Enhancing the relevance of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for climate change impacts,adaptation and vulnerability research   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Bas J. van Ruijven  Marc A. Levy  Arun Agrawal  Frank Biermann  Joern Birkmann  Timothy R. Carter  Kristie L. Ebi  Matthias Garschagen  Bryan Jones  Roger Jones  Eric Kemp-Benedict  Marcel Kok  Kasper Kok  Maria Carmen Lemos  Paul L. Lucas  Ben Orlove  Shonali Pachauri  Tom M. Parris  Anand Patwardhan  Arthur Petersen  Benjamin L. Preston  Jesse Ribot  Dale S. Rothman  Vanessa J. Schweizer 《Climatic change》2014,122(3):481-494

This paper discusses the role and relevance of the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) and the new scenarios that combine SSPs with representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for climate change impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability (IAV) research. It first provides an overview of uses of social–environmental scenarios in IAV studies and identifies the main shortcomings of earlier such scenarios. Second, the paper elaborates on two aspects of the SSPs and new scenarios that would improve their usefulness for IAV studies compared to earlier scenario sets: (i) enhancing their applicability while retaining coherence across spatial scales, and (ii) adding indicators of importance for projecting vulnerability. The paper therefore presents an agenda for future research, recommending that SSPs incorporate not only the standard variables of population and gross domestic product, but also indicators such as income distribution, spatial population, human health and governance.  相似文献   

Assessing impact of urban impervious surface on watershed hydrology using distributed object-oriented simulation and spatial regression     

Yuyu Zhou  Yeqiao Wang  Arthur J. Gold  Peter V. August  Thomas B. Boving 《GeoJournal》2014,79(2):155-166

In this study, we investigated the relationship between watershed characteristics and hydrology using high spatial resolution impervious surface area (ISA), hydrologic simulations and spatial regression. We selected 20 watersheds at HUC 12 level with different degrees of urbanization and performed hydrologic simulation using a distributed object-oriented rainfall and runoff simulation model. We extracted the discharge per area and ratio of runoff to base flow from simulation results and used them as indicators of hydrology pattern. We derived percentage of ISA, distance from ISA to streams, and stream density as the watershed characteristics to evaluate the relationship with hydrology pattern in watersheds using ordinary least square, spatial error and spatial lag regression models. The comparison indicates that spatial lag regression model can achieve better performance for the evaluation of relationship between ratio of runoff to base flow and watershed characteristics, and that three models provide similar performance for the evaluation of relationship between discharge per area and watershed characteristics. The results from regression analyses demonstrate that ISA plays an important role in watershed hydrology. Ignorance of spatial dependence in analyses will likely cause inaccurate evaluation for relationship between ISA and watershed hydrology. The hydrologic model, regression methods and relationships between watershed characteristics and hydrology pattern provide important tools and information for decision makers to evaluate the effect of different scenarios in land management.  相似文献   

CHROMOSPHERIC AND CORONAL STRUCTURE OF POLAR PLUMES – I. Magnetic Structure and Radiative Energy Balance     

Allen  Maxwell J.  Oluseyi  Hakeem M.  Walker  Arthur B. C.  Hoover  Richard B.  Barbee  Troy W. 《Solar physics》1997,174(1-2):367-401

The Multi-Spectral Solar Telescope Array (MSSTA), a rocket-borne solar observatory, was successfully launched from White Sands Missile Range, New Mexico, on May 13, 1991 at 19:05 UT. The telescope systems onboard the MSSTA obtained several full disk solar images in narrow bandpasses centered around strong soft X-ray, EUV, and FUV emission lines. Each telescope was designed to be sensitive to the coronal plasmas at a particular temperature, for seven temperatures ranging from 20000 K to 4000000 K. We report here on the images obtained during the initial flight of the MSSTA, and on the chromospheric and coronal structure of polar plumes observed over both poles of the Sun. We have also co-aligned the MSSTA images with Kitt Peak magnetograms taken on the same day. We are able to positively identify the magnetic structures underlying the polar plumes we analyze as unipolar. We discuss the plume observations and present a radiative energy balance model derived from them.  相似文献   

New 1982 — 1990 photometry of λ Andromedae and its 11-year cycle     

Douglas S. Hall  Gregory W. Henry  Dietmar Böhme  Peter A. Brooks  Sandy Chang  Ales Dolzan  George L. Fortier  Robert E. Fried  Russell M. Genet  Bruce S. Grim  James Hannon  Darrel B. Hoff  Kevin Krisciunas  Howard J. Landis  Howard P. Louth  Larry P. Lovell  Paul Nielsen  Bobby E. Powell  Harry D. Powell  Don Pray  Thomas R. Renner  Charles W. Rogers  Stephen Shervais  Douglas M. Slauson  Samuel Slote  Harold J. Stelzer  Arthur J. Stokes  Jack C. Troeger  Louis C. Turner  Norman F. Wasson  Kenneth W. Zeigler 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》1991,12(4):281-287

We present photoelectric photometry of λ And never before published, obtained between February 1982 and December 1990 at 29 different observatories. Then we combine it with all other photometry available to us (previously published, contained in the I.A.U. Commission 27 Archives, and obtained with the Vanderbilt 16-inch automatic telescope but not yet published), to yield a 14.8-year data base. Analysis reveals a long-term cycle in mean brightness, with a full range of 0^m.15 and a period of 11.4 ± 0.4 years. Because most of our new photometry was concentrated in the 1983-84 observing season, we analyze that one well-defined light curve with a two-spot model. Spot A keeps a 0^m.04 amplitude throughout four rotation cycles whereas the amplitude of spot B diminishes from 0^m.09 down almost to 0^m.03. The spot rotation periods were 55^d.9 ± 0^d.6 and 520^d.8 ± 1^d.0, respectively.  相似文献   

The Zones of the white Chalk of the English Coast     

Arthur W. Rowe 《Proceedings of the Geologists' Association. Geologists' Association》1900,16(6):289-IN3

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The 13th and 14th Workshops on Antarctic Meteorology and Climate     

Matthew A.LAZZARA  Sophie A.ORENDORF  Taylor P.NORTON  Jordan G.POWERS  David H.BROMWICH  Scott CARPENTIER  John J.CASSANO  Steven R.COLWELL  Arthur M.CAYETTE  Kirstin WERNER 《大气科学进展》2020,37(5):423-430

1.Overview In July 2018,the Antarctic community came together to meet at the 13th Workshop on Antarctic Meteorology and Climate(WAMC)in Madison,Wisconsin,USA(Fig.1);and in the following year in June 2019,the 14th WAMC was held in Charleston,South Carolina,USA(Fig.2).With a growing history,the WAMC addresses the topics of Antarctic meteorology and climate(Kameda et al.,2008;Colwell et al.,2016;Lazzara et al.,2018)as well as weather-related issues of scientific and operational support.The workshops bring together researchers,operational forecasters,numerical modelers,observational specialists,and students.The themes of both workshops included Antarctic meteorological observations,Antarctic atmospheric numerical modeling,Antarctic meteorological and climate research,and Antarctic weather forecasting and operational services.The 2018 and 2019 WAMC were both followed by a one-day focus on the Year of Polar Prediction-Southern Hemisphere(YOPP-SH),when preparations and follow-up discussions were made with regard to the YOPP Special Observing Period from 16 November 2018 to 15 February 2019.  相似文献   

The Atacama Cosmology Telescope project: A progress report     

Arthur Kosowsky   《New Astronomy Reviews》2006,50(11-12):969

The Atacama Cosmology Telescope is a project to map the microwave background radiation at arcminute angular resolution and high sensitivity in three frequency bands over substantial sky areas. Cosmological signals driving such an experiment are reviewed, and current progress in hardware construction is summarized. Complementary astronomical observations in other wavebands are also discussed.  相似文献   

The Fayette County,Texas, meteorites     

Timothy J. McCoy  Arthur J. Ehlmann  Klaus Keil 《Meteoritics & planetary science》1995,30(6):776-780

Abstract— We report the first petrologic examination of all stone meteorites of Fayette County, Texas. The 10 stones represent four or five different fall events. The three recovered Bluff stones represent two falls. Bluff (a), which includes the 145.5-kg Bluff #1 stone, is classified as L5(S4), whereas Bluff (b) is classified as L4(S3) and is represented by a single stone. The studied Cedar stones are classified as H4(S3), and all four Cedar stones appear to define a strewnfield. Round Top (a), classified as L5(S3) and represented by two stones, is unrelated to either Bluff or Cedar. Round Top (b) [H4(S3); 1 stone], whose exact provenance is unknown, might be a transported fragment of the Cedar shower.  相似文献   

Equilibrium solutions of the restricted problem of 2+2 bodies     

Arthur L. Whipple 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1984,33(3):271-294

Fourteen equilibrium solutions of the restricted problem of 2+2 bodies are shown to exist. Six of these solutions are located about the collinear Lagrangian points of the classical restricted problem of three bodies. Eight solutions are found in the neighborhood of the triangular Lagrangian points. Linear stability analysis reveals that all of the equilibrium solutions are unstable with the exception of four solutions; two in the vicinity of each of the triangular Lagrangian points. These four solutions are found to be stable provided the mass parameter of the primary masses is less than a critical value which depends also on the mass of the minor bodies.  相似文献   

Shock temperatures in anorthite glass     

Mark B. Boslough  Thomas J. Ahrens  Arthur C. Mitchell 《Geophysical Journal International》1986,84(3):475-489

Summary. Temperatures of CaAl₂Si₂O₈ (anorthite glass) shocked to pressures between 48 and 117 GPa have been measured in the range from 2500 to 5600 K, using optical pyrometry techniques. The pressure dependence of the shock temperatures deviates significantly from predictions based on a single high-pressure phase. Either a variable specific heat, or the existence of three phase transitions, at pressures of about 55, 85 and 100 GPa and with transition energies of about 0.5 MJ kg⁻¹ each (∼ 1.5 MJ kg⁻¹ total) can explain the shock-temperature data. The proposed phase transition at 100 GPa can possibly be identified with the stishovite melting transition. Theoretical models of the time dependence of the thermal radiation from the shocked anorthite based on the geometry of the experiment and the absorptive properties of the shocked material yield good agreement with observations, indicating that it is not necessary to invoke intrinsic time dependences to explain the data in many cases. Observed time dependences were used to calculate absorption coefficients of the shocked material of from about 2 mm⁻¹ to greater than 24 mm⁻¹– an increasing function of shock pressure. The assumption that the shocked material radiates as a black body is supported by the theoretical model, and by the close agreement between measured and calculated black body spectral radiance as a function of wavelength.  相似文献