EWT-Elman组合模型短期电离层TEC预报     

鲁铁定  黄佳伟  贺小星  吕开云 《大地测量与地球动力学》2021,41(7):666-671

针对电离层总电子含量(TEC)非线性、高噪声的特点,建立基于经验小波变换(EWT)和Elman神经网络的短期电离层组合预报模型。运用该模型对不同地磁环境的电离层TEC时间序列进行建模预报,结果表明,EWT-Elman组合模型可反映电离层TEC的变化特征,地磁平静期预测平均相对精度为93%,均方根误差为1.04 TECu;地磁扰动期预测平均相对精度为92.4%,均方根误差为2.18 TECu。单一Elman模型、EMD-Elman组合模型以及EWT-BP组合模型在地磁平静期平均相对精度最高为90.7%,均方根误差最小为1.33 TECu;地磁扰动期平均相对精度最高为90.7%,均方根误差最小为2.57 TECu。对比其他模型,本文方法预测效果最优。  相似文献   

EEMD-多尺度排列熵的GPS高程时间序列降噪方法     

鲁铁定  谢建雄 《大地测量与地球动力学》2021,41(2):111-115

针对GPS高程时间序列受各类噪声干扰的影响,导致难以提取有用信息的问题,提出一种基于整体经验模态分解(EEMD)结合多尺度排列熵(MPE)的阈值降噪方法。该方法以EEMD为核心算法,将原始信号分解成一系列本征模态函数(IMF),并采用MPE作为指标将其分类为噪声IMF、混合IMF和信息IMF;然后利用阈值函数处理混合IMF,实现二次降噪;再重构降噪后的数据与信息IMF,获得降噪结果。仿真信号和实例分析结果表明,该方法与相关系数法、MPE法相比,降噪评价指标RMSE、SNR和d_nSNR均为最优,说明该降噪方法效果最好,本文方法获得的降噪结果能够更好地反映出时间序列本身的非线性变化特性,可为GPS高程时间序列分析提供可靠依据。  相似文献   

淹没植物对河道糙率的影响   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

拾兵  王川源  尹则高  吴航 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2009,39(2)

基于河道水动力及植物柔性变形分析,建立淹没状态下的植物河道糙率计算的理论关系,同时,利用试验资料及理论分析成果,进一步获得了植物河道糙率的附加值,借此可以分析与评价河道植物对水流阻力的影响程度.  相似文献   

地表沉陷空间预报及其有理分式解法的应用          下载免费PDF全文

朱自强  张四全  彭云涌 《地球物理学进展》2007,22(2):593-597

通过阐述地面沉陷机理,分析地下岩体内应力状态和地下开挖空间的形成过程.引入数学积分模型建立地面沉陷理论模型,重点说明单元下沉盆地和特征点下沉,推导出地面沉陷预报公式.并利用有理分式解法求解地面沉陷预报数值.此法的计算精度高,适用面广,有效地解决了常规解法工作量大、计算精度低的缺点.为一种有效、实用的计算地面沉陷预报值的方法.  相似文献   

西藏盐湖卤水蒸发速率的实验与计算   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

齐文  郑绵平 《地质学报》2007,81(12):1727-1733

本文对国内外水面蒸发速率的研究进行了综述,总结了西藏扎布耶盐湖Φ20cm蒸发皿淡水蒸发量与气温、降水、日照的相关关系,提出了改进的扩展彭曼公式法,用于较为准确地计算盐湖卤水蒸发速率,并以西藏扎布耶盐湖为例计算了盐湖卤水蒸发。该方法可以应用于盐湖湖面蒸发与水量均衡计算,也可以应用于盐湖开发中的盐田工艺设计计算与实际生产应用。  相似文献   

Degradation of rock fracture asperities in unloading,reloading, and reversal     

Pooyan Asadollahi  Fulvio Tonon 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2011,35(12):1334-1346

Among the constitutive models for rock fractures developed over the years, Barton's empirical model has been widely used. Although Barton's failure criterion predicts peak shear strength of rock fractures with acceptable precision, it has some limitations in estimating the peak shear displacement, post‐peak shear strength, dilation, and surface degradation. The first author modified Barton's original model in order to address these limitations. Barton proposed his model for degradation of fracture asperities in unloading, reloading, and shear displacement reversal based on just one cyclic direct shear test. In this study, a database of results of 18 cyclic direct shear tests available in the literature was collected and analyzed. Modifications were made to Barton's original model (in terms of fracture cyclic shearing) to make it consistent with the modified model proposed by the first author. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Energy balance and evaporation loss of an agricultural reservoir in a semi‐arid climate (south‐eastern Spain)     

B. Gallego‐Elvira  A. Baille  B. Martín‐Górriz  V. Martínez‐Álvarez 《水文研究》2010,24(6):758-766

A typical agricultural water reservoir (AWR) of 2400 m² area and 5 m depth, located in a semi‐arid area (southern Spain), was surveyed on a daily basis for 1 year. The annual evaporation flux was 102·7 W m^?2, equivalent to an evaporated water depth of 1310 mm year^?1. The heat storage rate G exhibited a clear annual cycle with a peak gain in April (G ～ 45 W m^?2) and a peak loss in November (G ～ 40 W m^?2), leading to a marked annual hysteretic trend when evaporation (λE) was related to net radiation (R_n). λE was strongly correlated with the available energy A, representing 91% of the annual AWR energy loss. The sensible heat flux H accounted for the remaining 9%, leading to an annual Bowen ratio in the order of 0·10. The equilibrium and advective evaporation terms of the Penman formula represented 76 and 24%, respectively, of the total evaporation, corresponding to a annual value of the Priestley–Taylor (P–T) coefficient (α) of 1·32. The P–T coefficient presented a clear seasonal pattern, with a minimum of 1·23 (July) and a maximum of 1·65 (December), indicating that, during periods of limited available energy, AWR evaporation increased above the potential evaporation as a result of the advection process. Overall, the results stressed that accurate prediction of monthly evaporation by means of the P–T formula requires accounting for both the annual cycle of storage and the advective component. Some alternative approaches to estimating R_n, G and α are proposed and discussed. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

转动物台椭圆偏光运动轨迹分析          下载免费PDF全文

张立冬 《岩石矿物学杂志》1988,7(2):175-184

本文研究了转动物台椭圆偏光的运动规律,并用公式和图解表示椭圆偏光运动轨迹,导出的椭圆偏光方程式集中反映了各公式之间的关系。为解决椭圆偏光长轴运动轨迹,推导出计算椭圆长轴(a)和视旋转角(Ar)两个新公式,使最大视旋转角所对应的物台转角的研究有新的进展。本文重点讨论不透明矿物反射光的椭圆偏光的性质,但对透明矿物透射光的椭圆偏光也有一定意义。  相似文献   

关于二轴晶矿物光性正负判别式的讨论     

黄振恒 《矿物学报》1988,(3)

作者同意刘智星的论断:旧的二轴晶矿物光性正负判别式是错误的。本文也对刘智星的推论作了更为简明直观的解释,同时提出一个新的测定二轴晶矿物光性正负的判别式:Nm-N_(45)。应用此判别式检查了近470个二轴晶矿物的光性,发现某些文献中所记载或所引用的资料(折射率或光性符号)有错。  相似文献   

Estimation of tsunami hazard from volcanic activity — Suggested methodology with Augustine volcano,Alaska as an example     

Hemendra Acharya 《Natural Hazards》1989,1(4):341-348

A general approach for the estimation of tsunami height and hazard in the vicinity of active volcanoes has been developed. An empirical relationship has been developed to estimate the height of the tsunami generated for an eruption of a given size. This relationship can be used to estimate the tsunami hazard based on the frequency of eruptive activity of a particular volcano. This technique is then applied to the estimation of tsunami hazard from the eruption of the Augustine volcano in Alaska. Modification of this approach to account for a less than satisfactory data base and differing volcanic characteristics is also discussed with the case of the Augustine volcano as an example. This approach can be used elsewhere with only slight modifications and, for the first time, provides a technique to estimate tsunami hazard from volcanic activity, similar to a well-established approach for the estimation of tsunami hazard from earthquake activity.  相似文献