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51.
塔里木河流域径流变化趋势及其对气候变化的响应 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
This paper has studied the change of streamflow and the impact of climatic variability conditions on regional hydrological cycle in the headwater of the Tarim River Basin. This study investigates possible causes of observed trends in streamflow in an environment which is highly variable in terms of atmospheric conditions, and where snow and ice melt play an important role in the natural hydrological regime. The discharge trends of three head streams have a significant increase trend from 1957 to 2002 with the Mann-Kendall test. Complex time-frequency distributions in the streamflow regime are demonstrated especially by Morlet wavelet analysis over 40 years. The purpose is to ascertain the nature of climatic factors spatial and temporal distribution, involved the use of EOF (Empirical Orthogonal Function) to compare the dominant temperature, precipitation and evaporation patterns from normally climatic records over the Tarim's headwater basin. It shows that the first principal component was dominated since the 1990s for temperature and precipitation, which identifies the significant ascending trend of spatial and temporal pattern characteristics under the condition of the global warming. An exponential correlation is highlighted between surface air temperature and mean river discharge monthly, so the regional runoff increases by 10%-16% when surface air temperature rises by 1 ℃. Results suggest that headwater basins are the most vulnerable environments from the point of view of climate change, because their watershed properties promote runoff feeding by glacier and snow melt water and their fundamental vulnerability to temperature changes affects rainfall, snowfall, and glacier and ice melt. 相似文献
52.
Cuiping Kuang Yue Ma Binyu Wang Jueyi Sui Jie Gu Jianhui Liu Gang Lei 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2018,17(6):1290-1300
Breakwaters can be used as artificial headlands in beach nourishment to mitigate coastal erosion. Longfengtou Beach, located on the southwest coast of Haitan Bay facing the Taiwan Strait on the northeast, suffers severe erosion, where the monsoon causes significant season hydrodynamic variations. Headland breakwaters are intended to be employed to mitigate coastal erosion. A 2D sediment transport model is established using MIKE21 based on current-wave coupling and calibrated by measured data. Summer and winter wave conditions are chosen as characteristic weak and strong waves respectively. The numerical results of suspended sediment concentration and seasonal morphological evolution are compared under the conditions with and without the headland breakwaters. Sediment transport in summer can be regarded as mainly determined by current field, while in winter wave effect is strong enough to change current field. The northern breakwater, nearly perpendicular to the ebb current direction, obstructs the currents and decreases velocity of the ebb currents, and confines the water carrying sediments within the protection area during the flood period. The southern breakwater also breaks the waves in advance and significantly reduces the hydrodynamic effects during the flood period and maintains high suspended sediment concentration in the protection area. In general, two headland breakwaters decrease the erosion near the beach and enlarge the deposition area, which play a significant role in prevention of sediment loss in nearshore area and mitigate coastal erosion. 相似文献
53.
介绍了一种具有自主知识产权的新型开关控制型半主动控制系统——主动变刚度.阻尼(AVS.D)系统的减振控制机理,建立了AVS.D结构振动控制体系的运动方程。为了合理补偿AVS.D系统实时控制过程中不可避免地存在着的控制时滞,本文提出一种预测最优控制算法,推导了其开关控制律。为了检验AVS.D系统的减震控制效果及预测最优控制算法的有效性,我们设计研制出AVS.D装置,编制了AVS.D系统预测最优控制的实时控制软件,在某单层钢框架模型上进行了AVS.D系统的模拟地震振动台试验,比较了不同控制方式时的减震效果。研究结果表明,本文所提出的预测最优控制算法是非常有效的,可推广应用于所有开关控制型半主动控制系统。AVS.D系统具有反应放大功能,经济可靠、安全有效,可望有较好的工程应用前景。 相似文献
54.
粤北大宝山多金属矿床成矿流体的He-Ar-Pb-S同位素示踪 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
大宝山多金属矿床是粤北地区典型的巨厚型及细脉带型矿化的多金属硫化物矿床.层状和脉状黄铁矿的氦氩同位素表明:3He/4He的R/Ra值为0.60~4.13,40Ar/86Ar=327~411,反映该成矿流体是大气饱和水(海水)与地幔流体混合作用的结果.铅和硫同位素都揭示了层状(块状)和脉状矿体可能来自不同时期的成矿流体.其中层状矿体为泥盆纪海底火山喷发沉积作用所致,脉状矿体可能来自燕山期岩浆热液充填叠加形成,古大陆碎屑物质和部分有机质的还原对后期成矿流体具有较大的影响作用. 相似文献
55.
56.
A mathematical model is developed for predicting the temperature distribution in an aquifer thermal energy storage (ATES) system, which consists of a confined aquifer bounded from above and below by the rocks of different geological properties. The main transfer processes of heat include the conduction and advection in the aquifer and the conduction in the rocks. The semi‐analytical solution in dimensionless form for the model is developed by Laplace transforms and its corresponding time‐domain solution is evaluated by the modified Crump method. Field geothermal property data are used to simulate the temperature distribution in an ATES system. The results show that the heat transfer in the aquifer is fast and has a vast effect on the vicinity of the wellbore. However, the aquifer temperature decreases with increasing radial and vertical distances. The temperature in the aquifer may be overestimated when ignoring the effect of thermal conductivity. The temperature distribution in an ATES system depends on the vertical thermal conduction in the rocks and the horizontal advection and thermal conduction in the aquifer. The present solution is useful in designing and simulating the heat injection facility in the ATES systems. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
57.
Qiuan Zhu Hong Jiang Xiaohua Wei Changhui Peng Xiuqing Fang Shirong Liu Guomo Zhou Shuquan Yu Weiming Ju 《水文研究》2010,24(4):429-445
The Integrated Biosphere Simulator is used to evaluate the spatial and temporal patterns of the crucial hydrological variables [run‐off and actual evapotranspiration (AET)] of the water balance across China for the period 1951–2006 including a precipitation analysis. Results suggest three major findings. First, simulated run‐off captured 85% of the spatial variability and 80% of the temporal variability for 85 hydrological gauges across China. The mean relative errors were within 20% for 66% of the studied stations and within 30% for 86% of the stations. The Nash–Sutcliffe coefficients indicated that the quantity pattern of run‐off was also captured acceptably except for some watersheds in southwestern and northwestern China. The possible reasons for underestimation of run‐off in the Tibetan plateau include underestimation of precipitation and uncertainties in other meteorological data due to complex topography, and simplified representations of the soil depth attribute and snow processes in the model. Second, simulated AET matched reasonably with estimated values calculated as the residual of precipitation and run‐off for watersheds controlled by the hydrological gauges. Finally, trend analysis based on the Mann–Kendall method indicated that significant increasing and decreasing patterns in precipitation appeared in the northwest part of China and the Yellow River region, respectively. Significant increasing and decreasing trends in AET were detected in the Southwest region and the Yangtze River region, respectively. In addition, the Southwest region, northern China (including the Heilongjiang, Liaohe, and Haihe Basins), and the Yellow River Basin showed significant decreasing trends in run‐off, and the Zhemin hydrological region showed a significant increasing trend. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
58.
本文综述指出:深部过程,可能导致放射性元素在地幔或下地壳的某些部位聚结而产生强烈的核反应,致使下地壳加热和上地壳的快速抬升和伸展垮塌,产生地震、火山作用、岩浆作用,形成山脉。通过对来自地球内部的α─粒子辐射监测,有可能对毁灭性地震作出预报。 相似文献
59.
Dynamic response of single piles embedded in transversely isotropic layered media is investigated using the finite element method combined with dynamic stiffness matrices of the soil derived from Green's functions for ring loads. The influence of soil anisotropy on the dynamic behaviour of piles is examined through a series of parametric studies. 相似文献
60.
雷暴型风切变及其对飞机飞行影响的初步探讨 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文利用北京320米气象观测塔的实测资料和715测雨雷达回波图片.对1980年8月31日晚影响北京地区的两次雷暴天气过程对塔层各要素和参量的影响情况进行了综合分析.结果表明,尽管两次雷暴天气过程的主体路径偏北,但塔层资料仍然明显地反映出雷暴冷性外流气流的存在.冷外流前沿离雷暴云体20公里左右.两次雷暴天气过程的外流气流中都出现了大于0.2秒的严重风切变.这足以使飞机纵向运动发生不稳定而危及安全.为此提出,应把飞机远离雷暴云主体20—30公里飞行作为一个重要的安全措施,不要侥幸地去抢飞这一危险空域. 相似文献