Extreme learning machine for the displacement prediction of landslide under rainfall and reservoir level   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

Cheng Lian  Zhigang Zeng  Wei Yao  Huiming Tang 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2014,28(8):1957-1972

Landslide prediction is always the emphasis of landslide research. Using global positioning system GPS technologies to monitor the superficial displacements of landslide is a very useful and direct method in landslide evolution analysis. In this paper, an EEMD–ELM model [ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) based extreme learning machine (ELM) ensemble learning paradigm] is proposed to analysis the monitoring data for landslide displacement prediction. The rainfall data and reservoir level fluctuation data are also integrated into the study. The rainfall series, reservoir level fluctuation series and landslide accumulative displacement series are all decomposed into the residual series and a limited number of intrinsic mode functions with different frequencies from high to low using EEMD technique. A novel neural network technique, ELM, is employed to study the interactions of these sub-series at different frequency affecting landslide occurrence. Each sub-series extracted from accumulative displacement of landslide is forecasted respectively by establishing appropriate ELM model. The final prediction result is obtained by summing up the calculated predictive displacement value of each sub. The EEMD–ELM model shows the best accuracy comparing with basic artificial neural network models through forecasting the displacement of Baishuihe landslide in the Three Gorges reservoir area of China.  相似文献   

武汉城市群交通运输体系与城镇空间扩展关联分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

关兴良  蔺雪芹  胡仕林  鲁莎莎 《地理科学进展》2014,33(5):702-712

交通运输体系与城镇空间扩展的关联分析是揭示交通运输与经济增长作用关系的重要切入点。采用等时线叠置法和指标分区法,分析了武汉城市群交通可达性及交通优势度与城镇空间扩展的时空格局、关联特征及其作用机理。研究表明,交通运输体系与城镇空间扩展具有内在联系,呈现出互动耦合、协同演进格局。从作用机理来看,交通运输体系通过直接效应、外部效应和乘数效应对城镇空间扩展起着重要的支撑和推动作用;城镇空间扩展在“量”和“质”上对交通运输提出了新要求,刺激并保障了交通运输体系的发展,两者相互反馈、相互依赖。从政策启示来看,交通运输体系的空间不均衡是造成区域经济发展水平差异的重要因素,制定差别化的交通运输发展战略和完善一体化的交通运输体系是加快区域经济增长和缩小地区差距的重要途径。  相似文献   

碳酸盐生物沉积作用的研究现状与展望   总被引：6，自引：2，他引：4  

李为  刘丽萍  曹龙  余龙江 《地球科学进展》2009,24(6):597-605

碳酸盐矿物是地球上最丰富的矿物之一,碳酸盐沉积在许多地质过程中起着非常重要的作用.生物沉积碳酸盐的现象在自然界普遍存在,其中又以生物沉积碳酸钙(CaCO3)为主.生物从周围环境中选择性地吸取元素,在严格的生物控制下,组装成功能化的碳酸盐结构;生物也可以通过改变周围的环境诱导碳酸盐的沉积或自身参与碳酸盐的沉积.不同生物对碳酸盐沉积的作用扣机理不同,综述了海洋动植物、藻类生物、菌类生物对碳酸盐的沉积作用及其机理以及实验室模拟调控CaCO3生物矿化方面的一些研究成果和研究现状,提出未来亟待解决的一些重要问题,并指出生物沉积碳酸盐研究所具有的巨大应用前景.  相似文献   

Authorization administration in a distributed multi-application environment     

DUANSujuan HONGFan LIXinhua 《地球空间信息科学学报》2004,7(4):303-307

To meet the authorization administration requirements in a distributed computer network environment, this paper extends the role-based access control model with multiple application dimensions and establishes a new access control model ED-RBAC(Extended Role Based Access Control Model) for the distributed environment. We propose an extendable hierarchical authorization assignment framework and design effective role-registering, role-applying and role-assigning protocol with symmetric and asymmetric cryptographic systems. The model can be used to simplify authorization administration in a distributed environment with multiple applications.  相似文献   

Paleomagnetism of the 1.88-Ga Sokoman Formation in the Schefferville–Knob Lake area,Québec,Canada, and implications for the genesis of iron oxide deposits in the central New Québec Orogen     

《Precambrian Research》2004,128(1-2):167-188

Thirty-nine oriented block samples of iron-formation were collected at 13 sites, including opposite limbs of major folds, from the 1.88-Ga Sokoman Formation (Knob Lake Group) in the Schefferville–Knob Lake area of the central New Québec Orogen, northern Québec. The samples assayed up to 80.24% Fe₂O₃T (54.08% Fe), implying Fe-enrichment of the iron-formation up to ore grade. Anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility measurements on 245 standard specimens indicate a well preserved bedding-parallel fabric in the iron-formation, suggesting minimal alteration of the magnetic mineralogy since deposition and/or a mimetic secondary magnetic mineralogy. The iron-formation has not been internally deformed since the magnetic mineralogy was established. Analyses by variable-field translation balance and X-ray diffraction showed that the predominant magnetic mineral is hematite but a small amount of magnetite also is present in most samples. Following low-temperature pre-treatment as appropriate, stepwise thermal and alternating-field demagnetization of 218 specimens revealed a low-temperature, post-folding component (maximum T_ub≈400 °C, D=27.1°, I=20.1°, α₉₅=10.9°, from seven sites; pole position of 40.6°S, 257.0°E), and components carried by magnetite (maximum T_ub≈580 °C, D=35.8°, I=3.9°, α₉₅=9.1°, from 10 sites; pole position of 29.6°S, 250.9°E) and hematite (maximum T_ub≈680 °C, D=40.0°, I=1.6°, α₉₅=18.6°, from seven sites; pole position of 26.8°S, 247.0°E). The components carried by magnetite and hematite are pre-, syn- and post-folding depending on the sampling site, indicating that the magnetization was acquired continuously with deformation in the New Québec Orogen at 1.84–1.83 Ga. No evidence was found for acquisition of magnetization during the Mesozoic, when many of the iron oxide orebodies in the Schefferville–Knob Lake area are thought to have formed. Our findings imply that an episode of Fe-enrichment of iron-formation in the Sokoman Formation involved the circulation of hydrothermal fluids related to late Paleoproterozoic orogenesis. Such orogenic circulation of fluids may have contributed to the development of hematitic orebodies in the central New Québec Orogen.  相似文献   

Enhancing the mechanical properties of marine clay using cement solidification     

Bhim Kumar Dahal  Rong-Jun Zhang  Ding-Bao Song 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2013,31(6):755-764

Abstract

The use of soft clay and dredged marine clays as the construction material is challenging. This is because the high water content, high compressibility and low permeability of the clay causing the instability of ground and structure. This detrimental effect of soft clay can be improved by the cement solidification process, which is relatively cheap and efficient. This paper mainly focuses on the study of improvement on the mechanical behavior of cement mixed marine clay. The soil is reconstituted by using ordinary Portland cement of 5%, 10%, 15% and 20% by its mass. The study reveals that cementation of clay significantly improves the peak and residual strength of soil. Similarly, the primary yield stress of the soil is also improved from 16 to 275?kPa as cement content increases from 5% to 20%, respectively. By using statistical tools, the relationships between various parameters are established, which are very important to define the mechanical behavior of the clay. This study reveals that the yield surface of the solidified marine clay is not a smooth elliptical surface. Rather it is composed of two linear surfaces followed by a log-linear surface which can be modeled by using simple parameters obtained from triaxial tests.  相似文献   

仿真地震图     

郑文衡 《地学前缘》2013,20(6):48-53

运用动力有限元方法得到一种数值模拟的地震图。动力有限元方法在计算中涉及时间,因此它不同于传统的静态有限元方法,也不同于后来有人用过的伪动态模拟（一系列时间的静态结果,连接起来看,在一定程度上反映变化趋势）;动力学有限元是考虑了加速度和惯性影响的。借鉴理论地震图思想,提出仿真地震图概念,采取非线性动力学有限元方法,得到地学模型的仿真地震图,运用反演方法,通过对比仿真地震图与实际地震图,得出地球介质或者震源的物理图景。考虑燕山断层带、太行山山前断层带、郯庐断层带以及海岸线,建立中国中、中北部地壳有限元模型,地壳底部采用无反射边界,相当于无限延拓。在对应唐山的单元（节点）上加载一个爆炸源,在对应于兰州、西安、上海地震台的单元（节点）上,得到应力随时间变化的时间历程,也就是数值模拟的地震图。在示例中,按照反演步骤,调整了地壳模型的物理参数,并由此提出仿真地震图的原理。较之理论地震图,仿真地震图物理上更加真实。  相似文献   

固体潮观测中的震颤异常波   总被引：8，自引：1，他引：7       下载免费PDF全文

蒋骏  张雁滨  林钢  陈德璁  李畅  张云鹏  马晓飞  万晓辉 《地球物理学报》2012,55(2):462-471

在地震与固体潮台站的日常监测中,常发现有一些异常"脉动"信号叠加在固体潮曲线上.这些异常"脉动"与宽频带数字地震计的观测在时间上同步、一致,其中的一部分由发生在西太平洋上的热带气旋引起,而其他的则大多与强地震相伴随,统称为震颤异常波.本文介绍了华中科技大学的地震与固体潮观测台站(HUST)的概况,报道了该台应用 DZW重力仪和VS-1倾斜仪观测记录到的大量震颤异常波事例.大量观测事实表明:中国固体潮台站记录的震颤异常波,绝大多数只在DZW重力仪和VS-1倾斜仪的低通滤波1 通道(LP1)出现,而在其低通滤波2通道(LP2)和其他固体潮仪器中则罕有发现;震颤异常波的包络线大多呈"纺锤状"或"尾巴状",持续时间多为1~3天. 通过对震颤异常波和固体潮观测仪器的分析研究,得到以下结论:震颤异常波实际上就是一种来源复杂的地球脉动信号,响应范围广泛,可被宽频带数字地震计和固体潮仪器记录.由西太平洋上的热带气旋引起的震颤异常波的主要周期在3~7 s范围,而强震前的震颤异常波则除此外,还包含10~60 s及更长周期的信号.固体潮仪器对震颤异常波响应的差异是因为仪器的传递函数不同和特性所致. DZW重力仪和VS-1倾斜仪分钟值采样数据中的震颤异常波,只是真实信号的一种"混叠"或映射.强震前的震颤异常波是否与地震有关？是否是震兆？尚需做更深入细致的分析和研究.  相似文献   

利用重力卫星GRACE监测亚马逊流域2002-2010年的陆地水变化   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

冯伟  Jean-Michel LEMOINE  钟敏  许厚泽 《地球物理学报》2012,55(3):814-821

本文利用GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment) 卫星重力资料研究了亚马逊流域2002-2010年的陆地水变化,并与水文模式和降雨资料进行了比较分析.在年际尺度上,GRACE结果表明:2002-2003年和2005年,亚马逊流域发生明显的干旱现象;2007年至2009年,陆地水呈逐年增加的趋势,并在2009年6月变化值达到最大,为772±181 km³;自2009年6月至2010年12月,陆地水总量又急剧减少了1139±262 km³,这相当于全球海平面上升3.2±0.7 mm所需的水量.水文模式得到的亚马逊流域陆地水在2010年也表现出明显的减少.降雨资料与GRACE观测资料有很好的一致性.在2005年和2010年的干旱期,亚马逊流域的降雨显著减少,说明降雨是亚马逊流域陆地水变化的重要因素.此外,本文采用的尺度因子的方法有效地降低了GRACE后处理误差的影响.  相似文献   

翘嘴鲌(Culter alburnus)TMEM-57基因的克隆、组织表达和单核苷酸多态性分析     

祁鹏志  郭宝英  谢从新  吴常文  陆诗敏  段友健 《海洋与湖沼》2012,43(6):1196-1201

采用RT-PCR和快速扩增cDNA末端(rapid amplification of cDNA ends,RACE)技术首次克隆了翘嘴鲌TMEM-57蛋白基因的cDNA全序列,该序列全长为2822bp,其中5′-UTR区93bp,3′-UTR区731bp,开放阅读框(open reading frame,ORF)为1998bp,编码665个氨基酸。NJ法系统进化分析将同科或属中TMEM-57基因分成一个分支,表现出种属间的高度保守性。利用荧光定量PCR(qPCR)技术检测了不同组织的表达量,发现在卵巢中表达量最高,其次为心脏和脑。用直接测序法对TMEM-57基因部分区段单核苷酸多态性(SNP)进行了检测,寻找到11个新的SNP位点。  相似文献