Elman神经网络在低渗储层敏感性预测中的应用   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

周锋德  姚光庆  王国昌  赵志魁  王立武  苗洪波 《地质科技情报》2007,26(6):91-94

油气储层敏感性是制约低渗储层有效开发的重要因素之一,但在勘探开发早期储层敏感性预测及分布规律的研究受到资料不足的限制.从实验敏感性分析结果入手,对Elman神经网络预测储层敏感性的过程及方法进行了系统的分析,并提出了通过设置虚拟井来预测储层敏感性平面分布的方法.结果表明:①影响低渗储层敏感性的主要因素有蒙皂石、伊利石、高岭石、绿泥石、伊-蒙混层、石英、长石的体积分数,孔隙度和渗透率;②Elman神经网络能够很好地预测低渗储层的敏感性,预测结果与实测结果绝对误差的平均值均低于0.04,水敏性样品的预测结果与实测结果绝对误差的平均值为0.001;③通过设置虚拟井位,能够很好地预测储层敏感性的平面分布规律.  相似文献   

热带大西洋海温异常季节内演变对中国江南地区夏季持续性高温事件影响的初步研究     

王慧美  刘舸  彭京备  纪立人 《大气科学》2021,45(2):300-314

中国江南地区是高温热浪灾害的高影响区.以往的一些研究发现了不同海域海温异常在年际或年代际尺度上的变化对中国南方夏季平均温度异常的影响效应.但是,关于这些关键海域海温季节内尺度变化对江南地区高温事件发生和维持影响的研究尚不多见.为此,本文利用中国站点观测、美国气象环境预报中心和美国国家大气研究中心(NCEP/NCAR)再...  相似文献   

河南夏季高温日数的时空分布特征及500 hPa环流型   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

常军  李素萍  王纪军  余卫东  葛强生 《气象与环境科学》2007,30(2):30-34

对河南省40个代表站1961-2005年夏季≥35℃高温日数进行经验正交函数(EOF)展开分析,结果显示,前3个典型场基本能反映河南夏季高温日数分布的主要特征,前3个模态的累积方差贡献率达85%.据此,得出河南夏季≥35℃高温日数的时空分布类型为全省一致型、西北至东南差异型和西南至东北差异型.第一模态对应的时间系数序列的变化幅度最大,第二模态对应的时间系数序列的变化幅度比前一个时间序列要小.第一模态的时间系数演变显示,河南夏季高温日数平均呈减少趋势,且存在2～4 a、8～14 a的周期变化,目前河南夏季高温日数正处于偏多状态中.应用逐日20时500 hPa ECMWF北半球格点资料,对1991-2005年河南典型的大面积持续高温下的环流形势进行普查、分类,分别求各种类型下的环流平均场,从而得到河南省高温的两种环流型,即贝加尔湖高压型和副热带高压型.  相似文献   

Dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) and its carbon isotopic composition in sediment pore waters from the Shenhu area,northern South China Sea   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Tao Yang  Shao-Yong Jiang  Jing-Hong Yang  Ge Lu  Neng-You Wu  Jian Liu  Dao-Hua Chen 《Journal of Oceanography》2008,64(2):303-310

The Shenhu area is one of the most favorable places for the occurrence of gas hydrates in the northern continental slope of the South China Sea. Pore water samples were collected in two piston cores (SH-A and SH-B) from this area, and the concentrations of sulfate and dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) and its carbon isotopic composition were measured. The data revealed large DIC variations and very negative δ ¹³C-DIC values. Two reaction zones, 0–3 mbsf and below 3 mbsf, are identified in the sediment system. At site SH-A, the upper zone (0–3 mbsf) shows relatively constant sulfate and DIC concentrations and δ ¹³C-DIC values, possibly due to bioturbation and fluid advection. The lower zone (below 3 mbsf) displays good linear gradients for sulfate and DIC concentrations, and δ ¹³C-DIC values. At site SH-B, both zones show linear gradients, but the decreasing gradients for δ ¹³C-DIC and SO₄ ²⁻ in the lower zone below 3 mbsf are greater than those from the upper zone, 0–3 mbsf. The calculated sulfate-methane interface (SMI) depths of the two cores are 10.0 m and 11.1 m, respectively. The depth profiles of both DIC and δ ¹³C-DIC showed similar characteristics as those in other gas hydrate locations in the world oceans, such as the Blake Ridge. Overall, our results indicate an anaerobic methane oxidation (AMO) process in the sediments with large methane flux from depth in the studied area, which might be linked to the formation of gas hydrates in this area.  相似文献   

Geochemistry of pore waters from the Xisha Trough, northern South China Sea and their implications for gas hydrates   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Shao-Yong Jiang  Tao Yang  Lu Ge  Jing-Hong Yang  Hong-Fei Ling  Neng-You Wu  Jian Liu  Dao-Hua Chen 《Journal of Oceanography》2008,64(3):459-470

This paper reports all available geochemical data on sediments and pore waters from the Xisha Trough on the northern continental margin of the South China Sea. The methane concentrations in marine sediments display a downhole increasing trend and their carbon isotopic compositions (δ ¹³C = −25 to −51‰) indicate a thermogenic origin. Pore water Cl⁻ concentrations show a range from 537 to 730 mM, and the high Cl⁻ samples also have higher concentrations of Br⁻, Na⁺, K⁺, and Mg²⁺, implying mixing between normal seawater and brine in the basin. The SO₄ ²⁻ concentrations of pore waters vary from 19.9 to 36.8 mM, and show a downhole decreasing trend. Calculated SMI (sulfate-methane interfaces) depths and sulfate gradients are between 21 and 47 mbsf, and between −0.7 and −1.7 mM/m, respectively, which are similar to values in gas hydrate locations worldwide and suggest a high methane flux in the basin. Overall, the geochemical data, together with geological and geophysical evidence, such as the high sedimentation rates, high organic carbon contents, thick sediment piles, salt and mud diapirs, active faulting, abundant thermogenic gases, and occurrence of huge bottom simulating reflector (BSR), are suggestive of a favorable condition for occurrence of gas hydrates in this region.  相似文献   

基于机理的合成孔径雷达系统成像误差理论分析     

葛咏  王劲峰 《地球信息科学学报》2000,2(1):28-32

目前在遥感和GIS中,关于误差和不确定性研究的主要方法有两种: 概率统计和机理模拟。本文论述了二者的特点,详细讨论了影响合成孔径雷达成像的诸多因素,提出利用机理的方法分析SAR系统成像误差。本方法是从合成孔径雷达成像机理的研究出发,利用控制论的观点来解释、分析影响合成孔径雷达成像的诸多误差因素并建立误差传播模型。这不仅对研制合成孔径雷达的设计具有指导意义,而且对遥感数据的质量控制也有重要意义。  相似文献   

新疆拜城黑孜尔水库垂直形变观测与现今断层活动特征     

尹光华  蒋伯军  葛鸣 《大地测量与地球动力学》2000,20(2):66-71

根据跨断层定点水准、基线观测资料和垂直形变的水准高程观测数据分析,黑孜尔断裂 Ｆ２定点水准的垂直位移量为 ０． １４ ｍｍ／ａ,基线缩短量为 ０． ４８ ｍｍ／ａ,断层滑动角■≈３７°,现今垂直形变速率为 ０． ６９３ ｍｍ／ａ。结合地震活动和区域地质构造研究,认为黑孜尔断裂近期水平活动强度大于垂直运动强度,该区在未来１～３年内仍可能发生６级以上地震。  相似文献   

2017-08-09新疆精河Ms6.6地震附近区域相对应变的变化分析     

高丽娟  邢喜民  高歌  李尚伟 《大地测量与地球动力学》2019,39(10):1002-1006

2017年精河M_S6.6地震震前,尼勒克、巴伦台和小泉沟台钻孔应变仪记录到显著的应变变化,经现场落实确认,异常是可靠的。根据这3个台的记录资料计算相对应变的变化,结果表明,地震前最大（小）主应变大小和方向分别出现明显加速和急剧偏转变化。此外还发现,相对应变场异常期间主方向与震源机制解P轴方位较为一致。  相似文献   

Degradation induces changes in the soil C:N:P stoichiometry of alpine steppe on the Tibetan Plateau     

ZHANG Zhen-chao  HOU Ge  LIU Miao  WEI Tian-xing  SUN Jian 《山地科学学报》2019,(10)

Due to the Tibetan Plateau's unique high altitude and low temperature climate conditions,the region's alpine steppe ecosystem is highly fragile and is suffering from severe degradation under the stress of increasing population,overgrazing,and climate change.The soil stoichiometry,a crucial part of ecological stoichiometry,provides a fundamental approach for understanding ecosystem processes by examining the relative proportions and balance of the three elements.Understanding the impact of degradation on the soil stoichiometry is vital for conservation and management in the alpine steppe on the Tibetan Plateau.This study aims to examine the response of soil stoichiometry to degradation and explore the underlying biotic and abiotic mechanisms in the alpine steppe.We conducted a field survey in a sequent degraded alpine steppe with seven levels inNorthern Tibet.The plant species,aboveground biomass,and physical and chemical soil properties such as the moisture content,temperature,pH,compactness,total carbon(C),total nitrogen(N),and total phosphorus(P)were measured and recorded.The results showed that the contents of soil C/N,C/P,and N/P consistently decreased along intensifying degradation gradients.Using regression analysis and a structural equation model(SEM),we found that the C/N,C/P,and N/P ratios were positively affected by the soil compactness,soil moisture content and species richness of graminoids but negatively affected by soil pH and the proportion of aboveground biomass of forbs.The soil temperature had a negative effect on the C/N ratio but showed positive effect on the C/P and N/P ratios.The current study shows that degradation-induced changes in abiotic and biotic conditions such as soil warming and drying,which accelerated the soil organic carbon mineralization,as well as the increase in the proportion of forbs,whichwere difficult to decompose and input less organic carbon into soil,resulted in the decreases in soil C/N,C/P,and N/P contents to a great extent.Our results provide a sound basis for sustainable conservation and management of the alpine steppe.  相似文献   

Estimation of Grassland Production in Central and Eastern Mongolia from 2006 to 2015 via Remote Sensing     

LI Ge  WANG Juanle  WANG Yanjie  WEI Haishuo 《资源与生态学报(英文版)》2019,10(6):676-684

Mongolia is an important part of the Belt and Road Initiative “China-Mongolia-Russia Economic Corridor” and a region that has been severely affected by global climate change. Changes in grassland production have had a profound impact on the sustainable development of the region. Our study explored an optimal model for estimating grassland production in Mongolia and discovered its temporal and spatial distributions. Three estimation models were established using a statistical analysis method based on EVI, MSAVI, NDVI, and PsnNet from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) remote sensing data and measured data. A model evaluation and accuracy comparison showed that an exponential model based on MSAVI was the best simulation (model accuracy 78%). This was selected to estimate the grassland production in central and eastern Mongolia from 2006 to 2015. The results show that the grassland production in the study area had a significantly fluctuating trend for the decade study; a slight overall increasing trend was observed. For the first five years, the grassland production decreased slowly, whereas in the latter five years, significant fluctuations were observed. The grassland production (per unit yield) gradually increased from the southwest to northeast. In most provinces of the study area, the production was above 1000 kg ha ^-1, with the largest production in Hentiy, at 3944.35 kg ha ^-1. The grassland production (total yield) varied greatly among the provinces, with Kent showing the highest production, 2341.76×10 ⁴ t. Results also indicate that the trend in grassland production along the China-Mongolia railway was generally consistent with that of the six provinces studied.  相似文献