海南博螯沿岸地貌与人类活动的潜在影响     

朱大奎  殷勇  I.Peter Martini 《地理学报(英文版)》2005,15(2)

The Boao coastal system along the eastern coast of Hainan Island is a dynamic delta-tidal inlet-barrier formed during the late Holocene. The delta developed inside a shallow lagoon barred by a sandy barrier with a narrow, shallow tidal inlet opening. Two major distributary channels separated by small islands characterize the delta. The lagoon is silting up receiving and trapping sediments from both the river and, in minor measure during storms, through the tidal inlet opening and barrier washovers. The barrier at the tidal inlet is highly dynamic and changes its form, accreting (migrating spit) against the inlet during fair-weather conditions and being eroded during storms and river floods.The delta has almost completely filled the lagoon and major concerns exist on the effect that ongoing large development plans may have on the environment. These concerns include the effect on floods and rate of siltation once banks of the islands have been stabilized and floodwater and sediment load are impeded from spreading over the lowlands, and the effect of increasing pollutant loads from the new facilities on the ecosystems of the increasingly restricting lagoon water and on the seashores.  相似文献   

沉降-时间曲线呈“S”型的证明及其应用——从土体本构关系   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

梅国雄  宰金珉  殷宗泽  赵维炳 《岩土力学》2005,(Z1)

从土体本构关系出发,严格证明了在线性加载或近似线性加载情况下(这和岩土工程实际加载相类似),沉降-时间曲线呈“S”型,并由此建立了新的沉降-时间预测模型,工程应用证明了该模型的合理性。  相似文献   

Proof of settlement-time curve appearing “S” shape with ramp load and its application base on stress-strain relationship   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

MEI Guo-xiong  ZAI Jin-min  YIN Zong-ze  ZHAO Wei-bing 《岩土力学》2005,26(Z1):21-24

Based on stress-strain relationship of soil, the proof is made for that s-t curve appears “S” shape when the load is increased linearly, which is similar to construction process. A new model of forecasting the relation of settlement-time is presented. Case history shows the rationality of the method.  相似文献   

京津唐地区HFMD时空变异分析与影响因子探测     

张湘雪  王丽  尹礼唱  徐成东  李霞  刘杨 《地球信息科学学报》2019,21(3):398-406

手足口病（HFMD）是一种多发于儿童的常见传染病。近年来,中国HFMD发病人数逐年上升,疾病疫情也日益受到社会广泛关注。虽已有不少相关研究,但对于探测其时空异质性及量化潜在影响因子解释力的研究仍然较少。本文采用地理探测器及贝叶斯时空层次模型,对2009-2013年京津唐地区HFMD发病率的时空异质性进行分析,并量化各影响因子及其两两交互作用对HFMD发病率的解释力。结果表明：① HFMD的相对风险存在时间异质性,其发病风险在春夏季（5-7月）达到峰值,而冬季（12-次年2月）发病风险最低;② HFMD的相对风险存在空间异质性,在经济发达的地区HFMD发病率较高;③ 影响HFMD发病率时间异质性的主要气象因子为平均温度、累积降水、相对湿度,解释力分别为0.38,0.27,0.13,且交互作用都大于独自影响的作用,如平均温度和相对湿度、平均温度和降水,平均温度和风速两两交互的解释力分别为0.43, 0.40, 0.42。通过研究京津唐地区HFMD发病率的时空异质性以及影响因子的量化状况,为本地区HFMD的预防和控制提供理论依据。  相似文献   

利用水准数据的天津市地面沉降时空特征分析     

常明  尹海权  苏广利  田晓  徐玉健 《测绘通报》2020,(7):88-92

地面不均匀沉降可能对城市的发展与人民的安全造成危害，天津市的地面沉降情况尤为严重。针对该问题，本文收集天津市2005—2012年、2016—2017年水准观测数据，以固定水准点位的沉降量、沉降速率、沉降加速率为状态向量，构建卡尔曼滤波模型，对天津市历年的水准观测数据进行滤波；根据滤波后的结果，本文利用多项式加权内插的方法，以距离、沉降速率、沉降加速率信息确定权值大小，对地面沉降情况进行内插；并以中误差作为精度评定参数，比较多种内插方法的精度。通过对内插结果的试验分析发现，2005—2017年天津市地面累计平均沉降量为394.477 5 mm，最大沉降量为1 143.5 mm；主要沉降区域为北辰、大港、塘沽等地区，且随着时间的增长，这些区域呈现漏斗式下沉。试验证明本文结合卡尔曼滤波与多项式加权内插的方式能够较好地反映地面沉降的时空特征分布情况并对未来一段时间的沉降情况进行预测，对天津市的城市发展及建设有一定的参考意义。  相似文献   

FIO-ESM气候模式北太平洋海表温度和降水的季节性预报技巧评估     

赵一丁  尹训强  宋亚娟  乔方利 《海洋学报(英文版)》2019,38(1):5-12

The seasonal prediction of sea surface temperature(SST) and precipitation in the North Pacific based on the hindcast results of The First Institute of Oceanography Earth System Model(FIO-ESM) is assessed in this study.The Ensemble Adjusted Kalman Filter assimilation scheme is used to generate initial conditions, which are shown to be reliable by comparison with the observations. Based on this comparison, we analyze the FIO-ESM 6-month hindcast results starting from each month of 1993–2013. The model exhibits high SST prediction skills over most of the North Pacific for two seasons in advance. Furthermore, it remains skillful at long lead times for midlatitudes. The reliable prediction of SST can transfer fairly well to precipitation prediction via air-sea interactions.The average skill of the North Pacific variability(NPV) index from 1 to 6 months lead is as high as 0.72(0.55) when El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation and NPV are in phase(out of phase) at initial conditions. The prediction skill of the NPV index of FIO-ESM is improved by 11.6%(23.6%) over the Climate Forecast System, Version 2. For seasonal dependence, the skill of FIO-ESM is higher than the skill of persistence prediction in the later period of prediction.  相似文献   

Establishment and application of an intelligent treating method for oil spill identification     

TAN Liju  ZHAO Ruxiang  YIN Xiaonan  ZHANG Haijiang  WANG Jiangtao 《海洋学报(英文版)》2018,37(11):116-122

In the identifying process of an oil spill accident, manual integral and artificial visual comparison are commonly used at present to determine the oil spill sources, these methods are time-consuming and easily affected by human factors. Therefore, it is difficult to achieve the purpose of rapid identification of an oil spill accident. In this paper, an intelligent method of automatic recognition, integration and calculation of diagnostic ratio of Gas Chromatography-Mass Spectrometer (GC/MS) spectrum are established. Firstly, four hundreds of samples collected around the world were analyzed using a standard method and Retention time locking technology (RTL) was applied to reduce the change of retention time of GC/MS spectrum. Secondly, the automatic identification, integration of n-alkanes, biomarker compounds, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and calculation of the diagnostic ratios were realized by MATLAB software. Finally, a database of oil fingerprints were established and applied successfully in a spill oil accident. Based on the new method and database, we could acquire the diagnostic ratios of an oil sample and find out the suspected oil within a few minutes. This method and database can improve the efficiency in spilled oil identification.  相似文献   

海气动量通量研究综述   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

冯兴如  李水清  尹宝树 《海洋科学》2018,42(10):103-109

海气界面动量通量也称为风应力,是海流和表面海浪的主要驱动力,是海洋从大气获得动量的重要途径。因此,合理可靠的海洋表面风应力的参数化对于海洋、大气和波浪以及气候模式的准确预报都具有非常重要的科学意义和实用价值。对风应力拖曳系数的参数化是风应力参数化的主要内容。近来的观测发现,风应力拖曳系数随着风速的增加出现了先增后减的趋势,同时还与海面的波浪状态以及海流有关。基于观测或理论分析,目前已经得到了一系列的风应力拖曳系数计算方法或公式,有的考虑了海浪的作用,有的没有,但这些方案大都是适合中低风速,在高风速下的适用性还有待检验。本文回顾了目前在海气动量通量观测和参数化方面的研究进展,并建议应增加高风速下风速、海流以及海浪等的同步观测,以进一步完善风应力参数化方案。  相似文献   

FY-4A卫星海域云图图像增强融合方法研究          下载免费PDF全文

尹锡帆  赵辉  孙文舟  郭晓明  蒋善伟  刘言志 《海洋测绘》2020,40(5):30-34

FY-4A卫星是我国目前最先进的气象卫星,为缓解光照对其可见光和红外云图影响,增强图像质量和显示细节,通过分析中央气象台发布的FY-4A卫星云图中可见光和红外云图资料,指出云图可见光和红外云图存在极强互补性的特征,提出一种基于灰度均值的自适应非线性Gamma图像增强融合方法。仿真实验结果指出利用本文方法得到的融合云图拥有显示云的更多细节和识别云层云类的特点。该方法有效性的验证,为21世纪海上丝绸之路气象预报保障提供了新的云图识别处理技术。  相似文献   

基于多因子的震区建筑物空间分布变化分析     

王博  尹灵芝  朱军  冯德俊  佘平 《地理信息世界》2018,(4):24-28,41

研究地震发生前后震区建筑物空间分布的变化规律,可以为震后居民区规划提供科学依据。本文选择汶川地区作为案例区域,采用不同年份的Landsat遥感影像对建筑物信息进行提取,结合高程、水系、道路、行政区划、坡向等影响因子对汶川境内建筑物空间分布进行综合分析。结果表明:汶川地区建筑物空间分布具有明显的沿河、沿道路、低海拔区位取向分布的特性;建筑物面积与距水系距离的关系逐渐减弱;建筑物空间分布在乡镇层面上出现两个高聚集区,分别为海拔较低的威州镇、映秀等乡镇。  相似文献