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81.
Tom Koch Kenneth Denike 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2007,21(5):523-531
The problem is not uncertainty—proposed here as an inevitable condition—but the chimera of certainty asserted by most contemporary
researchers. Problems of data definition, collection, and their use are reviewed in terms of spatial epidemiology and health
data with examples drawn from several areas of contemporary health research. The argument is that preconceptions limit data
modeled in a manner assuming its completeness. The result, as the West Nile Virus example seeks to demonstrate, may obscure
other patterns and limit avenues of research. 相似文献
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The dynamic response of offshore wind turbines is affected by the properties of the foundation and the subsoil. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the dynamic soil–structure interaction of suction caissons for offshore wind turbines. The investigations include evaluation of the vertical and coupled sliding–rocking vibrations, influence of the foundation geometry and examination on the properties of the surrounding soil. The soil is simplified as a homogenous linear viscoelastic material and the dynamic stiffness of the suction caisson is expressed in terms of dimensionless frequency‐dependent coefficients corresponding to different degrees of freedom. The dynamic stiffness coefficients for the skirted foundation are evaluated using a three‐dimensional coupled boundary element/finite element model. Comparisons with known analytical and numerical solutions indicate that the static and dynamic behaviours of the foundation are predicted accurately using the applied model. The analysis has been carried out for different combinations of the skirt length, Poisson's ratio of the subsoil and the ratio of the soil stiffness to the skirt stiffness. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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A New Lichenometric Dating Curve For Southeast Iceland. 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Tom Bradwell 《Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography》2001,83(3):91-101
This paper presents a new lichenometric dating curve for southeast Iceland. The temporal framework for the curve is based on reliably dated surfaces covering the last 270 years, making it the best constrained study of this nature conducted in Iceland. The growth of lichen species within Rhizocarpon Section Rhizocarpon is non-linear over time, with larger (older) thalli apparently growing more slowly. The linear 'growth' curves derived previously by former authors working in Iceland represent only part of a curve which has an overall exponential form. Reasons for the non-linearity of the new dating curve are probably physiological, although climatic change over the last three centuries cannot be ruled out. Use of linear 'growth' curves in Iceland is problematic over time-spans of more than c . 80 years. Pre-20th century moraines dated using a constant, linear relationship between lichen size and age are probably older than previously believed. Those moraines lichenometrically 'dated' to the second half of the 19th century in Iceland may actually pre-date this time by several decades (30–100 years), thus throwing doubt on the exact timing of maximum glaciation during the 'Little Ice Age'. 相似文献