Improving the extreme rainfall forecast of Typhoon Morakot (2009) by assimilating radar data from Taiwan Island and mainland China     

Xuwei Bao  Dan Wu  Xiaotu Lei  Leiming Ma  Dongliang Wang  Kun Zhao  Ben Jong-Dao Jou 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2017,31(4):747-766

This study examined the impact of an improved initial field through assimilating ground-based radar data from mainland China and Taiwan Island to simulate the long-lasting and extreme rainfall caused by Morakot (2009). The vortex location and the subsequent track analyzed through the radial velocity data assimilation (VDA) are generally consistent with the best track. The initial humidity within the radar detecting region and Morakot’s northward translation speed can be significantly improved by the radar reflectivity data assimilation (ZDA). As a result, the heavy rainfall on both sides of Taiwan Strait can be reproduced with the joint application of VDA and ZDA. Based on sensitivity experiments, it was found that, without ZDA, the simulated storm underwent an unrealistic inward contraction after 12-h integration, due to underestimation of humidity in the global reanalysis, leading to underestimation of rainfall amount and coverage. Without the vortex relocation via VDA, the moister (drier) initial field with (without) ZDA will produce a more southward (northward) track, so that the rainfall location on both sides of Taiwan Strait will be affected. It was further found that the improvement in the humidity field of Morakot is mainly due to assimilation of high-value reflectivity (strong convection) observed by the radars in Taiwan Island, especially at Kenting station. By analysis of parcel trajectories and calculation of water vapor flux divergence, it was also found that the improved typhoon circulation through assimilating radar data can draw more water vapor from the environment during the subsequent simulation, eventually contributing to the extreme rainfall on both sides of Taiwan Strait.  相似文献   

银川市城市规划前后温度场特征对比     

陈荣  李栋梁  纳丽  杨文军  严晓瑜 《气象科技》2017,45(2):383-389

以南京大学区域边界层模式(RBLM)为工具,利用银川国家基准气候站地面和探空观测数据,模拟了银川市四季3种典型风速天气条件下城市规划前后大气温度场,结果表明:现状下,夏季,小风和大风情景下高温区域面积大于一般风情景下;冬季,小风情景下高温面积最大,大风情景下高温区域面积最小;春季一般风情景下高温面积最大;秋季一般风情景下高温区域面积最大。银川市四季城市热岛效应表现均很显著,四季日变化表现为夜间水域附近的温度较城区建设用地高,白天尤其是14:00,城区建设用地温度较水域附近温度高。14:00在城市建设用地密集区域气温较高,且城市建设越密集气温越高,仅在冬季小风日和春季大风日表现得较弱。城市规划后,温度场在3种典型天气条件下分布特征与现状下分布规律总体趋于一致,只是高温区域较之前略小,低温区域较之前略大。城市规划后,3种典型天气条件下热岛面积均小于规划前,城市热岛效应减弱。  相似文献   

风浪状态对海面拖曳系数的影响     

史剑  赵栋梁 《海洋湖沼通报》2007,(2):1-6

通过对四种参数化方法的比较,认为风海雷诺数RB较风速、波龄和波陡能更好地描述拖曳系数CDN。利用分组平均法对CDN与RB关系进行处理,得到最佳的CDN参数化方案。利用COARE3算法测试了四种依赖海况的粗糙长度,与实测结果进行了比较,结果表明CDN与RB的关系式更真实地反映了海-气界面动量交换过程。  相似文献   

闽江口溶解态镉、铜、铅的行为及其与营养盐的关系     

邹栋梁  高淑英 《热带海洋学报》1996,(1)

研究了１９９０年６月和１０月闽江口溶解态镉、铜、铅的行为及其与营养盐的关系。结果表明，在６月和１０月镉呈添加行为，铜呈保守行为，而铅呈除去行为、镉的添加主要源自浮游生物碎屑的再矿化作用，而铅的去除受非生物无机过程控制。  相似文献   

A Spectral Approach for Determining Altimeter Wind Speed Model Functions   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

Dongliang Zhao  Yoshiaki Toba 《Journal of Oceanography》2003,59(2):235-244

We propose a new analytical algorithm for the estimation of wind speeds from altimeter data using the mean square slope of the ocean surface, which is obtained by integration of a widely accepted wind-wave spectrum including the gravity-capillary wave range. It indicates that the normalized radar cross section depends not only on the wind speed but also on the wave age. The wave state effect on the altimeter radar return becomes remarkable with increasing wind speed and cannot be neglected at high wind speeds. A relationship between wave age and nondimensional wave height based on buoy observational data is applied to compute the wave age using the significant wave height of ocean waves, which could be simultaneously obtained from altimeter data. Comparison with actual data shows that this new algorithm produces more reliable wind speeds than do empirical algorithms. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

氨对长毛对虾幼体的毒性   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

邹栋梁  高淑英 《台湾海峡》1994,13(2):133-137

氨对长对虾各期幼体的毒性试验表明：蚤状幼体对氨最每天敏感，而仔虾幼体对氨的耐受性最强，在盐度３２，ＰＨ８．２０，水温２９．０℃时，无节幼体Ⅱ期，蚤状幼体Ⅰ期，仔虾第五天２４ｈ的ＬＣ５０值分别为１３．２０（１．１５）、９．９７（０．８７）、２６．９９（２．３５）和６０．８１ｍｇ／ｄｍ＾３ΣＮＨ＾＋４（ＮＨ３）－Ｎ＾１（５．３０ｇｍ／ｄｍ＾３ＮＨ３－Ｎ）．Ｚ１，Ｍ１，Ｐ５的４８ｈ的ＬＣ５０值分别为５．  相似文献   

自然海况下波浪特性的初步研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

赵栋梁 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2002,32(6):853-858

通过分析大量的外海浮标观测资料 ,发现波龄和无因次波高之间存在非常好的相关性 ,自然海况下的波浪场满足 3/ 5指数律 ,其波龄可达到几十 ,远远超过风浪波龄的上限 1 .4,说明波浪组成波之间波 -波共振非线性相互作用是波浪内部结构的主要调节机制 ,使波高和周期之间具有很好的相关性。  相似文献   

Quantification of both normal and right‐lateral late Quaternary activity along the Kongur Shan extensional system,Chinese Pamir          下载免费PDF全文

Marie‐Luce Chevalier  Jiawei Pan  Haibing Li  Dongliang Liu  Meng Wang 《地学学报》2015,27(5):379-391

The Kongur Shan Extensional System (KES) is a ~250 km long normal fault system that bounds the Muji–Tashkorgan basin of the Chinese Pamir. It accommodates E–W extension due to the northward indentation of the Pamir salient, and its late Miocene activity has been the focus of tectonic studies. While the KES has a main normal component, ~WNW–ESE‐striking segments have an additional right‐lateral strike‐slip component. Here, we quantify late Quaternary horizontal and vertical slip rates at three locations along the KES, where active faults cut and offset abandoned geomorphic features. We find rates of >3–4 mm a^?1 (horizontal) along the western Muji fault in the north and of ~1.7 mm a^?1 (vertical) and ~1 mm a^?1 (horizontal) along the Kongur Shan fault in the south during the late Pleistocene. These rates are consistent with GPS and late Miocene rates, and imply that E–W extension in the Muji–Tashkorgan basin is faster in the north than in the south.  相似文献   

人类活动排放的CO₂及气溶胶对20世纪70年代末中国东部夏季降水年代际转折的影响     

王欢  李栋梁 《气象学报》2019,77(2):327-345

全球变暖背景下,中国东部夏季降水在20世纪70年代末开始较19世纪呈现东北及长江中、下游地区多雨,华北及华南少雨的特征。与此同时,人类活动排放的CO₂及气溶胶量也发生了明显的年代际变化。文中利用地球系统耦合模式（CESM）诊断了中国东部夏季的水分收支对人类活动排放的CO₂及气溶胶年代际变化的响应。发现CO₂排放量增加后,江淮流域的水汽辐合以及中国南方的水汽辐散主要是与质量辐散有关的动力项及与湿度梯度相关的热力项共同作用的结果,但动力作用更显著。气溶胶效应则主要通过动力作用使得江淮流域水汽辐合,而中国南方地区水汽辐散。虽然CO₂和气溶胶对辐射量及温度的影响差别很大,但通过改变温度梯度,热成风效应产生的动力作用都会导致江淮流域上升运动增强,降水增多;而中国南方下沉运动显著,降水减少,与观测结果一致,且CO₂相较于气溶胶的影响更为显著,证实了20世纪70年代末人类活动对中国东部夏季降水年代际转折的影响。   相似文献   

气候变暖背景下西太平洋副热带高压体形态变异及热力原因     

孙圣杰  李栋梁 《气象学报》2019,77(1):100-110

采用美国NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,利用相关、合成分析、大气热源的计算等方法,研究了气候变暖背景下西太平洋副热带高压（副高）空间形态的变异及热力原因。结果表明,气候变暖前、后各层副高形态特征有很大的差异,副高体的空间形态从850—700 hPa开始显著西伸南扩,到500 hPa最为明显。各层副高在冷、暖期的形态差异与其周围大气热源和涡度的变化相对应。随着气候变暖,副高西侧和南侧的大气热源在850—700 hPa上开始有明显的加强,500 hPa热源加强最明显,且副高体南侧热源中心有所南移;同时,其西侧和南侧从对流层低层至中高层有反气旋涡度的增大,西侧的反气旋涡度在850—700 hPa增大最明显,南侧的反气旋涡度在500 hPa增大最明显,且反气旋中心整体南移。表明气候变暖后,副高体西侧和南侧大气热源的加强,导致相应区域反气旋涡度增大,副高体向反气旋涡度增大的方向发展,从而使副高西脊点西伸,南边界南扩,整体南移。   相似文献