利用变参数回归方法反演泥质岩裂缝密度     

赖生华  刘文碧  李德发  周文  彭军 《沉积与特提斯地质》1998,18(3):50-54

本文利用变参数回归分析建立了多口井的泥质岩储层裂缝密度模型。该模型的平均相对误差为１３．５％,较常系数回归分析、ＢＰ网络模型进行裂缝预测的精度高（平均相对误差分别为３８．７％、１７．９％）。通过实际资料处理认为该油田在纵向上随时代变老,深度加深,裂缝密度降低。即从Ｎ２２、Ｎ１２到Ｎ１,平均裂缝密度从０．７８条／ｍ、０．５条／ｍ降低到０．３条／ｍ。在平面上,沿构造轴部裂缝最发育,平均裂缝密度Ｎ２２、Ｎ１２、Ｎ１层分别为０．５８条／ｍ、０．６条／ｍ、０．３条／ｍ。  相似文献   

南昌市降水概率预报方法研究(一)   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

曹晓岗 《气象与减灾研究》1998,(2)

主要介绍了降水概率预报的事件概率回归方法,1997年试用表明这种方法有一定的参考价值。  相似文献   

利用不完全Cholesky共轭梯度法求解点源三维地电场   总被引：30，自引：7，他引：23       下载免费PDF全文

吴小平  徐果明 《地球物理学报》1998,41(6):848-855

点源三维地电场的求解是一大型数值计算问题．本文用有限差分方法求解,最后形成一个线性方程组Ax＝b,这里A是大型稀疏的带状对称矩阵．解大型稀疏方程组的完全Cholesky分解直接算法,一般要求巨大的机器内存来存储系数矩阵A,而且计算速度极慢．因此引入不完全Cholesky共轭梯度（ICCG）算法及按行索引的稀疏存储模式,充分利用A的稀疏性,使得计算速度大大提高,而内存要求则大大减少,因此ICCG算法是地电三维正演的强有力工具．  相似文献   

Mineral variation in anorthositic, troctolitic, and adamellitic rocks of the Barth Island layered structure in the Nain anorthosite complex, Labrador     

D. de Waard  K. Mulhern  D. F. Merriam 《Mathematical Geology》1976,8(5):561-574

The Barth Island layered structure is an oval, 6 by 9 km body, consisting of rhythmically layered adamellitic rock in the center which grades outward through jotunite into troctolite. Farther outward the sequence repeats itself in reversed order, strongly reduced in magnitude and finer grained; the adamellitic zone is followed by jotunite which grades into coarse-grained leuconorite and into anorthosite of the Nain complex. The Barth Island structure, having an inverted conical base topped by a hemispherical depression, seems to represent a distorted sequence of rock layers with troctolite at the bottom, grading upward into adamellitic rocks which grade into anorthosite at the top. Trend-surface analysis demonstrates the regional variation of plagioclase and orthopyroxene compositions in the troctolite—adamellite sequence of the central part of the structure. The fits for the second- and third-degree surfaces are good and significant at the 99 percent level. The regression line for compositional variation in coexisting plagioclase and orthopyroxene in all analyzed rocks has a correlation coefficient of r² = 0.78. The difference between the trends in the troctolite—adamellite sequence and the anorthosite—adamellite sequence is insignificant. The regression curve for compositional variation in coexisting orthopyroxene and olivine has a correlation coefficient of r² = 0.98. The curve shows good correlation with the experimentally established partitioning curve of Medaris, which indicates that equilibrium conditions prevailed during formation of the olivine—ortho-pyroxene pairs. The results suggest that the troctolite—adamellite sequence and the anorthosite—adamellite sequence are products of fractional crystallization, possibly from the same parental magma.  相似文献   

Evaluation of an empirical orthogonal function–based method to downscale soil moisture patterns based on topographical attributes     

Frederick A. Busch  Jeffrey D. Niemann  Michael Coleman 《水文研究》2012,26(18):2696-2709

Soil moisture influences many hydrologic applications including agriculture, land management and flood prediction. Most remote‐sensing methods that estimate soil moisture produce coarse resolution patterns, so methods are required to downscale such patterns to the resolutions required by these applications (e.g. 10‐ to 30‐m grid cells). At such resolutions, topography is known to affect soil moisture patterns. Although methods have been proposed to downscale soil moisture based on topography, they usually require the availability of past high‐resolution soil moisture patterns from the application region. The objective of this article is to determine whether a single topographic‐based downscaling method can be used at multiple locations without relying on detailed local observations. The evaluated downscaling method is developed on the basis of empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of space–time soil moisture data at a reference catchment. The most important EOFs are then estimated from topographic attributes, and the associated expansion coefficients are estimated on the basis of the spatial‐average soil moisture. To test the portability of this EOF‐based method, it is developed separately using four data sets (Tarrawarra, Tarrawarra 2, Cache la Poudre and Satellite Station), and the relationships that are derived from these data sets to estimate the EOFs and expansion coefficients are compared. In addition, each of these downscaling methods is applied not only for the catchment where it was developed but also to the other three catchments. The results suggest that the EOF downscaling method performs well for the location where it is developed, but its performance degrades when applied to other catchments. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Non-Darcian groundwater flow in leaky aquifers     

ZEKAI ŞEN 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(4):595-606

Abstract

A simplified method has been developed for solving leaky aquifer non-Darcian flow hydraulics. The principle of volumetric approach is combined with the confined-aquifer, time-dependent drawdown equation in an observation well. The groundwater flow in the leaky aquifer is assumed to obey a non-Darcian flow law of exponential type. The results are obtained in the form of type-curve expressions from which the necessary bundles of curves are drawn for a set of selective non-Darcian flow aquifer parameters. Although application of the methodology appears as rather limited but it provides a scientific contribution and extension of leaky aquifer theory towards nonlinear flow conditions. The methodology developed herein is applied to some actual field data from the eastern sedimentary basin in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.  相似文献   

Regression‐based approach to low flow prediction in the Maryland Piedmont region under joint climate and land use change     

Mohamad I. Hejazi  Glenn E. Moglen 《水文研究》2007,21(14):1793-1801

We examine the low flow records for six urbanized watersheds in the Maryland Piedmont region and develop regression equations to predict annual minimum low flow events. The effects of both future climate (based on precipitation and temperature projections from two climate models: Hadley and the Canadian Climate Centre (CCC)) and land use change are incorporated to illustrate possible future trends in low flows. A regression modelling approach is pursued to predict the minimum annual 7‐day low flow estimates for the proposed future scenarios. A regional regression model was calibrated with between 10 and 50 years of daily precipitation, daily average temperature, annual imperviousness, and the daily observed flow time‐series across six watersheds. Future simulations based on a 55 km² urbanizing watershed just north of Washington, DC, were performed. When land use and climate change were employed singly, the former predicted no trends in low flows and the latter predicted significant increasing trends under Hadley and no trends under CCC. When employed jointly, however, low flows were predicted to decrease significantly under CCC, whereas Hadley predicted no significant trends in low flows. Antecedent precipitation was the most influential predictor on low flows, followed by urbanization. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

GROUNDWATER QUALITY AND CONTAMINATION INDEX MAPPING IN CHANGCHUN CITY, CHINA   总被引：13，自引：0，他引：13  

Hamadoun BOKAR 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2004,14(1):63-70

1INTRODUCTIONGroundwater in Changchun City assures about 45% of total water supply. Drinking water supply of Chang-chun City was mostly served by surface water from Shitoukoumen and Xinlicheng reservoirs located in the east and south of the city (ZHANG, 1993). However, with the development of urban construction the ground-water especially from deep boreholes is also used for drinking purpose in suburban areas. The urbanization process in Changchun City threatens the groundwater quali…  相似文献   

SOFTWARE REVIEWS     

《The Professional geographer》1990,42(3):386-390

AMOS—Analysis of MOment Structures . James Arbuckle CLIMATEDATA–Summary of the Day . (Version 1.10). HYDRODATA–U.S.G.S. Daily Values (Version 2.0). The MAP SETS (includes EUROPEAN MAPSET, US MAPSET and WORLD MAPSET). James Taylor  相似文献   

基于空间自回归和空间聚类的渔情预报模型     

袁红春  谭明星  顾怡婷  陈新军 《海洋科学》2015,39(12):165-172

作者针对远洋渔场渔情预报精度偏低的问题,提出一种基于空间自回归和空间聚类的渔情预报模型。该模型利用空间自回归对收集到的渔业历史数据进行预处理,然后通过空间聚类将所有数据样本根据地理位置分划成若干个区域,最后研究每个区域中环境数据与渔获数据之间的数学关系,各自建立栖息地适宜性指数模型(Habitat Suitability Index,HSI),并以印度洋大眼金枪鱼(Thunnus obesus)为例进行验证。结果表明,本模型的均方差为0.1742,与传统线性回归方法的均方差0.2363相比,能更好地表达海洋环境数据与渔获量之间的关系,预测精度显著提高。  相似文献