实际预报可预报性的时空依赖性分析   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4  

李志锦  纪立人 《大气科学》1996,20(3):290-297

本文利用国家气象中心1990年1月1日至1992年2月29日的1～5 d、500 hPa高度场业务预报结果研究了不同球谐函数谱分量和经验正交函数(EOF)谱分量的可预报性。对球谐函数谱分量的研究表明可预报性并不是随着空间尺度的增加呈现单调的递减关系，主要表现为在总波数n等于5附近具有最大可预报性。可预报性主要依赖于总波数n，经卷大圆上的波数和纬向圆周上的波数对可预报性具有完全相同的重要意义。对EOF谱分量的分析表明，随着EOF指数(即序号数)的增大，可预报性依次减小。从EOF和球谐函数的关系发现前几个EOF分量正是对应着最可预报的球谐函数分量。进一步分析表明，最可预报的分量对应大气运动的慢变流型。这些结果对如何使用数值预报产品以及如何进行延伸预报具有重要意义。  相似文献   

The　Q　value　variations　in　the　preparing　pro－cess　of　rock　rupture     

王彬  许昭永  赵晋明  胡毅力 《地震学报(英文版)》1996,(4)

ＴｈｅＱｖａｌｕｅｖａｒｉａｔｉｏｎｓｉｎｔｈｅｐｒｅｐａｒｉｎｇｐｒｏ┐ｃｅｓｏｆｒｏｃｋｒｕｐｔｕｒｅＢＩＮＷＡＮＧ１）（王彬），ＺＨＡＯ－ＹＯＮＧＸＵ１）（许昭永），ＪＩＮ－ＭＩＮＧＺＨＡＯ１）（赵晋明）ＹＩ－ＬＩＨＵ２）（胡毅力）１）Ｓｅｉ...  相似文献   

Study　on　the　characteristics　of　crust－mantle　transition　zone　in　Western　Yunnan　Province     

胡鸿翔  林中洋  边银菊  王椿镛  朱良保 《地震学报(英文版)》1996,9(4):573-581

Ｓｔｕｄｙｏｎｔｈｅｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃｓｏｆｃｒｕｓｔ┐ｍａｎｔｌｅｔｒａｎｓｉｔｉｏｎｚｏｎｅｉｎＷｅｓｔｅｒｎＹｕｎｎａｎＰｒｏｖｉｎｃｅＨＯＮＧ－ＸＩＡＮＧＨＵ（胡鸿翔）ＺＨＯＮＧ－ＹＡＮＧＬＩＮ（林中洋）ＹＩＮ－ＪＵＢＩＡＮ（边银...  相似文献   

Modelling of ground motion in the vicinity of massive structures     

Claudio Chiaruttini  Stefano Grimaz  Enrico Priolo 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》1996,15(2):75

A two-dimensional elastic Chebyshev spectral element method (SPEM) is used to model the seismic wavefield within a massive structure and in its vicinity. We consider 2-D models where a linear elastic structure, with quadrangular cross-section, resting on an elastic homogeneous half-space, is impinged upon by the waves generated by a surface impulse at some distance. The scattering of Rayleigh waves and the response of the structure are extensively analysed in a parametric way, varying size, mechanical parameters and shape of the load. Some of the models considered are representative of embankments and earth dams. The simulation shows that some models resonate, storing part of the incoming energy. With realistic parameters, the lowest resonance frequency is due to pure shear deformation and is controlled by the shear velocity and height of the load. Flexural modes are excited only at higher frequencies. The acceleration at the top of the structure may be five/seven times higher than at the base, depending on the mass of the structure. The gradual release of trapped energy produces a ground roll lasting several seconds after the wave front has passed. The ground-roll amplitude depends on the sturcture's mass and can be as large as 30% of the peak acceleration. Outside resonance conditions, the ground motion is almost unaffected by the presence of the artefact; the horizontal motion on top of it is nearly twice the motion at ground level. Similar results should be expected when the incident field is an upcoming shear wave. A qualitative discussion shows that the presence of anelastic attenuation in the embankment does not significantly alter the preceding conclusions, unless it is of very low values (e.g. Q < 15).The modelling results that we discuss indicate that the soil-structure interaction may substantially alter the ‘free-field’ ground motion. From a practical point of view, the main conclusions are: (1) careful analysis is necessary when interpreting seismic records collected in the vicinity of large artefacts; (2) seismic hazard at a site may depend on the presence of man-made structures such as embankments, dams, tall and massive buildings.  相似文献   

Detecting slow, long-duration slip of large earthquakes using very long-period orbital surface waves     

Xiao-Qing Li  John Náb&#;lek 《Geophysical Journal International》1996,124(2):483-501

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Remote Sensing Study of Gold Biogeochemical Effects in the Western Guangdong-Hainan Region——A Case Study of the Hetai Gold Deposit     

Xu Ruisong Guangzhou New Technology Institute of Geology  Academia Sinica Jiang Minxi 《《地质学报》英文版》1992,66(4)

The vegetation has been poisoned by gold in the western Guangdong-Hainan region. The gold content ofthe leaves there is as high as 10-1961 times the abundance, the chlorophyll content is 10%-30% lower thanthat of the vegetation in metamorphic terrains and 10%-20% higher than that in granite terrains, and thecarotenoid content is 10%-44% lower than the background value. The water content of leaves is 10% to 20%lower than the background value. The cells of leaves are deformed and broken. The leaf surface shows colourspots and becomes yellow or dark green. The spectral reflectance of the leaf surface is 5%-30% higher than thebackground value: the spectral shape has shifted 5-15 nm to the short wavelength. The gray scales of eanopyon images of Landsat TM and airborne imaging scanner (AIS) are 10%-100% higher than the backgroundvalues. On Landsat TM and AIS false colour images, plants poisoned by gold display a yellow color, whichdisinguishes them from background plants. According to the spectral and image features of goldbiogeochemical effects, the author has constructed a gold information system and expert prediction system,and thus two gold target areas and two gold prospect areas have been identified rapidly, economically andaccurately in the western Guangdong-Hainan region which is extensively covered by vegetation.  相似文献   

Estimation of periodicities in hydrologic data     

A. R. Rao  G. D. Jeong  Fi-John Chang 《Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics》1992,6(4):270-288

Periodicites in hydrologic data are frequently estimated and studied. In some cases the periodic components are subtracted from the data to obtain the stochastic components. In other cases the physical reasons for the occurrence of these periodicities are investigated. Apart from the annual cycle in the hydrologic data, periods corresponding to the 11 year sunspot cycle, the Hale cycle and others have been detected.The conclusions from most of these studies depend on the reliability and robustness of the methods used to detect these periodicities. Several spectral analysis methods have been proposed to investigate periodicities in time series data. Several of these have been compared to each other. The methods by Siddiqui and Wang and by Damsleth and Spjotvoll, which are stepwise procedures of spectrum estimation, have not been evaluated.  相似文献   

Sediment shear Q from airgun OBS data   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

P. D. Bromirski  L. N. Frazer  F. K. Duennebier 《Geophysical Journal International》1992,110(3):465-485

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Internal wave characteristics in the eastern Arabian Sea during summer monsoon     

P G K Murthy  G S Sharma  V V James  K V Suseela 《Journal of Earth System Science》1992,101(4):317-327

The time series BT profiles and surface winds and atmospheric pressure, collected in the deep waters off Ratnagiri and Karwar during summer monsoon were utilized to document the characteristics of internal waves (IW). Low-frequency (≤2, cycle per day (cpd)) IW off Ratnagiri are found to propagate at 83 cm/s with wavelengths of 45 km and wave heights upto 40 m. These parameters for high-frequency (>2 cpd) IW off Karwar correspond to 99 cm/s, 3 km and 23 m. The IW off Karwar appear to leave the station at 70° (±10°) (measured from the horizontal). The data sets were further analysed to address the harmonic composition of the IW and identify the possible sources for the observed IW fields. Power spectra of the IW indicated energy peaks at inertial (0·6 cpd) and tidal (1 and 2 cpd) frequencies off Ratnagiri and in the high-frequency band of 0·5–2·0 cycles per hour off Karwar. The coherence between the IW and wind/tide is found to be good at several frequencies within the IW spectrum. This feature probably suggests tides as a source for the IW of tidal frequencies and winds and tides as a joint source for the IW at the remaining frequencies.  相似文献   

Spectral magnitude and seismic radiated energy computed from CDSN records     

Pei-Shan Chen  Seweryn J. Duda 《地震学报(英文版)》1993,6(4):803-811

We have employed 10 digital records and computed the spectral magnitude and the seismic radiated energy for 18 large earthquakes (M _s≥6) occurred in Eur-asian belt during 1986–1989. The nine digital stations (CD-SN) distribute all over China and one in Germany. The spectral magnitudes of various period have different stability among stations. The stability is better for maximum spectral magnitudemi and seismic radiated energyE, their differences among stations are smaller, especially for the stations where the ray path main penetrates the low mantle. But the stability of corner period is usually not good. The relation between seismic radiated energy and seismic moment magnitudeM _w is lg (E)=1.5Mw+c, wherec is a constant. The maximum spectral magnitudemi=M _w+0.1, it is consistant with theoretical prediction. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 418–426, 1993. This work supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Bonn, F. R. Germany. The support is grateful acknowledge.  相似文献