Earth System Model FGOALS-s2: Coupling a dynamic global vegetation and terrestrial carbon model with the physical climate system model     

王军  包庆  刘屹岷  吴国雄  纪多颖 《大气科学进展》2013,30(6):1549-1559

Earth System Models （ESMs） are fundamental tools for understanding climate-carbon feedback. An ESM version of the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model （FGOALS） was recently developed within the IPCC AR5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 （CMIP5） modeling framework, and we describe the development of this model through the coupling of a dynamic global vegetation and terrestrial carbon model with FGOALS-s2. The performance of the coupled model is evaluated as follows. The simulated global total terrestrial gross primary production （GPP） is 124.4 PgC yr-I and net pri- mary production （NPP） is 50.9 PgC yr-1. The entire terrestrial carbon pools contain about 2009.9 PgC, comprising 628.2 PgC and 1381.6 PgC in vegetation and soil pools, respectively. Spatially, in the tropics, the seasonal cycle of NPP and net ecosystem production （NEP） exhibits a dipole mode across the equator due to migration of the monsoon rainbelt, while the seasonal cycle is not so significant in Leaf Area Index （LAI）. In the subtropics, especially in the East Asian monsoon region, the seasonal cycle is obvious due to changes in temperature and precipitation from boreal winter to summer. Vegetation productivity in the northern mid-high latitudes is too low, possibly due to low soil moisture there. On the interannual timescale, the terrestrial ecosystem shows a strong response to ENSO. The model- simulated Nifio3.4 index and total terrestrial NEP are both characterized by a broad spectral peak in the range of 2-7 years. Further analysis indicates their correlation coefficient reaches -0.7 when NEP lags the Nifio3.4 index for about 1-2 months.  相似文献   

土层随机地震反应的动力可靠度计算     

门玉明  黄义 《地球科学与环境学报》2002,24(1):43-45

研究了土层的随机地震反应分析方法 ,建立了基岩输入地震动加速度功率谱函数为白噪声和过滤白噪声时土层的动力可靠度计算理论  相似文献   

基于BP模型的渔业资源可持续利用综合动态评价     

陈新军  周应祺 《广东海洋大学学报》2002,22(6):38-44

在对传统可持续发展评价方法进行评述的基础上 ,利用神经网络具有自组织、自学习、自适应以及非线性等功能 ,提出了以BP模型为基础包括经济、社会和资源环境三个方面的渔业资源可持续利用综合动态评价方法 ,该方法克服了传统上单纯从生物方面进行资源评价的缺陷。并以东海区 1978～ 1990年的渔业资源可持续利用状况为例进行了实证分析 ,建立以BP模型为基础的东海区渔业资源可持续利用的综合动态评价模型。  相似文献   

秦皇岛市青龙县城工程场地动力特征及分区评价     

张骏  杜东菊  卢玉东  汪光辉 《地球科学与环境学报》1994,(3)

工程场地动力分区评价（即地震影响小区划），是在工程场地地震危险性分析的基础上，根据场地岩土动力特征及地形地貌、地质构造条件等对地震动影响的反应程度，从而对不同类型场地的地震效应作出评价．其成果可做为建筑抗震设计、工程加固、震害预测与对策的制定及土地合理利用和总体规划布局的依据．本文以秦皇岛市青龙县城工程场地为例，进行了工程场地动力特征研究与分区评价及震害预测（即工程场地地震影响小区划）。  相似文献   

贺兰山群变质杂岩中的变余动力变质岩     

胡能高  杨家喜  王涛 《地球科学与环境学报》1993,(4)

贺兰山群变质杂岩形成于晚太古代,遭受过多期变质和变形的改造,其中发育了不同期次和层次的动力变质岩。变余韧性剪切带内发育了条带状片麻岩和变粒岩,相伴有变余鞘褶皱和构造透镜体,变余韧性剪切带的变形发生在较低的温度、压力条件下,地壳加厚作用的初期。变余糜棱岩貌似条带状片麻岩,但在青石中保留了早期石英拔丝构造和加粗的动态重结晶长石集合体。糜棱岩化作用的温度在550℃以上,变形后沿面理形成了饼状或椭圆状青石,变晶时温度近600℃,压力近300MPa。  相似文献   

    

Peng Yongqing  Zhu Yufeng  Yan Shaojin 《大气科学进展》1994,11(3):277-284

This paper concerns the reconstruction of a dynamic system based on phase space continuation of monthly mean temperature 1D time series and the assumption that the equation for the time-varying evolution of phase-space state variables contains linear and nonlinear quadratic terms, followed by the fitting of the dataset subjected to continuation so as to get, by the least square method, the coefficients of the terms, of which those of greater variance contribution are retained for use. Results show that the obtained low-order system may be used to describe nonlinear properties of the short range climate variation shown by monthly mean temperature series.  相似文献   

An aspect of indivisible land development with a reservation level of revenue     

A. A.?BatabyalEmail author  S. J.?Yoo 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2004,18(3):216-218

Recently, Batabyal and Yoo (2003) have studied aspects of indivisible and divisible land development in a dynamic and stochastic framework. In this note, we complement the analysis in this paper by examining an aspect of the indivisible land development decision when a landowner has an exogenously given reservation level of revenue. In particular, we show that the magnitude of the first record (largest offer) that exceeds the landowners reservation revenue is independent of the time at which this record is received by the landowner.  相似文献   

地形对门头沟一次大暴雨动力作用的数值研究   总被引：7，自引：2，他引：5  

盛春岩  高守亭  史玉光 《气象学报》2012,70(1):65-77

2002年6月24—25日,北京门头沟附近发生了一次大暴雨过程。为探讨地形在本次过程中的动力作用,采用美国俄克拉荷马大学风暴分析预测中心开发的ARPS模式,对大暴雨过程进行了数值试验。控制试验采用27、9 km双重单向嵌套网格,网格覆盖范围约为3000 km×3000 km、900 km×900 km。两层网格均采用全物理过程,使用的都是全球30″的地形资料。在控制试验的基础上,进行了3组敏感性试验:第1组试验采用干过程模拟,即不考虑凝结潜热的作用;第2组试验将地形整体向东/西平移1°;第3组试验是将门头沟西部的局地地形抠除一部分。试验结果表明,在不考虑凝结潜热作用时,东南风气流仍然可以爬升到2 km以上,超过了大气的抬升凝结高度,证实了地形的动力作用是本次大暴雨的触发机制;将地形向东/西平移1°后,由于大气的对流稳定度发生了改变,模拟的降水强度和落区也发生了变化,表明山坡和山顶的对流不稳定大气是导致本次大暴雨的必要条件;抠除局地地形后,模拟的降水量也发生了不同程度的改变,再次证明大暴雨是在多尺度地形以及一定的天气系统配置下产生的。  相似文献   

基于多种探测资料对武汉一次短时暴雪天气的监测分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李德俊  唐仁茂  向玉春  柳草  陈英英  徐桂荣 《高原气象》2012,31(5):1386-1392

利用Thies Clima激光雨滴谱仪、MP3000A微波辐射仪、多普勒雷达和人工加密观测资料,分析了2011年2月12日武汉一次暴雪天气过程的演变特征。结果表明:(1)在这次短时暴雪过程中,先后出现了降雨、雨夹雪和纯降雪3个阶段,激光雨滴谱仪监测到该降雨阶段的雨滴谱较宽,最大直径达4.5mm,数浓度比较小,为2～5 429个.m-3.mm-1,雨滴谱型呈双峰型分布特点;(2)微波辐射仪对水汽相态监测显示,08:12-09:34(世界时)期间在1.5～3.5km过冷层比湿维持14～16g.kg-1大值区,之后迅速由雨夹雪过程(仅16min)过渡到纯降雪阶段,在65min内武汉站降雪量达到5.035mm,占整个降雪量的80%以上;(3)雷达反射率因子与粒子谱宽和数浓度密切相关,若后两者越大则对应的雷达回波强度也越大;同时还发现,与微波辐射仪反演的水汽密度、激光雨滴谱仪测得的降水强度也有较好的对应关系,若将这些结合起来对降水的相态变化、强度、量级和持续时间有很好的监测能力。  相似文献   

Application of Dynamic Subgrid-scale Models for Large-eddy Simulation of the Daytime Convective Boundary Layer over Heterogeneous Surfaces   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Hsin-Yuan Huang  Bjorn Stevens  Steven A. Margulis 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2008,126(3):327-348

The sensitivity of large-eddy simulation (LES) to the representation of subgrid-scale (SGS) processes is explored for the case of the convective boundary layer (CBL) developing over surfaces with varying degrees of spatial heterogeneity. Three representations of SGS processes are explored: the traditional constant Smagorinsky–Lilly model and two other dynamic models with Lagrangian averaging approaches to calculate the Smagorinsky coefficient (C _S ) and SGS Prandtl number (Pr). With initial data based roughly on the observed meteorology, simulations of daytime CBL growth are performed over surfaces with characteristics (i.e. fluxes and roughness) ranging from homogeneous, to striped heterogeneity, to a realistic representation of heterogeneity as derived from a recent field study. In both idealized tests and the realistic case, SGS sensitivities are mostly manifest near the surface and entrainment zone. However, unlike simulations over complex domains or under neutral or stable conditions, these differences for the CBL simulation, where large eddies dominate, are not significant enough to distinguish the performance of the different SGS models, irrespective of surface heterogeneity.  相似文献