Evaluation of three harvest control rules for Bigeye Tuna (Thunnus obesus) fisheries in the Indian Ocean     

Yuhe Tong  Xinjun Chen  Dale Kolody 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2014,13(5):811-819

The stock of Bigeye tuna(Thunnus obesus) in the Indian Ocean supports an important international fishery and is considered to be fully exploited. The responsible management agency, the Indian Ocean Tuna Commission(IOTC), does not have an explicit management decision-making framework in place to prevent over-fishing. In this study, we evaluated three harvest control rules, i) constant fishing mortality(CF), from 0.2 to 0.6, ii) constant catch(CC), from 60000 to 140000 t, and iii) constant escapement(CE), from 0.3 to 0.7. The population dynamics simulated by the operating model was based on the most recent stock assessment using Stock Synthesis version Ⅲ(SS3). Three simulation scenarios(low, medium and high productivity) were designed to cover possible uncertainty in the stock assessment and biological parameters. Performances of three harvest control rules were compared on the basis of three management objectives(over 3, 10 and 25 years): i) the probability of maintaining spawning stock biomass above a level that can sustain maximum sustainable yield(MSY) on average, ii) the probability of achieving average catches between 0.8 MSY and 1.0 MSY, and iii) inter-annual variability in catches. The constant escapement strategy(CE=0.5), constant fishing mortality strategy(F=0.4) and constant catch(CC=80000) were the most rational among the respective management scenarios. It is concluded that the short-term annual catch is suggested at 80000 t, and the potential total allowable catch for a stable yield could be set at 120000 t once the stock had recovered successfully. All the strategies considered in this study to achieve a ‘tolerable' balance between resource conservation and utilization have been based around the management objectives of the IOTC.  相似文献   

江苏沿海滩涂利用模式遥感影像解译和时空变化分析     

许栋  翟思涵  白玉川 《测绘与空间地理信息》2022,45(1):10-15

为了弄清江苏沿海滩涂利用模式分布情况,定量分析其时空变化趋势,本文基于Google Earth Engine云计算平台和Landsat卫星遥感影像数据,结合随机森林分类方法,通过机器学习建立了滩涂利用模式自动识别分类方法,样本训练后识别准确率达93％以上.利用该方法提取了2002年、2014年和2019年江苏沿海的土地...  相似文献   

Performance Evaluation of a Self-Developed Ozonesonde and Its Application in an Intensive Observational Campaign   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

ZHANG Jin-Qiang  XUAN Yue-Jian  XIA Xiang-Ao  LIU Ming-Yuan  YAN Xiao-Lu  PANG Li  BAI Zhi-Xuan  WAN Xiao-Wei 《大气和海洋科学快报》2014,(3):175-179

To make a detailed test on the reliability and detection performance of the electrochemical concentra- tion cell （ECC） type ozonesonde which had been devel- oped and preliminarily evaluated by the authors, an inten- sive ozonesonde release experiment was held at two sites in Beijing and Changchun in June 2013. The results showed that the mean background current and its standard deviation were 0.03 （0.04） pA and 0.02 （0.03） pA in Bei- jing （Changchun）. The average response time and its standard deviation were 27.8 s （30.4 s） and 4.0 s （3.7 s） in Beijing （Changchun）. The ozone partial pressure profiles at both sites showed a central peak in the stratosphere and a side peak in the boundary layer. Large variation in ozone partial pressure was observed at the middle levels of the atmosphere （10-17 kin）. A more marked gradient of ozone change was observed in Beijing （3.4 mPa km-1） at the lower atmosphere level, as compared to that in Changchun （0.4 mPa km-l）. The results presented in this paper indicate that this self-developed ozonesonde shows a high level of reliability and good performance. The ozonsonde is expected to play an important role in opera- tional observations of ozone profiles.  相似文献   

火箭人工增雨作业中应注意的一些技术问题   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

徐冬英 《气象研究与应用》2014,35(3):85-89

根据火箭增雨作业的原理对催化剂播撒量、成核率与火箭飞行速度和高度的关系进行分析;确定作业目标、时机和部位、作业火箭用量;对增雨效果、火箭播云对环境的影响进行评估。  相似文献   

The Relationship between the East Asian Subtropical Westerly Jet and Summer Precipitation over East Asia as Simulated by the IAP AGCM4.0          下载免费PDF全文

YAN Zheng-Bin  LIN Zhao-Hui  ZHANG He 《大气和海洋科学快报》2014,7(6):487-492

Based on a 30-year Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project（AMIP） simulation using IAP AGCM4.0, the relationship between the East Asian subtropical westerly jet（EASWJ） and summer precipitation over East Asia has been investigated, and compared with observation. It was found the meridional displacement of the EASWJ has a closer relationship with the precipitation over East Asia both from model simulation and observation, with an anomalous southward shift of EASWJ being conducive to rainfall over the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley（YHRV）, and an anomalous northward shift resulting in less rainfall over the YHRV. However, the simulated precipitation anomalies were found to be weaker than observed from the composite analysis, and this would be related to the weakly reproduced mid-upper-level convergence in the mid-high latitudes and ascending motion in the lower latitudes.  相似文献   

中国东部极端降水变化特征及其与大气稳定度的关系   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

王苗  郭品文  邬昀 《大气科学学报》2014,37(1):47-56

利用100°E以东地区通过5%质量控制的392个站逐日降水资料,对近50 a我国东部极端降水变化特征进行分析,并以1948—1976年和1977—2008年为研究子时段,讨论前后两阶段东部地区的大气湿位涡差异及大气稳定度状况。结果表明:我国东部地区极端降水表现出显著的南北差异;北方尤其是华北东部,极端降水量及其所占降水量比例均有下降趋势,而南方尤其是在长江中下游地区二者均呈增加趋势。湿位涡呈"南减北增"的趋势,对流稳定度和斜压稳定度在南方均出现变弱趋势,在北方则增强。大气性质的南北显著变化是我国东部地区极端降水呈"南增北减"分布型的一个重要原因。进一步研究表明,高纬度地区300 hPa层在1976年之后表现为温度负距平场中心,使东部地区高空热力性质产生差异,进而影响了对流稳定度的变化;同时冷中心北侧高层西风分量减小,南侧高层西风风量增大,斜压稳定度相应出现减弱和增强的变化趋势。  相似文献   

Modeling stress evolution around a rising salt diapir     

《Marine and Petroleum Geology》2014

We model the evolution of a salt diapir during sedimentation and study how deposition and salt movement affect stresses close to the diapir. We model the salt as a solid visco-plastic material and the sediments as a poro-elastoplastic material, using a generalized Modified Cam Clay model. The salt flows because ongoing sedimentation increases the average density within the overburden sediments, pressurizing the salt. Stresses rotate near a salt diapir, such that the maximum principal stress is perpendicular to the contact with the salt. The minimum principal stress is in the circumferential direction, and drops near the salt. The mean stress increases near the upper parts of the diapir, leading to a porosity that is lower than predicted for uniaxial burial at the same depth. We built this axisymmetric model within the large-strain finite-element program Elfen. Our results highlight the fact that forward modeling can provide a detailed understanding of the stress history of mudrocks close to salt diapirs; such an understanding is critical for predicting stress, porosity, and pore pressure in salt systems.  相似文献   

因子分析在海河流域石油类污染综合评价中的应用(英文)     

戴媛媛  宋文平  郑德斌  汪笑宇  尚晓迪  王立平  马超  张阳  孙学亮 《海洋通报(英文版)》2014,(1)

基于因子分析对2012~2013年海河流域pH、DO、COD、BOD5、氨态氮和总石油烃等6项水质指标的监测数据进行统计,并对其中四项指标进行水污染综合指数评估,旨在对海河水质进行较为系统的评价。结果显示,BJ1和HB2两个站位水质属于Ⅳ类标准,其余各站位均为Ⅴ类;各站位综合评价结果得到海河流域指数为1.44,说明海河流域处于污染状态,其污染程度超过该流域功能区的标准。因子分析发现,COD、DO和NH3-N之间差异显著(P0.05);主成分分析显示,除pH和BOD5外,其余指标都在0.70以上;COD、DO、NH3-N和TPH的贡献率较高,其中总石油烃的贡献率为100%,因此可以认为该海域的污染类型属于有机污染,且石油烃污染较为突出。  相似文献   

海上试验场潮流能发电装置综合测试与评价方法分析(英文)     

郭文瑞  朱永强  叶青  李雪临  王鑫  段春明 《海洋通报(英文版)》2014,(2)

开展潮流能装置实海况试验、检测与评价方法研究,对海洋高科技成果的转化、海洋可再生能源开发提供了科学、有效的技术保障。文章通过对潮流能装置的功率输出特性、年发电量、能量转换效率三项核心指标进行分析,提出指标的测试内容和评价方法,为实现潮流能海上试验与测试场建设提供技术依据;并根据对海上风电场的研究,提出了海上试验场潮流能装置的电能质量测试与评估方法;给出潮流能装置安全准入的测试内容,全面评估试验场潮流能装置的运行状态。  相似文献   

广西北仑河口红树林保护区表层海水溶解态重金属时空分布及其影响因素   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

罗万次  苏搏  刘熊  钟秋平  杨斌 《海洋通报》2014,33(6):668-675

根据2013年5月(春季)和8月(夏季)对广西北仑河口红树林保护区的现场调查监测数据,研究了表层海水中溶解态重金属Cu、Zn、Pb、Cd、Cr、As、Hg的时空分布特征,探讨了其影响因素,并对其污染水平进行了评价。结果表明,表层海水各溶解态重金属的浓度、空间波动程度在春、夏季均存在一定的差异;Hg的污染明显超过国家一类海水水质标准,且夏季污染水平高于春季。Cu-Zn、Cu-Cd、Zn-Pb、Zn-Cd之间存在显著正相关,春、夏季As以及夏季Cr分别与盐度之间呈显著正相关,其他重金属与盐度之间无显著相关性。各重金属的时空分布主要受到陆源输入、沿岸江河冲淡水和海水盐度变化等因素的影响。  相似文献