基于SPI与相对湿润度指数的1961-2009年东北地区5-9月干旱趋势分析   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

马建勇  许吟隆  潘婕 《气象与环境学报》2012,28(3):90-95

依据东北地区1961-2009年71个气象台站月平均气温、降水资料,运用标准化降水指数（SPI）与相对湿润度指数等干旱指标分析了东北地区5-9月的干旱趋势。结果表明：1961-2009年,东北大部分地区在5-9月呈干旱化趋势,仅在黑龙江大兴安岭北部、黑龙江西南部以及黑龙江与吉林的东部交界处表现为湿润化;东北三省干湿震荡主要周期大约为22-24a,近49a发生了4次干湿交替,突变年为1976及1996年。就干旱发生范围而言,近49a东北地区干旱面积呈上升趋势,以1996年为分界线,农作物干旱受灾比在吉林增幅最大,辽宁次之,黑龙江最小,采用SPI与相对湿润度指数评价东北地区干旱较符合实际。就干旱发生频率而言,高值区主要集中在东北西部,特别是黑龙江的齐齐哈尔与大庆地区、吉林的白城地区及辽宁的朝阳地区。干旱与极端干旱的发生频率在1981-1990年较低,在2001-2009年最高,而极端干旱发生频率增加幅度明显高于一般干旱。  相似文献   

中国东部地区冬季和夏季地面湿度空间分布特征的对比分析   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

周顺武  马悦  宋瑶  王传辉  丁锋 《气候与环境研究》2015,20(5):589-599

利用中国东部地区315个台站1963~2012年月平均地面观测资料,揭示了东部地区冬季和夏季地面比湿(SH)和相对湿度(RH)多年平均值及其变率的空间分布特征,并分析和比较了地理因素(经度、纬度和海拔高度)对其空间分布的影响。结果表明:1)在冬季,SH(0.4~7 g kg-1)以秦岭-淮河线为界,呈现出"北低南高"的分布特征;RH(41%~82%)则呈现出"南北高、中间低"的分布特征;一般冬季地面湿度相对较低的地区其变化幅度相对较大。2)在夏季,SH(7~20 g kg-1)整体上明显大于冬季,RH(44%~89%)则与冬季差异不大,均呈现由东南部沿海向西北内陆递减的分布特征;同样夏季地面湿度较低的地区通常其变化幅度也相对较大。3)东部地区冬季地面湿度空间分布受地理因素影响,其中纬度是最主要的影响因素,经度次之,海拔高度对其整体分布影响不明显,且地理因素对冬季SH的回归效果明显好于对冬季RH的回归效果。4)东部地区夏季地面湿度空间分布受地理因素影响较冬季显著,纬度同样是影响夏季地面湿度最主要的因素,但海拔高度对夏季SH、经度对夏季RH的影响程度较冬季增大,且地理因素对夏季SH的回归效果同样好于对RH的回归效果。  相似文献   

大气相对湿度资料融合及融合湿度精度检验——基于2013年1月我国中东部地区卫星和探空相对湿度数据     

陶听  牛涛  韩永翔 《气候与环境研究》2016,21(1):29-40

利用2013年1月MODIS(MODerate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer)的大气廓线产品计算得到大气相对湿度廓线,并与探空观测得到的相对湿度资料进行对比,发现总体上MODIS反演的相对湿度高于探空值,且在相对湿度较低区域误差较大;需要剔除有云影响的MODIS数据和相对湿度小于5%的探空数据;用平均值订正法对MODIS数据进行均一性修正,采用直接订正法、最大相关系数法开展MODIS和探空相对湿度资料融合试验,对融合结果进行分析对比和精度检验。结果表明:(1)直接订正法融合湿度在相对湿度较低区域高于探空湿度,在相对湿度较高区域低于探空湿度,最大相关系数法融合湿度在高湿区和低湿区均与探空接近;(2)融合结果精度检验表明,直接订正法融合湿度与探空湿度的平均绝对误差在850 hPa不超过10%,在925 hPa不超过12%,在1000 hPa不超过9%;采用最大相关系数法融合得到的相对湿度值在各层与探空湿度的绝对误差均不超过4%。总体来看最大相关系数法比直接订正法融合效果更好。  相似文献   

Mapping of hazard from rainfall-triggered landslides in developing countries: Examples from Honduras and Micronesia   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Edwin L. Harp  Mark E. Reid  Jonathan P. McKenna  John A. Michael 《Engineering Geology》2009,104(3-4):295-311

Loss of life and property caused by landslides triggered by extreme rainfall events demonstrates the need for landslide-hazard assessment in developing countries where recovery from such events often exceeds the country's resources. Mapping landslide hazards in developing countries where the need for landslide-hazard mitigation is great but the resources are few is a challenging, but not intractable problem. The minimum requirements for constructing a physically based landslide-hazard map from a landslide-triggering storm, using the simple methods we discuss, are: (1) an accurate mapped landslide inventory, (2) a slope map derived from a digital elevation model (DEM) or topographic map, and (3) material strength properties of the slopes involved. Provided that the landslide distribution from a triggering event can be documented and mapped, it is often possible to glean enough topographic and geologic information from existing databases to produce a reliable map that depicts landslide hazards from an extreme event. Most areas of the world have enough topographic information to provide digital elevation models from which to construct slope maps. In the likely event that engineering properties of slope materials are not available, reasonable estimates can be made with detailed field examination by engineering geologists or geotechnical engineers. Resulting landslide hazard maps can be used as tools to guide relocation and redevelopment, or, more likely, temporary relocation efforts during severe storm events such as hurricanes/typhoons to minimize loss of life and property. We illustrate these methods in two case studies of lethal landslides in developing countries: Tegucigalpa, Honduras (during Hurricane Mitch in 1998) and the Chuuk Islands, Micronesia (during Typhoon Chata'an in 2002).  相似文献   

灌注桩桩土相互作用试验及有限元模拟研究   总被引：9，自引：4，他引：9  

赵法锁  俞剑勇  罗丽娟  卢全中  胡志平 《工程地质学报》2001,9(1):87-92

以灌注桩桩土相互作用的原位试验为基础, 结合西安土层结构、性质; 采用有限单元法对黄土地区的砼灌注桩桩土相互作用进行仿真模拟, 研究了桩土相互作用、荷载的传递规律、桩土相对位移与桩侧摩阻力的关系。通过桩载试验资料对比, 得出三维有限单元法的模拟结果与实测值相近, 该研究进一步揭示了桩土相互作用的实质, 为最优桩长的选取和单桩承载力的确定奠定了基础。  相似文献   

京九铁路建成通车对湘赣经济增长的影响   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

胡振宇  匡耀求  黄宁生 《热带地理》2002,22(4):308-314

通过对湖南、江西峡谷省1990-1999年统计数据分析，认为京九铁路的建成通车改变了两省的相对区位优势，对两省经济发展的影响已经凸现，由于湖南经济对交通运输等基础设施的依赖性比江西强，因而京九铁路的分流对湖南经济的负面影响要比对江西经济的正面影响更为明显。  相似文献   

Dynamic pressures and forces exerted on impermeable and seaside perforated semicircular breakwaters due to regular waves     

G. Dhinakaran  V. Sundar  R. Sundaravadivelu  K. U. Graw 《Ocean Engineering》2002,29(15):1981-2004

The semicircular breakwater (SBW) is a composite breakwater consisting of a semicircular caisson resting on a rubble mound. The SBW function as a barrier dissipates the incident wave energy and creates tranquillity on its leeside. The dynamic pressures due to regular waves exerted on seaside perforated SBWs with 7 and 11% of exposed surface area with perforations were measured. The measured pressures are compared with those exerted on impermeable SBWs. In addition, the forces exerted on the caisson alone are measured. The reflection coefficient, measured total forces on the caisson of the models, and the pressures are presented as functions of relative water depth. The effect of the water depth and the percentage of perforations on the above stated variables are examined, details of which are reported in this paper.  相似文献   

High gray whale relative abundances associated with an oceanographic front in the south-central Chukchi Sea     

B.A. Bluhm  K.O. Coyle  B. Konar  R. Highsmith   《Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography》2007,54(23-26):2919

We describe gray whale (Eschrichtius robustus) distribution in the south-central Chukchi Sea in relation to environmental factors during two 5-day surveys in June and September of 2003. Whale counts per 10-min scan (an index of relative abundance) ranged from 0 to 41 in June and from 0 to 28 in September. CTD data showed an ocean front around 67.8°N with strong horizontal gradients in temperature, salinity, chlorophyll-a concentration and water-column stability. Highest whale abundance indices occurred in or near the front in both periods. Preliminary qualitative assessment of biological communities in the study area suggests that infaunal clams, echinoderms, euphausids, chaetognaths and Arctic cod were common, while ampeliscid amphipods, the previously abundant infauna (and likely prey) in the nearby Chirikov Basin feeding area, were not dominant. Euphausids may be a prey for gray whales in this area. We suggest that frontal systems may play an important role in eastern North Pacific gray whale foraging grounds. Further study is needed to fully describe the role of frontal systems in gray whale foraging grounds.  相似文献   

岷江上游干旱河谷灌丛研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

杨钦周 《山地学报》2007,25(1):1-32

岷江上游干旱河谷灌丛现代植物区系的基本特征是温带分布属占优势而含有较多的热带分布属,以及拥有许多古地中海残遗种和本地特有种,其与古地中海在时间上、与现代中亚(草原和荒漠)在空间上有着渊缘联系,热带属的种与温带荒漠、草原种在此巧妙地聚集和组合是干旱河谷的特有现象,它可能是古地中海植物区系的延续和残遗的反映,在某种意义上可能是历史植物区系的"活化石"。幽深而封闭的峡谷地貌和青藏高原亚热带山地半干旱的暖温气候,以及干燥而贫瘠的山地(碱性)灰褐土是干旱河谷灌丛生境的基本特征。土壤湿度(水分相对含量)和肥力(有机质相对含量)的梯度分析,显示出半干旱-半贫瘠的土壤为其代表性的也是主要的生境类型。一种既无乔木群落(森林)又无草本群落(草原或草甸),而仅有矮灌木和半灌木占优势的灌木群落(矮灌丛),盖满了干旱河谷沿岸干燥山坡的荒凉景观,是岷江上游干旱河谷自然植被的现状概貌和基本特征。干旱河谷灌丛形成于特定的生态环境和地质历史的时空中,是一种处于森林与草原之间的而近似于草原灌丛的隐域性(非地带性或超地带性)植被。其含有的众多中亚荒漠、草原种,在干旱河谷多为中生或中生耐旱特性。因此,干旱河谷灌丛不是草原也更不是荒漠,而是中国-喜马拉雅地区夏雨性的冬旱灌丛(群系纲),它与地中海型气候的冬雨性夏旱灌丛(群系纲:如地中海的Macehia和北美洲的Chaparral等)同属于干旱(季节性)灌丛植被型的两个群系纲(Formation class)。从干旱河谷灌丛数量分析的样地相关性半矩阵中,析出的具有三角形网眼的灌丛之群系关联网(Relative net)和群系之样地关联网,显示了灌丛核心群系和群系的典型样地在关联网中的相关位置。干旱河谷灌丛沿着地质历史的长河在地貌形成与演化过程中,大约在上新世(或许更早)青藏高原尚处于夷平面发育时期,早先的干热性古植被(森林草原)中,就可能已经孕育着干旱河谷灌丛的雏型,至少与邻近的横断山区干旱河谷及中亚的荒漠、草原区(或泛、古地中海区)拥有许多共有种,继而在整个第四纪中不断发展和逐渐形成。在全新世最新的深切河谷中生存着第三纪古老植被的残遗类型和衍生后裔,是现代干旱河谷灌丛起源古老的历史性反映和植被现状的基本特征,它应该是一种原生性的植被(或顶极群落)。建立封山、禁止放牧和樵采以及保护自然植被的有效管理机制,综合开发干旱河谷自然环境中水、热优势资源的直接和间接的多种效益,是岷江上游干旱河谷保护和建设生态环境与发展区域经济的基本途径。岷江上游干旱河谷灌丛拥有十分特殊的古老植物区系和非常稀有的原始植被类型,在有限的地域内保存着古地中海植物区系的残遗成分和衍生后裔,在广阔的湿润森林地带的特定环境中生存着典型的冬旱灌丛,这些都是十分宝贵而稀有的自然遗产,对于研究我国西部的历史植物区系和自然地理,以及保护和建设现代生态环境和区域经济,都有着非常宝贵的科学价值和十分重要的现实意义。因此,特建议在岷江上游干旱河谷划出一定的面积建立自然保护区。保护地段可选设在杂谷脑河的甘堡至龙溪地区(包括主要支流的一部分河段)和岷江干流的飞虹桥至黑水河的沙坝(干旱中心)地区。  相似文献   

Interferometric Baseline Performance Estimations for Multistatic Synthetic Aperture Radar Configurations Derived from GRACE GPS Observations     

A. O. Kohlhase  R. Kroes  S. D’Amico 《Journal of Geodesy》2006,80(1):28-39

Recent studies have demonstrated the usefulness of global positioning system (GPS) receivers for relative positioning of formation-flying satellites using dual-frequency carrier-phase observations. The accurate determination of distances or baselines between satellites flying in formation can provide significant benefits to a wide area of geodetic studies. For spaceborne radar interferometry in particular, such measurements will improve the accuracy of interferometric products such as digital elevation models (DEM) or surface deformation maps. The aim of this study is to analyze the impact of relative position errors on the interferometric baseline performance of multistatic synthetic aperture radar (SAR) satellites flying in such a formation. Based on accuracy results obtained from differential GPS (DGPS) observations between the twin gravity recovery and climate experiment (GRACE) satellites, baseline uncertainties are derived for three interferometric scenarios of a dedicated SAR mission. For cross-track interferometry in a bistatic operational mode, a mean 2D baseline error (1σ) of 1.4 mm is derived, whereas baseline estimates necessary for a monostatic acquisition mode with a 50 km along-track separation reveal a 2D uncertainty of approximately 1.7 mm. Absolute orbit solutions based on reduced dynamic orbit determination techniques using GRACE GPS code and carrier-phase data allows a repeat-pass baseline estimation with an accuracy down to 4 cm (2D 1σ). To assess the accuracy with respect to quality requirements of high-resolution DEMs, topographic height errors are derived from the estimated baseline uncertainties. Taking the monostatic pursuit flight configuration as the worst case for baseline performance, the analysis reveals that the induced low-frequency modulation (height bias) fulfills the relative vertical accuracy requirement (σ<1 m linear point-to-point error) according to the digital terrain elevation data level 3 (DTED-3) specifications for most of the baseline constellations. The use of a GPS-based reduced dynamic orbit determination technique improves the baseline performance for repeat-pass interferometry. The problem of fulfilling the DTED-3 horizontal accuracy requirements is still an issue to be investigated. DGPS can be used as an operational navigation tool for high-precision baseline estimation if a geodetic-grade dual-frequency spaceborne GPS receiver is assumed to be the primary instrument onboard the SAR satellites. The possibility of using only single-frequency receivers, however, requires further research effort.Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) research fellow until Sept. 2004 at the Microwaves and Radar Institute, Deutsche Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR) e.V., 82234 Weßling, Germany  相似文献