Assessment of shallow landslide risk mitigation measures based on land use planning through probabilistic modelling   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Jorge Pedro Galve  Andrea Cevasco  Pierluigi Brandolini  Mauro Soldati 《Landslides》2015,12(1):101-114

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Recent Near-surface Temperature Trends in the Antarctic Peninsula from Observed,Reanalysis and Regional Climate Model Data     

Deniz BOZKURT  David HBROMWICH  Jorge CARRASCO  Keith MHINES  Juan Carlos MAUREIRA  and Roberto RONDANELLI 《大气科学进展》2020,37(5):477-493

This study investigates the recent near-surface temperature trends over the Antarctic Peninsula.We make use of available surface observations,ECMWF’s ERA5 and its predecessor ERA-Interim,as well as numerical simulations,allowing us to contrast different data sources.We use hindcast simulations performed with Polar-WRF over the Antarctic Peninsula on a nested domain configuration at 45 km(PWRF-45)and 15 km(PWRF-15)spatial resolutions for the period 1991?2015.In addition,we include hindcast simulations of KNMI-RACMO21P obtained from the CORDEX-Antarctica domain(~50 km)for further comparisons.Results show that there is a marked windward warming trend except during summer.This windward warming trend is particularly notable in the autumn season and likely to be associated with the recent deepening of the Amundsen/Bellingshausen Sea low and warm advection towards the Antarctic Peninsula.On the other hand,an overall summer cooling is characterized by the strengthening of the Weddell Sea low as well as an anticyclonic trend over the Amundsen Sea accompanied by northward winds.The persistent cooling trend observed at the Larsen Ice Shelf station is not captured by ERA-Interim,whereas hindcast simulations indicate that there is a clear pattern of windward warming and leeward cooling.Furthermore,larger temporal correlations and lower differences exhibited by PWRF-15 illustrate the existence of the added value in the higher spatial resolution simulation.  相似文献   

Effects of dynamical evolution on the distribution of substructures     

Jorge Peñarrubia  Andrew J. Benson 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2005,364(3):977-989

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An investigation of sand–dust storm events and land surface characteristics in China using NOAA NDVI data     

Xingkui Xu  Jason K. Levy  Lin Zhaohui  Chen Hong 《Global and Planetary Change》2006,52(1-4):182

Observations from 560 weather stations in China show that sand–dust storms occur most frequently in April in north China. The region consists of Sub-dry Mid Temperate, Dry Mid Temperate, Sub-dry South Temperate and Dry South Temperate Zones and much of the land surface is desert or semi-desert: it is relatively dry with minimal rainfall and a high annual mean temperature. In most regions of China, the annual mean frequency of sand–dust events decreased sharply between 1980 and 1997 and then increased from 1997 to 2000. Statistical analyses demonstrate that the frequency of sand–dust storms correlates highly with wind speed, which in turn is strongly related to land surface features; on the other hand, a significant correlation between storm events and other atmospheric quantities such as precipitation and temperature was not observed. Accordingly, land surface cover characteristics (vegetation, snowfall and soil texture) may play a significant role in determining the occurrence of sand–dust storms in China. Analysis of Normalized Difference Vegetation Index derived from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Empirical Orthogonal Function show that since 1995 surface vegetation cover in large areas of Northern China has significantly deteriorated. Moreover, a high correlation is shown to exist among the annual occurrence of sand–dust storms, surface vegetation cover and snowfall. This suggests that the deterioration of surface vegetation cover may strongly influence the occurrence of sand–dust storms in China. Soils with coarse and medium textures are found to be more associated with sand–dust storms than other soils.  相似文献   

Dynamics of the Interstellar Gas in the Vicinity of a Bar     

V.V. Levy  E.A. Mikhailova  V.V. Mustsevoy 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1997,252(1-2):301-308

A numerical simulation of the disk dynamics of a flat stellar-gaseous galaxy is presented. This simulation is based on N-body modelling for a stellar disk, together with integration of the two-dimensional hydrodynamic equations for a gaseous disk. The existence of a quasi-periodic regime of disk evolution found earlier in a purely hydrodynamic simulation is confirmed. Intense gas flows in the central area of the disk due to the saddle point of the bar potential can support the active galactic nuclei in Seyfert galaxies and form double nuclei.  相似文献   

Dynamical behavior of strong magnetic fields in the solar convection zone     

S. Vainshtein  E. H. Levy 《Solar physics》1991,135(2):261-274

Magnetic buoyancy is thought to play an important role in the dynamical behavior of the Sun's magnetic field in the convection zone. Magnetic buoyancy is commonly thought to cause inescapable rapid loss of toroidal flux from much of the convection zone, thereby suppressing effective operation of a solar dynamo. This paper re-examines the detailed character of magnetic buoyancy, especially as it is influenced by the magnetic field's effect on heat transport and temperature gradients in the convection zone. It is suggested that suppression of convective heat transport across strong magnetic flux tubes can alter the temperature within the tubes and can subdue, or even reverse, the effect of magnetic buoyancy.  相似文献   

Bromide as a conservative tracer for soil-water studies     

B. S. Levy  R. M. Chambers 《水文研究》1987,1(4):385-389

The assumption that potassium bromide is a conservative tracer for soil-water studies was tested in a series of batch sorption experiments. Sorption experiments were conducted on soil samples collected from the O, E, and A horizons of the Albemarle soil series near Charlottesville, VA. The experiments were conducted under conditions of differing bromide concentration and filter treatments. Bromide concentrations in soil-solution mixtures were measured through time using an Orion bromide-specific electrode. An analysis of variance of results showed no significant sorption of bromide through time under any concentration level or filter treatment (α = 0·01). No sorption of bromide between different soil horizons could be determined. This work clearly indicates that bromide is conservative under the conditions examined.  相似文献   

General solution for slowly-rotating perfect fluid spheres in general relativity     

Mario C. Díaz  Jorge A. Pullin 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1988,148(2):385-388

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Anisotropic four loop superstring cosmologies     

Reinaldo J. Gleiser  Jorge Pullin 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1989,154(2):337-341

A spatially-homogenous and anisotropic cosmological model in self-creation theory of gravitation proposed by Barber is obtained when the source of gravitational field is a perfect fluid and the metric is of Marder's cyclindrically-symmetric form. Some properties of the model are discussed.  相似文献   

Hydrogeological and Gasgeochemical Earthquake Precursors – A Review for Application     

Jens?HartmannEmail author  Jason?K.?Levy 《Natural Hazards》2005,34(3):279-304

Even if earthquake precursory signals can be identified, how can they be useful? This paper investigates relationships among the attributes of 229 proposed earthquake related gasgeochemical and hydrogeological precursory signals, and applies these results to improve future earthquake prediction strategies. Sub-groups of these reported signals and relationships between sub-groups are established using parameters, including earthquake magnitude, signal duration, precursory time, and epicentral distance to the monitoring site (original studies are used wherever possible to improve data quality). A strong correlation (r=0.86) between signal duration and precursory time was identified. This suggests a relationship between the investigated precursory signals and tectonic processes related to the referenced earthquakes. Moreover, these signals are categorized into four groups, reflecting differences in monitoring station densities, measurement methods and physical processes related to signal occurrence: (a) radon exhalation from the earth’s crust, (b) exhalation of other gases (helium, argon and others), (c) temporal variation in water level or discharge of springs and (d) temporal variation in temperature and dissolved ions in the water of the monitoring sites. In addition, boundary functions are used to separate signal group subsets. Finally, it is shown how these boundary functions can be used in the context of an earthquake prediction strategy by identifying potential minimum magnitudes and maximum epicentral distances from the monitoring site.  相似文献