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111.
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Simulation of multigaussian stochastic fields can be made after a Karhunen-Loéve expansion of a given covariance function. This method is also called simulation by Empirical Orthogonal Functions. The simulations are made by drawing stochastic coefficients from a random generator. These numbers are multiplied with eigenfunctions and eigenvalues derived from the predefined covariance model. The number of eigenfunctions necessary to reproduce the stochastic process within a predefined variance error, turns out to be a cardinal question. Some ordinary analytical covariance functions are used to evaluate how quickly the series of eigenfunctions can be truncated. This analysis demonstrates extremely quick convergence to 99.5% of total variance for the 2nd order exponential (‘gaussian’) covariance function, while the opposite is true for the 1st order exponential covariance function. Due to these convergence characteristics, the Karhunen-Loéve method is most suitable for simulating smooth fields with ‘gaussian’ shaped covariance functions. Practical applications of Karhunen-Loéve simulations can be improved by spatial interpolation of the eigenfunctions. In this paper, we suggest interpolation by kriging and limits for reproduction of the predefined covariance functions are evaluated.  相似文献   
113.
差异流动变形破坏研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
工程岩体出现许多流变现象, 它最突出的特点是差异流动变形破坏。本文从流变现象及变形量测结果论述差异流动变形破坏特征, 并且根据蠕变流动变形破坏与时间的关系进行了差异流动变形分类, 这些类型同时存在于一个岩体或岩块内。  相似文献   
114.
安徽淮河构造变形带及邻近块体现代构造应力场特征   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3  
针对安徽省较特殊的构造环境及历史地震分布特点,利用直达波最大振幅比和系统聚类分析方法,在对安徽淮河中游区1974年以来近百个中小地震震源机制反演、聚类及空间合成的基础上,分析了华北断块南缘的安徽淮河构造变形带及邻近块体震源断层滑动方式、构造应力场分布及块体运动方式、应力场随时间变化等。结果显示:淮河构造变形带及其邻近块体上震源断层总体上以近走滑型或斜滑型破裂为主,但倾滑型破裂也占一定比例;该地区构造应力以水平作用为主,但也存在一定的垂向作用。其中淮北和皖中块体仍可能分别向SWW和NEE方向运动,并在淮河构造变形带上产生左旋剪切作用,呈现一定的继承性活动特征;各块(带)上主压应力P轴走向随时间的变化在总体上较为一致,而各时段之间P轴方位存在一定差异,显示安徽淮河中游区受华北和华南应力场的共同作用,但其地震活动可能主要受控于华北应力场。  相似文献   
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We study the importance of the zones of weakness and the pattern of downgoing flow in steady-state models of subducting lithosphere, which interacts mechanically and thermally with the ambient mantle. The non-linear system of governing equations consists of (i) the momentum equation in stream function formulation and (ii) the steady-state heat transfer equation including conduction and advection of heat and dissipation. A finite element method has been applied to this system. We consider the viscosity to be a non-linear function of both the temperature and the stream function. In steady-state two-dimensional (2D) flow, the stream function isolines follow material trajectories. They are used to follow the top of the subducting slab, which because of its possible increase in water content, is assumed to have a lower viscosity. The zone of weakness has been thus obtained in the self-consistent fashion since the stream function as well as the temperature are the output from our modeling and no a priori assumptions about the shape of the bending lithosphere are taken into account. It was shown that several orders decrease of viscosity in the zone of weakness is required to obtain the dip angle of about 45°. If the decrease of viscosity is not sufficient enough, the subducted slab either sinks almost vertically or does not exhibit a plate-like behavior. We have also demonstrated that shear heating can unrealistically increase at the zone of weakness for fast subductions if decrease of viscosity is underestimated.  相似文献   
117.
云南省Internet网络天气预报会商系统   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
黄玮  李蒙  王月庆  陈坚  王灵 《气象》2004,30(10):52-55
云南省基于Internet网络的天气预报会商系统覆盖云南省、地 (州 )、县三级。系统采用了Internet网络技术、数据库技术 ,实现了省、地 (州 )、县天气预报发布及浏览查询、预报讨论BBS、天气预报会商室、系统管理 ,在线短消息互发等功能。  相似文献   
118.
The effect of anomalous snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau upon the South Asian summer monsoon is investigated by numerical simulations using the NCAR regional climate model (RegCM2) into which gravity wave drag has been introduced. The simulations adopt relatively realistic snow mass forcings based on Scanning Multi-channel Microwave Radiometer (SNINIR) pentad snow depth data. The physical mechanism and spatial structure of the sensitivity of the South Asian early summer monsoon to snow cover anomaly over the Tibetan Plateau are revealed. The main results are summarized as follows. The heavier than normal snow cover over the Plateau can obviously reduce the shortwave radiation absorbed by surface through the albedo effect, which is compensated by weaker upward sensible heat flux associated with colder surface temperature, whereas the effects of snow melting and evaporation are relatively smaller.The anomalies of surface heat fluxes can last until June and become unobvious in July. The decrease of the Plateau surface temperature caused by heavier snow cover reaches its maximum value from late April to early May. The atmospheric cooling in the mid-upper troposphere over the Plateau and its surrounding areas is most obvious in May and can keep a fairly strong intensity in June. In contrast, there is warming to the south of the Plateau in the mid-lower troposphere from April to June with a maximum value in May.The heavier snow cover over the Plateau can reduce the intensity of the South Asian summer monsoon and rainfall to some extent, but this influence is only obvious in early summer and almost disappears in later stages.  相似文献   
119.
柴达木盆地近40a气候变化及其对农业影响的研究   总被引:7,自引:2,他引:7  
利用柴达木盆地6个代表站逐日平均气温、逐月降水资料以及逐日最低气温资料。对盆地40a来的气候变化特征进行分析。同时分析了气候变化对农业生产的影响。为充分利用变化了的农业气候资源。减少不利因素带来的影响提出了对策和建议。  相似文献   
120.
对乌鲁木齐市环境污染现状作了分析,重点分析大气污染、水环境质量、污染物排放、噪声环境以及其它环境问题,较为综合地反应了乌鲁木齐市环境总体状况,并就污染问题提出防御对策。  相似文献   
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