Comment on “Study on the reliable computation time of the numerical model using the sliding temporal correlation method”     

Antonio Algaba  Fernando Fernández-Sánchez  Manuel Merino  Alejandro J. Rodríguez-Luis 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2016,126(3-4):797-799

The paper, “Study on the reliable computation time of the numerical model using the sliding temporal correlation method,” was published in Theoretical and Applied Climatology. In that work, the sliding temporal correlation analysis is employed to investigate the predictable time of two typical chaotic numerical models, namely the Lorenz system and the Chen chaotic system. However, it has been recently shown by us when using a linear scaling in time and state variables that generically, the Chen system is only a particular case of the Lorenz system, with time reversion if the parameter c is positive. Consequently, to study the Chen chaotic system is simply to consider the Lorenz system integrated backwards.  相似文献   

Long-term changes in the frequency,intensity and duration of extreme storm surge events in southern Europe     

Alba Cid  Melisa Menéndez  Sonia Castanedo  Ana J. Abascal  Fernando J. Méndez  Raúl Medina 《Climate Dynamics》2016,46(5-6):1503-1516

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Evolution of comet orbits under the perturbing influence of the giant planets and nearby stars     

Julio A. Fernández 《Icarus》1980,42(3):406-421

The orbital evolution of 500 hypothetical comets during 10⁹ years is studied numerically. It is assumed that the birthplace of such comets was the region of Uranus and Neptune from where they were deflected into very elongated orbits by perturbations of these planets. Then, we adopted the following initial orbital elements: perihelion distances between 20 and 30 AU, inclinations to the ecliptic plane smaller than 20°, and semimajor axes from 5 × 10³ to 5 × 10⁴ AU. Gravitational perturbations by the four giant planets and by hypothetical stars passing at distances from the Sun smaller than 5 × 10⁵ AU are considered. During the simulation, somewhat more than 50% of the comets were lost from the solar system due to planetary or stellar perturbations. The survivors were removed from the planetary region and left as members of what is generally known as the cometary cloud. At the end of the studied period, the semimajor axes of the surviving comets tend to be concentrated in the interval 2 × 10⁴ < a < 3 × 10⁴ AU. The orbital planes of the comets with initial $\text{a ≧ 3 × 10}{}^4\text{AU}$ acquired a complete randomization while the others still maintain a slight predominance of direct orbits. In addition, comet orbits with final a < 6 × 10⁴AU preserve high eccentricities with an average value greater than 0.8 Most “new” comets from the sample entering the region interior to Jupiter's orbit had already registered earlier passages through the planetary region. By scaling up the rate of paritions of hypothetical new comets with the observed one, the number of members of the cometary cloud is estimated to be about 7 × 10¹⁰ and the conclusion is drawn that Uranus and Neptune had to remove a number of comets ten times greater.  相似文献   

Effects of mining wastes on a seagrass ecosystem: metal accumulation and bioavailability, seagrass dynamics and associated community structure   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Marín-Guirao L  Atucha AM  Barba JL  López EM  Fernández AJ 《Marine environmental research》2005,60(3):317-337

Two different Cymodocea nodosa (Ucria) Ascherson beds growing in mining-contaminated sediments were compared with two reference beds in the Mar Menor coastal lagoon. The accumulation of Zn, Pb and Cd in different fractions of the plant, the sediment parameters that regulate the availability of metals, the seabed structure and dynamics of each seagrass bed and its associated macroinvertebrate community were studied. C. nodosa accumulates metals from the sediments and reflects their bioavailability for this seagrass. At each station, the metal content of the rhizomes was lower than that of leaves and roots. The concentration of acid-volatile sulfides does not seem to influence the availability of metals to the seagrass, possibly due to oxygen transport to underground tissues. The highest metal concentration in all the contaminated stations was found in the leaf-biofilm, due to the formation of complexes between metals and the extracellular polymeric substances that form the biofilm. All the seagrass beds were seen to be undergoing expansion, those growing in contaminated sediments accumulating great quantities of metals and showing highest photosynthetic leaf surface area and highest leaf biomass. However, these structural parameters were not seen to be responsible for the differences in the faunal composition observed between contaminated and reference beds. Moreover, the multivariate analysis identified the metal content of leaves, biofilm and sediments as important variables that may be responsible for these differences in faunal composition. In this study we have demonstrated that both the seagrass C. nodosa and the biofilm on the plant leaves may be used as environmental tools in the Mar Menor lagoon. The former is an useful indicator of sediment contamination, whereas the latter seems to be a good sentinel of water quality.  相似文献   

Lithological control of land subsidence induced by groundwater withdrawal in new urban AREAS (Granada Basin,SE Spain). Multiband DInSAR monitoring          下载免费PDF全文

Davide Notti  Rosa María Mateos  Oriol Monserrat  Nùria Devanthéry  Tomás Peinado  Francisco Javier Roldán  Francisca Fernández‐Chacón  Jorge Pedro Galve  Francisco Lamas  Jose Miguel Azañón 《水文研究》2016,30(13):2317-2331

Ground subsidence in the southeastern border of the Granada Basin (SE Spain) has been studied using remote sensing techniques. Over the last decades, the region has experienced a huge urban expansion, which has caused a substantial increase in water supply requirements. Water needs are exclusively met by groundwater by means of numerous pumping wells, which exploit a confined detrital aquifer of alluvial fan deposits with a heterogeneous facies distribution. A general piezometric level decline (up to 50 m) has been recorded in the aquifer during the past 30 years that has induced the generation of a subsiding area with oval shape oriented WNW‐ESE just where the new urban areas and pumping wells are located. Subsidence has been monitored by exploiting synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images from ENVISAT (2003–2009) and Cosmo‐SkyMed (2011–2014). A new approach, which combines A‐DInSAR and small‐area persistent scatterer interferometry (PSI) analysis, has been applied obtaining a good accuracy regarding temporal and spatial dimension of the subsidence. ENVISAT data (2003–2009) reveal subsidence rates up to 10–15 mm/year, and Cosmo‐SkyMed (2011–2014) values slightly lower; up to 10 mm/year. Temporal variations in the subsidence velocity are in accordance with the rainfall pattern and piezometric fluctuations in the aquifer. The sector with highest rates of subsidence does not correspond to the area with more intense groundwater exploitation but to the area with greater presence of clays in the confining layer of the aquifer. There is a clear lithological control in the spatial distribution of the ground subsidence. This work integrates detailed geological and hydrogeological data with differential SAR interferometry monitoring with the aim to better understand subsidence processes in detrital aquifers with small‐scale heterogeneity. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Analytical solution for the response of a flexible retaining structure with an elastic backfill     

Chulmin Jung  Antonio Bobet  Gabriel Fernández 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2010,34(13):1387-1408

An extension of an existing analytical solution for the response of a flexible retaining wall subjected to seismic loading is presented. The solution is based on the assumption that the wall and the soil remain elastic and that there are no shear stresses at the wall–soil interface while the contact remains tied. In addition to the wall displacements due to bending, the wall can experience rigid‐body motions due to rotation and horizontal and vertical movements. The solution is verified by comparing its results with those of a finite element method. Results from the analytical solution together with those of the (FEM) are used to identify and quantify the relative importance of key parameters on the seismic response of a wall. The study shows that wall flexibility and horizontal rigid‐body motions of the wall and frequency content of the seismic input have a significant effect on the wall loads. The pressures behind a rigid wall decrease as the wall rotates about its base, whereas for a flexible wall, the soil pressures decrease as the friction between the backfill and the wall increases. The rigid‐body vertical movements of a wall have little impact on the dynamic pressures induced in the wall, except for a flexible wall where, when prevented, the dynamic loads may be reduced. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

The Risk Atlas of Mexico City,Mexico: a tool for decision-making and disaster prevention     

Novelo-Casanova  David A.  Suárez  Gerardo  Cabral-Cano  Enrique  Fernández-Torres  Enrique A.  Fuentes-Mariles  Oscar A.  Havazli  Emre  Jaimes  Miguel Á.  López-Espinoza  Erika D.  Martin-Del Pozzo  Ana Lillian  Morales-Barrera  Wendy V.  Morales-Rodríguez  Hipólito L.  Nieto-Torres  Amiel  Rodríguez-Elizarrarás  Sergio R.  Solano-Rojas  Darío  Velasco-Herrera  Victor M. 《Natural Hazards》2022,111(1):411-437

Natural Hazards - We present a Risk Atlas of Mexico City based on a Geographical Information System (RA-GIS). We identified the prevalent social risk to the more relevant hazards in Mexico City...  相似文献   

Comparative phylogeography and population genetic structure of three widespread mollusc species in the Mediterranean and near Atlantic          下载免费PDF全文

Rosa Fernández  Sarah Lemer  Erin McIntyre  Gonzalo Giribet 《Marine Ecology》2015,36(3):701-715

Although several studies have evaluated the genetic structure and phylogeographic patterns in many species of marine invertebrates, a general model that applies to all of them remains elusive. For example, some species present an admixture of populations with high gene flow, whereas others exhibit more complex patterns characterized by small‐scale unstructured genetic heterogeneity, even at a local scale. These differences are thought to be due to clear biological aspects such as direct versus indirect development, or the presence of lecithotrophic versus planktotrophic larvae, but few studies compare animals with similar distributions and life modes. Here, we explore the phylogeographic and genetic structure patterns in two chiton (Chiton olivaceus and Lepidopleurus cajetanus) and one abalone (Haliotis tuberculata) species co‐occurring in the same habitat. Samples were obtained from shallow rocky bottoms along the Iberian Peninsula (Atlantic and Mediterranean coasts), Italy, Croatia and Greece, and the mitochondrial markers COI and 16S rRNA gene were sequenced. Our data show evidence of admixture and population expansion in C. olivaceus and H. tuberculata, whereas L. cajetanus exhibited a ‘chaotic patchiness’ pattern defined by a high genetic variability with locality‐exclusive haplotypes, high genetic divergence, and a lack of geographic structure. Shared haplotypes were sampled in both coasts of Iberia (for H. tuberculata) and in the Western and Eastern Mediterranean (for C. olivaceus), potentially indicating high dispersal ability and a recent expansion. The processes underlying the fine‐scale structuring in L. cajetanus remain a mystery. These results are especially interesting because the reproductive mode of the two chitons is similar but differs from that of the abalone, with a veliger larva, while instead the genetic structure of C. olivaceus and H. tuberculata are similar, thus contrasting with predictions based on the life history of the three molluscs and showing that the genetic patterns of marine species may be shaped by many factors, including historical ones.  相似文献   

MVL spatiotemporal analysis for model intercomparison in EPS: application to the DEMETER multi-model ensemble     

J. Fernández  C. Primo  A. S. Cofiño  J. M. Gutiérrez  M. A. Rodríguez 《Climate Dynamics》2009,33(2-3):233-243

In a recent paper, Gutiérrez et al. (Nonlinear Process Geophys 15(1):109–114, 2008) introduced a new characterization of spatiotemporal error growth—the so called mean–variance logarithmic (MVL) diagram—and applied it to study ensemble prediction systems (EPS); in particular, they analyzed single-model ensembles obtained by perturbing the initial conditions. In the present work, the MVL diagram is applied to multi-model ensembles analyzing also the effect of model formulation differences. To this aim, the MVL diagram is systematically applied to the multi-model ensemble produced in the EU-funded DEMETER project. It is shown that the shared building blocks (atmospheric and ocean components) impose similar dynamics among different models and, thus, contribute to poorly sampling the model formulation uncertainty. This dynamical similarity should be taken into account, at least as a pre-screening process, before applying any objective weighting method.  相似文献   

Determination of the optimal size of area to be sampled by use of the moss biomonitoring technique     

Zulema Varela  J. A. Fernández  J. R. Aboal  C. Real  A. Carballeira 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2010,65(1):37-48

The aim of the present study was to determine the optimal size of the sampling area that should be used in the moss biomonitoring technique, in relation to the spatial variation in the concentrations of contaminants determined in samples collected within short distances (<30 m). For this, the spatial structure in the concentrations of various metals and metalloids was explored by use of semivariograms calculated by use of a robust estimator of the variance. In each of the 3 sampling sites considered in the study (one sampled on two occasions), 50 samples of the moss Pseudoscleropodium purum were collected and the tissue concentrations of As, Cd, Cu, Hg, K, Ni, Pb, Se and Zn were determined. The results obtained show that in most cases (25 out of 32), there was no spatial structure in the concentrations of the elements and that the semivariograms were subject to the nugget effect. For those elements for which spatial independence or a linear spatial structure was observed, the size of the sampling area did not affect the results, and the dimensions were irrelevant within the range studied. The existence of spatial structure, which can be fitted to a spherical model, enabled a range of autocorrelation to be defined, which corresponded to an area of diameter >16 m. The proposed method must be applied to other species and in other regions, in order to standardize the size of the sampling sites in the moss biomonitoring technique.  相似文献