Saturation of the Large Aperture Scintillometer   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

W. Kohsiek  W. M. L. Meijninger  H. A. R. Debruin  F. Beyrich 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2006,121(1):111-126

The saturation aspects of a large aperture (0.3 m) scintillometer operating over a 10-km path were investigated. Measurements were made over mainly forested, hilly terrain with typical maximum sensible heat fluxes of 300–400 W m ⁻², and over flat terrain with mainly grass, and typical maximum heat fluxes of 100–150 W m⁻². Scintillometer-based fluxes were compared with eddy-correlation observations. Two different schemes for calculating the reduction of scintillation caused by saturation were applied: one based on the work of Hill and Clifford, the other based on Frehlich and Ochs. Without saturation correction, the scintillation fluxes were lower than the eddy-correlation fluxes; the saturation correction according to Frehlich and Ochs increased the scintillometer fluxes to an unrealistic level. Correcting the fluxes after the theory of the Hill and Clifford gave satisfying results  相似文献   

Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

V. Masson-Delmotte  M. Kageyama  P. Braconnot  S. Charbit  G. Krinner  C. Ritz  E. Guilyardi  J. Jouzel  A. Abe-Ouchi  M. Crucifix  R. M. Gladstone  C. D. Hewitt  A. Kitoh  A. N. LeGrande  O. Marti  U. Merkel  T. Motoi  R. Ohgaito  B. Otto-Bliesner  W. R. Peltier  I. Ross  P. J. Valdes  G. Vettoretti  S. L. Weber  F. Wolk  Y. Yu 《Climate Dynamics》2006,27(4):437-440

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Single-Column Model Intercomparison for a Stably Stratified Atmospheric Boundary Layer   总被引：2，自引：15，他引：2  

J. Cuxart  A. A. M. Holtslag  R. J. Beare  E. Bazile  A. Beljaars  A. Cheng  L. Conangla  M. Ek  F. Freedman  R. Hamdi  A. Kerstein  H. Kitagawa  G. Lenderink  D. Lewellen  J. Mailhot  T. Mauritsen  V. Perov  G. Schayes  G-J. Steeneveld  G. Svensson  P. Taylor  W. Weng  S. Wunsch  K-M. Xu 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2006,118(2):273-303

The parameterization of the stably stratified atmospheric boundary layer is a difficult issue, having a significant impact on medium-range weather forecasts and climate integrations. To pursue this further, a moderately stratified Arctic case is simulated by nineteen single-column turbulence schemes. Statistics from a large-eddy simulation intercomparison made for the same case by eleven different models are used as a guiding reference. The single-column parameterizations include research and operational schemes from major forecast and climate research centres. Results from first-order schemes, a large number of turbulence kinetic energy closures, and other models were used. There is a large spread in the results; in general, the operational schemes mix over a deeper layer than the research schemes, and the turbulence kinetic energy and other higher-order closures give results closer to the statistics obtained from the large-eddy simulations. The sensitivities of the schemes to the parameters of their turbulence closures are partially explored.  相似文献   

东亚季风涌对我国东部大尺度降水过程的影响分析   总被引：18，自引：1，他引：18  

琚建华  孙丹  吕俊梅 《大气科学》2007,31(6):1129-1139

将NECP/NCAR资料中850 hPa纬向风分量进行30～60天带通滤波，用大气季节内振荡（ISO）来表征东亚夏季风涌的活动特征。研究表明，长江中下游地区和淮河流域分别出现涝年时，都伴有很显著的季风涌向北传播的特征。季风涌的北传实质就是季风中来自热带地区ISO的向北传播。季风涌北传过程中，得到来自东西两侧纬向传播的ISO补充。纬向传播的ISO在110°E～120°E附近汇合后增强自热带地区向北传的季风涌，使得季风涌在经向上可以继续向北传播，并对我国东部地区夏季大尺度降水过程产生一定的影响。纬向补充的ISO特征差异对我国东部大尺度降水位置会产生一定的差异。  相似文献   

Waterspouts of the Adriatic, Ionian and Aegean Sea and their meteorological environment     

Michalis V. Sioutas  Alexander G. Keul 《Atmospheric Research》2007,83(2-4):542-557

The synoptic and mesoscale conditions associated with waterspout occurrence in the Adriatic, Ionian and Aegean Sea are examined in an attempt to quantitatively assess the meteorological environment favourable to the development of waterspouts. For this study, synoptic circulation patterns have been examined for 28 waterspout events in the central-eastern Mediterranean. The waterspouts were reported within the summer and fall of 2002, from July to November, a period of unusually high whirlwind activity. The Adriatic was most active during July, August and September and the Ionian and Aegean during September, October and November. Of the examined waterspout cases, 13 out of the total of 28 were found to be fair-weather waterspouts, while 15 represent tornadic events. For waterspout days, the frequency and distribution of four basic synoptic types, namely, south-west flow (SW), long-wave trough (LW), closed low (CLOSED) and short-wave trough (SWT), were investigated. The particular synoptic features that contributed to the development of waterspout activity were examined, based on five selected waterspout case studies. The mesoscale environment was explored using thermodynamic indices, moisture and wind parameters as derived by operational soundings from the nearest sites (preferably upwind) and closest in time to the waterspout occurrences. The results present an analysis of waterspout types in conjunction to thermodynamic and wind parameters for the purpose of determining synoptic patterns and mesoscale conditions most relevant to waterspout occurrences in these sea areas of the Mediterranean.  相似文献   

European climatology of severe convective storm environmental parameters: A test for significant tornado events     

Romualdo Romero  Miquel Gay  Charles A. Doswell III 《Atmospheric Research》2007,83(2-4):389-404

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Present-day and future precipitation in the Baltic Sea region as simulated in a suite of regional climate models     

Erik Kjellström  Kimmo Ruosteenoja 《Climatic change》2007,81(1):281-291

Here we investigate simulated changes in the precipitation climate over the Baltic Sea and surrounding land areas for the period 2071–2100 as compared to 1961–1990. We analyze precipitation in 10 regional climate models taking part in the European PRUDENCE project. Forced by the same global driving climate model, the mean of the regional climate model simulations captures the observed climatological precipitation over the Baltic Sea runoff land area to within 15% in each month, while single regional models have errors up to 25%. In the future climate, the precipitation is projected to increase in the Baltic Sea area, especially during winter. During summer increased precipitation in the north is contrasted with a decrease in the south of this region. Over the Baltic Sea itself the future change in the seasonal cycle of precipitation is markedly different in the regional climate model simulations. We show that the sea surface temperatures have a profound impact on the simulated hydrological cycle over the Baltic Sea. The driving global climate model used in the common experiment projects a very strong regional increase in summertime sea surface temperature, leading to a significant increase in precipitation. In addition to the common experiment some regional models have been forced by either a different set of Baltic Sea surface temperatures, lateral boundary conditions from another global climate model, a different emission scenario, or different initial conditions. We make use of the large number of experiments in the PRUDENCE project, providing an ensemble consisting of more than 25 realizations of climate change, to illustrate sources of uncertainties in climate change projections.  相似文献   

An intercomparison of regional climate simulations for Europe: assessing uncertainties in model projections   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

M. Déqué  D. P. Rowell  D. Lüthi  F. Giorgi  J. H. Christensen  B. Rockel  D. Jacob  E. Kjellström  M. de Castro  B. van den Hurk 《Climatic change》2007,81(1):53-70

Ten regional climate models (RCM) have been integrated with the standard forcings of the PRUDENCE experiment: IPCC-SRES A2 radiative forcing and Hadley Centre boundary conditions. The response over Europe, calculated as the difference between the 2071–2100 and the 1961–1990 means can be viewed as an expected value about which various uncertainties exist. Uncertainties are measured here by variance in eight sub-European boxes. Four sources of uncertainty can be evaluated with the material provided by the PRUDENCE project. Sampling uncertainty is due to the fact that the model climate is estimated as an average over a finite number of years (30). Model uncertainty is due to the fact that the models use different techniques to discretize the equations and to represent sub-grid effects. Radiative uncertainty is due to the fact that IPCC-SRES A2 is merely one hypothesis. Some RCMs have been run with another scenario of greenhouse gas concentration (IPCC-SRES B2). Boundary uncertainty is due to the fact that the regional models have been run under the constraint of the same global model. Some RCMs have been run with other boundary forcings. The contribution of the different sources varies according to the field, the region and the season, but the role of boundary forcing is generally greater than the role of the RCM, in particular for temperature. Maps of minimum expected 2m temperature and precipitation responses for the IPCC-A2 scenario show that, despite the above mentioned uncertainties, the signal from the PRUDENCE ensemble is significant.  相似文献   

陕西中部一次下击暴流的多普勒雷达回波特征   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8       下载免费PDF全文

毕旭  罗慧  刘勇 《气象》2007,33(1):70-73

利用西安多普勒雷达产品资料对2006年6月25日发生在陕西中部的一次下击暴流天气进行初步分析，结果表明：强单体合并加强形成弓状回波并产生了33m·s^-1的大风天气；弓状回波反射率因子核心（60dBz）高度下降明显；垂直液态水含量高达70kg·m^-2；弓状回波中层辐合较强，多普勒风场中层辐合区特征比较明显。  相似文献   

季节尺度区域气候模拟适应调整时间选取问题的数值试验   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

钟中  胡轶佳  闵锦忠  徐洪蕾 《气象学报》2007,65(4):469-477

文中利用区域气候模式RegCM3,以1998年夏季中国异常气候事件为例,对季节尺度区域气候模拟适应调整时间的选取问题进行了数值研究。共做了11个试验,每个试验的适应调整时间最短为10 d,最长为6个月,以检验适应调整时间长短对夏季中国异常气候事件模拟结果的影响。结果表明:对于大气变量而言,模式通常在经过4—8 d的适应调整时间后,就进入"气候模态"运行,此后模拟误差主要是由于模式对区域内大气过程描述能力不足造成的,对适应调整时间选取不再敏感,这进一步证实了区域气候模拟是一个边值问题的观点。各气候区平均降水量模拟结果受适应调整时间影响也不大,但不同的适应调整时间对降水分布格局模拟将产生一定影响,降水分布模拟结果随适应调整时间的不同存在一定的不确定性,这种不确定性通常出现在强降水发生区域。总之,对于季节尺度降水模拟,适应调整时间大于2个月效果更好。对降水分布格局模拟误差和东亚夏季风系统进退过程之间关系的进一步分析发现,模式对受夏季风系统影响比较大的区域模拟的降水相关系数变化性也比较大,因此,发展合适的积云对流参数化方案以提高受夏季风系统直接影响区域强降水过程的描述能力是改进区域气候模式对中国区域夏季气候模拟效果的有效途径。  相似文献