Application of Dangerous Probability Function in Risk Estimation of Surface Rupture Earthquake：Taking the Lingwu Fault in Ningxi1 Region as on Example     

Chai Chizhang  Zhang Wenxiao  Liao Yuhu  Xu Wenjun  Shen Xuhui  Tian Qinjian  Wei Kaibo  Chen Zhengwei 《中国地震研究》2002,16(1):60-70

Based on the fitting on paleoearthquake data of intra-plate regions in the northern part of Chi-na and giving a statistical model of time interdependence,the potential damage earthquakes in a definite future period and characteristics of present shocks along the Lingwu fault have been analyzed by using dangerous probability function and some new data concerned.We have in-ferred that the fault has entered a period that earthquakes will probably occur.There exists a potential danger that a strong earthquake with Ms7.0-7.5 will occur in 10-100a.  相似文献   

Earthquake—generating Structure Revealed by 1999 Sichuan mianzhu Earthquake Sequence with Ms=5.0     

Zhao Zhu  Wang Bilan  Long Sisheng 《中国地震研究》2002,16(2):147-154

Through the accurate determination of hypocenter location,the measurement of the main focal mechanism solutions and the analyses of time dependent processes for Sichuan Mianzhu earthquake sequence with Ms=5.0 occurred along the middle segment of Longmenshan fault zone on November 30,1999,the distribution of focal depth section,the stress relase and seismicity features are given to reveal the earthquake-geneating structure of the earthquake sequence.The obtained results show the activity features for this sequence as follows:(1) There is no obvious foreshock,the accumulated strain energy releases in nearly pulse way,fluctuation of the seismic activity level is not quite evident during the duration of the sequence,and the statistical relation between the large events and the small events is less compatible with the traditional G-R estimation;(2) The epicenters of the earthquake sequence are not distributed on the main Longmenshan piedmont faults emerging out ground,but near the hidden Longmenshan piedmont faults.The direction of epicenter distribution is not very coincident with the fault strikes.The microscopic epicenters are relatively far from the macroscopic epicenters,The focal depths range from 5km to 16km;(3) The fractures of focal fault plane with the NE strike appear out the strike-slip displacement with a few overthrust components under the major principal compressive stress of NNE direction.From these,we consider it should be paid more attentions to the underground hidden faults near the ground fault zone on a large scale for their generating earthquake risk.  相似文献   

Focal Fault of the 1999 Datong Ms5.6 Earthquake in Shanxi Province   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Wang Yan  Diao Guiling  Zhang Sichang  Wang Qincai  Liu Yunqing  Zhu Zhenxing  Zhang Yanqing 《中国地震研究》2002,16(4):363-368

Several earthquakes with Ms≥5.0 occurred in the Datong seismic region in 1989,1991 and 1999,The precise focus location of the earthquake sequence was made by the records of the remote sensing seismic station network in Datong.Using that data together with macro-intensity distribution and focal mechanism solutions,we analyze the difference among three subsequences.The results show that the focal fault of the 1999 Ms 5.6 earthquake was a NWW-trending left-lateral strike-slip fault.It is 16km long and 12km wide.It developed at the depth of 5km and is nearly vertical in dip.The two previous earthquake subsequences,however,were generated by activity along NNE-trending right-lateral strike-slip fault.It can be found that the rupture directioin of the 1999 earthquake has changed.It is generally found that a rupture zone has more than two directions and has different strength along these two directions.The complicate degree of focal circumstance is related to the type of earthquake sequences.There is the NE-trending Dawangcun fault and the NW-trending Tuanbu fault in the seismic region,but no proof indicates a connection between focal faults and these two tectonic faults.The feature that focal faults of three subsequences are strike-slip is different from that of the two tectonic faults.It is suggested that the 1999 earthquake subsequence was possibly generated by a new rupture.  相似文献   

跨断层长输油(气)管道抗震研究与实践   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

马正茂  冯启民  高惠瑛 《世界地震工程》2002,18(3):24-31

概述了输油（气）管道跨断层抗震研究与实践的现状，总结了判断地表断裂位移的两种经验统计方法和覆盖土层场地地表断裂的分析判断方法，评述了用这些方法得到的结果。对常用的跨断层管道抗震分析方法进行了评述，并列举了我国管道工程中可行的抗震措施。  相似文献   

位移监测在滑坡时空运动研究中的应用   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

靳晓光  王兰生  李晓红 《山地学报》2002,20(5):632-635

滑坡时空运动特征是滑坡地质体在内因和外因共同作用下，自一种状态向另一种状态转化的地质过程。滑坡位移监测是研究滑坡变形影响因素、动态规律及预测预报的主要途径，特别是滑坡深部位移监测，又为研究滑坡体的时空运动过程提供了重要信息。本文结合几个滑坡的深部位移监测实践，综合分析位移监测信息，研究滑坡体的时空运动特征及发展趋势，为滑坡时空运动系统研究及稳定性预测提供依据。  相似文献   

贵州雷公山背斜南段锑矿控矿条件浅析     

范玉梅 《贵州地质》2003,20(4):216-219,215

本文根据雷公山背斜南段的几个锑矿床的勘查资料，结合1：5万区调和相应的科研成果，总结该区锑矿床的共同特征，并对其控矿条件进行分析，认为逆冲断层、剪切带控制锑矿田的分布，“褶皱 断层”控制锑矿床分布，单条剪切带及后期脆性断层控制锑矿体的产出。  相似文献   

黄土滑坡临滑预报的应变控制方法   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

李保雄 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2003,14(2):28-30

我国西北部地区黄土沉积巨厚，地质构造复杂，土体强度低，水敏感性强，各种类型的黄土滑坡广泛分布。黄土滑坡具有滑动规模大、滑动速度快、灾害损失严重等特点。黄土滑坡滑动时间预报，特别是临滑预报在地质灾害防治领域具重要意义。根据黄土力学性质试验与典型黄土滑坡变形分析研究结果，在对比分析黄土剪切应变特性与滑坡滑动破坏机制的基础上，论文提出了一种黄土滑坡临滑预报的应变控制方法。建立了中、浅层与厚层黄土滑坡的应变破坏标准。经多处滑坡实例验证，结果基本合理，可应用于黄土滑坡临滑预报。  相似文献   

城步-桃江断裂在涟源盆地的基本特征     

朱景文  戴长华 《华南地质与矿产》2003,(2):41-45

通过对涟源盆地区域地球物理、地质和矿产资料的综合研究，系统地总结了湘中地区重要的区域性基底断裂——城步—桃江断裂两侧深部地球物理特征的差异及其对涟源盆地沉积作用、盖层形变、岩浆活动和成矿作用的控制特征，探讨了锡矿山F75断层的属性，在此基础上，重新厘定了该断裂在涟源盆地的位置，认为F75断层属盖层断层。  相似文献   

宁南汤家坪地壳形变异常的调查研究     

程式  钱洪  杨永林  朱文庆 《四川地震》2003,(1):12-16

根据宁南汤家坪流动水准、基线测量出现的重大异常，进行了野外实地考察。发现点位是稳定的；A点与B、C点之间是跨断层的；但原始选点报告所提供的断层产状与作者实测的断层产状有一定的偏差。通过对相关资料分析，认为该场地的地壳形变异常是可靠的。并对其形成机理作了初步探讨。  相似文献   

随机地震动模拟的时间序列法及其工程应用   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

胡孔国  陈小兵  岳清瑞 《世界地震工程》2003,19(1):141-153

系统研究了AR和ARMA时间序列方法生成给定加速度功率谱人工地震波的新方法，根据相应理论编制了程序，并生成了人工地震加速时程曲线，然后用生成的人工地震波进行结构动力时程分析，与实际地震波分析的结果进行了对比，计算结果表明，本文用于合成人工地震波的方法是可行的，生成的人工波可以用于实际结构的地震反应分析。  相似文献