Study on Variation of Fitting Goodness of Relation Between Earthquake Frequency and Magnitude before Moderately Strong Earthquakes (Ms≥5.0)     

Li Zhixiong  Zhang Guomin  Fu Zhengxiang  and Zhang YongxianState Seismological Bureau  Beijing  China Center for Analysis  Prediction  SSB  Beijing  China 《中国地震研究》1996,(4)

In this paper,characteristics of spatial and temporal variation of linear fitting goodness before some moderately strong earthquakes(Ms≥5.0)in the eastern part of China(east of longitude 180)are studied according to the famous Gutenberg-Richter's relation expressed as lgN=a-bM,by using the moderate and small events that occurred in and around the source area.The results show that the linear goodness of fitting varies abnormally prior to these moderately strong earthquakes.In the early stage of the earthquake preparatory process,distribution of the energy released through small events in and around the source area is isostatic and the fitting goodness approximates 1,while the distribution of the energy turns to be isostatic before moderately strong earthquakes,leading to the obvious decrease of the linear goodness of fitting.This phenomenon could be a medium term anomaly and a medium term criterion for moderately strong earthquake prediction.  相似文献   

用线性规划法求解瞬变电磁场反射系数   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

薛国强  宋建平  李貅  郭文波 《地球科学与环境学报》2002,24(3):72-75

讨论了在水平层状介质中的反射系数的物理意义 ,推出时间域含有以反射系数序列为未知项的欠定方程组 ,提出用线性规划法求解瞬变电磁场反射系数序列 ,并给出求解思路和程序框图。对两个理论模型进行了处理 ,计算出了其反射系数。算例分析结果表明 ,算法可靠 ,程序可行。这一方法可用于瞬变电磁成像数值计算中。  相似文献   

基于非线性规划原理绘制钻孔柱状图方法研究     

徐晓斌  何宝石  王清 《世界地质》2015,34(4):1149-1154

针对现有钻孔柱状图绘制中描述文字空间分布存在的问题,采用弹性理论-非线性原理对柱状图描述文字位置进行规划,合理分配各岩层描述单元空间,形成柱状图的初步分布;计算出各个地层的工程地质描述文字在柱状图图纸中最优位置的高度坐标xi;利用Auto CAD软件图形绘制环境,实现全程自动绘制钻孔柱状图的新方法。该方法高效且专业性强,图件规范、整齐、文字分布合理、格式美观,无需对图件进行后期的手动处理,免去了人工处理过程,节约了大量的人力成本。  相似文献   

基于粗糙集理论与遗传规划的地表下沉系数预测研究     

翟淑花  丁桂伶  张亮 《城市地质》2015,(Z1):37-41

利用粗糙集理论处理大数据量.消除冗余信息等方面的优势,计算出下沉系数各影响因素的属性重要性,约简了遗传规划训练样本集,建立了基于粗糙集和遗传规划的地表下沉系数预测模型。并与BP神经网络法预测结果进行了对比,结果表明,本模型具有精度高,收敛速度快等特点,将其应用到地表下沉系数预测中是可行的。  相似文献   

岩石本构模型智能辨识方法研究     

翟淑花  张亮  丁桂伶  张梅花 《城市地质》2015,(Z1)

岩石本构模型是研究岩石力学特征和变形机制的基础,而本构模型或模型中相关参数的识别是本构模型研究中的热点和难点问题。本文基于红板岩室内力学实验数据,分别利用遗传算法、BP神经网络以及遗传规划对红板岩本构模型进行了模式识别,结果表明,遗传算法进行参数识别需要事先假定流变模型的形式,误差较大,而BP神经网络和遗传规划可以一次性同时确定流变模型的结构形式及参数,有效避免模型假定所带来的误差。而遗传规划与BP神经网络相比,具有精度高、收敛快,可视化程度高等特点,为岩石本构参数及模型的智能识别方法的选取提供参考。  相似文献   

基于局部体样条函数的海洋盐度场建模     

杨振发  万刚  李锋  张宗佩 《测绘工程》2015,(8):30-34

海洋盐度是海洋水文要素的重要组成部分,是海洋战场环境研究的重点。在介绍海水盐度数据特点的基础上,采用局部体样条函数法对散乱的大规模盐度场标量数据进行建模,并利用遗传算法和非线性规划相结合的方法解决体样条函数法的区域划分问题。通过一组实测数据进行建模实验并将得到的数据场进行可视化,表明该方法适用于大规模散乱数据场的建模,可为海洋战场环境的数据分析和场景构建提供建模手段。  相似文献   

具有稳健初值的选权迭代法曲面拟合模型粗差探测     

王奉伟  周世健  周清  陆培鹤 《测绘与空间地理信息》2015,(6):39-41

将抗差估计的思想融入到二次曲面模型粗差探测的算法中,设计出对模型误差特别是粗差具有抵抗能力的粗差探测算法。稳健初值的选权迭代法即为抗差估计的一种,首先是通过线性规划的单纯形解法来计算观测值的残差,然后再根据残差和有关的参数,按所选择的权函数,计算每个观测值的权,经过迭代计算求得观测值的残差。通过实例证明,具有稳健初值的选权迭代法具有较强的稳健性和粗差探测能力。  相似文献   

Detection of dryland degradation using Landsat spectral unmixing remote sensing with syndrome concept in Minqin County,China     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2015

This study was to detect dryland degradation coupling linear spectral unmixing model of Landsat images with syndrome concept in temperate dryland system, Minqin, China. The phenological contrast and complementation between green vegetation fraction in summer, sandland fraction and saline land fraction in spring, was firstly structured to quantify degradation characteristics by simple correlation analysis with ground data. The spatiotemporal patterns of the three degradation indicators were interpreted with the help “dust bowl” syndrome, qualitatively deciphered the degradation causal clusters, loops and important consequences in the study area. The results indicate water-using and distribution pattern was changed, agricultural intensity and productivity increased, salinization lessened in oasis, whereas sandification risk heightened. This approach developed in this study, has the potentially broad applicability, for dryland system monitoring and modelling.  相似文献   

基于灰区间真值的群体决策方法及应用     

巩在武  郭崇兰  周显信 《南京气象学院学报》2013,5(2):171-177

研究了灰区间偏好的群体决策问题.在专家灰区间偏好群体意见集结过程中,常规的灰区间运算会产生决策信息的失真.为了避免这一缺陷,首先引入了灰区间调节参数的概念,通过建立求解调节参数的二次规划模型,确定专家灰区间判断的真值.建立了专家客观权重求解的二次规划模型,并给出了专家客观权重的最优解.此外,从另外一个角度同时考虑调节参数与客观权重,建立求解灰区间真值与专家客观权重的群体最优决策模型.气象敏感性行业专家群体评估决策的算例表明,决策策略是有效的.  相似文献   

Constraining non-gaussianities in WMAP1 and WMAP2     

Istvn Szapudi  Gang Chen 《New Astronomy Reviews》2006,50(11-12):896

We measure the 2-1 cumulant correlator power spectrum, a degenerate three-point statistic or integrated bispectrum, from the WMAP first and three year data releases (WMAP1 and WMAP2, respectively). We present a method of estimating these statistics using the pseudo-C_l-based SpICE estimator. We interpret the measurements in a maximum likelihood framework using theoretical predictions based on the simplest f_NL model. All calculations are repeated on Monte Carlo simulations to obtain covariance matrices of our measurements. Application of the theory of random matrices revealed that the experimental covariances are consistent with a random matrix approximation. Finally, our χ² analysis yields f_NL = 22 ± 52(1σ) from WMAP2.  相似文献