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11.
揭示Rankine涡风场模式和Jelesnianski风场模式之间的联系,并设计了一种台风风场分布模式,它的风速分布曲线落在Jelesnianski和Rankine涡两个风场模式的风速分布曲线之间,具有一个既优于Jelesnianski又优于Rankine涡的风速衰减速率,因此它同时克服了Rankine涡模式计算风速偏小和Jelesnianski模式计算风速偏大的缺点,以一种比较合理的变化趋势向远方衰减,成为一个比较切合实际的台风风场分布模式。同时,文中提出的移行台风风场计算方法对宫崎正卫、上野武夫和Jelesnianski模式都有一定的改进。 相似文献
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13.
本文探讨东海区近海强风预报模式,首先介绍建立预报模式的思路和步骤,及使用说明,为了验证强风预报模式和判别条件,用1986、1987上日本传真天气图进行试报,准确和基本准确度为91.1%,并给出了1989、1995年随船试验预报结果,准确和基本准确率为90%以上。 相似文献
14.
本文以南麂海洋站1983~1990年风、浪的实测资料为依据,建立了南麂海城春、夏、秋、冬季定常波风浪波高与风速的经验关系式。检验结果表明,曲线回归显著,计算值与实测值吻合良好。文中还对偏NNE向和偏SSW向计算波高随风速增大的快慢,同一方向在同一风速作用下计算波高的季节变化及其机理作了初浅的讨论。 相似文献
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16.
W.R. Geyer 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》1997,44(6):713-722
Observations of two small estuaries in Cape Cod, U.S.A. indicate large variations in salinity structure that are forced by variations in along-estuary wind stress. During onshore winds, the estuarine circulation is reduced, and the along-estuary salinity gradient increases as freshwater accumulates. During offshore winds, the surface outflow is enhanced, freshwater is flushed out of the estuary, and the along-estuary salinity gradient becomes weak. Constrictions block the wind-induced flushing, resulting in strong salinity fronts across the constrictions. The residence time of one of the estuaries varies by more than a factor of three in response to variations in wind-induced flushing. The other estuary has little variation of flushing associated with winds, due to a constriction at the mouth that inhibits the wind-induced exchange. The strong influence of winds on the flushing of these estuaries is due in part to their shallow depths, which accentuates the influence of wind stress relative to the effects of the horizontal density gradient. In addition, the residence times of the estuaries are comparable to the time scale of wind forcing, allowing large changes in water properties during wind events. 相似文献
17.
Ocean current forecasting is still in explorative stage of study. In the study, we face some problems that have not been met before. The solving of these problems has become fundamental premise for realizing the ocean current forecasting. In the present paper are discussed in depth the physical essence for such basic problems as the predictability of ocean current, the predictable currents, the dynamical basis for studying respectively the tidal current and circulation, the necessity of boundary model, the models on regions with different scales and their link. The foundations and plans to solve the problems are demonstrated. Finally a set of operational numerical forecasting system for ocean current is proposed. 相似文献
18.
Oleg Zaytsev Rafael Cervantes-Duarte Orzo Montante Artemio Gallegos-Garcia 《Journal of Oceanography》2003,59(4):489-502
High primary productivity on the Pacific coast of the Baja California Peninsula is usually related to coastal upwelling activity
that injects nutrients into the euphotic zone in response to prevailing longshore winds (from the northwest to north). The
upwelling process has maximum intensity from April to June, with the coastal upwelling index varying from 50 to 300 m3/s per 100 m of coastline. Along the entire coast of the peninsula, the upwelling intensity changes in accordance with local
wind conditions and bottom topography. Spatial variability can also be modulated by the influence of mesoscale meanders of
the California Current. We have identified the seasonal and synoptic variability of upwelling signatures on the Baja California
shelf, using averaged monthly and weekly sea surface temperature (SST) distributions obtained from remote sensing imagery
from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer in the period from 1996 to 2001. Analysis of SST distribution and direct
experimental data on temperature and nutrient concentration shows that the areas with the coldest SST anomalies were closely
related to the bottom slope, shelf width, and coastline orientation relating to wind direction. We also assume that the nutrient
transport into the coastal lagoons may be forced by the coupling of coastal upwelling and tidal pumping of surface waters
into the lagoon system.
This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
19.
Decadal variability of subsurface temperature in the North Pacific has been investigated. Two dominant regions were found;
the central subarctic region (CSa) and the north-eastern subtropical region (NESt). In CSa, cooling (warming) of wintertime
subsurface temperature corresponds to the large (small) temperature gradient and southward (northward) shift of subsurface
temperature front, associated with the increase (decrease) of positive wind stress curl and the southward (northward) shift
of curl τ zero line with 2 years delay. It is suggested that the relocation of subtropical-subarctic boundary plays an important
role. In NESt, importance of heat flux through the sea surface and heat divergence in the Ekman layer is also discussed.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
20.
本文运用福建省沿海气象要素的异常变化,作台湾省的中、短期地震预报,取得了成功的效果。采用长乐历年各月14时最低气压的距平值,作台湾省未来4~7个月内出现强震的预报依据,并采用热异常进行短临跟踪。当秋冬季节连续4d 长乐、福州、台北的气温均比广州累计高出10℃时,预报未来1~5d 台湾省出现7级强震。又根据近百年来台湾发生的强震,统计其活动季节,得到近20年来7级地震发生的时间,绝大部分在9~12月。 相似文献