淮河流域焦岗湖水质参数时空变化及影响因素   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

王变  陈飘雪  韦绪好  孙庆业 《湖泊科学》2016,28(3):520-527

焦岗湖是淮河左岸一个天然湖泊,集防洪、灌溉、养殖、旅游等多种功能于一体.利用焦岗湖4个季节水质监测数据,运用Kriging方法,分析焦岗湖水质参数的时空变化及影响因素.结果表明:由于受水文季节变化过程及人类活动等综合影响,焦岗湖水质参数在时间及空间上均存在一定差异.从时间变化来看,夏季透明度较低、秋季较高;溶解氧浓度在春、冬季显著高于夏、秋季;总氮、总磷浓度与高锰酸盐指数均表现为夏季最高、秋季最低.从空间变化来看,4个季节的透明度空间差异较为显著;溶解氧浓度在春、冬季空间分布较为均匀,夏季呈现中心高周围低的变化趋势,秋季则表现为西高东低;总磷浓度春季分布较为均匀,夏、秋及冬季则呈西高东低之势;高锰酸盐指数在春、秋季节呈现东高西低之势,夏季高浓度主要集中在湖区北部,冬季浓度变化不大.  相似文献   

耦合模式长期积分资料所揭示的华南春季降水及环流特征的年际变化   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3  

韩晋平  王会军  姜大膀 《气候与环境研究》2006,11(2):194-202

利用一个全球海洋-大气-海冰耦合模式的300年控制试验资料,针对东亚区域雨带移动和大气环流特征演变的研究发现,华南春季降水是位于副热带的雨带的一部分,而且华南地区4、5月的降水异常具有明显的年际变化特征。在华南4、5月降水偏多年份,前期3月阿留申低压加强,北半球西风减弱,西太平洋海表温度出现负异常,导致冷暖空气在这里相遇造成降水异常。  相似文献   

华南冬季准静止锋年际变异特征及其对东亚气候的影响     

徐碧裕  简茂球 《热带气象学报》2023,(4):581-592

基于JRA55再分析资料、观测的降水量和海表温度等数据,利用统计诊断方法分析了华南冬季气候准静止锋的主要变异特征,并探讨了其与环流、海温及东亚气候的联系。华南冬季气候准静止锋的主要变异模态表现为强度变异模态和经向位置变异模态,它们以年际变化为主。类东部型ENSO海温异常及热带中西印度洋海温异常对华南准静止锋强度的年际变异有显著影响;而类中部型ENSO海温异常型显著影响着华南气候准静止锋的南北位置。华南冬季准静止锋的强度变异对东亚副热带地区的降水、以及我国东部内陆地区的近地面气温有显著影响;华南冬季准静止锋南北位置变异则显著影响我国江淮流域降水、以及我国华南至东南沿海一带的近地面气温。华南冬季准静止锋的强度变异模态对东亚的降水和近地面气温的影响范围较位置变异模态都要大。  相似文献   

藻型湖区氧化亚氮排放特征及其影响因素     

廖远珊  肖启涛  刘臻婧  胡正华  张弥  肖薇  段洪涛 《湖泊科学》2023,35(2):483-492

湖泊等内陆水体是大气N₂O潜在的重要排放源,也是全球N₂O收支估算的重要组成部分。目前全球湖泊普遍面临富营养化和蓝藻暴发等问题,明晰藻型湖泊N₂O排放强度及其环境影响因子对准确估算湖泊N₂O排放和预测其未来变化至关重要。本研究选择太湖藻型湖区为研究对象,同时选取人为活动影响较小的湖心区作为对比区域,基于2011年8月至2013年8月为期2年的逐月连续观测,探讨藻型湖区N₂O排放特征及其影响因素。结果表明,藻型湖区呈现极强的N₂O排放,其排放通量为(4.88±3.05) mmol/(m²·d),是参考区域(湖心:(2.10±4.31) mmol/(m²·d))的2倍多。此外,在藻型湖区中不同点位N₂O排放差异显著,受河流外源输入影响,近岸区是N₂O的热点排放区,其年均排放通量高达10.93 mmol/(m²·d)。连续观测表明N₂  相似文献   

Predictive optimal control for seismic analysis of non-linear and hysteretic structures     

K. Huang  R. Betti 《地震工程与结构动力学》1999,28(6):585-607

In this paper, an effective active predictive control algorithm is developed for the vibration control of non-linear hysteretic structural systems subjected to earthquake excitation. The non-linear characteristics of the structural behaviour and the effects of time delay in both the measurements and control action are included throughout the entire analysis (design and validation). This is very important since, in current design practice, structures are assumed to behave non-linearly, and time delays induced by sensors and actuator devices are not avoidable. The proposed algorithm focuses on the instantaneous optimal control approach for the development of a control methodology where the non-linearities are brought into the analysis through a non-linear state vector and a non-linear open-loop term. An autoregressive (AR) model is used to predict the earthquake excitation to be considered in the prediction of the structural response. A performance index that is quadratic in the control force and in the predicted non-linear states, with two additional energy related terms, and that is subjected to a non-linear constraint equation, is minimized at every time step. The effectiveness of the proposed closed-open loop non-linear instantaneous optimal prediction control (CONIOPC) strategy is presented by the results of numerical simulations. Since non-linearity and time-delay effects are incorporated in the mathematical model throughout the derivation of the control methodology, good performance and stability of the controlled structural system are guaranteed. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Statistical study of spatial variation of response spectrum using free field records of dense strong motion arrays     

Hideji Kawakami  Shailendra Sharma 《地震工程与结构动力学》1999,28(11):1273-1294

Spatial variation of acceleration response spectra is examined using strong motion records for a large number of events from dense accelerometer arrays at Chiba in Japan and SMART-1 in Lotung, Taiwan. The effects of earthquake component, structural damping, earthquake magnitude, focal depth, epicentral distance, structural time period, and station separation on the intra-event variation of response spectra are examined first through an empirical analysis and then through a least-square regression fit for parametric study. A very large scatter of the response spectra ratio is observed for both arrays, especially for SMART-1 array. The mean values of the ratio vary from 10 to 20 per cent for Chiba array while they vary from 25 to 50 per cent for SMART-1 array. The coefficients of variation of the ratio range from 5 to 25 per cent for Chiba array and 30 to 50 per cent for SMART-1 array. The correlation among response spectra is found to be inversely proportional to station separation and shows frequency dependence. For larger time periods, the correlation is lower and not higher. The correlation is also lower for UD earthquake component as compared to the two horizontal components. For higher damping ratio, the correlation among spectra is higher. The effect of the earthquake magnitude, focal depth and epicentral distance on the spatial variation is complex. The three parameters having implicit interdependence, considering their combined effect, a positive contribution to the value of ratio of response spectra is observed in the case of larger earthquake events. Furthermore, as mentioned above, the spatial variation for SMART-1 array is much larger than that for Chiba array. This difference can be attributed mainly to the difference in distance between the instruments in the two arrays. However, some of the difference is considered to be due to site specific characteristics. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Spatially distributed hydrotope‐based modelling of evapotranspiration and runoff in mountainous basins     

Joachim Gurtz  Andri Baltensweiler  Herbert Lang 《水文研究》1999,13(17):2751-2768

River basins in mountainous regions are characterized by strong variations in topography, vegetation, soils, climatic conditions and snow cover conditions, and all are strongly related to altitude. The high spatial variation needs to be considered when modelling hydrological processes in such catchments. A complex hydrological model, with a great potential to account for spatial variability, was developed and applied for the hourly simulation of evapotranspiration, soil moisture, water balance and the runoff components for the period 1993 and 1994 in 12 subcatchments of the alpine/pre‐alpine basin of the River Thur (area 1703 km²). The basin is located in the north‐east of the Swiss part of the Rhine Basin and has an elevation range from 350 to 2500 m a.s.l. A considerable part of the Thur Basin is high mountain area, some of it above the tree‐line and a great part of the basin is snow covered during the winter season. In the distributed hydrological model, the 12 sub‐basins of the Thur catchment were spatially subdivided into sub‐areas (hydrologically similar response units—HRUs or hydrotopes) using a GIS. Within the HRUs a hydrologically similar behaviour was assumed. Spatial interpolations of the meteorological input variables wereemployed for each altitudinal zone. The structure of the model components for snow accumulation and melt, interception, soil water storage and uptake by evapotranspiration, runoff generation and flow routing are briefly outlined. The results of the simulated potential evapotranspiration reflect the dominant role of altitudinal change in radiation and albedo of exposure, followed by the influence of slope. The actual evapotranspiration shows, in comparison with the potential evapotranspiration, a greater variability in the lower and medium altitudinal zones and a smaller variability in the upper elevation zones, which was associated with limitations of available moisture in soil and surface depression storages as well as with the evaporative demand of the local vegetation. The higher altitudinal dependency and variability of runoff results from the strong increase in precipitation and the decrease in evaporation with increased altitude. An increasing influence of snow cover on runoff as well as evapotranspiration with altitude is obvious. The computed actual evapotranspiration and runoff were evaluated against the observed values of a weighting lysimeter and against runoff hydrographs. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

山东夏季气温年际变化形成的气候特征   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

于群 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2005,35(1):13-19

为研究本地区短期气候预测方法,利用山东80个代表站夏季平均气温、降水量资料和NCEP／NCAR月平均再分析资料(1961～2001年),分析了夏季平均气温年际变化的气候特征、冷暖夏的环流形势及夏季风与气温的关系。结果表明：EOF第一模态几乎反映了整个温度场的时空变化特征;夏季气温标准化距平年际变化显著,有弱线性增温趋势;极端冷、暖夏大气环流形势差异明显,显著差异区在亚欧一北太平洋地区,冷夏年中高纬度欧亚大陆存在正欧亚一太平洋(EUP)型遥相关,东亚地区有负太平洋-日本(PJ)型波列,暖夏年反之。东亚夏季风强弱与山东夏季气温关系密切,强(弱)夏季风时,易造成山东暖(冷)夏;同期降水对气温有负反馈,对气温升高有一定的抑制作用。  相似文献   

线性关联滞后广义大系统的变结构控制     

高存臣  郭继峰 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2005,35(5):757-760

研究了一类线性关联滞后广义大系统的变结构控制综合问题.首先根据系统的结构和控制输入的特定形式,引入了1种新的受限系统等价分解形式,把每个子系统分解成2个低维的动态子系统：1个是不带控制项的线性关联微分差分系统,另1个是带有控制项的线性关联差分系统.然后设计了带有积分动态补偿器的切换函数, 给出了滑动模渐近稳定的充分条件.最后设计了可以保证系统的解的轨迹到达切换流形的多层分散变结构控制.这种控制对物理上分散等类型的线性关联滞后广义系统是合理的有效的.  相似文献   

全球季风系统的稳定性与年代际变化   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

左瑞亭  王丽琼  蔡丹  张东凌 《气候与环境研究》2005,10(3):342-350

采用1948～2004年共57年NCEP再分析逐日风场资料,分3个气候时段对全球季风系统的稳定性与年代际变化作了初步研究.发现全球季风系统的地理分布和斜压结构具有很好的稳定性,但强度存在明显的年代际变化.季风的年代际变化以强度的局域振荡和持续加强或减弱为主要形式,不具有传播性.不同高度季风年代际变化的敏感区不同,在对流层低层主要的年代际变化位于北半球中的东半球;而在对流层高层则位于西半球热带地区;在平流层则在环球的两个纬带(20～40°N和赤道带).  相似文献