Modèles géostatistiques de concentrations ou de débits le long des cours d'eau     

Chantal de Fouquet  Caroline Bernard-Michel 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2006,338(5):307-318

Estimating concentrations or flow rates along a stream network requires specific models. Two classes of models, recently proposed in the literature, are generalized, to the intrinsic case in particular. We present a global construction by ‘streams’, i.e. on the whole set of paths between sources and outlet. Combining stationary or intrinsic one-dimensional random functions leads to stationary or intrinsic models on segments, with discontinuities at the forks. A construction from outlet to sources, leads to stationary or intrinsic models on each stream, without any discontinuity at the forks. The linear variogram is found as a particular case. The extension to the linear model of coregionalization is immediate, allowing a multivariate modelling of concentrations. To cite this article: C. de Fouquet, C. Bernard-Michel, C. R. Geoscience 338 (2006).  相似文献   

基于GIS的山地林道网优化配置系统   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

邱荣祖  兰樟仁  黎建明 《山地学报》2006,24(6):716-720

应用系统选择永安元沙国有林业采育场的部分林班为示范,建立森林资源空间数据库.以ARC/INFO为开发平台,以山地林道网理论为指导,应用G IS技术、DBMS技术与数学规划集成技术,使用AML语言进行二次开发设计山地林道网优化配置系统,实现计算机辅助林道网配置,提高决策的科学性。  相似文献   

Application of back-propagation networks in debris flow prediction   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

Tung-Chueng Chang  Ru-Jen Chao   《Engineering Geology》2006,85(3-4):270-280

Debris flows have caused serious loss of human lives and a lot of damage to properties in Taiwan over the past decades. Moreover, debris flows have brought massive mud causing water pollution in reservoirs and resulted in water shortage for daily life locally and affected agricultural irrigation and industrial usages seriously. A number of methods for prediction of debris flows have been studied. However, the successful prediction ratio of debris flows cannot always maintain a stable and reliable level. The objective of this study is to present a stable and reliable analytical model for occurrence predictions of debris flows. This study proposes an Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) model that was constructed by seven significant factors using back-propagation (BP) algorithm. These seven factors include (1) length of creek, (2) average slope, (3) effective watershed area, (4) shape coefficient, (5) median size of soil grain, (6) effective cumulative rainfall, and (7) effective rainfall intensity. A total of 178 potential cases of debris flows collected in eastern Taiwan were fed into the ANN model for training and testing. The average ratio of successful prediction reaching 93.82% demonstrates that the presented ANN model with seven significant factors can provide a stable and reliable result for the prediction of debris flows in hazard mitigation and guarding systems.  相似文献   

Modeling the cyclic swelling pressure of mudrock using artificial neural networks     

M. Moosavi  M.J. Yazdanpanah  R. Doostmohammadi 《Engineering Geology》2006,87(3-4):178-194

The stochastic nature of the cyclic swelling behavior of mudrock and its dependence on a large number of interdependent parameters was modeled using Time Delay Neural Networks (TDNNs). This method has facilitated predicting cyclic swelling pressure with an acceptable level of accuracy where developing a general mathematical model is almost impossible. A number of total pressure cells between shotcrete and concrete walls of the powerhouse cavern at Masjed–Soleiman Hydroelectric Powerhouse Project, South of Iran, where mudrock outcrops, confirmed a cyclic swelling pressure on the lining since 1999. In several locations, small cracks are generated which has raised doubts about long term stability of the powerhouse structure. This necessitated a study for predicting future swelling pressure. Considering the complexity of the interdependent parameters in this problem, TDNNs proved to be a powerful tool. The results of this modeling are presented in this paper.  相似文献   

Statistical analysis for the hydrogeological evaluation of the fracture networks in hard rocks     

J. Hofrichter  G. Winkler 《Environmental Geology》2006,49(6):821-827

The hydrogeological effectiveness of fracture sets is determined and evaluated by the fuzzy c-mean and hierarchical clustering. These cluster analyses combine the geological spatial attributes and the hydraulic relevant attributes of fractures. Based on the results of the clustering the fracture set volumes are estimated.  相似文献   

东南极格罗夫山GPS控制网的布设与数据处理   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

张胜凯  鄂栋臣  闫利  姜卫平 《极地研究》2006,18(2):123-129

为了给中国南极野外考察队提供DEM卫星影像图,在2002/2003年南极度夏期间,中国第19次南极考察队的大地测量工作者,在东南极Grove山地区,进行了地面控制测量。在覆盖面积达8000km~2的2000多米高的内陆冰盖高原区,在直升机和雪地车的支持下,利用Trim- ble4000ssi GPS接收机,与中山站GPS跟踪站联测,测量了7个GPS控制点,并埋设了永久性测量标志。数据处理采用GAMIT/GLOBK软件解算,获得了较好的定位精度,能够满足该地区制图所需。  相似文献   

中国深空测控网建立方案的研究     

魏二虎  刘经南  黄劲松 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2005,30(7):592-596

概述了深空测控网的基本技术要求,总结了我国卫星测控网和国内现有射电观测设施的技术、组成和分布,分析和论述了将我国现有的测控设施建设成深空测控网的具体方案。  相似文献   

层次化网络SCADA通讯模型及其应用   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

陈志文 《物探化探计算技术》2005,27(4):354-357

为在大型网络分布式SCADA（Super Control and Data Acquisition）应用系统中解决诸如电力、通信、石油、化工、制造业等行业或领域，在过程、流程、状态方面的数据监视、数据控制、数据采集与数据管理的高效、实时问题，解决各级子系统之间人工逐级汇接的问题，提高应用系统的稳定性、可维护性，这里提出了一种层次化网络SCADA通讯模型。该模型是通过在层次化网络SCADA模型中，引入基于TCP／IP协议的客户机／服务器查询方式数据通讯技术和点对点主动数据传递技术而建立的。根据该模型所设计的产品，经过生产实践证明，应用该模型可以较方便地构造分布在不同区域计算机上的SCADA系统，进行高效的实时通信。该模型为具有多层结构的大型分布式网络化集中SCADA系统的设计、开发，探索出了一条十分有效的新路径。  相似文献   

人工神经网络在天津市区地面沉降预测中的应用   总被引：8，自引：1，他引：8  

李涛  潘云  娄华君  李波  王宏  邹立芝 《地质通报》2005,24(7):677-681

在分析天津市区地面沉降特点的基础上，结合人工神经网络原理，选择1961-1980年的天津市区降水量、地下水开采量、前年沉降量、固结度作为训练样本的输入量，以这20年的地面沉降量作为输出量，用贝叶斯正则化算法训练BP网络，得到沉降的仿真模型。并把1981-1993年的资料用来进行预测检验，结果表明这是一种比较理想的地面沉降预测方法。最后在不同的降水量保证率下，预测了到2010年天津市区地面沉降的情况。  相似文献   

基于不确定性分析框架的动态环状河网水质模型——以温州市温瑞塘河为例   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：6       下载免费PDF全文

徐一剑  曾思育  张天柱 《水科学进展》2005,16(4):574-580

以温州市温瑞塘河为背景,基于不确定性分析的框架,开发了动态环状河网水质模型。用HSY(Hornberger,Spear and Young)算法作水质参数的不确定性分析,求得模型参数的空间分布,从而提高模型使用的可靠性、降低决策的风险度。模型由水量子模型及水质子模型两部分组成:水量子模型采用圣维南方程并用四级解法求解;水质子模型采用CSTR(Continuously Stirred Tank Reactor)模型的机理,并结合环状河网特征作了修正,由于只需解常微分方程,因而避免了矩阵求解,显著提高了计算效率,使得用HSY算法进行不确定性分析成为可能。模型选取温州市温瑞塘河流域的鹿城区河网进行了首次应用,用HSY算法率定水质参数并讨论了参数的不确定性。对参数率定结果进行验证,结果比较理想。最后简要讨论了参数不确定性传递。  相似文献