2013年广西平果震群尾波衰减特征研究     

史水平  周斌  黄树生  陆丽娟  蒙陆斌  张帆 《中国地震》2015,31(4):710-720

2013年6~7月在广西平果县中铝广西分公司3号排泥库附近出现密集小震群活动。本文搜集本次震群中146次可用于计算尾波的ML1.0地震的近距离台站数字地震波形,利用波形高信噪比的尾波时间域信号,采用计算尾波品质因子Q_C(f)值的Sato模型,通过滤波及去除环境噪声,计算了地震波传播路径上的尾波Q_C(f)值;拟合Q_C(f)值与频率f之间的关系,分析了排泥库区域地震波衰减的时空特征。根据信噪比及计算要求,从近场7个台站的记录中挑选出273条三分向记录,计算尾波衰减参数,得到尾波Q_C(f)与频率f的关系为:Q(f)=(69.07±40.09)f~(0.90±0.23)。结果表明,本区域为低衰减区域,库区Q值相对较高,地震波衰减较慢,且Q值对频率的依赖性不强,研究区介质非均匀性程度低,介质较为稳定。  相似文献   

Performance of detrending models of crop yield risk assessment: evaluation on real and hypothetical yield data   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Tao Ye  Jianliang Nie  Jun Wang  Peijun Shi  Zhu Wang 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2015,29(1):109-117

Detrending is a widely used technique for obtaining stationary time series data in residual analysis and risk assessment. The technique is frequently applied in crop yield risk assessment and insurance ratings. Although several trend models have been proposed in the literature, whether these models achieve consistent detrending results and successfully extract the true yield trends is rarely discussed. In the present article, crop insurance pricing is evaluated by different trend models using real and historical yield data, and hypothetical yield data generated by Monte Carlo simulations. Applied to real historical data, the linear, loglinear, autoregressive integrated moving average trend models produce different risk assessment results. The differences among the model outputs are statistically significant. The largest deviation in the county crop assessment reaches 6–8 %, substantially larger than the present countrywide gross premium rate of 5–7 %. In performance tests on simulated yield trends, popular detrending methods based on smoothing techniques proved overall superior to linear, loglinear, and integrated autoregression models. The best performances were yielded by the moving average and robust locally weighted regression models.  相似文献   

景泰M_S4.7地震前的定点形变异常     

史小平  王小娟  刘洪斌 《震灾防御技术》2015,10(4):941-952

2014年11月15日,在甘肃省白银市景泰县发生MS4.7地震,震源深度10km。在震中附近200km以内,甘肃省地震局共安装架设有14台各类形变观测仪器。本文通过对这些形变观测仪产出的分钟值观测资料做小波分析发现,在地震前1个月内共有11台(套)形变观测仪记录到了异常变化。其中:SSY、TJ、DSQ、SSQ型观测仪记录到异常的同步性非常好;CZB型观测仪记录到的异常比较乱,没有固定的规律。通过对这些异常变化的总结能够为地震预测提供一定的判断依据。  相似文献   

Effect of Natural Zeolite Application on Nitrite Concentrations in Rape (Brassica campestris L.) in Pb‐Contaminated Soils in Peri‐Urban Areas          下载免费PDF全文

Wei‐yu Shi  Hua Li  Sheng Du  Yiping Chen  Kaibo Wang 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2015,43(3):408-413

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Wave Propagation Modeling and Amplitude-Variation-with-Offset Response in a Fractured Coalbed     

Qing-Xi Lin  Su-Ping Peng  Wen-Feng Du  Su-Zhen Shi  Jing-Wei Gou 《Acta Geophysica》2015,63(3):815-842

Coalbed methane can be detected employing the amplitudevariation-with-offset technique. However, there are two issues in applying this technique to a coalbed: strong azimuthal anisotropy resulting from high-density fractures, and the seismic response being composed of many or several individual reflections within the coalbed. To overcome these difficulties, we present an exact solution for reflections in extensive dilatancy anisotropy media. First, we build a three-layer model and simulate the wave propagation in this model. Then we derive an exact P- and converted S-wave reflection coefficient equation based on boundary conditions. Finally, substituting given model parameters into the exact equation, we obtain the variation in the reflection coefficient with incidence angle. The results show that the fracture factors, wavelet frequency and thickness of the coalbed have different effects on the reflection coefficient. Furthermore, we create a synthetic seismogram by forward calculation, and the result fits well with results of the exact equation.  相似文献   

三层堤基中细砂层厚度对管涌影响的试验研究     

王霜  陈建生  周鹏 《岩土力学》2015,36(10):2847-2854

对由弱透水黏土层、细砂层和强透水砂砾层组成的三层堤基进行了管涌发展的砂槽模型试验,为了便于观察分析,细砂层由各种颜色的细彩砂依次排列在砂砾石层上表面,通过改变彩砂层的厚度分析研究了不同细砂层厚度对管涌发生、发展机制及过程的影响。试验结果表明,三层堤基细砂层厚度的不同使管涌发生的临界水力梯度、涌砂量和通道发展的速度不同,与双层堤基有很大区别。临界水力梯度是由多种元素决定的,包括破坏土体的性质及其整体性等;细砂层的存在使流量在渗透变形初期对涌砂不敏感;在试验中发生的相同水位下多次间歇性涌砂,其原因一方面是颗粒在运动过程中发生堵塞,另一方面是通道边界的土体失去支撑发生应力释放,抵抗力随着时间逐渐减小。  相似文献   

油藏数值模拟中地质模型的建模流程与方法     

张剑波  李谢清  石阳  朱建勃 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2015,45(3):860-868

围绕油藏数值模拟过程中三维地质模型的建模技术进行了分析与探讨,详细介绍了基于角点网格模型的建模方法,给出了相应的实现步骤。其主要流程是:首先根据断层数据构造断层模型,在断层模型的基础上构建骨架模型;然后在骨架模型约束下采用地层恢复技术实现含断层的地层模型;最后基于结构模型插值物性参数完成属性模型。以塔河油田缝洞型油藏为例,对建模流程和技术的可行性进行验证,结果表明,其建模结果与专业地质建模软件Petrel相符。  相似文献   

Spatiotemporal variation and driving forces of reference evapotranspiration in Jing River Basin,northwest China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

Lihong Xu  Zhongjie Shi  Shulan Zhang  Xinzheng Chu  Pengtao Yu  Wei Xiong  Haijun Zuo  Yunni Wang 《水文研究》2015,29(23):4846-4862

Evapotranspiration is an important component of the hydrological cycle, which integrates atmospheric demands and surface conditions. Research on spatial and temporal variations of reference evapotranspiration (ET_o) enables understanding of climate change and its effects on hydrological processes and water resources. In this study, ET_o was estimated by the FAO‐56 Penman–Monteith method in the Jing River Basin in China, based on daily data from 37 meteorological stations from 1960 to 2005. ET_o trends were detected by the Mann–Kendall test in annual, seasonal, and monthly timescales. Sensitivity coefficients were used to examine the contribution of important meteorological variables to ET_o. The influence of agricultural activities, especially irrigation on ET_o was also analyzed. We found that ET_o showed a decreasing trend in most of the basin in all seasons, except for autumn, which showed an increasing trend. Mean maximum temperature was generally the most sensitive parameter for ET_o, followed by relative humidity, solar radiation, mean minimum temperature, and wind speed. Wind speed was the most dominant factor for the declining trend in ET_o. The more significant decrease in ET_o for agricultural and irrigation stations was mainly because of the more significant decrease in wind speed and sunshine hours, a mitigation in climate warming, and more significant increase in relative humidity compared with natural stations and non‐irrigation stations. Changes in ET_o and the sensitivity coefficient of meteorological variables in relation to ET_o were also affected by topography. Better understanding of ET_o response to climate change will enable efficient use of agricultural production and water resources, which could improve the ecological environment in Jing River Basin. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

陕北黄土丘陵沟壑区农户气候变化的适应行为及影响因素分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

王露  史兴民  孙立凡 《气候变化研究进展》2017,13(1):61-68

从农户个体微观视角,研究农业的活动主体--农户的气候变化适应行为。选择陕北黄土丘陵沟壑区,采用问卷调查和半结构式访谈相结合的方法研究农户气候变化感知与适应行为,运用二元逻辑回归模型分析影响该地区农户适应行为的因素。结果表明：农户对气候变化趋势感知比较一致,认为近5 年夏季和冬季气温升高,降水减少,但与实际观测存在一定偏差。农户应对气候变化采取适应行为的比重并不高,只有57.8% 的农户表示采取了相应的措施来应对气候变化。农户适应行为受气候变化感知的影响,此外,家庭社会经济属性对农户采取适应行为的概率影响显著,而性别、年龄、文化程度等人口属性因素与农户采取适应行为的概率关系不大。  相似文献   

Early Cretaceous porphyry copper mineralization in Northeast China: the Changfagou example     

Yong Zhang  Shu–Wen Xing  Chao Li  Shi–Fu Liang  Zheng–Tao Yu  Xiao–Hui Du 《International Geology Review》2017,59(2):185-203

The Changfagou Cu deposit is a newly discovered porphyry deposit located in the southern Jilin Province of Northeastern China, on the northeastern margin of the North China Craton. To better understand the formation of the Cu deposit, we report the zircon U–Pb and molybdenite Re–Os dating, and Sr-, Nd-, and Hf- isotopic data of the granite porphyry. LA-ICP-MS dating of zircon grains from two mineral zones in the granite porphyry yield ages of 115.7 ± 0.8 and 115.3 ± 0.6 Ma, which is interpreted as the emplacement age of the granite porphyry. The molybdenite Re–Os model ages of 112.5 to 113.8 Ma, an isochron age of 113.3 ± 1.3 Ma, and a weighted mean model age of 113.0 ± 0.7 Ma, which represents the age of the Cu mineralization quite well. The Changfagou granite porphyry samples lack amphibole and muscovite, and are compositionally characterized by high SiO₂, high Na₂O+K₂O, and low P₂O₅, enriched in some Rb, Th, U, and Pb, and depleted in Nb, Ta, Ti, P, and Eu. Mineralogical and geochemical features suggest that the Changfagou granite porphyry samples are slightly peraluminous and are of highly fractionated I-type granitoids. The granitic rocks also have relatively high (⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr)_i (0.71199 to 0. 71422), and both low εNd(t) (?14.56 to ?13.19) and εHf(t) values (?14.916 to ?8.644), which suggest that Changfagou granite porphyry are derived from mixed sources of crustal and mantle, and diagenesis and mineralization were possibly related to the switch in subduction direction of the Palaeo-Pacific Plate in the late phase of Early Cretaceous.  相似文献