引入调节变量的入境旅游对消费物价影响分析——基于1999~2014年香港季度数据的实证研究   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

查瑞波  孙根年  董治宝  黄驰 《地理科学》2016,36(7):1050-1056

引入调节变量,采用香港1999~2014年的季度统计数据建立一个新实证模型,利用Pearson相关性分析方法、计量经济学非平稳数据分析方法和Granger因果关系检验方法系统分析了入境旅游、经济增长和消费物价之间的关系。研究结果表明：① 入境旅游、经济增长和消费物价之间存在相关性和稳定的长期均衡关系;入境旅游对消费物价的带动性高于经济增长。② 入境旅游与消费物价、经济增长和消费物价、入境旅游和经济增长之间都存在单向Granger因果关系,入境旅游发展必然带动经济增长并影响消费物价。③ 入境旅游对消费物价产生影响的原因主要是入境游客规模扩大和结构单一;负面影响主要表现在影响当地底层民众生活品质、损害当地旅游形象和主客感情;对策主要为拓展入境旅游类型并使旅游发展红利惠及底层民众。  相似文献   

Otolith Microstructure Analysis Reveals Different Growth Histories of Japanese Sardine (Sardinops melanostictus) in the Oyashio Waters     

LIU Chunlin  ZHANG Chi  TIAN Yongjun  WANG Liangming  LIN Longshan  LI Yuan  WATANABE Yoshiro 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2022,21(1):236-242

After decades of low year classes,the stock of Japanese sardine(Sardinops melanostictus)has begun to recover since the mid-2000s.The hatch dates and otolith growth rates of age-0 juvenile sardine,which were collected in the subarctic Oyashio waters in autumn 2018,were determined from an otolith microstructure analysis.The sardines were hatched from late January to late April,while mostly in February and March.The otolith growth rate increased continuously up to 60 d after hatching and thereafter de-creased.The revealed growth rate in a crucial growth period is faster than that reported for juvenile sardines collected in the 1990s,which is coincided with the recent recovery trend of the sardine stock.Two groups with different hatch dates,growth histories,and migration routes were identified using unsupervised random forest clustering analysis.They were considered inshore and offshore migration individuals in accordance with recent researches.In the offshore group,a high proportion of sardine juveniles hatched late and grew faster in the Kuroshio-Oyashio transitional waters,a finding consistent with the hypothesis of growth-rate-dependent re-cruitment.This finding on the population composition and growth rate of juvenile sardine in the Oyashio waters can be a basis for an improved prediction of their survival and provides us with valuable information on the recruitment processes of this stock during the period of stock recovery.  相似文献   

云南白牛厂超大型银多金属矿床黄铁矿的标型特征及其成因意义     

白金刚  池三川  梅建明 《地质与资源》1995,4(4):302-306

本文通过对白牛厂银多金属矿床黄铁矿的化学成分标型、微量元素标型和热电性标型的研究得出该矿床属热液喷流沉积矿床。  相似文献   

第四纪地质图件和生态与环境图系的编制及展望          下载免费PDF全文

闵隆瑞  刘东生 《第四纪研究》1999,(3):198-207

近２０年来,随着全球水资源,地质灾害,土壤利用及沙漠化等问题的日益严重,国内外不少部门和专家相应地编制了第四纪地质图件和生态瑟环境系列图件,提高一第四纪研究的水平,也为国土整治提供了科学依据。本篇主要通过这些图件来分析当前第四纪地质图和生态与环境系列图编制的动态和问题。  相似文献   

Sedimentary cycle pattern and stacked style of sand-body of the Lower Jurassic Sangonghe Formation in belly of Junggar Basin          下载免费PDF全文

Xu Shu-Mei  Li Meng  Wang Jin-Duo  Ren Xin-Cheng  Chi Xin-Qi  Shu Peng-Cheng  Wang Jie-Qing  Liu Xian 《古地理学报》1999,22(2):221-234

The coarse grain braided river delta in Jurassic Sangonghe Formation of Junggar Basin formed the main Mesozoic reservoir system. At present,there are obvious different opinions on the sedimentary cycle characteristics of Jurassic Sangonghe Formation,and there is a lack of research on the driving mechanisms of sedimentary cyclicity,which leads to a great dispute on the stacked style of sand-bodies. Using 38 wells coring and logging data in the belly of Junggar Basin,based on principles and methods of sedimentology and sedimentary basin analysis,the characteristics of sedimentary cycle in Sangonghe Formation are systematically analyzed. The stacked style and combination rule of sand-bodies are studied in detail within sedimentary cyclic framework. The characteristics of basement subsidence and multi-stage uplifting during the Early Jurassic of Junggar Basin are discussed,so as to clear the driving mechanisms of positive sedimentary cycle. The Sangonghe Formation in the study area is divided into four system tract level positive cycles with no reverse cycle deposition,which reflects the sedimentary characteristics of slow lacustrine transgress and fast lacustrine retrogress. The sand-bodies in the braided river delta front of the Sangonghe Formation show five stacking patterns: Strong erosion of superimposed sand-body by subaqueous distributary channel,weak erosion of superimposed sand-body by subaqueous distributary channel,superimposed river-mouth bar on subaqueous distributary channel,distal bar-blanket sand assemblage,beach bar sand-body. The first cycle is the intermittent distribution of beach bar sand-bodies. The second cycle includes continuous distribution of strong erosion of superimposed sand-body by subaqueous distributary channel,weak erosion of superimposed sand-body by subaqueous distributary channel,and superimposed river-mouth bar on subaqueous distributary channel. The third cycle is composed of relatively continuous distribution of weak erosion of superimposed sand-body by subaqueous distributary channel and distal bar-blanket sand assemblage. The fourth cycle is scattered distribution of beach bar sand-body. It is possible because of the slow subsidence and intermittent rapid uplift of the basement of Junggar Basin that regressive superposition and the scour interface between each sedimentary cycle are formed.  相似文献   

松辽盆地三肇地区油田储层裂缝及地应力特征   总被引：10，自引：2，他引：8  

王秀娟  孙贻铃 《高校地质学报》1999,5(3):328-333

在大量裂缝发育特征的观察和统计工作基础上,结合油田开发动态和古构造发育史分析等,应用岩芯古地磁定向,差应变和波速各和异性等研究方法,结果认为三肇地区扶杨油层发育的裂缝走向以近东西向为主,多具高倾角,并可构成规模较大的主裂缝,其在油田注水开发中起着不可轻视的作用。分析表明,裂缝发育的密度与砂层的厚度成反比,与构造曲率成正比。区域最大水平主应力为北西西向,近东西向裂缝为油田最有效裂缝组系。  相似文献   

应用GIS研究矿产资源潜力--以云南澜沧江流域为例   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

池顺都  赵鹏大  刘粤湘 《地球科学》1999,24(5):493-497

应用地理信息系统(GIS)技术,深入地研究了云南澜沧江流域成矿的建造和构造,划分出不同级别的地质异常单元和有利成矿的断层影响带;分析了化探异常与相关矿床的耦合度和出现率;系统地总结了已有矿点资料,建立了矿产资源潜力评价空间分析模型.在上述研究基础上作出该地区有色、稀有、贵金属资源潜力图,对资源潜力作出评价.  相似文献   

东北地区近震震级研究     

王军亮  郭明珠 《东北地震研究》1999,15(1):24-28

实际观测表明,用现行短周期仪器起算函数Ｒ１测算的近震震级ＭＬ在近距离地段数值偏低,在远距离地段偏高,随震中距出现系统偏差。本文以里克特（１９３５）零震级地震定义为震级水平控制原则,应用了辽,吉,黑,冀四省地震台网的观测资料,制定出东北地区近震震级起算函数系统。  相似文献   

支撑结构频率对海上风机动力响应的影响机理研究     

李彦娥  李涛  彭驰  李强  张杰 《海洋工程》2023,41(4):38-48

海上支撑结构的优化设计是海上风机技术发展的必然趋势,降低支撑结构的载荷是保证风机安全运行的有效途径。海上支撑结构受到风浪复杂环境荷载作用,风、浪载荷决定着塔底承受较大的剪力和倾覆力矩,同时风浪的随机性和周期性会影响塔架的疲劳载荷。基于海上风机支撑结构频率对载荷影响的研究,分析海上支撑结构频率对叶片根部挥舞和摆振响应的影响,探究频率对风机响应的影响机理。研究表明：波浪频率诱导是基础疲劳载荷响应的主要原因;开展单桩基础设计,当整机频率确定时,基础变径段可设置于浪溅区下部区域范围;叶片摆振响应受1P频率影响较大,在风机设计时可增加叶片摆振方向的阻尼;当整机频率邻近3P频率时,塔筒刚度变化对基础载荷响应的影响大于基础刚度变化;海上支撑结构设计时可优先考虑塔筒刚度。  相似文献   

三峡水库运行前后长江中下游干流及两湖的径流过程变化     

周建银  高菲  元媛  黄仁勇  闫霞 《湖泊科学》2023,35(2):696-708

为探索三峡水库运行前后长江中下游干流及两湖径流过程的变化及其驱动因素,利用宜昌、监利、大通、七里山、湖口共5个水文站的流量资料,分析了各站径流过程的变化特征及其成因。结论:(1)各站年径流量均减少,但除七里山站之外,其它各站减少比例均小于10%且变化不显著;(2)干流各站月径流量最大减幅发生在10月,而七里山站、湖口站分别发生在7月、4月;(3)干流各站月径流量最大增幅发生在3月,而七里山站、湖口站分别发生在1月、6月;(4)宜昌站,1—4月径流量增加是三峡水库入库径流增加和水库调度的共同作用结果,6—8月径流量减少的主因是三峡水库入库径流量减少,5、9、10月径流量变化的主因是三峡水库调度;(5)监利站,径流量的变化与宜昌站表现出高度的一致性,但冬季各月径流量的增幅均大于宜昌站;(6)大通站,4—6月径流量变化方向与湖口站一致,其它月份变化方向均与宜昌站一致。(7)七里山站,7月径流量减少的主因是洞庭湖流域来水减少,9、10月径流量减少的主要原因是荆江分流减少,但洞庭湖流域来水减少也是重要原因。(8)湖口站,4、5月径流量减少的主因是流域降水减少,9、10月径流量减少的主要原因是鄱阳...  相似文献