滑坡预报的BP-GA混合算法   总被引：15，自引：3，他引：12  

吴承祯  洪伟 《山地学报》2000,18(4):360-364

提出了滑坡位移预报的一种改进人工神经网络方法－ＡＮＮ－ＧＡ法,与传统的人工神经网络方法相比,该方法加快一网络的学习速度,提高了滑坡位移的预报精度。同时它是一种面向数据的方法,适合于不同地区不同条件下滑坡的预报。两例滑坡预报平均相对误差分别为３．５５％和１．９３％,明显估于传统的ＢＰ算法（分别为１１．３５％和７．２４％）及ＧＰ改进方法（分别为３．９６％和２．６５％）,表明该方法具有科学性、可行性和有  相似文献   

基于MATLAB的基本矩阵随机采样鲁棒估计   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

高晟丽  陈杰  李海滨 《海洋测绘》2006,26(3):31-33,38

基本矩阵的估算可以分为线性算法、非线性优化迭代算法、鲁棒估计算法三大类,而以鲁棒估计效率、效果最为突出,但是实现比较复杂。本文通过数码相机获取的两张未标定照片,采样互相关系数法和RANSAC算法,在MATLAB中实现了基本矩阵的自动拟合,实验表明拟合精度较高、速度快,为下一步三维场景的自动重建和量测奠定了基础。  相似文献   

黄河三角洲沿岸海浪风暴潮耦合作用漫堤风险评估研究   总被引：8，自引：3，他引：5  

尹宝树  徐艳青  任鲁川  杨德周  程明华 《海洋与湖沼》2006,37(5):457-463

海浪、风暴潮是重要的海洋灾害因子,过去人们主要对这些灾害因子本身进行研究,而对它们作用的承灾体研究甚少。实际上,只有它们作用的承灾体遭到破坏,才产生海洋灾害。本研究的目的就是要针对海浪风暴潮漫堤灾害,提出漫堤灾害的风险评估标准及风险评估方法和程式,为沿海防灾减灾提供科学依据。针对黄河三角洲示范区,根据漫堤程度,提出了漫堤灾害风险等级标准,并基于建立的海浪和风暴潮潮汐数值模式及长期预测结果,提出了风险评估方法和程式步骤。对黄河三角洲近岸海域主要堤段进行了多年一遇和典型台风过程漫堤灾害的风险评估。得到的结果是:该区沿岸海堤在风暴潮水位下一般都不能发生水位漫堤现象,只有加上波浪作用时,才会出现海水漫堤;当发生五十年一遇的风暴潮、浪时,多数的海堤的风暴潮、浪漫堤灾害风险在3—4级,即有效波高的浪已爬上或接近爬到堤顶;9216和9711号台风所产生的风暴潮、浪灾害约为150—200年一遇的情况。从实际情况看,本研究中提出的漫堤风险评估标准、评估方法是可行的,评估结果为有效防减海浪风暴潮漫堤灾害造成的损失提供了参考。  相似文献   

地震层析成像LSQR算法的并行化   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3  

刘劲松  刘福田  刘俊  郝天珧 《地球物理学报》2006,49(2):540-545

讨论了地震层析成像的LSQR算法(最小二乘QR分解). 在建立偏导数矩阵方程组时,对区内地震在方程中保留震源项,引入正交投影算子进行参数分离,对区外远震采用传统的平滑处理方式,用LSQR法求解联立的方程组. 由于区内地震的正交分解处理和区外远震的平滑处理,使得偏导数矩阵中的非零元素成倍增加,对于大型反演问题,这些非零元素常常达到几十GB到几百GB的数量级,巨量的内存占用成为LSQR算法的瓶颈. 针对这一问题,本文研究了偏导数矩阵中非零元素的分布规律,设计出合理的存储结构,采用分布式存储进行矩阵计算,提出了LSQR算法的并行化方案,并在联想深腾6800超级计算机上实现. 导出了LSQR算法的并行效率估算公式. 对两个地区的实际地震层析成像数据进行了效率测试.  相似文献   

Quadrature-based approach for the efficient evaluation of surge hazard   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

G.R. Toro  A.W. Niedoroda  D. Divoky 《Ocean Engineering》2010,37(1):114-124

The Joint Probability Method (JPM) has been used for hurricane surge frequency analysis for over three decades, and remains the method of choice owing to the limitations of more direct historical methods. However, use of the JPM approach in conjunction with the modern generation of complex high-resolution numerical models (used to describe winds, waves, and surge) has become highly inefficient, owing to the large number of costly storm simulations that are typically required. This paper describes a new approach to the selection of the storm simulation set that permits reduction of the JPM computational effort by about an order of magnitude (compared to a more conventional approach) while maintaining good accuracy. The method uses an integration scheme called Bayesian or Gaussian-process quadrature (together with conventional integration methods) to evaluate the multi-dimensional joint probability integral over the space of storm parameters (pressure, radius, speed, heading, and any others found to be important) as a weighted summation over a relatively small set of optimally selected nodes (synthetic storms). Examples of an application of the method are shown, drawn from the recent post-Katrina study of coastal Mississippi.  相似文献   

Quantifying the storm erosion hazard for coastal planning     

David P. Callaghan  Ranasinghe Roshanka  Short Andrew 《Coastal Engineering》2009

The quantity of coastline retreat resulting from storm erosion is one of the most important phenomena that needs to be accurately quantified to facilitate effective coastal management strategies. Historically, the volume of storm erosion (and coastline retreat) accommodated for coastal planning decisions has been directly linked to the storm (usually defined by considering wave height and duration only) with a certain pre-defined return period, known as a Synthetic Design Storm (SDS) (e.g. 1 in 100 year storm). The SDS method of estimating storm erosion volumes for coastal planning thus assumes that, for example, the 1 in 100 year storm event also results in a 1 in 100 year erosion event. This communication discusses the physical reality of this assumption and demonstrates the improved performance of a new method, based on Joint Probability Distributions (JPD) for estimating storm erosion volumes proposed by Callaghan et al. [Callaghan, D.P., Nielsen, P., Short, A.D. and Ranasinghe, R., 2008. Statistical simulation of wave climate and extreme beach erosion. Coastal Engineering, 55(5): 375–390] using one of the world's longest beach profile surveys from Sydney, Australia.  相似文献   

A simplified hindcast method for the estimation of extreme storm surge events in semi-enclosed basins     

《Applied Ocean Research》2019

Human presence, coastal erosion, and tourism activities are increasing the attention to coastal flooding risk. To perform risk assessments, long time series of observed or hindcast wave parameters and tide levels are then necessary. In some cases, only a few years of observation are available, so that observed extreme data are not always representative and reliable. A hindcast system aimed to reconstruct long time series of total tide levels may be of great help to perform robust extreme events analysis and then to protect human life, activities as well as to counteract coastal erosion by means of risk assessments. This work aims to propose a simplified method to hindcast storm surge levels time series in semi-enclosed basins with low computational costs. The method is an extension of a previous work of some of the authors and consists of a mixed approach in which the estimation of storm surge obtained by using the theory of linear dynamic system is corrected by using a statistical method. Both steps are characterized by low computational costs. Nevertheless, the results may be considered reliable enough also in view of the simplicity of the approach. The proposed method has been applied to the Manfredonia case study, a small village located in the Southern Adriatic Italian coast and often prone to coastal flooding events. The comparison of extreme events estimated on the basis of hindcast levels time series is satisfactorily similar to those estimated on the basis of observed tide series.  相似文献   

工程养护海滩对"803"风暴潮的响应过程研究     

朱磊  杨燕雄  杨雯  房克照 《海洋通报》2019,38(1):102-14

研究养护海滩对风暴潮的响应过程在人工养滩工程设计与施工中具有重要意义。老龙头养护海滩在竣工半个月后遭遇“803”风暴潮,导致岸滩滩肩最大蚀退 6.5 m,沙坝坝顶最大下蚀 1.2 m。在现场测量的基础上,利用 XBeach 建立风暴潮过程 的老龙头海滩海床演变模型,研究结果表明： （1） XBeach 模拟结果与实际地形变化侵淤趋势一致,风暴潮期间人工沙坝均向岸移动,但模拟结果的侵蚀程度更大,海滩响应更加剧烈; （2） 强浪条件下人工沙坝的透射系数为 0.29~0.42,常浪条件下透射系数为 0.45~0.95,因而人工沙坝在大浪条件下掩护作用更佳; （3） 风暴潮期间人工沙坝附近破波显著,坝顶流速明显增大,最大可达 1.21 m/s,是无人工沙坝情况下的 2.3 倍,而在人工沙坝向岸侧,因波能提前耗散,流速减为 0.28 m/s,是无人工沙坝时的 0.4 倍,且没有产生离岸流。老龙头养护工程整体泥沙损失较少,易于恢复.  相似文献   

GA-BP网络模型在GPS似大地水准面精化中的应用     

彭祥国  王坚  许振问  王建鹏 《全球定位系统》2009,34(4):66-70

针对误差反向传播（BP）算法训练速度慢和易于陷入局部最小值的缺点,提出了利用遗传算法（GA）的全局寻优性,结合GA和BP的各自优点,分析和建立了进化神经网络（GA-BP）模型,并将该模型应用于似大地水准面模型精化。最后以南方某市E级GPS控制网高程数据为例,进行BP和GA-BP模型的对比实验,通过对内、外符合精度及MAPE（平均绝对误差百分比）指标分析,验证了该方法的可行性。  相似文献   

The shipway limestone of gower: Sedimentation on a storm-dominated early carboniferous ramp     

T. J. Faulkner 《Geological Journal》1988,23(1):85-100

A detailed sedimentary study of the Lower Carboniferous (Courceyan) Shipway Limestone Formation at Three Cliffs Bay on the Gower Peninsula (South Wales) has shown that the bioclastic limestones represent a storm-dominated sequence that contains the storm-related sedimentary structure hummocky cross-stratification (HCS). Conformably overlying the Shipway Limestone is a cross-stratified oolitic sandbody with evidence of subaerial exposure. Six sedimentary lithofacies are identified in these two formations which record a distal to proximal, shallowing-upward trend that passes from beneath mean wave-base to above fairweather wave-base. The shallow marine facies model constructed by Wu (1982) from his study of the Lower Carboniferous limestone sequences of South Wales is re-evaluated. Modifications proposed for the model include the addition of two distal tempestite facies and a proximal oolite sand body. The Shipway Limestone and Brofiscin Oolite record the first major, basin-wide, shallowing-upward phase of the Lower Carboniferous in South Wales.  相似文献