Impact of Climate Change and Variability on Irrigation Requirements: A Global Perspective   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：7  

Petra Döll 《Climatic change》2002,54(3):269-293

Anthropogenic climate change does not only affect water resources but also water demand. Future water and food security will depend, among other factors, on the impact of climate change on water demand for irrigation. Using a recently developed global irrigation model, with a spatial resolution of 0.5° by 0.5°, we present the first global analysis of the impact of climate change and climate variability on irrigation water requirements. We compute how long-term average irrigation requirements might change under the climatic conditions of the 2020s and the 2070s, as provided by two climate models, and relate these changes to the variations in irrigation requirements caused by long-term and interannual climate variability in the 20th century. Two-thirds of the global area equipped for irrigation in 1995 will possibly suffer from increased water requirements, and on up to half of the total area (depending on the measure of variability), the negative impact of climate change is more significant than that of climate variability.  相似文献   

Beeinflusst die Strukturgüte von Fließgewässern das Vorkommen von Makrophyten?     

Barbara Passauer  Petra Meilinger  Arnulf Melzer  Susanne Schneider 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2002,30(4):197-206

Does the Structural Quality of Running Waters Affect the Occurrence of Macrophytes? The morphological structure plays, besides e.g. nutrient concentration, an important role for the integrated assessment of running waters. This paper focuses on the relationship between structural quality and macrophyte vegetation. During summer 2000 structural quality according to LAWA, macrophyte vegetation, and selected habitat parameters were recorded in 135 mapping sections in running waters in Southern Germany. In streams of high structural diversity, generally higher species richness is expected than in rivers of low diversity of habitats. However, no significant differences in macrophyte species richness were detected between different classes of structural quality. In contrast, bryophytes alone showed a significant decrease in species richness with degradation of structural quality. The number of species of other macrophytes increased, respectively. The relationship between occurrence of macrophytes, structural quality, and other environmental variables was analysed using canonical correspondence analysis. Rivers of high structural quality mostly showed high flowing velocities and were heavily shaded. These environmental conditions, which characterize river types of mountainous regions, were predominantly tolerated by bryophytes. Vascular plants and charophytes generally prefer slowly flowing and unshaded habitats. River types exhibiting these environmental conditions often are more influenced by human activities and are more structurally degraded, respectively. With respect to these fundamental differences between river types, species richness of macrophytes and class of structural quality are not correlated when all types of rivers are taken into account. Type‐specific ecomorphological parameters, which conceal the differences in species richness caused by structural quality, are discussed. Structural degraded rivers can provide good environmental conditions for vascular plants and charophytes. To predict macrophyte species richness from structural quality, a differentiation of river types is essential.  相似文献   

An equation of state for roedderites, (K,Na)2Mg5[Si12O30], based on Knudsen cell mass spectrometry and synthesis of eifelite-roedderite crystalline solutions     

Petra Bruckmann  Niranjan D. Chatterjee  Werner Rammensee  Klaus Bielefeld 《Physics and Chemistry of Minerals》1993,20(5):362-368

Knudsen cell mass spectrometry has been applied to obtain activity (a _i) vs composition (X _i) data for 18 synthetic roedderites. (K, Na)₂Mg₅Si₁₂O₃₀, at temperatures between 900° and 1100° C. The samples were synthesized at 800° C and 1 kbar P _{H 2}O and characterized by X-ray powder diffractometry (XRD) and electron probe microanalysis (EPMA) prior to mass spectrometric activity measurement. The experimental a _i-X _i data have been smoothed, assuming for now the simplest possible model of a two-site K-Na mixing for this binary crystalline solution. Using the Margules formalism, and expressing the results in terms of one atom of K-Na mixing, the tentative equation of state is: W _G [J/mol] =-8704 -0.0067 · P, with P given in bar. The temperature-dependence of W _G could not be resolved due to its large uncertainty on the order of 2.8 kJ/mol. A more rigorous thermodynamic model for roedderites will have to be deferred until information on temperature-dependent K-Na disordering becomes available. Besides roedderites, single-phase eifelite-roedderite crystalline solutions have also been snythesized for the first time. They show a symmetric positive excess volume of mixing, with W _V [J/bar·mol]=0.1064±0.0021.  相似文献   

Estimating the Impact of Global Change on Flood and Drought Risks in Europe: A Continental, Integrated Analysis   总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11  

Bernhard Lehner  Petra Döll  Joseph Alcamo  Thomas Henrichs  Frank Kaspar 《Climatic change》2006,75(3):273-299

Most studies on the impact of climate change on regional water resources focus on long-term average flows or mean water availability, and they rarely take the effects of altered human water use into account. When analyzing extreme events such as floods and droughts, the assessments are typically confined to smaller areas and case studies. At the same time it is acknowledged that climate change may severely alter the risk of hydrological extremes over large regional scales, and that human water use will put additional pressure on future water resources. In an attempt to bridge these various aspects, this paper presents a first-time continental, integrated analysis of possible impacts of global change (here defined as climate and water use change) on future flood and drought frequencies for the selected study area of Europe. The global integrated water model WaterGAP is evaluated regarding its capability to simulate high and low-flow regimes and is then applied to calculate relative changes in flood and drought frequencies. The results indicate large ‘critical regions’ for which significant changes in flood or drought risks are expected under the proposed global change scenarios. The regions most prone to a rise in flood frequencies are northern to northeastern Europe, while southern and southeastern Europe show significant increases in drought frequencies. In the critical regions, events with an intensity of today's 100-year floods and droughts may recur every 10–50 years by the 2070s. Though interim and preliminary, and despite the inherent uncertainties in the presented approach, the results underpin the importance of developing mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change impacts on a continental scale.  相似文献   

Towards an Open Information Infrastructure for Disaster Research and Management: Data Management and Information Systems Inside DFNK     

Petra Köhler  Joachim Wächter 《Natural Hazards》2006,38(1-2):141-157

The development of new and better methods for preventing and managing natural disasters requires a variety of different data sets, covering the range from referenced data, e.g. topographic data and digital elevation models, to various kinds of thematic data, e.g. data about soil, vegetation and land usage as well as monitoring data like precipitation and water levels. So a well-organised data and information management and the implementation of a modern processing environment to acquire, store, analyse and visualise data were decisive for the success of the German Research Network Natural Disasters (DFNK). An information infrastructure was established to support data management and information flows inside the network. A web-based portal offers general information to the public and internal documents, data and software tools to the project community. A catalog service allows the overview of existing but distributed data scombined with flexible data retrieval. Based on internet technology and global standards these concepts contribute to a superior information infrastructure and finally substantiate to the development of Spatial Data Infrastructures (SDI). SDIs aim is to improve availability and usability of spatial data for the manifold application areas. Disaster management is one field depending on a very high level on high-quality data equipment, and on a working SDI.  相似文献   

Determination of radionuclides in water at uranium mining remediation – a comparison of analytical methods     

Jan Laubrich  Petra Lotze  Gudrun Winkler 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2006,34(6):618-622

The corporate purpose of Wismut GmbH is to decommission its former mining holdings and to rehabilitate the landscape and the environment. Sample taking and analysing the value of contaminants are necessary steps for the remediation of waste rock piles, the recycling of contaminated areas, controlled flooding of uranium mines. Main emphasis lies on the determination of heavy metals and radionuclides of natural decay chains of U‐238 and U‐235. Yearly about 60 000…70 000 determinations of radionuclides in waters were done. Facing this high output of determinations it is a permanent task for laboratory and quality management to ask: Are the results of different methods comparable to each other? Is there a preferred analytical technology? Which matrix influences exist? and What about the analytical costs? Answers to these important questions are given in this report. Summarizing our investigations done in the last few years it is possible to say that – by using different analytical methods the results of radionuclides in water samples (surface or groundwater) are comparable, – a not negligible influence of Ra‐223, Ra‐224 and Ra‐228 may exist by using the DIN 38404 C18 method to determine Ra‐226, – a preferred method cannot be defined, – the choice of the analytical method should include analytical questions (the sample matrix, the occurrence of other disturbing radionuclides, the necessary detection limit) and economical questions (costs, other parameters to be determined).  相似文献   

Optical and crystal-chemical changes in aquamarines and yellow beryls from Thanh Hoa province,Vietnam induced by heat treatment   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Jana Fridrichová  Peter Bačík  Petra Rusinová  Peter Antal  Radek Škoda  Valéria Bizovská  Marcel Miglierini 《Physics and Chemistry of Minerals》2015,42(4):287-302

  相似文献   

Nebojsa Duric,Patrick C. Crane (eds.): The Interpretation of Modern Synthesis Observations of Spiral Galaxies. Astronomical Society of the Pacific Conference Series. Volume 18. San Francisco 1991. XI11 + 275 Seiten. Preis: $ 55,-ISBN 0-937707-37-6     

Petra Bhm 《Astronomische Nachrichten》1993,314(4):306-306

  相似文献   

A modern analogue of the Pleistocene steppe‐tundra ecosystem in southern Siberia     

Milan Chytrý  Michal Horsk  Ji&#x;í Danihelka  Nikolai Ermakov  Dmitry A. German  Michal Hjek  Petra Hjkov  Martin Ko í  Svatava Kube&#x;ov  Pavel Lustyk  Jeffrey C. Nekola  Vra Pavelkov &#x;i nkov  Zdenka Preislerov  Philipp Resl  Milan Valachovi 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2019,48(1):36-56

Steppe‐tundra is considered to have been a dominant ecosystem across northern Eurasia during the Last Glacial Maximum. As the fossil record is insufficient for understanding the ecology of this vanished ecosystem, modern analogues have been sought, especially in Beringia. However, Beringian ecosystems are probably not the best analogues for more southern variants of the full‐glacial steppe‐tundra because they lack many plant and animal species of temperate steppes found in the full‐glacial fossil record from various areas of Europe and Siberia. We present new data on flora, land snails and mammals and characterize the ecology of a close modern analogue of the full‐glacial steppe‐tundra ecosystem in the southeastern Russian Altai Mountains, southern Siberia. The Altaian steppe‐tundra is a landscape mosaic of different habitat types including steppe, mesic and wet grasslands, shrubby tundra, riparian scrub, and patches of open woodland at moister sites. Habitat distribution, species diversity, primary productivity and nutrient content in plant biomass reflect precipitation patterns across a broader area and the topography‐dependent distribution of soil moisture across smaller landscape sections. Plant and snail species considered as glacial relicts occur in most habitats of the Altaian steppe‐tundra, but snails avoid the driest types of steppe. A diverse community of mammals, including many species typical of the full‐glacial ecosystems, also occurs there. Insights from the Altaian steppe‐tundra suggest that the full‐glacial steppe‐tundra was a heterogeneous mosaic of different habitats depending on landscape‐scale moisture gradients. Primary productivity of this habitat mosaic combined with shallow snow cover that facilitated winter grazing was sufficient to sustain rich communities of large herbivores.  相似文献   

Alpine climate during the Holocene: a comparison between records of glaciers,lake sediments and solar activity     

Samuel U. Nussbaumer  Friedhelm Steinhilber  Mathias Trachsel  Petra Breitenmoser  Jürg Beer  Alex Blass  Martin Grosjean  Albert Hafner  Hanspeter Holzhauser  Heinz Wanner  Heinz J. Zumbühl 《第四纪科学杂志》2011,26(7):703-713

The European Alps are very sensitive and vulnerable to climate change. Recent improvements in Alpine glacier length records and climate reconstructions from annually laminated sediments of Alpine Lake Silvaplana give the opportunity to investigate the relationship between these two data sets of Alpine climate. Two different time frames are considered: the last 500–1000 years as well as the last 7400 years. First, we found good agreement between the two different climate archives during the past millennium: mass accumulation rates and biogenic silica concentration are largely in phase with the glacier length changes of Mer de Glace and Unterer Grindelwaldgletscher, and with the records of glacier length of Grosser Aletschgletscher and Gornergletscher. Secondly, the records are compared with temporally highly resolved data of solar activity. The Sun has had a major impact on the Alpine climate variations in the long term, i.e. several centuries to millennia. Solar activity varies with the Hallstatt periodicity of about 2000 years. Hallstatt minima are identified around 500, 2500 and 5000 a. Around these times grand solar minima (such as the Maunder Minimum) occurred in clusters coinciding with colder Alpine climate expressed by glacier advances. During the Hallstatt maxima around 0, 2000 and 4500 a, the Alpine glaciers generally retreated, indicating a warmer climate. This is supported by archaeological findings at Schnidejoch, a transalpine pass in Switzerland that was only accessible when glaciers had retreated. On shorter timescales, however, the influence of the Sun cannot be as easily detected in Alpine climate change, indicating that in addition to solar forcing, volcanic influence and internal climate variations have played an important role. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献