Prediction of global patterns of dominant quasi-biweekly oscillation by the NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Xiaolong Jia  Song Yang  Xun Li  Yunyun Liu  Hui Wang  Xiangwen Liu  Scott Weaver 《Climate Dynamics》2013,41(5-6):1635-1650

Daily output from the hindcasts by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) is analyzed to understand the skill of forecasting atmospheric variability on quasi-biweekly (QBW) time scale. Eight dominant quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO) modes identified by the extended empirical orthogonal function analysis are focused. In the CFSv2, QBW variability exhibits a significant weakening tendency with lead time for all seasons. For most QBWO modes, the variance drops to only 50 % of the initial value at lead time of 11–15 days. QBW variability has better prediction skill in the winter hemisphere than in the summer hemisphere. Skillful forecast can reach about 10–15 days for most modes but those in the winter hemisphere have better forecast skills. Among the eight QBWO modes, the North Pacific mode and the South Pacific (SP) mode have the highest forecast skills while the Asia–Pacific mode and the Central American mode have the lowest skills. For the Asia–Pacific and Central American modes, the forecasted QBWO phase shows an obvious eastward shift with increase in lead time compared to observations, indicating a smaller propagating speed. However, the predicted feature for the SP mode is more realistic. Air–sea coupling on the QBW time scale is perhaps responsible for the different prediction skills for different QBWO modes. In addition, most QBWO modes have better forecasting skills in El Niño years than in La Niña years. Different dynamical mechanisms for various QBWO modes may be partially responsible for the differences in prediction skill among different QBWO modes.  相似文献   

塔里木盆地西北缘新元古界层序地层划分及区域对比意义     

沈卫兵  王义凤  谢鸿哲  王勋  何源 《地质学报》2023,97(12):3967-3983

进行塔里木盆地新元古界层序划分及区域对比,有助于盆地形成早期环境演化研究与深部油气勘探。本文以塔里木盆地西北缘为例,通过新元古界沉积特征详尽剖析,划分了地层序列,进一步结合前人成果,对盆地周缘新元古界层序地层进行了区域对比。结果表明,受塔里木新元古代裂谷盆地演化的“裂陷—裂拗转换—拗陷”三个阶段控制,盆地西北缘新元古界可划分为三个二级层序：层序Sq1形成于成冰纪早期裂陷阶段,由成冰系东巧恩布拉克组和牧羊滩组构成,分布于孤立的小型地垒-地堑盆地,主要发育冰川及浅水陆棚沉积;层序Sq2形成于成冰纪晚期—埃迪卡拉纪早期裂—拗转换阶段,由成冰系尤尔美那克组与埃迪卡拉系苏盖特布拉克组构成,因盆地连通性加强而分布范围增大,发育冰川、潮坪及浅水陆棚沉积;层序Sq3形成于埃迪卡拉纪晚期拗陷阶段,由埃迪卡拉系奇格布拉克组构成,地层向隆起上超且分布范围广,发育碳酸盐岩台地沉积。根据塔里木盆地新元古代沉积-构造演化背景及年代地层格架,盆地西北缘阿克苏地区新元古界三分的层序充填样式可与盆地东北缘库鲁克塔格地区、西南缘叶城地区对比,其中Sq1层序及Sq2层序底部冰川杂砾岩分别与全球成冰纪Sturtian和Mar...  相似文献   

基于遥感解译的中国农房空间分布特征分析     

李郇  许伟攀  黄耀福  陈浩辉  秦小珍  李颖  邓明亮  姜俊浩  秦雅雯 《地理学报》2022,77(4):835-851

中国农房分布研究是乡村振兴的基础性工作之一。本文利用Mask R-CNN深度学习框架,采用亚米级遥感影像,基于中国各省农房的人文地理特征,分省训练出适用于本地的农房遥感解译模型,共识别1484个县的1.54亿栋农房,总建筑面积达298.2亿m²,创建出以单体农房为基础的多尺度中国农房数据库。本文分别以县域、镇域和聚落为单元进行农房密度分析：县域单元的农房密度呈现“东密西疏”的分布特征,与胡焕庸线揭示的人口分布格局相符;镇域单元的农房密度沿三大地形阶梯自西向东递增,分布从集中走向平均,与农业区划的农业生产力、地形地貌特征高度耦合;聚落单元的农房分布则呈现“南密北疏”特征形态,与气候条件、地形地貌、人均耕地等相关联。中国农房数据库的建设将为“可计算的”乡村研究奠定基础。  相似文献   

基于数值模拟的暴雨泥石流暴发频率计算模型     

黄勋  唐川  周伟 《工程地质学报》2014,22(6):1271-1278

在缺失可靠降雨数据的地区,为解决泥石流暴发频率这一现实问题,从泥石流形成机理出发,由泥石流堆积特征反演形成条件,构建了基于数值模拟的泥石流暴发频率计算模型。该模型利用泥石流固体物质量估算模型和流域洪水流量推算模型,确定固体物质量、洪水流量、泥沙体积浓度后,通过FLO-2D流体模型计算得到与实际情况最符合的模拟情景,即可反推出已发泥石流事件的暴发频率。并以7 4石棉县马颈子沟和熊家沟泥石流为例,计算出两处泥石流的暴发频率皆为100年一遇,案例研究表明,该模型具备定量确定泥石流暴发频率的能力,对于泥石流预警预报和防灾减灾具有较强的理论和实践意义。  相似文献   

福建省晋江市浅层地下水硝酸盐含量特征及其水化学指示意义   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

周迅  朱春芳 《地球学报》2014,35(2):177-182

地下水中硝酸盐的含量不仅对水质产生影响,也会显著影响地下水的水化学分类,本文以福建省晋江市为例,对浅层地下水中硝酸盐含量特征及与其他水化学指标的关系进行了分析。结果显示:地下水中硝酸盐绝对含量总体偏高,在阴离子毫克当量百分比中所占比重已超过硫酸盐,对地下水水化学类型产生显著影响。NO3–相对含量较高的样品,往往具有低矿化度,低pH值,高r(Na+)、r(Cl–)比,且属于氯化物型水的特征。利用r(NO3–)/r(Cl–)可判别地下水在天然条件下的浓缩或稀释效应,亦可结合目标污染物的绝对含量变化,判断其是否属于人为污染抑或天然水动力条件下的浓缩稀释效应。  相似文献   

关于丹霞地貌概念和分类的探讨   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

赵汀  赵逊  彭华  侯荣丰 《地球学报》2014,35(3):375-382

现代丹霞地貌研究始于20世纪二、三十年代,地质学家冯景兰先生和陈国达教授是最早命名并进行丹霞地貌研究的科学家,也是从那时候丹霞地貌这一地貌术语正式由我国地学家首先命名和定义,但是对丹霞地貌概念的理解达数十种之多,各有侧重。本文基于大地构造运动和新构造运动的认识提出了典型和扩展丹霞地貌的概念和分类,在前人工作的基础上对丹霞地貌的准确定义和适用范围进行了进一步的研究和探讨。  相似文献   

The heritage and cultural values of ancient Chinese maps     

Lili Jiang  Qizhang Liang  Qingwen Qi  Yanjun Ye  Xun Liang 《地理学报(英文版)》2017,27(12):1521-1540

Ancient Chinese cartography dates back to the Western Jin Dynasty in the third century. Cartography was initiated during this period by Pei Xiu, a minister and cartographic expert, who suggested six principles of cartography. Pei Xiu, who is known as the father of Chinese cartography, oversaw the completion of the “Yu Gong Regional Maps”, along with 18 articles and the “Terrain Fangzhang Map” (AD 224–271). This led to a number of subsequent cartographic initiatives including the “Wooden Fangzhang Map” (an administrative map) which was completed by Xie Zhuang, a minister during the Southern Dynasties (AD 502–557), “Haineihuayi Tu” (Map of China and its neighbouring countries) (AD 730–805), drawn by Jia Dan, a cartographer of the Tang Dynasty, and “Shouling Tu” (an administrative map, AD 1031–1095), drawn by Shen Kuo, a scientist during the Northern Song Dynasty. Throughout the 16th century, ancient Chinese cartography developed continuously and cumulatively, and formed the specific characteristics of China ancient cartography. Although Western latitude- based and longitude-based mapping techniques introduced to China in AD 1460, the theories and methods of Chinese and Western mapping systems co-existed for over 400 years. The cultural heritage of Chinese cartography can be seen in many famous ancient Chinese maps, including astronomical figures and atlases (world, Chinese, regional, military, water conservancy, historical, and educational maps), charts, and maps of scenic spots. These have hitherto been kept in well-known archives and institutions across the world. They form an important part of the global cultural heritage of ancient maps and cartography. Given their high cultural value, these maps remain an important point of study. This paper provides a preliminary discussion on the rarity, application, and the historical, scientific, and artistic value of ancient Chinese maps.  相似文献   

人为补水对扎龙河漫滩湿地植被的影响   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

卜兆君  田讯 《湿地科学与管理》2007,3(4):44-48

通过对扎龙河漫滩湿地植被定位观测,对比研究人为补水对湿地植被的影响。人为补水后,湿地植被发生了湿生化演替趋势。湿草甸植物生活型谱中,地面芽植物有所增加,挺水植物沼泽则无明显变化;湿地与草地过渡带植物生活型组成对水位增加反应敏感,典型湿地植被生活型组成变化不大。研究表明,水位波动强烈的河漫滩湿地中,水文学的微弱改变可以导致湿地植被的明显变化。湿地的人为补水应结合准确的气候预测,进行湿地生态需水量研究,确定合理的补水量和补水时间。  相似文献   

GPS历书计算与卫星星座预报仿真     

黄汛  高启孝  李安 《全球定位系统》2007,32(5):19-23

利用Matlab软件解算GPS历书信息,对GPS卫星星座进行预报仿真。给出了计算仿真的整体流程和部分主要实现代码,最后通过实际接收卫星数据的计算,得出了预报仿真结果。此方法既能直观理解星座运动分布,也能满足工程实践中快速捕获卫星的需求。  相似文献   

新疆东准噶尔顿巴斯套金矿地质特征及矿床成因     

刘文祥  邓小华  吴艳爽  韩申  陈西  李巽  王永  陈衍景 《地质论评》2021,67(3):695-721

新疆东准噶尔地区自北向南发育额尔齐斯、阿尔曼太、卡拉麦里三条大型构造带,南北两条构造带已发现大量造山型金矿,而阿尔曼太构造带与南北构造带具有相似的成矿地质背景,却未见造山型金矿的报道.因此,笔者等选取了该构造带最重要的金矿床——顿巴斯套金矿,开展了详细的岩相学、矿相学研究以及构造解析.研究表明,该矿床具有区域性断裂的次...  相似文献