Multivariate Prediction of Total Water Storage Changes Over West Africa from Multi-Satellite Data   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Ehsan Forootan  Jürgen Kusche  Ina Loth  Wolf-Dieter Schuh  Annette Eicker  Joseph Awange  Laurent Longuevergne  Bernd Diekkrüger  Michael Schmidt  C. K. Shum 《Surveys in Geophysics》2014,35(4):913-940

West African countries have been exposed to changes in rainfall patterns over the last decades, including a significant negative trend. This causes adverse effects on water resources of the region, for instance, reduced freshwater availability. Assessing and predicting large-scale total water storage (TWS) variations are necessary for West Africa, due to its environmental, social, and economical impacts. Hydrological models, however, may perform poorly over West Africa due to data scarcity. This study describes a new statistical, data-driven approach for predicting West African TWS changes from (past) gravity data obtained from the gravity recovery and climate experiment (GRACE), and (concurrent) rainfall data from the tropical rainfall measuring mission (TRMM) and sea surface temperature (SST) data over the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans. The proposed method, therefore, capitalizes on the availability of remotely sensed observations for predicting monthly TWS, a quantity which is hard to observe in the field but important for measuring regional energy balance, as well as for agricultural, and water resource management. Major teleconnections within these data sets were identified using independent component analysis and linked via low-degree autoregressive models to build a predictive framework. After a learning phase of 72 months, our approach predicted TWS from rainfall and SST data alone that fitted to the observed GRACE-TWS better than that from a global hydrological model. Our results indicated a fit of 79 % and 67 % for the first-year prediction of the two dominant annual and inter-annual modes of TWS variations. This fit reduces to 62 % and 57 % for the second year of projection. The proposed approach, therefore, represents strong potential to predict the TWS over West Africa up to 2 years. It also has the potential to bridge the present GRACE data gaps of 1 month about each 162 days as well as a—hopefully—limited gap between GRACE and the GRACE follow-on mission over West Africa. The method presented could also be used to generate a near-real-time GRACE forecast over the regions that exhibit strong teleconnections.  相似文献   

The Role of GNSS Vertical Velocities to Correct Estimates of Sea Level Rise from Tide Gauge Measurements in Greece     

Stylianos Bitharis  Christos Pikridas  Aristeidis Fotiou  Dimitrios Rossikopoulos  Harald Schuh 《Marine Geodesy》2017,40(5):297-314

In this study, we show how the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)-derived vertical velocities contribute to the correction of tide gauge (TG) measurements used for the sea level rise estimation in Greece. Twelve sites with records of local sea level heights are processed in order to estimate their trend. Certain error sources related to TGs, e.g. equipment changes, data noise, may lead to biased or erroneous estimations of the sea level height. Therefore, it would be preferred to follow a robust estimation technique in order to detect and reduce outlier effects. The geocentric sea level rise is estimated by taking into account the land vertical motion of co-located GNSS permanent stations at the Hellenic area. TGs measure the height of the water relative to a monitored geodetic benchmark on land. On the other hand, using GNSS-based methods the vertical land motion can be derived. By means of extended models fitted to the GNSS time-series position, obtained from seven years of continuous data analysis, periodic signals are well described. The synergy of the two co-located techniques results in the correction of TG relative sea level heights taking into account the GNSS vertical velocities and consequently obtaining the conversion to absolute (geocentric) sea level trend.  相似文献   

Fast BDS Positioning Convergence Based on the Contribution of GPS Observations     

Yan Xu  Guochang Xu  Ling Zhang  Harald Schuh 《Marine Geodesy》2017,40(6):404-415

Comparing to single BeiDou Navigation Satellite System (BDS) Precise Point Positioning (PPP), a method which can more quicklydetermine the ambiguity parameters of BDS through applying the contribution of GPS observations is proposed and analyzed in this article. The numerical examples and analysis show that the ionosphere-free ambiguities of BDS satellites can be determined and converged more quickly because of the contribution of GPS observations. The average improvement of the convergent speed of positioning is 18.5% and its positioning accuracy in N, E, and U components are improved by 29.4, 30.3, and 34.4%, respectively, with the contribution of the a priori coordinates obtained from GPS observations. This method is useful for single BDS system positioning when there is a priori information provided by GPS or other sensors which be replaced by and can be applied at the beginning of the computation.  相似文献   

Winter climate change at different temporal scales in Vaccinium myrtillus, an Arctic and alpine dwarf shrub     

Christian Rixen  Christoph Schwoerer  & Sonja Wipf 《Polar research》2010,29(1):85-94

Snow cover strongly influences plant growth in Arctic and alpine ecosystems. Snow characteristics and snowmelt timing are likely to change in a warmer climate. We studied year rings and shoot growth of the dwarf shrub bilberry ( Vaccinium myrtillus ), and species abundances of the vegetation, in response to early or late snowmelt at a study site in the Central Alps, near Davos, Switzerland. Snowmelt was manipulated on experimental plots for 3 and 30 years. Additional plots were set up along a natural snowmelt gradient, and at high and low elevation. Growth ring data showed an increasing trend in annual growth increment over the last 20 years, especially in the extraordinarily hot summer of 2003. Comparing high and low elevation sites, growth rings were wider at low elevation, but only in cold years. In years with relatively cold summers, however, xylem ring width was greater in plots with late rather than early snowmelt along the natural snowmelt gradient, possibly indicating drought stress in early snowmelt plots. Snow cover had a strong influence on species abundances along the natural snowmelt gradient, and change (not yet significant) was beginning to be seen in plots with 30 years of snow manipulation. Our results indicate that beneficial effects of early snowmelt for shrub growth may be offset in cold summers. Although early snowmelt prolongs the growing season, harsh conditions and frost events early in the growing season may become more likely, and hamper plant growth, and this could affect plant growth in all Arctic and alpine snow-dominated ecosystems.  相似文献   

New insights into Late Pleistocene glacial and postglacial history of northernmost Ungava (Canada) from Pingualuit Crater Lake sediments     

Hervé Guyard  Guillaume St-Onge  Reinhard Pienitz  Pierre Francus  Bernd Zolitschka  Garry K.C. Clarke  Sonja Hausmann  Veli-Pekka Salonen  Patrick Lajeunesse  Grégoire Ledoux  Michel Lamothe 《Quaternary Science Reviews》2011,30(27-28):3892-3907

The Pingualuit Crater was formed by a meteoritic impact ca. 1.4 million years ago in northernmost Ungava (Canada). Due to its geographical position near the center of successive North American ice sheets and its favorable morphometry, the Pingualuit Crater Lake (water depth = 246 m) promises to yield a unique continuous sedimentary sequence covering several glacial/interglacial cycles in the terrestrial Canadian Arctic. In this paper, we suggest the existence of a subglacial lake at least during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) by hydraulic potential modeling using LGM ice-surface elevation and bed topography derived from a digital elevation model. These results support the hypothesis that the bottom sediments of the Crater Lake escaped glacial erosion and may contain a long-term continental sedimentary sequence. We also present the stratigraphy of a 9 m-long core retrieved from the deep basin of the lake as well as a multiproxy reconstruction of its deglacial and postglacial history. The base of the core is formed by very dense diamicton reflecting basal melt-out environments marking the end of subglacial conditions at the coring site. The overlying finely laminated silt are related to the onset of proglacial conditions characterized by extremely low lacustrine productivity. Infra Red Stimulated Luminescence and AMS ¹⁴C dating, as well as biostratigraphic data indicate sediment mixing between recent (e.g. Holocene) and much older (pre- to mid-Wisconsinan) material reworked by glacier activity. This process prevents the precise dating of these sediments that we interpret as being deposited just before the final deglaciation of the lake. Two finer grained and organic-rich intervals reflect the inception of lacustrine productivity resulting from the cessation of glacial meltwater inputs and ice-free periods. The lower organic interval corresponds to the early postglacial period (6850–5750 cal BP) and marks the transition between proglacial and postglacial conditions during the Holocene Thermal Maximum, while the uppermost organic-rich core section represents late Holocene sediments (～4200–600 cal BP). The organic intervals are separated by a basin-scale erosive slide occurring around 4200 cal BP and likely related to 1) a seismic event due to the glacio-isostatic rebound following the last deglaciation or 2) slope instabilities associated with rapid discharge events of the lake.  相似文献   

Hans Klähn     

Schuh 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1934,25(3):222-224

Ohne Zusammenfassung  相似文献   

Atmospheric loading corrections at the observation level in VLBI analysis   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

Johannes Boehm  Robert Heinkelmann  Paulo Jorge Mendes Cerveira  Andrea Pany  Harald Schuh 《Journal of Geodesy》2009,83(11):1107-1113

This paper investigates whether in very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) analysis atmospheric loading corrections should be applied a priori at the observation level or whether it is sufficient to correct for atmospheric loading effects a posteriori by adding constant values per session to the estimated station coordinates. Simulated observations at single stations corresponding to the precise point positioning approach of global navigation satellite systems show that the atmospheric loading effect can be fully recovered by a posteriori corrections, i.e., the height differences between both approaches stay well below 1 mm. However, real global VLBI network solutions with sessions from 1984 to 2008 reveal that the effect of neglected atmospheric loading corrections at the stations is distributed to the other stations in the network, thus resulting in station height differences between solutions with observation level and with a posteriori corrections which can be as large as 10 mm and a ‘damping’ effect of the corrections. As soon as the terrestrial reference frame and the corresponding coordinate time series are determined, it would be conceptually wrong to apply atmospheric loading corrections at the VLBI stations. We recommend the rigorous application of atmospheric loading corrections at the observation level to all stations of a VLBI network because the seven parameters for translation, rotation, and in particular the network-scale of VLBI networks are significantly affected.  相似文献   

No significant ice-sheet expansion beyond present ice margins during the past 4500 yr at Rauer Group, East Antarctica     

Sonja Berg  Bernd Wagner  Martin Melles 《Quaternary Research》2010,74(1):23-25

The history of glacial advances and retreats of the East Antarctic ice sheet during the Holocene is not well-known, due to limited field evidence in both the marine and terrestrial realm. A 257-cm-long sediment core was recovered from a marine inlet in the Rauer Group, East Antarctica, 1.8 km in front of the present ice-sheet margin. Radiocarbon dating and lithological characteristics reveal that the core comprises a complete marine record since 4500 yr. A significant ice-sheet expansion beyond present ice margins therefore did not occur during this period.  相似文献   

Immuno-localisations (GSSP) of subcellular accumulation sites of phenanthrene, aroclor 1254 and lead (Pb) in relation to cytopathologies in the gills and digestive gland of the mussel Mytilus edulis     

Einsporn S  Koehler A 《Marine environmental research》2008,66(1):185-186

Cell and tissue pathology of both, gill and digestive tissue, has been the subject of many studies for the elucidation of contaminant-induced biological effects. In the present study, cellular pathological alterations were linked to subcellular sites of chemical accumulation in gills and digestive gland tissues. For this purpose, mussels (Mytilus edulis) were exposed to the organic contaminants aroclor 1254 (PCB) (20 microg/L), phenanthrene (PAH) (150 microg/L) or the metal lead (Pb) (2.5mg/L). The localization of chemicals at the subcellular level was analysed by an antibody-based detection system (GSSP) by the use of commercially available antibodies specifically directed against the chemicals. Pathological changes were analysed in parallel in identical samples by transmission electron microscopy. After exposure to the different contaminants, cell organelles such as mitochondria, the endo-lysosomal system as well as endoplasmic reticulum showed clear evidence of chemically-induced alterations. Large numbers of crystalloid inclusions were found in mitochondria and in autophagic lysosomes as well as multi-lamellated whorls after PAH and aroclor exposure. Immunocytochemical detection of the chemicals showed their accumulation inside of various cell organelles such as lysosomes, mitochondria, and nuclei. Additionally, chemicals were localized in association to membranes, cilia and microvilli of gill and digestive gland cells. Furthermore, the chitinous rod and mucus secretions of gill epithelial cells were positively labelled for contaminants indicating their role in protection. Localization of contaminants by immuno-detection in combination with pathological diagnosis gives insights into the cellular targets of chemical attack.  相似文献   

MSST observations of the pulsating sdB star PG 1605+072     

S.J. O’Toole  S. Falter  U. Heber  C.S. Jeffery  S. Dreizler  S.L. Schuh 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2004,291(3-4):457-464

We present the first results from the MultiSite Spectroscopic Telescope (MSST) observations of the sdBV star PG 1605+072. Pulsating sdB stars (also known as EC 14026 stars) offer the chance to gain new insights into the formation and evolution of extreme Horizontal Branch stars using the tools of asteroseismology. PG 1605+072 is an outstanding object in its class, with the richest frequency spectrum, the longest periods, and the largest variations. The MSST campaign took place in May/June 2002 immediately following the Whole Earth Telescope Xcov22 run, which observed PG 1605+072 as an alternate target. We will first give an overview of the project and its feasibility, after which we will present the massive data set, made up of 399 h of photometry and 151 h of spectroscopy. The overall aims of the project are to examine light/velocity amplitude ratios and phase differences, changes in equivalent width/line index, and λ-dependence of photometric amplitudes, and to use these properties for mode identification.  相似文献