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951.
The Karhunen-Loeve (KL) decomposition and the polynomial chaos (PC) expansion are elegant and efficient tools for uncertainty propagation in porous media. Over recent years, KL/PC-based frameworks have successfully been applied in several contributions for the flow problem in the subsurface context. It was also shown, however, that the accurate solution of the transport problem with KL/PC techniques is more challenging. We propose a framework that utilizes KL/PC in combination with sparse Smolyak quadrature for the flow problem only. In a subsequent step, a Lagrangian sampling technique is used for transport. The flow field samples are calculated based on a PC expansion derived from the solutions at relatively few quadrature points. To increase the computational efficiency of the PC-based flow field sampling, a new reduction method is applied. For advection dominated transport scenarios, where a Lagrangian approach is applicable, the proposed PC/Monte Carlo method (PCMCM) is very efficient and avoids accuracy problems that arise when applying KL/PC techniques to both flow and transport. The applicability of PCMCM is demonstrated for transport simulations in multivariate Gaussian log-conductivity fields that are unconditional and conditional on conductivity measurements. 相似文献
952.
Long‐term monitoring of changes in dissolved oxygen (DO) and pH is of great importance to quantifying aquatic ecosystem metabolism, particularly for lakes under the changing global environment. During 173 days, diel DO cycles were measured in situ along with the main driving variables of pH, wind speed (WS), and net solar radiation (Rn) in a temperate shallow lake. Best‐fit multiple non‐linear regression (MNLR) models of diel DO time series were built and validated on a monthly basis, with R2 values ranging from 42.4% in September to 95.4% in November for validation. The strong relationship between diel DO and pH (r = 0.6) appeared to be related to the patterns of ecosystem productivity and respiration, and sensitivity of decomposing bacteria to changes in pH. pH‐driven lake metabolism appears to have significant implications for diel and seasonal lake metabolism in a changing global environment. 相似文献
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兰州是中国省会城市中地质灾害较为频发的地区之一,其地质灾害主要受地质、地形和人类活动等因素的影响。本文在分析兰州市区滑坡发育的控制因素和主要影响因素的基础上,以地理信息系统(GIS)为平台、采用专业数理统计软件SPSS中的逻辑回归模型(Binary Logistic)计算评价区内各单元格地质灾害的发生概率,通过GIS平台和SPSS软件之间数据格式的交换,利用GIS软件的空间分析功能,对兰州市滑坡灾害危险性进行了区划。研究结果与滑坡分布规律一致,对兰州市的地质灾害防治具有实际意义。 相似文献
956.
渗透系数参数反演的本质是优化问题求解,遗传算法是一种基于自然选择和群体遗传机理的新的全局优化求解方法,可以较好地用于求解诸如渗透系数参数反演等复杂非线性组合优化问题。基于结构风险最小化原理的支持向量机具有逼近复杂非线性系统、较强的学习泛化能力,可以用来计算渗透系数参数反演过程中的测点水头值。实验表明,基于遗传算法-支持向量回归机的地下水渗透系统参数反演拟合效果良好,能大大提升区间搜索效率,避免出现局部最优解,其参数识别精度符合实际应用要求。 相似文献
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Surendra P. Verma Rosalinda González‐Ramírez Rodolfo Rodríguez‐Ríos 《Geostandards and Geoanalytical Research》2011,35(2):183-192
Pressed powder pellets and fused beads or glass disks are routinely used in X‐ray fluorescence spectrometry for the determination of major and trace elements, respectively, in geological materials. In order to evaluate the performance of these two sample preparation methods, we determined Ni and Cr concentrations of fourteen RMs from Japan, France and South Africa, and eighty‐five igneous and three sedimentary rock samples from Mexico in both powder pellets and glass beads. We also computed new values of statistical parameters for RMs from an outlier‐based multiple‐test method and compared them with the literature mean and confidence limit values. The results showed that the multiple‐test method provided more reliable central tendency and dispersion parameters for RMs than those obtained previously from the two or three standard deviation method, or from robust methods. The powder pellet and fused bead sample preparation methods provided consistent results for Ni and Cr at concentration levels > 50 μg g?1 in this application; for lower concentration levels, however, these methods showed somewhat greater differences. For quantitative comparisons, both ordinary and weighted least‐squares linear regression models were used to show that the two sample preparation methods provided generally unbiased results. 相似文献
959.
针对土壤有机碳影响因素多且复杂而造成碳储量模拟模型中参数难以确定的问题,利用吉林西部167个典型土壤样点资料,通过统计分析对吉林西部表层土壤有机碳含量及元素地球化学进行了详细研究。结果表明:吉林西部土壤有机碳含量整体水平偏低,并存在着明显的区域分布特点,不同工作区的分异性不同;吉林西部土壤有机碳含量与Si含量、硅铝率、硅铝铁率和K含量之间存在着极显著的负相关,而与P、Al、Fe、Ca、Mg含量存在极显著的正相关;不同元素变异特征值可以解释土壤有机碳含量总变异的能力也不相同。通过研究土壤有机碳与元素含量的关系来定量研究土壤有机碳与土壤理化性质的关系是可行的,将二者量化关系与土壤有机碳储量模拟模型相结合,使得对土壤碳储量的认识更加科学。 相似文献
960.
We propose a basic ship design knowledge-model for information storage and retrieval using a knowledge-based engineering (KBE) system and develop a semantic inquiry function that allows users to use the retrieved information immediately. Our aim is to merge the repetitive access and calculating tasks and data such as the principal dimensions required during the basic ship design process into a single database, so that this information remains available for future construction projects. However, the concept of linking a design knowledge base and inference engine requires the combining of ship design information with the KBE system. This research enhances the flexibility, extension, and operation of the inference mechanism of the KBE design methodology through the establishment of a user interface, knowledge base, and inference engine. The design information is managed a document-based approach, which requires the conversion of the original documents into the XML (eXtensible Markup Language) format, and compiles rules for the basic design process. This system uses the KBE method attempts to reduce the double workload of design and modeling at the commencement of a new project with the document-generating integration work. 相似文献