Weibull分布的信息熵在地震预报中的应用研究          下载免费PDF全文

范琦 《地震工程学报》2003,25(2):125-130

根据统计分布与信息熵理论，定义了震级信息熵Hm和地震间隔时间信息熵Ht，并推导了它们的计算公式。通过时空扫描和计算，发现强震前1～3年Hm和Ht出现低值异常，与地震有较好的对应关系，可以作为一组中期或中短期预测指标。  相似文献   

加卸载响应比(LURR)理论的实验研究   总被引：13，自引：1，他引：13  

余怀忠  尹祥础  夏蒙棼  梁乃刚  李敏  许昭永  彭克银  Wu Zhishen  Qi Li 《中国地震》2003,19(1):58-66

利用大尺度岩石试件破坏声发射实验，对加卸载响应比(Load/Unload Response Ratio)理论进行了实验研究。实验采用的加载条件力求能够模拟地下岩石的复杂受力过程。在加载过程中，岩石试件内部出现的损伤用声发射技术进行了记录。实验数据经过分析之后所得的结论与加卸载响应比理论预测的结果相符合。把加卸载响应比值Y的变化情况与声发射事件定位的过程相对比，也可以进一步看出岩石材料内部的损伤发展过程与加卸载响应比Y值的变化具有一致性。而高Y值的异常情况出现，又是在材料发生最终破坏之前，所以，可以用加卸载响应比理论定量地分析岩石试件损伤演化情况，从而对岩石材料的破坏及地震做出预测。实验结果再一次验证了加卸载响应比理论。  相似文献   

GPS技术应用于中国地壳运动研究的方法及初步结果   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10  

江在森  马宗晋  牛安福  张晓亮  王双绪  陈兵 《地学前缘》2003,10(1):71-79

文中主要就中国利用GPS等空间测地资料研究地壳运动、构造变形 ,以及用于地震预测探索方面 ,从方法技术和近年来取得的一些初步结果进行了概要性论述。介绍了利用GPS技术资料研究地壳水平运动速度场、水平应变场、建立地壳运动模型等方法研究的进展。由GPS观测给出的地壳水平运动初步结果表明 :中国大陆现时水平运动在全球参考系中为整体向东 ,并兼有顺时针扭转运动。西部地区构造形变强烈 ,整个青藏块体及其边界带 ,以及新疆西部是应变值最高的区域 ,水平应变场主压应变优势分布方向为近NE向 ,空间差异显著 ,反映了印度板块碰撞推挤和青藏块体强烈构造运动的影响。中国大陆东部水平运动的差异性不显著。强震分布于地壳运动的大小、方向显著变化的区域 ,大地震通常发生在水平剪应变高值区或其边缘 ,尤其是与区域主干断裂的构造活动背景相一致的剪应变率高值区。  相似文献   

蛇绿岩及蛇绿岩中浅色岩的SHRIMP U-Pb测年   总被引：101，自引：2，他引：101  

简平  刘敦一  张旗  张福勤  石玉若  施光海  张履桥  陶华 《地学前缘》2003,10(4):439-456

文中简要评述了蛇绿岩的层状辉长岩,斜长岩和斜长花岗岩,以橄榄岩为主岩的花岗岩和蛇绿岩中的埃达克岩的锆石SHRIMP U-Pb年龄的地质意义。层状辉长岩(或堆晶层状辉长岩)通常起源于洋脊下的岩浆房,因而它的形成年龄代表洋壳形成的时代。斜长岩与层状辉长岩的时代相近或略晚。斜长花岗岩年龄的解释极其依赖锆石组成和地球化学证据。橄榄岩为主岩的花岗岩,可能记录蛇绿岩的侵位时代。蛇绿岩中的埃达克岩是消减洋壳在深部的部分熔融的产物。文中发表了新疆扎河坝蛇绿岩SHRIMP定年的中间成果,并简略地介绍了滇川西部金沙江和内蒙古图林凯等地的研究实例。根据层状辉长岩的测定结果,扎河坝蛇绿岩形成于(489±4)Ma,金沙江蛇绿岩形成于(328±8)Ma。内蒙古图林凯蛇绿岩中埃达克岩形成于(467±13)Ma～(429±7)Ma。块状辉长岩、斜长花岗岩和橄榄岩为主岩的花岗质岩石记录了蛇绿岩的复杂演化。新疆扎河坝蛇绿岩中的块状辉长岩中存在多组锆石年龄值。较老的一组为468～511 Ma,与层状辉长岩和斜长岩相似,记录了蛇绿岩或洋壳的形成时代,但是,岩石中的大部分锆石年龄为396～419 Ma,加权平均年龄为(406±4)Ma,可能反映了一次部分熔融事件。滇川西部金沙江蛇绿岩中的斜长花岗岩的形成年龄为约300～285Ma,晚于层状辉长岩和?  相似文献   

Contemporary crustal deformation of the Chinese continent and tectonic block model   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Min Wang  Zhengkang Shen  Zhijun Niu  Zusheng Zhang  Hanrong Sun  Weijun Gan  Qi Wang  Qun Ren 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2003,46(2):25-40

We obtain the preliminary result of crustal deformation velocity field for the Chinese continent by analyzing GPS data from the Crustal Motion Observation Network of China (CMONOC), particularly the data from the regional networks of CMONOC observed in 1999 and 2001. We delineate 9 technically active blocks and 2 broadly distributed deformation zones out of a dense GPS velocity field, and derive block motion Euler poles for the blocks and their relative motion rates. Our result reveals that there are 3 categories of deformation patterns in the Chinese continent. The first category, associated with the interior of the Tibetan Plateau and the Tianshan orogenic belt, shows broadly distributed deformation within the regions. The third category, associated with the Tarim Basin and the region east of the north-south seismic belt of China, shows block-like motion, with deformation accommodated along the block boundaries only. The second category, mainly associated with the borderland of the Tibetan Plateau, such as the Qaidam, Qilian, Xining (in eastern Qinghai), and the Diamond-shaped (in western Sichuan and Yunnan) blocks, has the deformation pattern between the first and the third, i.e. these regions appear to deform block-like, but with smaller sizes and less strength for the blocks. Based on the analysis of the lithospheric structures and the deformation patterns of the regions above, we come to the inference that the deformation modes of the Chinese continental crust are mainly controlled by the crustal structure. The crust of the eastern China and the Tarim Basin is mechanically strong, and its deformation takes the form of relative motion between rigid blocks. On the other hand, the northward indentation of the Indian plate into the Asia continent has created the uplift of the Tibetan Plateau and the Tianshan Mountains, thickened their crust, and raised the temperature in the crust. The lower crust thus has become ductile, evidenced in low seismic velocity and high electric conductivity observed. The brittle part of the crust, driven by the visco-plastic flow of the lower crust, deforms extensively at all scales. The regions of the second category located at the borderland of the Tibetan Plateau are at the transition zone between the regions of the first and the third categories in terms of the crustal structure. Driven by the lateral boundary forces, their deformation style is also between the two, in the form of block motion and deformation with smaller blocks and less internal strength.  相似文献   

From the editors     

Xiaozhai Qi  George C. Lee 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2003,2(1):iii-iii

  相似文献   

Aseismic negative dislocation model and deformation analysis of crustal horizontal movement during 1999——2001 in the northeast margin of Qinghai-Xizang block     

张希 江在森王琪  张晓亮 《地震学报(英文版)》2003,16(4):395-403

Through numerical simulation for GPS data, aseism/c negative dislocation model for crustal horizontal movement during 1999-2001 in the northeast margin of Qinghai-Xizang block is presented, combined with the spatial distri-bution of apparent strain field in this area, the characteristics of motion and deformation of active blocks and their boundary faults, together with the place and intensity of strain accumulation are analyzed. It is shown that: a) 9 active blocks appeared totally clockwise motion from eastward by north to eastward by south. Obvious sinistral strike-slip and NE-NEE relative compressive motion between the blocks separated by Qilianshan-Haiyuan fault zone was discovered; b) 20 fault segments (most of them showed compression) locked the relative motion between blocks to varying degrees, among the total, the mid-east segment of Qilianshan fault (containing the place where it meets Riyueshan-Lajishan fault) and the place where it meets Haiyuan fault and Zhuanglanghe fault, more favored accumulation of strain. Moreover, the region where Riyueshan-Lajishan fault meets north boundary of Qaidam block may have strain accumulation to some degree, c) Obtained magnitude of block velocities and locking of their boundaries were less than relevant results for observation in the period of 1993-1999.  相似文献   

横山水库除险加固工程的安全论证——土工膜与结构面摩擦试验     

王琦  臧光文 《岩土力学》2003,(Z1)

土工膜是工程防渗处理的一种主要材料[1]。斜坡面上土工膜与结构面的抗滑稳定直接影响到工程的安全运行。摩擦试验模拟了现场施工和运行情况,得到土工膜与结构面的抗滑剪力和摩擦系数,对工程的安全进行了论证。  相似文献   

黄壁庄水库副坝塌坑Ⅳ76+1槽段安全监测     

曹荣祥  李强  周启 《岩土力学》2003,(Z1)

介绍了黄壁庄水库副坝塌坑Ⅳ76+1槽段进行的安全监测设计及根据此设计进行的安全监测实施,根据取得的监测资料解决了一直未能确定的主要变形地层的问题,为水库的加固施工和后期的运行安全提供了一定的依据。  相似文献   

杭州市区春节期间空气质量变化特点   总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11       下载免费PDF全文

洪盛茂 何曦祁国伟  孙鸿良王晓熊  陈超徐鸿 《气象科技》2003,31(6):340-344

分析近3年春节期间的空气质量资料，结果表明，杭州市区环境空气中PM10、SO2、NO2浓度较高，烟花爆竹燃放期间3种污染物出现高峰值，这与烟花爆竹燃放有关，PM25／PM10的比值高于年均值。  相似文献