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261.
262.
Sebastian H. Mernild Glen E. Liston Douglas L. Kane Niels T. Knudsen Bent Hasholt 《Geografisk tidskrift / udgivet af Bestyrelsen for Det Kongelige danske geografiske selskab》2013,113(1):121-136
Geografisk Tidsskrift, Danish Journal of Geography 108(1):121–136, 2008 SnowModel, a physically-based snow evolution modeling system that includes four submodels—MicroMet, EnBal, SnowPack, and SnowTran-3D—was used to simulate eight full-year (1998/99 through 2005/06) evolutions of snow accumulation, blowing snow sublimation, evaporation, snow and ice surface melt, runoff, and mass changes on the entire Mittivakkat Glacier (31 km2) in southeast Greenland. Meteorological observations from two meteorological stations inside the glacier catchment were used as model input, and glaciological mass balance observations were used for model calibration (1998/99 through 2001/02) and validation (2002/03 through 2005/06) of winter snow simulations. As confirmed by observations, the spatially modeled end-of-winter snow water equivalent (SWE) accumulation increased with elevation up to 700–800 m a.s.l. in response to elevation, topography, and dominating wind direction, and maximum snow deposition occurred on the lee side of the ridge east and south of the glacier. Simulated end-of-summer cumulative runoff decreased with elevation and minimum runoff occurred on the shadowed side of the ridge east and south of the glacier. The modeled test period averaged annual mass balance was 65 mm w. eq. y?1 or ~8% more than the observed. For the simulation period, the glacier net mass balance varies from -199 to -1,834 mm w.eq. y?1, averaging -900 (±470) mm w.eq.y?1. The glacier averaged annual modeled precipitation ranged from 1,299 to 1,613 mm w.eq. y?1, evaporation and sublimation from 206 to 289 mm w.eq., and runoff from 1,531 to 2,869 mm w.eq. y?1. The model simulated Mittivakkat Glacier net loss of900 mm w.eq. y?1 contributes approximately 42% to the average simulated runoff of 2,140 mm w.eq. y?1, indicating a mean specific runoff of 67.8 l s?1 km?2. 相似文献
263.
面向灾害风险评估的热带气旋路径及强度随机模拟综述 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
历史热带气旋记录时间序列较短空间差异大,热带气旋灾害风险评估经常面临样本不足,特别是超强台风及巨灾记录历史样本的问题,从而导致传统概率统计方法失效。过去20多年来,逐渐发展出一套完整的方法体系进行热带气旋路径及强度随机模拟,其特点是充分利用历史总体样本信息,生成大量符合历史样本特征的热带气旋路径及强度随机事件样本集,从而有效地解决了局地历史样本不足的问题。在回顾热带气旋的年频次、季节分布、路径分布、强度及影响范围时空规律研究进展基础上,系统综述了用于热带气旋路径及随机模拟的起始点模型、行进模型、终止点模型、洋面强度模型、陆地衰减模型及结果检验方法等领域的进展及不足,然后对其在世界各地的应用进行了概述,并对未来研究改进方向及应用领域进行了展望。 相似文献
264.
基于强约束Delaunay-TIN的三维地学模拟与可视化 总被引:17,自引:2,他引:15
该文以煤层为例,在分析地层底板空间信息特征的基础上,以地层底板等高线为数据源,基于强约束Delau-nay三角形研究含量断层约束的三维地学模拟的数据组织方法,设计地层底板要素的数据结构,并讨论底板各要素的拓扑关系。进而以Delphi和OPGL编程,在CeoMo^3D系统中开发插件,实现了地层底板的3D可视化和基于Voronoi图的地层体积与矿层的储量计算。 相似文献
265.
Nearshore crescentic bars play a key role in nearshore morphodynamics. These bars are observed all along the Aquitanian Coast, with a mean wavelength of about 700 m. A non-linear stability analysis is undertaken to simulate the development of crescentic patterns. Results show that self-organization mechanism can lead alone to the development of these alongshore rhythmic features. Simulated wavelengths are in agreement with observations on the Aquitanian Coast. To cite this article: B. Castelle et al., C. R. Geoscience 338 (2006). 相似文献
266.
Dynamics of coupled human-landscape systems 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
A preliminary dynamical analysis of landscapes and humans as hierarchical complex systems suggests that strong coupling between the two that spreads to become regionally or globally pervasive should be focused at multi-year to decadal time scales. At these scales, landscape dynamics is dominated by water, sediment and biological routing mediated by fluvial, oceanic, atmospheric processes and human dynamics is dominated by simplifying, profit-maximizing market forces and political action based on projection of economic effect. Also at these scales, landscapes impact humans through patterns of natural disasters and trends such as sea level rise; humans impact landscapes by the effect of economic activity and changes meant to mitigate natural disasters and longer term trends. Based on this analysis, human-landscape coupled systems can be modeled using heterogeneous agents employing prediction models to determine actions to represent the nonlinear behavior of economic and political systems and rule-based routing algorithms to represent landscape processes. A cellular model for the development of New Orleans illustrates this approach, with routing algorithms for river and hurricane-storm surge determining flood extent, five markets (home, labor, hotel, tourism and port services) connecting seven types of economic agents (home buyers/laborers, home developers, hotel owners/ employers, hotel developers, tourists, port services developer and port services owners/employers), building of levees or a river spillway by political agents and damage to homes, hotels or port services within cells determined by the passage or depth of flood waters. The model reproduces historical aspects of New Orleans economic development and levee construction and the filtering of frequent small-scale floods at the expense of large disasters. 相似文献
267.
三维景观建模技术是地理信息系统的重要发展领域。本文以AUTOCAD格式的施工设计图为基础,利用三维可视地理信息系统软件Imagis2.3,通过数据的预处理、三维建模、纹理映射,建立了福建师范大学新校区理工楼群模型,并就有关技术问题进行了讨论。 相似文献
268.
The literature review on discrete element (DEM) model analysis of jigging reveals that an idealized fluid behavior is assumed and the damping of the fluid motion across the mineral bed is generally ignored. A microscopic model based on the principles of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) is used to simulate the liquid flow and stratification of coal particles with a wide size range and density distribution in jigging. Fluid motion is calculated by directly solving the Navier–Stokes equations. Coal particles are moved in a Lagrangian frame through the action of forces imposed by the fluid and gravity. Particle effects on fluid motion are fed back at each time step through calculating the velocity disturbance caused by the particle. Particle–particle and particle–wall collisions are also considered. The snapshots of particle configurations for the simulation of stratification in oscillating flow show that the model predicts the macroscopic behavior, such as segregation and stratification, of particles reasonably well. 相似文献
269.
Regional landslide-hazard assessment for Seattle, Washington, USA 总被引:13,自引:6,他引:13
Rex L. Baum Jeffery A. Coe Jonathan W. Godt Edwin L. Harp Mark E. Reid William Z. Savage William H. Schulz Dianne L. Brien Alan F. Chleborad Jonathan P. McKenna John A. Michael 《Landslides》2005,2(4):266-279
Landslides are a widespread, frequent, and costly hazard in Seattle and the Puget Sound area of Washington State, USA. Shallow
earth slides triggered by heavy rainfall are the most common type of landslide in the area; many transform into debris flows
and cause significant property damage or disrupt transportation. Large rotational and translational slides, though less common,
also cause serious property damage. The hundreds of landslides that occurred during the winters of 1995–96 and 1996–97 stimulated
renewed interest by Puget Sound communities in identifying landslide-prone areas and taking actions to reduce future landslide
losses. Informal partnerships between the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the City of Seattle, and private consultants are
focusing on the problem of identifying and mapping areas of landslide hazard as well as characterizing temporal aspects of
the hazard. We have developed GIS-based methods to map the probability of landslide occurrence as well as empirical rainfall
thresholds and physically based methods to forecast times of landslide occurrence. Our methods for mapping landslide hazard
zones began with field studies and physically based models to assess relative slope stability, including the effects of material
properties, seasonal groundwater levels, and rainfall infiltration. We have analyzed the correlation between historic landslide
occurrence and relative slope stability to map the degree of landslide hazard. The City of Seattle is using results of the
USGS studies in storm preparedness planning for emergency access and response, planning for development or redevelopment of
hillsides, and municipal facility planning and prioritization. Methods we have developed could be applied elsewhere to suit
local needs and available data. 相似文献
270.
Evidence for Triassic salt domes in the Tunisian Atlas from gravity and geological data 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3
Chokri Jallouli Mongi Chikhaoui Ahmed Braham Mohamed Moncef Turki Kevin Mickus Ramdhane Benassi 《Tectonophysics》2005,396(3-4):209-225
Detailed gravity data were analyzed to constrain two controversial geological models of evaporitic structures within the Triassic diapiric zone (Triassic massifs of Jebel Debadib and Ben Gasseur) of the northern Tunisian Atlas. Based on surface observations, two geological models have been used to explain the origin of the Triassic evaporitic bodies: (1) salt dome/diapiric structure or (2) a “salt glacier”. The gravity analysis included the construction of a complete Bouguer gravity anomaly map, horizontal gravity gradient (HGG) map and two and a half-dimensional (2.5D) forward models. The complete Bouguer gravity anomaly map shows a prominent negative anomaly over the Triassic evaporite outcrops. The HGG map showed the location of the lateral density changes along northeast structural trends caused by Triassic/Cretaceous lithological differences. The modeling of the complete Bouguer gravity anomaly data favored the diapiric structure as the origin of the evaporitic bodies. The final gravity model constructed over Jebel Debadib indicates that the Triassic evaporitic bodies are thick and deeply rooted involving a dome/diapiric structure and that the Triassic material has pulled upward the younger sediment cover by halokinesis. Taking in account kinematic models and the regional tectonic events affecting the northern margin of Africa, the above diapirs formed during the reactive to active to passive stages of continental margin evolution with development of sinks. Otherwise, this study shows that modeling of detailed gravity data adds useful constraints on the evolution of salt structures that may have an important impact on petroleum exploration models. 相似文献