Health and environmental co-benefits and conflicts of actions to meet UK carbon targets     

Alison C. Smith  Michael Holland  Outi Korkeala  Jamie Warmington  Daniel Forster  Helen ApSimon 《Climate Policy》2016,16(3):253-283

Many actions to reduce GHG emissions have wider impacts on health, the economy, and the environment, beyond their role in mitigating climate change. These ancillary impacts can be positive (co-benefits) or negative (conflicts). This article presents the first quantitative review of the wider impacts on health and the environment likely to arise from action to meet the UK's legally-binding carbon budgets. Impacts were assessed for climate measures directed at power generation, energy use in buildings, and industry, transport, and agriculture. The study considered a wide range of health and environmental impacts including air pollution, noise, the upstream impacts of fuel extraction, and the lifestyle benefits of active travel. It was not possible to quantify all impacts, but for those that were monetized the co-benefits of climate action (i.e. excluding climate benefits) significantly outweigh the negative impacts, with a net present value of more than £85 billion from 2008 to 2030. Substantial benefits arise from reduced congestion, pollution, noise, and road accidents as a result of avoided journeys. There is also a large health benefit as a result of increased exercise from walking and cycling instead of driving. Awareness of these benefits could strengthen the case for more ambitious climate mitigation action.

Policy relevance

This article demonstrates that actions to mitigate GHG emissions have significant wider benefits for health and the environment. Including these impacts in cost–benefit analysis would strengthen the case for the UK (and similar countries) to set ambitious emissions reduction targets. Understanding co-benefits and trade-offs will also improve coordination across policy areas and cut costs. In addition, co-benefits such as air quality improvements are often immediate and local, whereas climate benefits may occur on a longer timescale and mainly in a distant region, as well as being harder to demonstrate. Dissemination of the benefits, along with better anticipation of trade-offs, could therefore boost public support for climate action.  相似文献   

南极西北威德尔海上层海洋湍流混合研究     

郭桂军  史久新  矫玉田 《海洋学报(英文版)》2016,35(3):1-9

Turbulent mixing in the upper ocean(30-200 m) of the northwestern Weddell Sea is investigated based on profiles of temperature,salinity and microstructure data obtained during February 2014.Vertical thermohaline structures are distinct due to geographic features and sea ice distribution,resulting in that turbulent dissipation rates(ε) and turbulent diffusivity(K) are vertically and spatially non-uniform.On the shelf north of Antarctic Peninsula and Philip Ridge,with a relatively homogeneous vertical structure of temperature and salinity through the entire water column in the upper 200 m,both ε and K show significantly enhanced values in the order of O(10~(-7))-O(10~(-6)) W/kg and O(10~(-3))-O(10~(-2)) m~2/s respectively,about two or three orders of magnitude higher than those in the open ocean.Mixing intensities tend to be mild due to strong stratification in the Powell Basin and South Orkney Plateau,where s decreases with depth from O(10~(-8)) to O(10~(-9)) W/kg,while K changes vertically in an inverse direction relative to s from O(10~(-6)) to O(10~(-5)) m~2/s.In the marginal ice zone,K is vertically stable with the order of10~(-4) m~2/s although both intense dissipation and strong stratification occur at depth of 50-100 m below a cold freshened mixed layer.Though previous studies indentify wind work and tides as the primary energy sources for turbulent mixing in coastal regions,our results indicate weak relationship between K and wind stress or tidal kinetic energy.Instead,intensified mixing occurs with large bottom roughness,demonstrating that only when internal waves generated by wind and tide impinge on steep topography can the energy dissipate to support mixing.In addition,geostrophic current flowing out of the Weddell Sea through the gap west of Philip Passage is another energy source contributing to the local intense mixing.  相似文献   

包含外强迫因子的平潭旬降水量预测     

陈潇潇  石银  张楠楠 《气象与环境科学》2016,39(2):99-103

降水量是重要的预报要素之一,长期的降水预测更是能提前预测旱涝分布情况,为国民经济规划提供依据。但目前为止,长期的降水预测仍缺少客观的预报方法。为此,尝试利用非线性预测模型来预测旬降水量,并将该模型应用于福建平潭,分别用与原始数据的差值、与原始数据的相关系数、均方根误差,以及符号显著性检验方法,讨论了包含外强迫因子的平稳性模型与不包含外强迫因子的非线性模型的预测能力,结果表明:包含外强迫因子的模型第一步预测结果与原始观测数据的相关系数为0.73,不包含外强迫因子的模型第一步预测结果与原始观测数据的相关系数则为0.47。无论是从与原始数据的差值及相关系数,还是均方根误差等方面,外强迫模型都是优于平稳性模型,并且通过符号检验方法可看出两种模型存在差异性,这也说明加入外强迫因子可以有效地提高预测技巧,外强迫因子与状态变量在预测中扮演同等重要的角色。  相似文献   

西准噶尔地区乌散岩体成因：来自年代学、岩石学和地球化学的证据   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

赵冰冰  邓宇峰  周涛发  袁峰  张达玉  李鹏  张若飞 《地质学报》2016,90(5):950-970

西准噶尔地区广泛发育古生代中酸性侵入岩,部分岩体中含有暗色微粒包体,这些岩浆岩的年代学、地球化学研究对于西准噶尔地区的岩浆混合作用机制及其区域构造演化的研究具有重要意义。乌散岩体位于西准噶尔中部,岩体包含寄主岩石石英二长岩及暗色包体石英角闪二长岩。石英二长岩中锆石LA-ICP-MS U-Pb谐和年龄为280.0±3.8Ma,表明其成岩时代应为早二叠世。里特曼指数δ为3.27~3.36,寄主岩石属于高钾钙碱性岩石系列。岩石中Rb、Th、K、La、Ce、P、Zr、Hf相对富集,Ta、Nb、Sr、Ti相对亏损,轻重稀土元素分馏明显。在Y+Nb-Rb、Y-Nb构造环境判别图解中,乌散岩体石英二长岩落入板内花岗岩投点范围内,显示具有后碰撞花岗岩的特征。由于该岩体成岩年龄明显晚于该地区蛇绿岩、岛弧火山岩以及含矿斑岩体年龄,而与后碰撞伸展环境中形成的A型花岗岩和双峰式火山岩的形成年龄相近,证明此时该地区大洋可能已经闭合,因此地球化学和区域构造特征指示乌散岩体可能形成于后碰撞构造环境。乌散岩体中暗色微粒包体广泛发育,寄主岩石与包体相互包裹,多为截然接触关系。钾长石斑晶横跨寄主岩石及包体,包体中发育的针状磷灰石,表现出岩浆混合的岩相学特征,寄主岩石与包体中不同矿物的SiO_2含量与其他主量元素含量呈良好的线性关系,表现出较好的亲缘关系,说明两者的矿物成分变化与岩浆混合有关。  相似文献   

多元稳定同位素组合示踪含膏盐地层参与湖北金山店矽卡岩型铁矿成矿作用   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

朱乔乔  李伟  张志远  韩颖霄  王建 《地质学报》2016,90(2):361-375

相比单一稳定同位素而言,多元稳定同位素组合的使用,能更有效地示踪成矿作用过程中流体的来源和演化。本文对已证明有含膏盐地层参与成矿作用的湖北金山店铁矿开展了碳-氧-硫等多元稳定同位素的研究。方解石碳氧同位素结果表明,金山店岩体与灰岩或白云岩之间发生了广泛的水岩反应,这些水岩作用是金山店铁矿蚀变矿化过程的一部分。与各阶段矿物平衡的流体氧同位素值变化范围较小,且表现出随温度降低具有规律性变化的特征:早期矽卡岩阶段氧同位素值在岩浆水范围内变化,磁铁矿阶段则明显富集重氧同位素,而成矿后的各阶段特别是石膏-方解石阶段,成矿流体明显富集轻氧同位素。这些特征暗示成矿之前流体以岩浆水为主,成矿作用发生时有一定含膏盐地层参与成矿,而成矿后大气水特征明显,即成矿流体具有多元混合的特征。硬石膏氧-硫同位素组合暗示成矿流体中具有明显富δ~(34)S-δ~(18)O流体成分的加入,这一流体可能为淋滤了地层中膏盐组分的岩浆水或循环的大气水。成矿阶段和成矿后的黄铁矿均富集重硫同位素,也暗示成矿流体中含膏盐地层组分的加入。多元稳定同位素组合的联合证据表明,金山店铁矿成矿流体具有多元混合的特点,成矿阶段含膏盐地层参与成矿作用特征明显,暗示含膏盐地层中的膏盐组分可能是被岩浆水或循环的大气水或二者的混合流体所淋滤而进入矽卡岩成矿体系的。  相似文献   

Evidence for hybridisation in the Tynong Province granitoids,Lachlan Fold Belt,eastern Australia   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

K. R. Regmi  I. A. Nicholls  R. Maas  M. Raveggi 《Australian Journal of Earth Sciences》2016,63(3):235-255

The role of mafic–felsic magma mixing in the formation of granites is controversial. Field evidence in many granite plutons undoubtedly implies interaction of mafic (basaltic–intermediate) magma with (usually) much more abundant granitic magma, but the extent of such mixing and its effect on overall chemical features of the host intrusion are unclear. Late Devonian I-type granitoids of the Tynong Province in the western Lachlan Fold Belt, southeast Australia, show typical evidence for magma mingling and mixing, such as small dioritic stocks, hybrid zones with local host granite and ubiquitous microgranitoid enclaves. The latter commonly have irregular boundaries and show textural features characteristic of hybridisation, e.g. xenocrysts of granitic quartz and K-feldspars, rapakivi and antirapakivi textures, quartz and feldspar ocelli, and acicular apatite. Linear (well defined to diffuse) compositional trends for granites, hybrid zones and enclaves have been attributed to magma mixing but could also be explained by other mechanisms. Magmatic zircons of the Tynong and Toorongo granodiorites yield U–Pb zircon ages consistent with the known ca 370 Ma age of the province and preserve relatively unevolved ?_Hf (averages for three samples are +6.9, +4.3 and +3.9). The range in zircon ?_Hf in two of the three analysed samples (8.8 and 10.1 ?_Hf units) exceeds that expected from a single homogeneous population (～4 units) and suggests considerable Hf isotopic heterogeneity in the melt from which the zircon formed, consistent with syn-intrusion magma mixing. Correlated whole-rock Sr–Nd isotope data for the Tynong Province granitoids show a considerable range (0.7049–0.7074, ?_Nd +1.2 to –4.7), which may map the hybridisation between a mafic magma and possibly multiple crustal magmas. Major-element variations for host granite, hybrid zones and enclaves in the large Tynong granodiorite show correlations with major-element compositions of the type expected from mixing of contrasting mafic and felsic magmas. However, chemical–isotopic correlations are poorly developed for the province as a whole, especially for ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr. In a magma mixing model, such complexities could be explained in terms of a dynamic mixing/mingling environment, with multiple mixing events and subsequent interactions between hybrids and superimposed fractional crystallisation. The results indicate that features plausibly attributed to mafic–felsic magma mixing exist at all scales within this granite province and suggest a major role for magma mixing/mingling in the formation of I-type granites.  相似文献   

冀东青龙地区中生代花岗岩的岩石成因和地质意义   总被引：4，自引：2，他引：2  

徐希阳  姜能  范文博  胡俊  宗克清 《岩石学报》2016,32(1):212-232

冀东青龙地区中生代发育多期花岗质岩浆活动。本文系统报道了青龙地区三叠纪都山花岗岩和侏罗纪白家店花岗岩及其镁铁质微粒包体(MMEs)的锆石U-Pb年龄、地球化学和Sr-Nd-Hf同位素组成。锆石SIMS U-Pb定年结果显示,都山花岗岩的结晶年龄为215.7±2.3Ma,指示了晚三叠世岩浆活动;而白家店花岗岩及其包体的结晶年龄分别为170.5±2.0Ma和172.4±2.0Ma,指示了中侏罗世岩浆活动。都山花岗岩以低含量的MgO、Fe_2O_3~T、Cr和Ni,高(La/Yb)_N、Sr/Y比值及低Yb和Y含量,低的初始~(87)Sr/~(86)Sr比值(0.7042~0.7044)、极负的ε_(Nd)(t)值(-19.8~-14.4),很负的ε_(Hf)(t)值(-17.6~-13.0,除了2个较大值-5.6和-8.6)和接近晚太古代的Hf模式年龄,显示出主要来源于晚太古代下地壳重熔,可能有少量幔源物质加入。综合的岩石学、矿物学、地球化学和Sr-Nd-Hf同位素数据(白家店花岗岩:(~(87)Sr/~(86)Sr)_i=0.7051~0.7065,ε_(Nd)(t)=-13.4~-10.8,ε_(Hf)(t)=-11.8~-8.2;MMEs:(~(87)Sr/~(86)Sr)_i=0.7059~0.7062,ε_(Nd)(t)=-11.1~-7.0,ε_(Hf)(t)=-3.7~+3.4),表明了白家店花岗岩和MMEs为亏损地幔来源的镁铁质岩浆和下地壳来源的长英质岩浆通过混合形成。从晚三叠世都山花岗岩到中侏罗世白家店花岗岩,它们成因的明显差异,揭示了地幔角色的转换(从只提供热量几乎不提供物质到既提供能量又提供物质),暗示华北东部岩石圈在这一时期可能发生一次重要减薄。  相似文献   

西准噶尔托里县布尔克斯台岩体岩浆混合作用的地球化学特征及其成矿意义     

徐倩  晁文迪  李永军  王冉  康磊  段丰浩 《岩石矿物学杂志》2016,35(3):407-424

西准噶尔托里县阿达依金矿所在的布尔克斯台岩体主要由寄主岩石、闪长质微细粒包体和中性岩墙组成。为判别岩浆的化学混合及岩浆混合作用与金、铜成矿作用的关系,对布尔克斯台岩体地球化学成分的相关度和寄主岩石的金、铜含矿性进行了研究。寄主岩石、闪长质微细粒包体和中性岩墙的稀土元素配分曲线和微量元素蛛网图形态相似,在岩石硅酸盐成分哈克图解、同分母氧化物比值相关图解、微量元素相关图解和同分母比值相关图解上均呈现直线状趋势,表明岩浆混合作用过程中发生了显著的元素迁移和成分交换。寄主岩石金、铜含量均较高且分布规律相似,在闪长质微细粒包体相对富集区域异常强烈,表明以闪长质微细粒包体为代表的幔源基性端员可能为阿达依金矿的形成提供了金、铜成矿物质来源。布尔克斯台岩体壳幔岩浆混合作用与金、铜成矿作用的相关关系,表明幔源的基性端员对成矿作用的贡献可能是达尔布特构造-岩浆带金、铜富集的主要原因之一。  相似文献   

岩浆作用过程的矿物记录:以邯邢地区中生代侵入岩为例     

张聚全  梁贤  闫丽娜  李胜荣  申俊峰  卢静  吴伟哲  李清 《地学前缘》2020,27(5):70-87

矿物环带结构是岩浆过程的良好记录,而矿物温压计可以定量计算岩浆的物理化学条件。该次研究对邯邢地区中生代侵入岩中两个浅成侵入体中典型的斜长石斑晶进行了电子探针和LA-ICP-MS元素面扫描,同时对其中不同成因的角闪石晶体进行了电子探针分析和物理化学条件计算。通过研究发现这两个样品中的斜长石斑晶属于循环晶。辉石闪长玢岩中的斜长石斑晶主要成分为更长石,而斑状石英二长岩中斜长石斑晶主要成分为中长石和拉长石。两者具有明显不同的环带结构,分别记录了不同的岩浆混合过程:前者记录了基性岩浆多次注入酸性岩浆房,并最终获得体积优势;后者记录了少量基性岩浆注入酸性岩浆房内,两者不断混合,形成均质化岩浆的过程。Fe元素从斜长石中心到边部有富集的趋势,表明岩浆最终向富铁的方向演化。角闪石温压计的计算结果表明,辉石闪长玢岩的岩浆房深度在5.5 km左右,温度大约为850 ℃,氧逸度大约为ΔNNO+1,熔体中的含水量大约为4.0%,其最终侵位于2.1 km的地壳深度。而斑状石英二长岩最终定位于2.0 km的地壳深度,角闪石结晶的平均温度为737 ℃,相对氧逸度为ΔNNO+1.2,熔体含水量为3.9%。  相似文献   

陆相盐湖层序地层学研究简述     

胡光明  纪友亮 《上海国土资源》2005,(4):58-61

陆相盐湖盐源复杂多样,主要有陆源、海源和地壳深部三大类。前两类主要通过蒸发成盐,气候起着关键作用,形成的陆相盐湖低水位和高水位体系域中盐岩发育,湖侵体系域中盐岩相对不发育;第三类主要通过兑卤成盐,作为深层卤水通道的深大断裂的活动期次控制了盐岩的发育,盐岩主要发育在湖侵体系域,高水位体系域次之,低水位体系域中盐岩一般不发育。  相似文献