2004年厄尔尼诺事件的理论预测和实践检验   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3  

林玎  杨学祥  杨冬红 《海洋预报》2005,22(3):5-10

地球自转速度减慢、赤道东太平洋表层海温升高、日食-厄尔尼诺系数增大与厄尔尼诺事件发生时间在一切细节上有惊人的对应关系。这个综合检验结果给出了地球自转减速和日食-厄尔尼诺系数预测厄尔尼诺事件的有效性和准确性。2004年的弱厄尔尼诺已得到初步证实,2005年的拉尼娜有待检验。  相似文献   

El Ni(n)o phenomenon in simple ocean data assimilation data     

CUI Maochang  WU Lingjuan 《海洋学报(英文版)》2005,24(4)

To study how the air and sea interact with each other during El Nino/La Nina onsets, extended associate pattern analysis (EAPA) is adopted with the simple ocean data assimilation (SODA) data. The results show that as El Nino/La Nina' s parents their behaviors are quite different, there does not exist a relatively independent tropical atmosphere but does exist a relatively independent tropical Pacific Ocean because the air is heated from the bottom surface instead of the top surface and of much stronger baroclinic instability than the sea and has a very large inter-tropical convergence zone covering the most tropical Pacific Ocean. The idea that it is the wester burst and wind convergence, coming from middle latitudes directly that produce the seawater eastward movement and meridional convergence in the upper levels and result in the typical El Nino sea surface temperature warm signal is confirmed again.  相似文献   

The 2020/21 Extremely Cold Winter in China Influenced by the Synergistic Effect of La Niña and Warm Arctic     

Fei ZHENG  Yuan YUAN  Yihui DING  Kexin LI  Xianghui FANG  Yuheng ZHAO  Yue SUN  Jiang ZHU  Zongjian KE  Ji WANG  Xiaolong JIA 《大气科学进展》2022,39(4):546-552

In the first half of winter 2020/21,China has experienced an extremely cold period across both northern and southern regions,with record-breaking low temperatures set in many stations of China.Meanwhile,a moderate La Ni?a event which exceeded both oceanic and atmospheric thresholds began in August 2020 and in a few months developed into its mature phase,just prior to the 2020/21 winter.In this report,the mid?high-latitude large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere,which were forced by the negative phase of Arctic Oscillation,a strengthened Siberian High,an intensified Ural High and a deepened East Asian Trough,are considered to be the direct reason for the frequent cold surges in winter 2020/21.At the same time,the synergistic effect of the warm Arctic and the cold tropical Pacific(La Ni?a)provided an indispensable background,at a hemispheric scale,to intensify the atmospheric circulation anomalies in middle-to-high latitudes.In the end,a most recent La Ni?a prediction is provided and the on-coming evolution of climate is discussed for the remaining part of the 2020/21 winter for the purpose of future decision-making and early warning.  相似文献   

中国登陆热带气旋与太平洋海表温度的关系   总被引：16，自引：0，他引：16  

冯利华 《地理学报》2003,58(2):209-214

根据1951～2000年中国登陆热带气旋与厄尔尼诺年、拉尼娜年的关系分析,得到了一些重要认识：(1) 在厄尔尼诺年,中国登陆热带气旋数偏少;(2) 厄尔尼诺事件强度越大,中国登陆热带气旋数越少;(3) 厄尔尼诺事件的结束时间若超过5月1日,那么次年中国登陆热带气旋数偏少;(4) 中国登陆热带气旋数的特多年主要集中在拉尼娜年;(5) 在拉尼娜次年,中国登陆热带气旋数偏少;(6) 中国登陆热带气旋强度越大,在厄尔尼诺年出现机会越少;(7) 在厄尔尼诺年,中国初旋偏迟,终旋偏早。同时对其机理进行了探讨。  相似文献   

中太平洋地区两个铁锰结壳的生长幕研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

武光海  周怀阳  张海生  Irine PULYAEVA  凌洪飞  刘捷红 《地质学报》2006,80(4):577-588

通过对3块中太平洋铁锰结壳样品进行的生物地层学及其结构构造、元素地球化学剖面的综合研究发现,铁锰结壳的生长主要集中于两个形成环境存在差异分别由不同因素控制的形成阶段,一个是约25Ma以来其形成环境氧化程度由南极底层流(AABW)控制的对应于结壳新壳层的生长幕,另一个是渐新世之前其形成环境氧化程度由环赤道表中层洋流和高密度温盐表层水下沉控制的对应于结壳老壳层的生长幕,而在早、中渐新世处于两种环境的转换期,也正好是海退期、大洋低生产力期、低CCD和生物碳酸盐低产率期,形成结壳生长的主要生长间断。该研究成果对于进一步了解太平洋的古海洋、古环境演变有一定意义。  相似文献   

西天山特克斯达坂晚古生代若干不整合的厘定及地质意义   总被引：18，自引：0，他引：18  

李永军  张天继  栾新东  王小刚  杨高学  佟黎明 《地球学报》2008,29(2):145-153

地层不整合接触是研究地质发展历史及鉴定地壳运动特征和运动时期的重要依据。通过1：5万区域地质调查,在西天山特克斯达坂一带晚古生代地层中厘定出6个不整合面,证实区内乃至天山地区曾有过至少6幕褶皱运动,丰富了研究区的幕式褶皱内容。新确立了特克斯运动（东图津河组与科古琴山组之间的角度不整合）,证实了天山主褶皱幕是鄯善运动,是记录塔里木板块与准噶尔板块碰撞缝合的重要构造运动。特克斯运动等6幕褶皱运动为天山地区构造演化研究提供了更为详尽的幕式演化信息。  相似文献   

Perturbed solution of sea-air oscillator for the E1 Ni(n)o/La Ni(n)a-Southern Oscillation mechanism     

ZHOU Xianchun  LIN Yihua  WANG Hui  MO Jiaqi 《海洋学报(英文版)》2009,28(3)

A class of coupled system of the E1 Ni(n)o/La Ni(n)a-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) mechanism is studied. Using the perturbed theory, the asymptotic expansions of the solution for ENSO model are obtained and the asymptotic behavior of solution for corresponding problem is considered.  相似文献   

Observations of the North Equatorial Current,Mindanao Current,and Kuroshio current system during the 2006/07 El Niño and 2007/08 La Niña   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yuji Kashino  Norievill España  Fadli Syamsudin  Kelvin J. Richards  Tommy Jensen  Pierre Dutrieux  Akio Ishida 《Journal of Oceanography》2009,65(3):325-333

Two onboard observation campaigns were carried out in the western boundary region of the Philippine Sea in December 2006 and January 2008 during the 2006/07 El Niño and the 2007/08 La Niña to observe the North Equatorial Current (NEC), Mindanao Current (MC), and Kuroshio current system. The NEC and MC measured in late 2006 under El Niño conditions were stronger than those measured during early 2008 under La Niña conditions. The opposite was true for the current speed of the Kuroshio, which was stronger in early 2008 than in late 2006. The increase in dynamic height around 8°N, 130°E from December 2006 to January 2008 resulted in a weakening of the NEC and MC. Local wind variability in this region did not appear to contribute to changes in the current system.  相似文献   

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郭琳  刘玉光  刘雪源  吕学珠  李轶斐 《大地测量与地球动力学》2009,29(4):64-69

????1992??11???2007??5?μ???????????????????????????仯???????????????1???????24~42???μ???????Я???????????ENSO?????2??SLA_2442?????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????3?????????У????????????SLA_2442?????????·??????O???Σ??????????????,??γ????????λ??????9.86??N??8??S??????  相似文献   

海面温度异常时间序列的谱分析     

杜军  修延霞  罗爱军  晋海龙 《测绘信息与工程》2009,34(6):38-39

利用了傅里叶功率谱和小波功率谱分析方法,分析了太平洋中、东部地区海面温度异常时间序列的时频特征,发现了海面温度异常信号具有2~6年左右的周期特征。  相似文献