用雷达观测资料改进MM5初始场的初步试验研究   总被引：16，自引：0，他引：16  

托亚  梁海河  马淑芬  朱福康 《南京气象学院学报》2003,26(5):661-667

采用同时调整热力学和动力学变量，并考虑湿度与温度的变化相协调的初始化方法，引进雷达资料改善MM5模式的初始场。试验结果表明：经过优化处理的初始场，显著提高了模式对降水特别是甚短时(0～6h)降水的落区和量的预报准确率。其中调整热力学变量对改进降水落区预报比动力学变量的调整更为重要。  相似文献   

环电流区中性原子观测特性模拟研究   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

沈超  刘振兴 《地球物理学报》2003,46(1):1-1

为了给双星计划中性原子(ENA)探测仪的研制提供可靠 的理论依据，并为未来中性原子探测数据的分析及研究做好准备，针对双星轨道初步模拟计 算了双星ENA探测仪对磁暴时中性原子的观测特性. 建立了磁暴主相期间环电流离子分布的 一 个近似理论模式，并模拟计算了极轨卫星在极区上空、赤道面以及其他位置上对不同强度磁 暴主相期间环电流区ENA空间角分布及能谱的观测结果. 研究表明，存在环电流区方向和南 北极区环电流粒子沉降带两个中性原子强度极大区域；磁暴越强烈，注入区高度越低，环电 流区观测到的ENA通量越高；处于有利位置的ENA探测器可分辨注入区内边界或注入前沿；EN A探测器能够分辨环电流带离子分布的不均匀性；由于离子交换截面的差异，H，O，He 3种E NA的能谱分布不同；在10～80keV能谱范围内通量较强，易于观测；环电流区H，O两种ENA 通 量较强，有利于观测；而环电流区He ENA通量很弱，不易于观测. 模拟计算研究表明，双星 极轨卫星能够对环电流区ENA进行有效探测；低纬轨道上的ENA探测器也能够对环电流区ENA 进行一些观测；ENA探测器的研制应重视低、中能量范围ENA的探测.  相似文献   

磁场重联中离子轨道的混合模拟研究   总被引：5，自引：3，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

贾英东  李毅  王水  葛亚松 《地球物理学报》2003,46(2):145-151

在使用2.5维混合模拟方法研究了Petschek模型稳态驱动磁场 重联演化的基础上， 本文考察了计算域内各典型区域中粒子分布函数的变化，描绘了重联区不同位置几种类型的 非Maxwell分布函数. 结果表明，磁场重联会将重联区少部分粒子加速到很高的能量，不同 加速程度的粒子将形成球壳状的速度分布. 粒子的轨道特征表明，在重联区中出流的粒子， 有一部分被磁镜捕获，其回旋半径大于重联区宽度，并构成整个流体速度的低速部分. 另外 ，在X中性点附近进入重联区的粒子沿磁力线向出流区以三种形式漂移，分别为：沿磁力线 逃逸、捕获在磁镜中随流体运动、横越磁力线漂移，其比例分别约为70%，20%和10%。  相似文献   

THE ANALYSIS ON THE STATISTICAL CHARACTER OF QUIKSCAT SCATTEROMETER WINDS AND STRONG WIND FREQUENCY USING REMOTE SENSOR DATA FROM QUIKSCAT   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

刘春霞  何溪澄 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2003,9(2):113-123

1 INTRODUCTION Most of the conventional sea surface wind data are measurements from ships, buoys and islands, with coverage and spatial resolution far below the requirements of research and application. At present, due to limited understanding of physical processes and efficient exploitation of data, numerical prediction models have not been used as they should be, although routine procedures are able to give sea surface wind fields at the intervals of 6 hours. With the development of sp…  相似文献   

测氡法快速确定油气田边界及深度   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

叶树林 《华东地质学院学报》1996,19(2):150-156

本介绍了运用测氡法快速确定大庆××油气田边界，估算其埋藏深度试验，结果表明，该方法具有可行性和实用性。由于所做工作有限，尚属经验性探讨，还必须从理论和实践上进一步地工作，进而充实、完善它。  相似文献   

Dynamic stochastic estimation of physical variables   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

George Christakos  Vijayanivas R. Raghu 《Mathematical Geology》1996,28(3):341-365

A fundamental problem facing the physical sciences today is analysis of natural variations and mapping of spatiotemporal processes. Detailed maps describing the space/time distribution of groundwater contaminants, atmospheric pollutant deposition processes, rainfall intensity variables, external intermittency functions, etc. are tools whose importance in practical applications cannot be overestimated. Such maps are valuable inputs for numerous applications including, for example, solute transport, storm modeling, turbulent-nonturbulent flow characterization, weather prediction, and human exposure to hazardous substances. The approach considered here uses the spatiotemporal random field theory to study natural space/time variations and derive dynamic stochastic estimates of physical variables. The random field model is constructed in a space/time continuum that explicitly involves both spatial and temporal aspects and provides a rigorous representation of spatiotemporal variabilities and uncertainties. This has considerable advantages as regards analytical investigations of natural processes. The model is used to study natural space/time variations of springwater calcium ion data from the Dyle River catchment area, Belgium. This dataset is characterized by a spatially nonhomogeneous and temporally nonstationary variability that is quantified by random field parameters, such as orders of space/time continuity and random field increments. A rich class of covariance models is determined from the properties of the random field increments. The analysis leads to maps of continuity orders and covariances reflecting space/time calcium ion correlations and trends. Calcium ion estimates and the associated statistical errors are calculated at unmeasured locations/instants over the Dyle region using a space/time kriging algorithm. In practice, the interpretation of the results of the dynamic stochastic analysis should take into consideration the scale effects.  相似文献   

南京下蜀土的岩石磁学特征   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

许峰宇  李立文 《岩石学报》1996,12(3):491-497

对南京附近的下蜀土进行了岩石磁学测定，通过磁化率各向异性测量研究了它的沉积磁性组构特征，下蜀土的各异向性很不明显，各向异性废Ｐ小于水成岩的Ｐ值（＞１．０２），且与困面理度Ｆ高度相关，与磁线理度Ｌ相关不明显，这种特征与中国中部风成黄土极相似。对新生圩剖面进行的磁化率测量发现用化率曲线上有７个旋回的波峰、波谷变化，这与剖面中的古土壤－黄土系列相一致，说明下蜀土的剖面磁化率同样可以作为地层划分与对比，反映古气候冷暧变化的物理参数。对典型下蜀土样品进行的低温磁化率测量揭示出古土壤和黄土的成颗粒的构成不同，古土壤以超顺磁质为主，黄土以顺磁质为主。细小磁颗粒在古土壤中的积聚可能与古土壤的发育及古气候的暧湿程度有关。  相似文献   

闽西北地区隐爆作用与火山岩型铀矿化   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

黄伟良 《铀矿地质》1997,13(5):285-289

隐爆角砾岩体对火山岩型铀矿化的控制作用已为实践所证明，并引起高度重视。本文阐述了闽西北地区隐爆角砾岩形成的时空条件、与围岩的关系、分带性及其鉴别要素。以实例说明隐爆角砾岩体对铀矿化起控制作用的３种主要形式，指出了寻找隐爆角砾岩体的方法。  相似文献   

Flexible spectral methods for the generation of random fields with power-law semivariograms     

Johannes Bruining  Diederik van Batenburg  Larry W. Lake  An Ping Yang 《Mathematical Geology》1997,29(6):823-848

Random field generators serve as a tool to model heterogeneous media for applications in hydrocarbon recovery and groundwater flow. Random fields with a power-law variogram structure, also termed fractional Brownian motion (fBm) fields, are of interest to study scale dependent heterogeneity effects on one-phase and two-phase flow. We show that such fields generated by the spectral method and the Inverse Fast Fourier Transform (IFFT) have an incorrect variogram structure and variance. To illustrate this we derive the prefactor of the fBm spectral density function, which is required to generate the fBm fields. We propose a new method to generate fBm fields that introduces weighting functions into the spectral method. It leads to a flexible and efficient algorithm. The flexibility permits an optimal choice of summation points (that is points in frequency space at which the weighting function is calculated) specific for the autocovariance structure of the field. As an illustration of the method, comparisons between estimated and expected statistics of fields with an exponential variogram and of fBm fields are presented. For power-law semivariograms, the proposed spectral method with a cylindrical distribution of the summation points gives optimal results.  相似文献   

Simulation of normal distributed smooth fields by Karhunen-Loéve expansion in combination with kriging     

Nils-Otto Kitterrød  Lars Gottschalk 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1997,11(6):459-482

Simulation of multigaussian stochastic fields can be made after a Karhunen-Loéve expansion of a given covariance function. This method is also called simulation by Empirical Orthogonal Functions. The simulations are made by drawing stochastic coefficients from a random generator. These numbers are multiplied with eigenfunctions and eigenvalues derived from the predefined covariance model. The number of eigenfunctions necessary to reproduce the stochastic process within a predefined variance error, turns out to be a cardinal question. Some ordinary analytical covariance functions are used to evaluate how quickly the series of eigenfunctions can be truncated. This analysis demonstrates extremely quick convergence to 99.5% of total variance for the 2nd order exponential (‘gaussian’) covariance function, while the opposite is true for the 1st order exponential covariance function. Due to these convergence characteristics, the Karhunen-Loéve method is most suitable for simulating smooth fields with ‘gaussian’ shaped covariance functions. Practical applications of Karhunen-Loéve simulations can be improved by spatial interpolation of the eigenfunctions. In this paper, we suggest interpolation by kriging and limits for reproduction of the predefined covariance functions are evaluated.  相似文献