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21.
鄂尔多斯盆地西南部三叠纪末抬升剥蚀事件及热年代学记录 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
三叠纪末期大型鄂尔多斯盆地遭受了中生代成盆以来首次较大规模的抬升剥蚀,显著改造了中晚三叠世延长期盆地面貌,并控制了侏罗纪早期沉积格局和油藏分布,对盆地演化及矿产资源分布产生了重要影响。本文利用地质及大量钻井资料揭示了该期构造事件对盆地的剥蚀改造特征,盆地及周邻地区磷灰石裂变径迹年代学记录并约束了此次构造抬升的时限与过程;综合周邻区域构造研究成果,探讨了其发育的动力学背景。结果表明,鄂尔多斯盆地三叠纪末期的剥蚀具西南强、东北弱的特点,西南部大范围内延长组地层残缺不全,剥蚀量最大可达1000余米;前侏罗纪沉积古地貌总体呈西南高、北东低的特点;其抬升时间始于205~190Ma,西南部稍早于盆地腹部,抬升速率大于1℃/Myr,可持续至中侏罗世(约160Ma)。该期抬升剥蚀事件范围可涉及至盆地西南缘更广阔的区域,与同期秦岭造山带内出现的快速抬升冷却事件具有较好的时空耦合关系,是对秦岭造山带区域构造环境转变的响应和纪录。该研究丰富和发展了三叠纪末期构造事件在华北克拉通的影响,对该区油气、煤炭资源的进一步勘探和评价提供了新的思路,具有一定的现实意义。 相似文献
22.
Analysis of civil structures at the scale of life‐cycle requires stochastic modeling of degradation. Phenomena causing structures to degrade are typically categorized as aging and point‐in‐time overloads. Earthquake effects are the members of the latter category this study deals with in the framework of performance‐based earthquake engineering (PBEE). The focus is structural seismic reliability, which requires modeling of the stochastic process describing damage progression, because of subsequent events, over time. The presented study explicitly addresses this issue via a Markov‐chain‐based approach, which is able to account for the change in seismic response of damaged structures (i.e. state‐dependent seismic fragility) as well as uncertainty in occurrence and intensity of earthquakes (i.e. seismic hazard). The state‐dependent vulnerability issue arises when the seismic hysteretic response is evolutionary and/or when the damage measure employed is such that the degradation increment probabilistically depends on the conditions of the structure at the time of the shock. The framework set up takes advantage also of the hypotheses of classical probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, allowing to separate the modeling of the process of occurrence of seismic shocks and the effect they produce on the structure. It is also discussed how the reliability assessment, which is in closed‐form, may be virtually extended to describe a generic age‐ and state‐dependent degradation process (e.g. including aging and/or when aftershock risk is of interest). Illustrative applications show the options to calibrate the model and its potential in the context of PBEE. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
23.
24.
In the twenty-first century, around 200 notable dam and reservoir failures happened worldwide causing massive fatalities and
economic costs. In order to reduce the losses, managers usually define mitigation strategies identifying flooding area due
to dam break by using standalone hydrodynamic models and then importing the results within a GIS to perform risk analysis.
This two-step procedure is time expensive, error prone due to export/import requirements and not user friendly. For this reason
with this work, a new numerical model for the solution of the two-dimensional dam break problem has been implemented in the
GRASS GIS with a GIS-embedded approach. The model solves the conservative form of the 2D shallow water equations using a finite
volume method; the intercell flux is computed by one-side upwind conservative scheme extended to a two-dimensional problem.
The newly developed GIS module, among others outputs, allows to derive maximum intensity maps that can be directly used for
risk assessment. Finally, the model has been (1) tested against two standard synthetic problems referenced in literature showing
differences in estimated water depth of 2, 3 and 15% and (2) verified against official flooding map of an existing dam (Verzasca)
detecting 75% of similarity. The problem formulation, the new GRASS module and its validation is presented. 相似文献
25.
Paola Sbarra Valerio De Rubeis Emiliano Di Luzio Marco Mancini Massimiliano Moscatelli Francesco Stigliano Patrizia Tosi Roberto Vallone 《Natural Hazards》2012,62(2):425-443
A detailed analysis of the earthquake effects on the urban area of Rome has been conducted for the L??Aquila sequence, which occurred in April 2009, by using an online macroseismic questionnaire. Intensity residuals calculated using the mainshock and four aftershocks are analyzed in light of a very accurate and original geological reconstruction of the subsoil of Rome based on a large amount of wells. The aim of this work is to highlight ground motion amplification areas and to find a correlation with the geological settings at a subregional scale, putting in evidence the extreme complexity of the phenomenon and the difficulty of making a simplified model. Correlations between amplification areas and both near-surface and deep geology were found. Moreover, the detailed scale of investigation has permitted us to find a correlation between seismic amplification in recent alluvial settings and subsiding zones, and between heard seismic sound and Tiber alluvial sediments. 相似文献
26.
Chiara Lesti Massimiliano Porreca Guido Giordano Massimo Mattei Raymond A. F. Cas Heather M. N. Wright Chris B. Folkes Josè Viramonte 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2011,73(10):1535-1565
Estimates of pyroclastic flow emplacement temperatures in the Cerro Galán ignimbrite and Toconquis Group ignimbrites were
determined using thermal remanent magnetization of lithic clasts embedded within the deposits. These ignimbrites belong to
the Cerro Galán volcanic system, one of the largest calderas in the world, in the Puna plateau, NW Argentina. Temperature
estimates for the 2.08-Ma Cerro Galán ignimbrite are retrieved from 40 sites in 14 localities (176 measured clasts), distributed
at different distances from the caldera and different stratigraphic heights. Additionally, temperature estimates were obtained
from 27 sample sites (125 measured clasts) from seven ignimbrite units forming the older Toconquis Group (5.60–4.51 Ma), mainly
outcropping along a type section at Rio Las Pitas, Vega Real Grande. The paleomagnetic data obtained by progressive thermal
demagnetization show that the clasts of the Cerro Galán ignimbrite have one single magnetic component, oriented close to the
expected geomagnetic field at the time of emplacement. Results show therefore that most of the clasts acquired a new magnetization
oriented parallel to the magnetic field at the moment of the ignimbrite deposition, suggesting that the clasts were heated
up to or above the highest blocking temperature (T
b) of the magnetic minerals (T
b = 580°C for magnetite; T
b = 600–630°C for hematite). We obtained similar emplacement temperature estimations for six out of the seven volcanic units
belonging to the Toconquis Group, with the exception of one unit (Lower Merihuaca), where we found two distinct magnetic components.
The estimation of emplacement temperatures in this latter case is constrained at 580–610°C, which are lower than the other
ignimbrites. These estimations are also in agreement with the lowest pre-eruptive magma temperatures calculated for the same
unit (i.e., 790°C; hornblende–plagioclase thermometer; Folkes et al. 2011b). We conclude that the Cerro Galán ignimbrite and Toconquis Group ignimbrites were emplaced at temperatures equal to or higher
than 620°C, except for Lower Merihuaca unit emplaced at lower temperatures. The homogeneity of high temperatures from proximal
to distal facies in the Cerro Galán ignimbrite provides constraints for the emplacement model, marked by a relatively low
eruption column, low levels of turbulence, air entrainment, surface–water interaction, and a high level of topographic confinement,
all ensuring minimal heat loss. 相似文献
27.
Hans Romang Massimiliano Zappa Nadine Hilker Matthias Gerber François Dufour Valérie Frede Dominique Bérod Matthias Oplatka Christoph Hegg Jakob Rhyner 《Natural Hazards》2011,56(2):509-527
IFKIS-Hydro is an information and warning system for hydrological hazards in small- and medium-scale catchments. The system
collects data such as weather forecasts, precipitation measurements, water level gauges, discharge simulations and local observations
of event-specific phenomena. In addition, IFKIS-Hydro incorporates a web-based information platform, which serves as a central
hub for the submission and overview of data. Special emphasis is given to local information. This is accomplished particularly
by human observers. In medium-scale catchments, discharge forecast models have an increasing importance in providing valuable
information. IFKIS-Hydro was developed in several test regions in Switzerland and the first results of its application are
available now. The system is constantly extended to additional regions and may become the standard for warning systems in
smaller catchments in Switzerland. 相似文献
28.
Toward a rapid probabilistic seismic vulnerability assessment using satellite and ground-based remote sensing 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
Natural hazards such as earthquakes threaten millions of people all around the world. In a few decades, most of these people will live in fast-growing, inter-connected urban environments. Assessing risk will, therefore, be an increasingly difficult task that will require new, multidisciplinary approaches to be tackled properly. We propose a novel approach based on different imaging technologies and a Bayesian information integration scheme to characterize exposure and vulnerability models, which are among the key components of seismic risk assessment. 相似文献
29.
Guido Giordano Massimiliano Porreca Pietro Musacchio Massimo Mattei 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2008,70(10):1221-1236
The edifice of Stromboli volcano gravitationally collapsed several times during its volcanic history (>100 ka–present). The
largest Holocene event occurred during the final stage of the Neostromboli activity (∼13–5 ka), and was accompanied by the
emplacement of phreatomagmatic and lahar deposits, known as the Secche di Lazzaro succession. A stratigraphic and paleomagnetic
study of the Secche di Lazzaro deposits allows the interpretation of the emplacement and the eruptive processes. We identify
three main units within the succession that correspond to changing eruption conditions. The lower unit (UA) consists of accretionary
lapilli-rich, thinly bedded, parallel- to cross-stratified ash deposits, interpreted to indicate the early stages of the eruption
and emplacement of dilute pyroclastic density currents. Upward, the second unit (UB) of the deposit is more massive and the
beds thicker, indicating an increase in the sedimentation rate from pyroclastic density currents. The upper unit (UC) caps
the succession with thick, immediately post-eruptive lahars, which reworked ash deposited on the volcano’s slope. Flow directions
obtained by Anisotropy of Magnetic Susceptibility (AMS) analysis of the basal bed of UA at the type locality suggest a provenance
of pyroclastic currents from the sea. This is interpreted to be related to the initial base-surges associated with water–magma
interaction that occurred immediately after the lateral collapse, which wrapped around the shoulder of the sector collapse
scar. Upward in the stratigraphy (upper beds of UA and UB) paleoflow directions change and show a provenance from the summit
vent, probably related to the multiple collapses of a vertical, pulsatory eruptive column. 相似文献
30.
Giuseppe D. Chirico Massimiliano Favalli Paolo Papale Enzo Boschi Maria Teresa Pareschi Arthur Mamou-Mani 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2009,71(4):375-387
Mt. Nyiragongo is one of the most dangerous volcanoes in the world for the risk associated with the propagation of lava flows.
In 2002 several vents opened along a huge system of fractures, pouring out lava which reached and destroyed a considerable
part of Goma, a town of about 500,000 inhabitants on the shore of Lake Kivu. In a companion paper (Favalli et al. in Bull
Volcanol, this issue, 2008) we employed numerical simulations of probable lava flow paths to evaluate the lava flow hazard on the flanks of the volcano,
including the neighbouring towns of Goma (DRC) and Gisenyi (Rwanda). In this paper we use numerical simulations to investigate
the possibility of significantly reducing the lava flow hazard in the city through the construction of protective barriers.
These barriers are added to the DEM of the area as additional morphological elements, and their effect is evaluated by repeating
numerical simulations with and without the presence of barriers. A parametric study on barrier location, size, shape and orientation
led to the identification of barriers which maximize protection while minimizing their impact. This study shows that the highest
hazard area corresponding to eastern Goma, which was largely destroyed by lava flows in 2002, cannot be effectively protected
from future lava flows towards Lake Kivu and should be abandoned. On the contrary, the rest of the town can be sheltered from
lava flows by means of two barriers that deviate or contain the lava within the East Goma sector. A proposal for the future
development of the town is formulated, whereby “new” Goma is completely safe from the arrival of lava flows originating from
vents outside its boundaries. The proposal minimizes the risk of further destruction in town due to future lava flows. 相似文献