides a strong rationale for Parties to the Paris Agreement and the UNFCCC to pursue a phase-down in fossil fuel production, not just consumption.

• Several countries have already made commitments to address fossil fuel supply, by agreeing to phase down coal or oil exploration and production.

• Integrating these commitments into the UNFCCC process would link them to global climate goals, and ensure they form part of a broader global effort to transition away from fossil fuels.

• The Paris Agreement provides a number of new opportunities for Parties to address fossil fuel production.

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Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Peter Läderach  Julian Ramirez–Villegas  Carlos Navarro-Racines  Carlos Zelaya  Armando Martinez–Valle  Andy Jarvis 《Climatic change》2017,140(1):47-61

Savannas constitute the most fire-prone vegetation type on earth and are a significant source of greenhouse gas emissions. Most savanna fires are lit by people for a variety of livelihood applications. ‘Savanna burning’ is an accountable activity under the Kyoto Protocol, but only Australia, as a developed economy, accounts for emissions from this source in its national accounts. Over the past decade considerable effort has been given to developing savanna burning projects in northern Australia, combining customary indigenous (Aboriginal) approaches to landscape-scale fire management with development of scientifically robust emissions accounting methodologies. Formal acceptance by the Australian Government of that methodology, and its inclusion in Australia’s developing emissions trading scheme, paves the way for Aboriginal people to commercially benefit from savanna burning projects. The paper first describes this Australian experience, and then explores options for implementing community-based savanna burning emissions reduction projects in other continental savanna settings, specifically in Namibia and Venezuela. These latter examples illustrate that savanna fire management approaches potentially have broader application for contributing to livelihood opportunities in other fire-prone savanna regions.  相似文献   

A healthier US diet could reduce greenhouse gas emissions from both the food and health care systems     

Elinor Hallström  Quentin Gee  Peter Scarborough  David A. Cleveland 《Climatic change》2017,142(1-2):199-212

The standard US diet contributes to greenhouse gas emissions (GHGE) from both the food system, and from the health system through its contribution to non-communicable diseases. To estimate the potential for diet change to reduce GHGE and improve public health, we analyzed the effect of adopting healthier model diets in the USA on the risk of disease, health care costs, and GHGE. We found that adoption of healthier diets reduced the relative risk of coronary heart disease, colorectal cancer, and type 2 diabetes by 20–45%, US health care costs by US$B 77–93 per year, and direct GHGE by 222–826 kg CO₂e capita^?1 year^?1 (69–84 kg from the health care system, 153–742 kg from the food system). Emission reductions were equivalent to 6–23% of the US Climate Action Plan’s target of a 17% reduction in 2005 GHGE by 2020, and 24–134% of California’s target of 1990 GHGE levels by 2020. However, there is potential for investment of health care savings to result in rebound up to and greater than 100%, which would increase net GHGE. Given the urgency of improving public health and of mitigating GHGE over the short term, the potential contribution of diet change, and the options for reducing rebound, deserve more research in support of policy.  相似文献   

Properties of hot stars in the Wolf--Rayet galaxy NGC 5253 from ISO-SWS spectroscopy     

Paul A. Crowther  S. C. Beck  Allan J. Willis  Peter S. Conti  Patrick W. Morris  Ralph S. Sutherland 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1999,304(3):654-668

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A simultaneous maximum likelihood approach for galaxy--galaxy lensing and cluster lens reconstruction     

Bernhard Geiger  Peter Schneider 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1999,302(1):118-130

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