Watershed modelling of hydrology and water quality in the Sacramento River watershed,California     

Darren L. Ficklin  Yuzhou Luo  Minghua Zhang 《水文研究》2013,27(2):236-250

Agricultural pollutant runoff is a major source of water contamination in California's Sacramento River watershed where 8500 km² of agricultural land influences water quality. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrology, sediment, nitrate and pesticide transport components were assessed for the Sacramento River watershed. To represent flood conveyance in the area, the model was improved by implementing a flood routing algorithm. Sensitivity/uncertainty analyses and multi‐objective calibration were incorporated into the model application for predicting streamflow, sediment, nitrate and pesticides (chlorpyrifos and diazinon) at multiple watershed sites from 1992 to 2008. Most of the observed data were within the 95% uncertainty interval, indicating that the SWAT simulations were capturing the uncertainties that existed, such as model simplification, observed data errors and lack of agricultural management data. The monthly Nash–Sutcliffe coefficients at the watershed outlet ranged from 0.48 to 0.82, indicating that the model was able to successfully predict streamflow and agricultural pollutant transport after calibration. Predicted sediment loads were highly correlated to streamflow, whereas nitrate, chlorpyrifos and diazinon were moderately correlated to streamflow. This indicates that timing of agricultural management operations plays a role in agricultural pollutant runoff. Best management practices, such as pesticide use limits during wet seasons, could improve water quality in the Sacramento River watershed. The calibrated model establishes a modelling framework for further studies of hydrology, water quality and ecosystem protection in the study area. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

‘Super-eruptions’ and silicic volcanism from the Yellowstone volcanic field     

Ben S. Ellis  Darren F. Mark 《Geology Today》2013,29(4):133-137

Yellowstone is perhaps the world's most famous ‘super-volcano’ with an explosive history stretching back more than 2 million years and abundant contemporary evidence of a voluminous magmatic system. The first explosive eruption at Yellowstone was the largest, the Huckleberry Ridge Tuff with a volume estimated at 2500 km³ of deposit. However, recent work using high-precision geochronology has suggested that this ‘poster-child’ of super-eruptions is actually two distinct events separated by at least six thousand years. The geochronological data indicating differences between the constituent parts of the Huckleberry Ridge Tuff is supported by textural, geochemical and isotopic evidence from numerous studies. Advances in both technology and approaches in the sphere of geochronology are allowing for ever more closely spaced events to be temporally resolved; allowing re-investigation of deposits considered to represent ‘super-eruptions’ at much higher resolution. The appreciation that the Huckleberry Ridge Tuff represents two distinct events illustrates that these large, regionally catastrophic events from Yellowstone occurred more frequently than previously thought. Moreover, by being able to better constrain the intervals between super-eruptions we can investigate the timescales of magma generation during quiescent periods.  相似文献   

Climate change sensitivity assessment of streamflow and agricultural pollutant transport in California's Central Valley using Latin hypercube sampling     

Darren L. Ficklin  Yuzhou Luo  Minghua Zhang 《水文研究》2013,27(18):2666-2675

Bracketing the uncertainty of streamflow and agricultural runoff under climate change is critical for proper future water resource management in agricultural watersheds. This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in conjunction with a Latin hypercube climate change sampling algorithm to construct a 95% confidence interval (95CI) around streamflow, sediment load, and nitrate load predictions under changes in climate for the Sacramento and San Joaquin River watersheds in California's Central Valley. The Latin hypercube algorithm sampled 2000 combinations of precipitation and temperature changes based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections from multiple General Circulation Models. Average monthly percent changes of the upper and lower 95CI limits compared to the present‐day simulation and a statistic termed the “r‐factor” (average width of the 95CI band divided by the standard deviation of the 95CI bandwidth) were used to assess watershed sensitivities. 95CI results indicate that streamflow and sediment runoff in the Sacramento River watershed are more likely to decrease under climate change compared to present‐day conditions, whereas the increase and decrease for nitrate runoff were found to be equal. For the San Joaquin River watershed, streamflow slightly decreased under climate change, whereas sediment and nitrate runoff increased compared to present‐day climate. Comparisons of watershed sensitivities indicate that the San Joaquin River watershed is more sensitive to climate changes than the Sacramento River watershed, which is largely caused by the high density of agricultural land. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Surface heat flow and CO₂ emissions within the Ohaaki hydrothermal field,Taupo Volcanic Zone,New Zealand     

Clinton Rissmann  Bruce Christenson  Cynthia Werner  Matthew Leybourne  Jim Cole  Darren Gravley 《Applied Geochemistry》2012

Carbon dioxide emissions and heat flow have been determined from the Ohaaki hydrothermal field, Taupo Volcanic Zone (TVZ), New Zealand following 20 a of production (116 MW_e). Soil CO₂ degassing was quantified with 2663 CO₂ flux measurements using the accumulation chamber method, and 2563 soil temperatures were measured and converted to equivalent heat flow (W m⁻²) using published soil temperature heat flow functions. Both CO₂ flux and heat flow were analysed statistically and then modelled using 500 sequential Gaussian simulations. Forty subsoil CO₂ gas samples were also analysed for stable C isotopes. Following 20 a of production, current CO₂ emissions equated to 111 ± 6.7 T/d. Observed heat flow was 70 ± 6.4 MW, compared with a pre-production value of 122 MW. This 52 MW reduction in surface heat flow is due to production-induced drying up of all alkali–Cl outflows (61.5 MW) and steam-heated pools (8.6 MW) within the Ohaaki West thermal area (OHW). The drying up of all alkali–Cl outflows at Ohaaki means that the soil zone is now the major natural pathway of heat release from the high-temperature reservoir. On the other hand, a net gain in thermal ground heat flow of 18 MW (from 25 MW to 43.3 ± 5 MW) at OHW is associated with permeability increases resulting from surface unit fracturing by production-induced ground subsidence. The Ohaaki East (OHE) thermal area showed no change in distribution of shallow and deep soil temperature contours despite 20 a of production, with an observed heat flow of 26.7 ± 3 MW and a CO₂ emission rate of 39 ± 3 T/d. The negligible change in the thermal status of the OHE thermal area is attributed to the low permeability of the reservoir beneath this area, which has limited production (mass extraction) and sheltered the area from the pressure decline within the main reservoir. Chemistry suggests that although alkali–Cl outflows once contributed significantly to the natural surface heat flow (∼50%) they contributed little (<1%) to pre-production CO₂ emissions due to the loss of >99% of the original CO₂ content due to depressurisation and boiling as the fluids ascended to the surface. Consequently, the soil has persisted as the major (99%) pathway of CO₂ release to the atmosphere from the high temperature reservoir at Ohaaki. The CO₂ flux and heat flow surveys indicate that despite 20 a of production the variability in location, spatial extent and magnitude of CO₂ flux remains consistent with established geochemical and geophysical models of the Ohaaki Field. At both OHW and OHE carbon isotopic analyses of soil gas indicate a two-stage fractionation process for moderate-flux (>60 g m⁻² d⁻¹) sites; boiling during fluid ascent within the underlying reservoir and isotopic enrichment as CO₂ diffuses through porous media of the soil zone. For high-flux sites (>300 g m⁻² d⁻¹), the δ¹³CO₂ signature (−7.4 ± 0.3‰ OHW and −6.5 ± 0.6‰ OHE) is unaffected by near-surface (soil zone) fractionation processes and reflects the composition of the boiled magmatic CO₂ source for each respective upflow. Flux thresholds of <30 g m⁻² d⁻¹ for purely diffusive gas transport, between 30 and 300 g m⁻² d⁻¹ for combined diffusive–advective transport, and ?300 g m⁻² d⁻¹ for purely advective gas transport at Ohaaki were assigned. δ¹³CO₂ values and cumulative probability plots of CO₂ flux data both identified a threshold of ∼15 g m⁻² d⁻¹ by which background (atmospheric and soil respired) CO₂ may be differentiated from hydrothermal CO₂.  相似文献   

The 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: correlation with the ROSAT-ESO flux-limited X-ray galaxy cluster survey     

Matt Hilton  Chris Collins  Roberto De Propris  Ivan K. Baldry  Carlton M. Baugh  Joss Bland-Hawthorn  Terry Bridges  Russell Cannon  Shaun Cole  Matthew Colless  Warrick J. Couch  Gavin B. Dalton  Simon P. Driver  George Efstathiou  Richard S. Ellis  Carlos S. Frenk  Karl Glazebrook  Carole A. Jackson  Ofer Lahav  Ian Lewis  Stuart Lumsden  Steve J. Maddox  Darren Madgwick  Peder Norberg  John A. Peacock  Bruce A. Peterson  Will Sutherland  Keith Taylor 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2005,363(2):661-674

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The Temperature and Ionization of T-Tauri Micro-Jets     

Darren M. O'Brien  Paulo J.V. Garcia  Jonathan Ferreira  Sylvie Cabrit  Luc Binette 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2004,292(1-4):609-617

The effects of phenomenological heating functions on the flow thermodynamics of cold T-Tauri disk winds are examined. Turbulent dissipation (mechanical) heating and a warm disk corona are invoked to heat the wind. The temperature and ionization evolution are solved for along the flow. The results allow the construction of synthetic observations; emission maps, forbidden line ratios, line fluxes and line profiles; and successfully reproduce a number of observed trends. Mechanical heating produces line ratios and fluxes that fit very well with observations. Invoking a warm disk corona successfully reproduces forbidden line profile low velocity components.  相似文献   

Correlating galaxy morphologies and spectra in the 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey     

Darren S. Madgwick 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,338(1):197-207

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Galaxy groups in the 2dFGRS: the group-finding algorithm and the 2PIGG catalogue     

V. R. Eke  Carlton M. Baugh  Shaun Cole  Carlos S. Frenk  Peder Norberg  John A. Peacock  Ivan K. Baldry  Joss Bland-Hawthorn  Terry Bridges  Russell Cannon  Matthew Colless  Chris Collins  Warrick Couch  Gavin Dalton  Roberto De Propris  Simon P. Driver  George Efstathiou  Richard S. Ellis  Karl Glazebrook  Carole Jackson  Ofer Lahav  Ian Lewis  Stuart Lumsden  Steve Maddox  Darren Madgwick  Bruce A. Peterson  Will Sutherland  Keith Taylor 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2004,348(3):866-878

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Cultural impacts to tribes from climate change influences on forests     

Garrit Voggesser  Kathy Lynn  John Daigle  Frank K. Lake  Darren Ranco 《Climatic change》2013,120(3):615-626

Climate change related impacts, such as increased frequency and intensity of wildfires, higher temperatures, extreme changes to ecosystem processes, forest conversion and habitat degradation are threatening tribal access to valued resources. Climate change is and will affect the quantity and quality of resources tribes depend upon to perpetuate their cultures and livelihoods. Climate impacts on forests are expected to directly affect culturally important fungi, plant and animal species, in turn affecting tribal sovereignty, culture, and economy. This article examines the climate impacts on forests and the resulting effects on tribal cultures and resources. To understand potential adaptive strategies to climate change, the article also explores traditional ecological knowledge and historical tribal adaptive approaches in resource management, and contemporary examples of research and tribal practices related to forestry, invasive species, traditional use of fire and tribal-federal coordination on resource management projects. The article concludes by summarizing tribal adaptive strategies to climate change and considerations for strengthening the federal-tribal relationship to address climate change impacts to forests and tribal valued resources.  相似文献   

An assessment of flood emergency plans in England and Wales,France and the Netherlands   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Darren?LumbrosoEmail author  Karin?Stone  Freddy?Vinet 《Natural Hazards》2011,58(1):341-363

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