Effect of climate change on water resources in the Yuanshui River Basin: a SWAT model assessment     

Yingdong Yu  Jiahong Liu  Zhiyong Yang  Yongqiang Cao  Jing Chang  Chao Mei 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2018,11(11):270

The Yuanshui River Basin is one of the most important river basins ensuring food production and livelihoods in the Hunan and Guizhou Provinces of China. Based on digital elevation model, land use, soil, and meteorological data, the soil and water assessment tool was used to analyze the response of water resources in the basin to climate change. Specifically, the monthly runoff from the Yuanshui River Basin was simulated. Runoff measurements from the 1961–1990 series were used to calibrate model parameters, and measurements from the 1991–2010 series were used for model validation. The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient, correlation coefficient, and water balance error were used to evaluate the simulation results; the values obtained for these parameters were 0.925, 0.929, and 2.0%, respectively, indicating that the established model can be applied successfully to runoff simulations. To evaluate the effects of climate change and human activities on runoff, 24 different climate scenarios were modeled. By comparing the model simulation results with the baseline scenario, the effects of climate change were analyzed by year, during the dry season, and during extremely dry conditions. The results showed that runoff decreased with increasing air temperature and decreasing precipitation, and that the effects of rainfall on runoff were greater than those of air temperature. Under the same baseline conditions, the effects of climate change on runoff were most pronounced during extremely dry months.  相似文献   

A GIS-based method of risk assessment on no. 11 coal-floor water inrush from Ordovician limestone in Hancheng mining area,China     

Gelian Dai  Xiaoyuan Xue  Ke Xu  Lei Dong  Chao Niu 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2018,11(22):714

The no. 11 coal seam in the deep area of Hancheng mining area is mining in recent years, which is threatened by the water inrush from the Ordovician limestone aquifer. Coal-floor water inrush is governed by the water abundance of coal-floor aquifer, the water-resisting performance of coal-floor aquitard, and the pathway connecting the water source and the working face. To make an accuracy risk assessment of water inrush from the no. 11 coal seam floor, a GIS-based vulnerability index method (VIM) is adopted for its superior comprehensive consideration of more controlling factors, powerful spatial analysis, and intuitively display functions. This study firstly established an index system including the water pressure of the coal-floor aquifer, the unit water inflow, the thickness, the core recovery percentage, the thickness ratio of brittle rocks to ductile rocks, the thickness of effective aquitard, and the accumulated length of faults and folds, of which the former six indexes governed the water abundance of the coal-floor aquifer which was combined with the last two factors to determine the risk of coal-floor water inrush. Secondly, the thematic map of each controlling factor is established by GIS using the geological prospecting data, and the weight of each factor is determined by the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) after consulting the expert review panel. At last, a vulnerability index is obtained and used to assess the risk of coal-floor water inrush of the no. 11 coal seam. The risk of water inrush of the no. 11 coal seam of the study area was ranked to three zones: the southeastern shallow area in red color is the dangerous zone, the wide northwestern area in green color is the safe zone, and the transition area in yellow color is the moderate-risk zone. Compared with the actual water-inrush incidents, the risk assessment result was verified to achieve an accuracy of 82.35%, which is proved to be a dependable reference for the prevention and controlling of coal-floor water inrush of the no. 11 coal seam in Hancheng mining area.  相似文献   

Research on mining-induced deformation and stress,insights from physical modeling and theoretical analysis     

Guodong Li  Shugang Cao  Feng Luo  Yong Li  Yaxing Wei 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2018,11(5):100

The dynamic change of mining-induced stress is the main reason for large deformation of surrounding rock. To investigate the influence of mining-induced stress and deformation is important for appropriate supportive design. It also helps to raise the safety and productivity of longwall mining operations. In this paper, Weijiagou Coal Mine in Southwest China was selected as the case study. In order to research on the deformation and breakage of overlying strata, physical modeling test was carried out on the self-developed rotatable physical similar test system. By using digital image correlation (DIC) technique, the deformation of strata and development of cracks in the process of coal seam excavation were acquired, meanwhile, mining-induced stress was also monitored by pressure cell and strainmeter. According to the mechanical structure of stope, the height of the destressed zone has a significant influence on stress distribution. In order to minimize the discrepancy between the physical model test and theoretical analysis, the dimension of the plastic zone of roadway was added into the mining panel width, and the gap between the experimental and theoretical results reduced.  相似文献   

渝东北城口地区Y1井页岩有机地球化学特征及勘探前景   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

何廷鹏  栾进华  胡科  李甜  杨柳  张跃磊 《岩矿测试》2018,37(1):87-95

基于钻井资料,以总有机碳(TOC)、干酪根显微组分、等效镜质体反射率(Ro)及碳同位素等测试数据系统分析了渝东北城口地区Y1井五峰组—龙马溪组页岩的有机地球化学特征,利用页岩流体包裹体的显微特征、均一温度及激光拉曼数据深入分析了Y1井页岩气成藏特征。结果表明:Y1井上奥陶统五峰组—下志留统龙马溪组炭质页岩发育,TOC含量2%的富含有机质页岩厚度达83 m,干酪根类型以Ⅰ型干酪根为主,处于湿气生烃阶段。页岩裂缝脉体中大量烃包裹体和富含甲烷气体的含烃盐水包裹体证实城口地区五峰组—龙马溪组页岩发生了充足页岩气供给,具有高均一温度、高盐度的伴生盐水包裹体表明城口地区页岩气成藏时期的保存条件良好。这些Y1井页岩有机地球化学特征研究成果揭示了城口地区下古生界具备良好的页岩气勘探前景。  相似文献   

塔里木盆地塔中II区奥陶系油气差异性分布及其主控因素分析     

沈卫兵  庞雄奇  陈践发  王阳洋  张科  贾颖超  罗广平 《地质论评》2018,64(4):913-926

为探求塔里木盆地塔中II区奥陶系油气水分布规律,对现有勘探成果及断裂、不整合面、构造背景进行分析,应用常规测井、地震及地化等多种方法开展研究。结果表明:塔中II区奥陶系油气分布在平面上呈现出"马鞍状"三分特征,东部塔中I号坡折带、西部塔中10号断裂带多分布气油比、干燥系数、硫化氢含量、含蜡量相对较高、密度相对较低的凝析气藏,两构造带之间的过渡带以挥发性油藏或油藏分布为主;油气在纵向上主要分布于层间不整合面以下300 m范围内。综合分析认为,不整合面纵向上控制了储层、油气藏的主体发育层位,平面上通过差异溶蚀作用造成的储层非均质性控制了油气的主要分布范围;断裂对储层物性具有明显的改善作用,形成有效的输导通道,控制了油气的充注强度及油气藏类型;斜坡背景上的局部构造高点控制了油气的差异分布,越靠近高点,油气越易富集。  相似文献   

Interpersonal communication sources and natural hazard risk perception: a case study of a rural Chinese village     

Timothy Sim  Li-San Hung  Gui-Wu Su  Ke Cui 《Natural Hazards》2018,94(3):1307-1326

This exploratory study contributes to our knowledge about the relationships between interpersonal communication sources and risk perception regarding natural hazards. Survey data (N?=?186) from a small village in northwest China was used, and the correlations between eight types of interpersonal communication sources related to disaster risk reduction and the perceived severity and perceived likelihood of occurrence of eight types of natural hazards were explored. Past studies have suggested that interpersonal communication sources are more likely to influence individuals in their perceived severity of natural hazards than in their perceived likelihood of occurrence. The results of this study moderately corroborate this finding. The results indicated that different sources have different relationships to risk perception, as positive correlations were found between obtaining information via certain trained science professionals (science teachers, emergency responders, scientific experts) and certain natural hazard risk perceptions, while negative relationships were found between obtaining information via certain personal contacts (other villagers and relatives and friends) and certain natural hazard risk perceptions. However, the strength of these relationships was weak (??0.197?≥?r?≤? 0.245). Age showed statically significant correlations with the perceived severity of most of the natural hazards. Studies with more representative samples and controls for theoretical factors are needed to better understand how interpersonal communication sources affect individuals' natural hazard risk perceptions.  相似文献   

地理国情普查成果在土地资源监测中的应用初探     

叶柯 《测绘与空间地理信息》2018,(1):90-93

以江西省某县地理国情普查数据为基础,研究其与土地变更调查数据的相似性与差异性,结合土地资源监测的热点,初步探究地理国情普查成果在土地资源监测中应用,为地理国情普查成果应用提供思路与方向。  相似文献   

城市轨道交通勘测大数据的集成与应用     

任传斌  于淼  李珂  冯增文 《地质论评》2021,67(Z1):67z1037-67z1039

正近年来,三维可视化技术日趋发展成熟,倾斜摄影技术、三维激光扫描技术等测绘新技术以及国内BIM技术的全面推广使用,使得建筑行业正在由二维设计建造向三维设计建造转变。由于城市轨道交通多建造在城市地下空间,与地上建筑相比,其在设计建造过程中面临着地下周边环境不可直观展示的困境,其更加迫切需要三维可视化技术来辅助地铁规划设计与建造施工。地质信息复杂多变,  相似文献   

山东淄博金岭杂岩体分布区深部富铁矿资源潜力及找矿方向     

张保涛  胡兆国  曹其琛  姜晓平  梅贞华  李忠平  杜利明  华北  赵磊  柳森 《地质学报》2021,95(5):1545-1560

深部找矿是目前研究和勘查的热点领域.金岭杂岩体侵入于古生代灰岩中,是燕山运动晚期的产物,与其有关的铁成矿作用是内生铁成矿典型事件之一,形成了金岭富铁矿集区.矿集区目前已发现铁矿体主要分布在-500 m以浅,矿山开采面临资源枯竭的严峻形势,深部找矿亟待突破.区内矿体按赋存介质及空间分布可划分为岩体/地层接触带式、假整合/层间裂隙式、岩体内捕虏体式三种型式.重、磁、电、地综合指示,其深部和外围依然具有优越的矽卡岩型富铁成矿条件,有利找矿深度可延伸至1.3 km,资源潜力大.通过可控源音频大地电磁测深、重磁反演技术对深部和外围成矿地质体的反映,优选出了研究区深部和外围的主要有利找矿区,分别建立了金岭杂岩体两侧矽卡岩型富铁矿地质地球物理综合找矿模型,以期为实现研究区深部和外围找矿发现及相似区域的找矿工作提供理论指导.  相似文献   

渤海湾盆地渤中19-6气田凝析油特征及油气关系     

李威  李友川  兰蕾  傅宁  王柯 《地质学报》2021,95(3):913-923

2018年中国东部最大整装凝析气田——渤中19-6气田的发现,一举打开了渤海湾盆地深层天然气勘探的新领域,展现了油型盆地天然气勘探的巨大潜力。渤中凹陷发育多套不同成熟度的烃源岩,位于渤中凹陷西南部的渤中19-6气田凝析油与天然气并存,近年来于该地区的天然气成因及形成条件多有研究,但是对于凝析油的形成则少有研究。本文以渤中19-6气田为例,探讨多套烃源岩发育的复杂油气区凝析油的成因及与天然气的关系。渤中19-6气田6个凝析油样品化学组成及其变化特征精细分析对比表明:该区凝析油以低碳数正构烷烃为主,含有较丰富的环己烷、甲基环己烷等环烷烃和苯、甲苯等低碳数芳烃,金刚烷类化合物较发育,高碳数生物标志化合物含量较低,综合判断凝析油属于混合偏腐殖型高熟原油。结合该区凝析油与天然气对比结果认为,该区凝析油和天然气属于同一套烃源岩在同一阶段所生成的烃类化合物,两者相伴而生,均属于烃源岩原生产物。  相似文献