Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in the contiguous United States     

Sukru Uzun  Tugkan Tanir  Gustavo de A. Coelho  Andre de Souza de Lima  Felicio Cassalho  Celso M. Ferreira 《水文研究》2021,35(11):e14430

Changes in timing of snowmelt-fed streamflow have great importance for water supply, flood management, and ecological processes, as well as being a common indicator of climate change. In this study, snowmelt runoff timing change in the contiguous United States between 1957 and 2016 was investigated by analysing data from 97 streamflow gages. The annual snowmelt runoff timing shift was identified using ‘Center Time (CT)’ and ‘Spring Pulse Onset (SPO)’ methods, jointly with the monthly fractional streamflow (MFS) analysis, conducted between January and June. Since snowmelt-derived streamflow timing change is mainly induced by regional meteorological factors, such as air temperature and precipitation, their trends and relationship with CT were also examined. Shifts toward earlier snowmelt runoff timing were found by both methods, CT (8.3 days on average) and SPO (8.5 days on average). Although the results of the CT change are stronger than the SPO change, both outcomes are mostly correlated, particularly in the central and northwestern parts of the country. MFS trends support the outcomes of CT and SPO. In January, February, and especially March, a higher number of the stations indicated increasing trends in MFS. In April, May, and June, their number decreased and the number of gages with diminishing trends rose sharply. The timing difference is highly related to temperature change. Annual average temperature and temperature in the melting period increase considerably. The annual average temperature is significantly negatively correlated with CT in the vast majority of the regions. Although precipitation is not as effective as the temperature, its trends have impacts on snowmelt runoff timing change depending on the region and elevation. These results demonstrate the importance of the impacts of snowmelt runoff timing changes due to global warming on the regional and large-scale hydrology in the contiguous United States.  相似文献   

Special Issue on the JEM-EUSO Mission     

Andreas Haungs  Gustavo Medina-Tanco  Andrea Santangelo 《Experimental Astronomy》2015,39(1):1-10

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Reconstruction of Late-Quaternary sea- and lake-level changes in a tectonically active marginal basin using seismic stratigraphy: The Gulf of Cariaco,NE Venezuela     

Maarten Van Daele  Aurélien van Welden  Jasper Moernaut  Christian Beck  Franck Audemard  Javier Sanchez  François Jouanne  Eduardo Carrillo  Gustavo Malavé  Andrés Lemus  Marc De Batist 《Marine Geology》2011,279(1-4):37-51

The Gulf of Cariaco is a marginal basin located between the Cariaco Basin and the Paria Gulf, offshore NE Venezuela, along a system of active right-lateral strike-slip faults. It is connected to the Caribbean Sea via a shallow 58-m-deep sill implying that the gulf was disconnected from the global ocean during eustatic lowstands. A dense grid of high-resolution reflection seismic profiles has been used to determine the overall tectonic structure of the gulf and to establish the seismic stratigraphy of its sedimentary infill. Six unconformity-bounded seismic–stratigraphic units were identified in the upper ~ 200 m of the sedimentary infill. Detailed seismic–stratigraphic and seismic-facies analysis allowed defining a series of sedimentary features that can be used as indicators of past sea or lake level in the Gulf of Cariaco: i) delta offlap breaks, ii) evaporites, and iii) erosional unconformities. Using accurate measurements of these various indicators at several locations in the gulf and a simple total subsidence model, a relative sea/lake-level history encompassing the last 130 kyr could be reconstructed. In periods of connection with the open ocean, reconstructed relative sea level correlates well with eustatic sea level. In times of disconnection, distinct lake-level fluctuations occurred, which sometimes resulted in total dessication of the gulf. Lake-level fluctuations appear to correlate with major Heinrich Events, stadials and interstadials. MIS 4, the LGM and the Younger Dryas were thus identified in the Gulf of Cariaco sedimentary record. The last reconnection to the Caribbean Sea occurred during MWP1b (around 11.5 kyr). The very good fit of the Cariaco sea/lake-level curve with the eustatic sea-level curves (both in terms of amplitude and of timing) underscores potential for future paleoclimate research of the sedimentary record contained in this marginal basin, despite its active tectonic setting.  相似文献   

Climate change projections over three metropolitan regions in Southeast Brazil using the non-hydrostatic Eta regional climate model at 5-km resolution     

Lyra  Andre  Tavares  Priscila  Chou  Sin Chan  Sueiro  Gustavo  Dereczynski  Claudine  Sondermann  Marcely  Silva  Adan  Marengo  José  Giarolla  Angélica 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,132(1-2):663-682

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - The objective of this work is to assess changes in three metropolitan regions of Southeast Brazil (Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, and Santos) based on the...  相似文献   

Assessing hydrological changes in a regulated river system over the last 90 years in Rimac Basin (Peru)     

Vega-Jácome  Fiorella  Lavado-Casimiro  Waldo Sven  Felipe-Obando  Oscar Gustavo 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,132(1-2):347-362

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - Hydrological changes were assessed considering possible changes in precipitation and regulation or hydraulic diversion projects developed in the basin since...  相似文献   

Map-based multicriteria analysis to support interactive land use allocation     

Gustavo Arciniegas  Ron Janssen  Nancy Omtzigt 《International journal of geographical information science》2013,27(12):1931-1947

This article focuses on the use of map-based multicriteria analysis to develop a negotiation support tool for land use allocation. Spatial multicriteria analysis is used to make explicit trade-offs between objectives and to provide guidance and feedback on the land use changes negotiated by the participants. Digital maps are the means of communication among workshop participants, and an interactive mapping device (the ‘Touch table’) is used as the interface. Participants are informed about the relevant trade-offs on the map and use this information to change the land use maps. The approach is tested during a negotiation session as part of the land use planning process of the Bodegraven polder, a peat meadow area in the Netherlands.  相似文献   

The evolution of barium and europium in local dwarf spheroidal galaxies     

Gustavo A. Lanfranchi  Francesca Matteucci  Gabriele Cescutti 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2006,365(2):477-488

By means of a detailed chemical evolution model, we follow the evolution of barium (Ba) and europium (Eu) in four Local Group Dwarf Spheroidal (dSph) galaxies, in order to set constraints on the nucleosynthesis of these elements and on the evolution of this type of galaxies compared with the Milky Way. The model, which is able to reproduce several observed abundance ratios and the present-day total mass and gas mass content of these galaxies, adopts up-to-date nucleosynthesis and takes into account the role played by supernovae (SNe) of different types (II, Ia) allowing us to follow in detail the evolution of several chemical elements (H, D, He, C, N, O, Mg, Si, S, Ca, Fe, Ba and Eu). By assuming that Ba is a neutron-capture element produced in low-mass asymptotic giant branch stars by s-process but also in massive stars (in the mass range 10–30 M_⊙) by r-process, during the explosive event of SNe of Type II, and that Eu is a pure r-process element synthesized in massive stars also in the range of masses 10–30 M_⊙, we are able to reproduce the observed [Ba/Fe] and [Eu/Fe] as functions of [Fe/H] in all four galaxies studied. We confirm also the important role played by the very low star formation (SF) efficiencies (ν= 0.005–0.5 Gyr⁻¹) and by the intense galactic winds (6–13 times the star formation rate) in the evolution of these galaxies. These low SF efficiencies (compared to the one for the Milky Way disc) adopted for the dSph galaxies are the main reason for the differences between the trends of [Ba/Fe] and [Eu/Fe] predicted and observed in these galaxies and in the metal-poor stars of our Galaxy. Finally, we provide predictions for Sagittarius galaxy for which data of only two stars are available.  相似文献   

Tunnel stability analysis during construction using a neuro‐fuzzy system     

Jos Luis Rangel  Ursula Iturrarn‐Viveros  A. Gustavo Ayala  Francisco Cervantes 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2005,29(15):1433-1456

This paper presents an alternative strategy to evaluate the stability of tunnels during the design and construction stages based on a hybrid system, composed by neural, neuro‐fuzzy and analytical solutions. A prototype of this system is designed using a database formed by 261 cases, 45 real and the rest synthetic. This system is capable of reproducing the displacements induced at the periphery of the tunnel before and after support installation. The stability of the excavation process is evaluated using a criterion that considers dimensionless parameters based on the shear strength of the media, the induced deformation level in the ground, the plastic radii and the advance of excavation without support. The efficiency and validity of the prototype is verified with two examples of actual tunnels, one included in the database used to train the system and the other not included. The results of both examples show a better approximation than other commonly used techniques. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

An Analytical Model of Galaxy Formation     

Eduard Salvador-Solé  Alberto Manrique  Andreu Raig  Gullermo González-Casado  José María Solanes  Gustavo A. Bruzual 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2001,276(2-4):1065-1071

We present an analytical model of galaxy formation and evolution. After giving a rapid overview of the strategy employed and the main ingredients included in the model, we focus on describing the main differences between this model and other similar ones available. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

Entropy of gas and dark matter in galaxy clusters     

Andreas Faltenbacher  Yehuda Hoffman  Stefan Gottlöber  Gustavo Yepes 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2007,376(3):1327-1334

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