Long-term modeling of soil C erosion and sequestration at the small watershed scale   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

R. C. Izaurralde  J. R. Williams  W. M. Post  A. M. Thomson  W. B. McGill  L. B. Owens  R. Lal 《Climatic change》2007,80(1-2):73-90

The soil C balance is determined by the difference between inputs (e.g., plant litter, organic amendments, depositional C) and outputs (e.g., soil respiration, dissolved organic C leaching, and eroded C). There is a need to improve our understanding of whether soil erosion is a sink or a source of atmospheric CO₂. The objective of this paper is to discover the long-term influence of soil erosion on the C cycle of managed watersheds near Coshocton, OH. We hypothesize that the amount of eroded C that is deposited in or out of a watershed compares in magnitude to the soil C changes induced via microbial respiration. We applied the erosion productivity impact calculator (EPIC) model to evaluate the role of erosion–deposition processes on the C balance of three small watersheds (∼1 ha). Experimental records from the USDA North Appalachian Experimental Watershed facility north of Coshocton, OH were used in the study. Soils are predominantly silt loam and have developed from loess-like deposits over residual bedrock. Management practices in the three watersheds have changed over time. Currently, watershed 118 (W118) is under a corn (Zea mays L.)–soybean (Glycine max [L.] Merr.) no till rotation, W128 is under conventional till continuous corn, and W188 is under no till continuous corn. Simulations of a comprehensive set of ecosystem processes including plant growth, runoff, and water erosion were used to quantify sediment C yields. A simulated sediment C yield of 43 ± 22 kg C ha⁻¹ year⁻¹ compared favorably against the observed 31 ± 12 kg C ha⁻¹ year⁻¹ in W118. EPIC overestimated the soil C stock in the top 30-cm soil depth in W118 by 21% of the measured value (36.8 Mg C ha⁻¹). Simulations of soil C stocks in the other two watersheds (42.3 Mg C ha⁻¹ in W128 and 50.4 Mg C ha⁻¹ in W188) were off by <1 Mg C ha⁻¹. Simulated eroded C re-deposited inside (30–212 kg C ha⁻¹ year⁻¹) or outside (73–179 kg C ha⁻¹ year⁻¹) watershed boundaries compared in magnitude to a simulated soil C sequestration rate of 225 kg C ha⁻¹ year⁻¹ and to literature values. An analysis of net ecosystem carbon balance revealed that the watershed currently under a plow till system (W128) was a source of C to the atmosphere while the watersheds currently under a no till system (W118 and W188) behaved as C sinks of atmospheric CO₂. Our results demonstrate a clear need for documenting and modeling the proportion of eroded soil C that is transported outside watershed boundaries and the proportion that evolves as CO₂ to the atmosphere.  相似文献   

The long period behavior of the orbits of the Galilean satellites of Jupiter     

Bryan Brown 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1977,16(2):229-259

Some of the results of an investigation into the long period behavior of the orbits of the Galilean satellites of Jupiter are presented. Special purpose computer programs were used to perform all the algebraic manipulations and series expansions that are necessary to describe the mutual interactions among the satellites.The disturbing function was expanded as a Poisson series in the modified Keplerian elements referred to a Jovicentric coordinate system. The differential equations for the modified Keplerian elements were then formed, and all short period perturbations were removed using Kamel's perturbation method. Approximate analytical solutions for these differential equations are derived, and the general form of the solutions are given.  相似文献   

An overview into submarine CO₂ scrubber development     

R. Carey  A. Gomezplata  A. Sarich 《Ocean Engineering》1983,10(4):227-233

An overview into the development of a carbon dioxide (CO₂) removal plant for submarines to meet the Navy's CO₂ requirements is presented.The monoethanolamine (MEA)-CO₂ removal process and parametric studies to reduce atmospheric CO₂-levels in submarines to 0.5% and possibly 0.2% are discussed.  相似文献   

集合模式定量降水预报的统计后处理技术研究综述   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

代刊  朱跃建  毕宝贵 《气象学报》2018,76(4):493-510

集合数值模式预报已在定量降水预报业务中广泛应用,以获得预报不确定性、最可能预报结果以及极端天气预警。由于集合系统的数值模式不完善,且不能提供所有的不确定性信息,常表现出系统性偏差以及欠离散或过离散（如对于多模式集合）。为此,需要发展统计后处理技术,在尽量保持集合预报解析度的条件下,提高预报的技巧和可靠性。近年来,各种集合预报统计后处理技术得到快速发展。针对定量降水预报,依据技术方法的途径和成熟度将后处理研究归纳为3方面进行总结,包括:（1）不基于统计模型的非参数化后处理,包括集合定量降水预报偏差订正、多成员或模式信息集成以及基于空间分析的对流尺度模式后处理;（2）基于概率分布统计模型的参数化后处理,包括集合模式输出统计和贝叶斯模型平均两种方法框架;（3）考虑预报量的时间、空间和多变量间依赖关系或结构的处理方法,包括参数化和经验连接概率法。最后,讨论发展统计后处理技术需要关注的问题,包括考虑不同来源、不同尺度的多模式信息集成;提供高质量、高分辨率的降水分析资料;发展再预报技术扩充训练样本;基于不同的订正目的和应用场景来使用不同的后处理技术;发展面向海量预报数据、捕捉极端降水以及考虑预报量结构的新技术。   相似文献   

A hybrid approach to improving the skills of seasonal climate outlook at the regional scale     

Shuyan Liu  Julian X. L. Wang  Xin-Zhong Liang  Vernon Morris 《Climate Dynamics》2016,46(1-2):483-494

A hybrid seasonal forecasting approach was generated by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational Climate Forecast System (CFS) and its nesting Climate extension of Weather Research and Forecasting (CWRF) model to improve forecasting skill over the United States. Skills for the three summers of 2011–2013 were evaluated regarding location, timing, magnitude, and frequency. Higher spatial pattern correlation coefficients showed that the hybrid approach substantially improved summer mean precipitation and 2-m temperature geographical distributions compared with the results of the CFS and CWRF models. The area mean temporal correlation coefficients demonstrated that the hybrid approach also consistently improved the timing prediction skills for both variables. In general, the smaller root mean square errors indicated that the hybrid approach reduced the magnitude of the biases for both precipitation and temperature. The greatest improvements were achieved when the individual models had similar skills. The comparison with a North American multi-model ensemble further proved the feasibility of improving real-time seasonal forecast skill by using the hybrid approach, especially for heavy rain forecasting. Based on the complementary advantages of CFS the global model and CWRF the nesting regional model, the hybrid approach showed a substantial enhancement over CFS real-time forecasts during the summer. Future works are needed for further improving the quality of the hybrid approach through CWRF’s optimized physics ensemble, which has been proven to be feasible and reliable.  相似文献   

MODIS captures large-scale atmospheric gravity waves over the Atlantic Ocean     

LI Xiaofeng  HU Chuanmin  BAO Shaowu  YANG Xiaofeng 《海洋学报(英文版)》2016,35(8):1-2

正On April 27,2016,a striking true-color satellite image acquired by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS)onboard National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s(NASA’s)Aqua satellite showed several groups of very well structured arc cloud patterns(Fig.1),which are associaed with atmospheric gravity waves,aligned in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean between  相似文献   

晨昏轨道微波温度计资料同化对降水定量预报的影响及其对三轨卫星系统的意义     

邹晓蕾  秦正坤  翁富忠 《大气科学》2016,40(1):46-62

极轨卫星的高级微波温度计(Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A,简称AMSU-A)辐射资料对提高降水定量预报的水平有重要作用.但是极轨卫星的轨道特征导致乘载其上的微波温度计资料在区域同化系统中存在严重缺测.本研究重点分析了晨昏轨道卫星上微波温度计资料同化对墨西哥湾沿岸定量降水预报的重要影响.研究选取了早晨星NOAA-15、上午星MetOp-A和下午星NOAA-18,利用美国NCEP(National Centers for Environmental Prediction)的业务同化系GSI(Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation)资料同化系统,进行了加和不加NOAA-15 AMSU-A资料的两组资料同化和预报试验,来阐明晨昏轨道卫星上微波温度计资料同化对墨西哥湾沿岸降水预报的重要影响.试验结果分析表明如果仅同化NOAA-18和MetOp-A资料,在协调世界时00:00和12:00的同化时间,在墨西哥湾和美国西部大陆就是卫星观测资料缺测区,而早晨星NOAA-15资料正好可以填补这个资料空缺.模式预报也表明,同化NOAA-15的AMSU-A资料可以对墨西哥湾降水有持续的正影响.这一研究证明了保持有搭载着AMSU-A或者相似仪器的早晨星,对区域降水预报的重要性.由于目前NOAA-15是唯一的一颗正在运行的、已远超过其正常运行期的早晨星,通过技术手段维持NOAA-15的AMSU-A仪器更超长期运行也就特别重要.  相似文献   

Total daily radiant energy available extraterrestrially as a harmonic series in the day of the year     

Edwin C. McCullough 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》1968,16(2-3):129-143

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A numerically effective calculation of sea water density     

《Marine Models》2002,2(1-4):19-34

Accurate density calculation that includes pressure effects is achieved with negligible computational cost in the context of three-dimensional ocean modelling. Local linear (or quadratic) fits to the full UNESCO (Anon, 1981) equation of state can be used in many model applications where the potential temperature and salinity at a model grid point vary slightly in each model time step. The local polynomial fit is achieved by computing a Taylor series expansion about a local reference state. The terms in the Taylor series are calculated analytically for optimal accuracy and minimal computational cost. All calculations can be done with single precision arithmetic, without compromising accuracy. In a three-dimensional nonhydrostatic ocean model applied to a deep convection problem, the local density calculation reduced the total computational cost of the model by 7% relative to that when the full UNESCO density calculation was used. The computational advantage is 15% for an application in which the nonhydrostatic part of the calculation is turned off. The computational advantage is, however, a function of the nature of both the model being used and the problem being solved.The principal algorithms are coded in Fortran 90, fortran 77, and as Matlab functions. The complete set of routines and test programs is coded in Fortran 90.  相似文献   

A comparative flood frequency study of Ganga and Brahmaputra river systems of north India — a brief appraisal     

《Water Policy》2001,3(1):101-107

An attempt has been made to study the occurrence of floods in the two important river systems of north India, viz. Brahmaputra and Ganga. Both these river systems are located north of Lat. 22°N and lie in the longitudinal belt of north India from Long. 73°E to 97°E. Both these river systems are affected by floods during monsoon months of June–September. It has been seen after examining rainfall and floods of the period 1986–1999 that although variation of monsoon rainfall magnitudes received by these two basins differ considerably in each monsoon season, but by and large, the frequency of floods at their terminal gauge/discharge (G/D) sites at Dhubri and Farakka do not differ very much from each other.  相似文献