基于Kriging方法的空间数据插值研究   总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11  

曾怀恩  黄声享 《测绘工程》2007,16(5):5-8

介绍了Kriging插值方法及其实质,提出一种变异函数理论模型参数估计的新方法,给出变异函数理论模型有效性评定的统计指标,并通过算例予以验证。最后,通过实例与反距离加权法相比较,证实Kriging插值的优越性。  相似文献   

宜昌市电力负荷对气象因子的响应及气象预报模型的建立          下载免费PDF全文

杜裕  张明  何卫平  雷东洋  丁丽丽 《中低纬山地气象》2022,46(1):61-67

利用2015-2017年宜昌市逐小时电力负荷资料及对应时段地面气象观测站数据,分析宜昌电力负荷的变化特征,研究气象敏感负荷与气象因子的关系,基于主要气象敏感因子通过逐步回归法建立宜昌电力负荷预报方法。结果表明:宜昌电力负荷呈逐年增长的趋势,夏季和冬季是一年中电力负荷高峰期,年最大电力负荷出现在夏季,年均增幅达11.8%,年最小电力负荷出现在春节期间;气温对气象敏感负荷影响最大,随着日平均气温T升高逐日气象负荷率先减小后增加,当T为17℃时,气象负荷率最小,从而划分了4个变化阶段:17℃≤T<26℃、T≥26℃、7℃≤T<17℃、T<7℃,基于各阶级主要气象敏感因子分别建立电力负荷回归预报方程,经检验,在实际应用中预报相对误差绝对值为3.8%,基本能够满足电力部门负荷预测的精度要求。后期可结合人工智能算法,进一步提高宜昌电力气象负荷预测的稳定性和准确性。  相似文献   

利用张衡一号卫星电场数据研究吉林松原、河北唐山M_S5.1地震前后空间电场时空演化特征     

杨牧萍  钱庚  张学民  孔祥瑞  申旭辉  张萌  翟丽娜  金艳铭 《大地测量与地球动力学》2022,42(11):1161-1165

利用我国第一颗电磁监测试验卫星张衡一号电场探测仪（EFD）载荷记录到的ULF/ELF频段电场功率谱密度（PSD）数据,限制Dst≥－30 nT和K_p＜3排除空间磁环境扰动后,分4个频段对2020年唐山古冶M_S5.1地震和2019年吉林松原M_S5.1地震前后空间电场时空演化特征进行研究。结果发现,2020年唐山古冶M_S5.1地震4个频段扰动幅度均显示出震前先抬升至最高点超过2倍均方差,而后在下降过程中发震,震后恢复的规律,且第2频段异常尤为明显;4个频段扰动幅度时间序列特征相似,且震前均超过2倍均方差。2019年吉林松原M_S5.1地震不同频段的扰动幅度时间序列特征不同,仅有第2频段超过2倍均方差。2次地震均在第2频段（371~879 Hz）出现震前异常扰动,认为该频段是地震异常提取的优势频段。  相似文献   

Sediment transport mechanisms and selective removal of soil particles under unsteady-state conditions in a sheet erosion system     

Elham Sirjani  Majid Mahmoodabadi  Artemi Cerda 《国际泥沙研究》2022,37(2):151-161

Selective removal of particles and nutrients by water erosion is a key factor in soil erosion studies.Most agricultural soils are located on gentle slopes where fertility is high;however,until now,the main attention on sediment transport mechanisms was paid to high-slope gradients,where soil erosion is intense,but soils are less productive.Despite the importance of sediment size distribution(SSD) and transport mechanisms under unsteady-state conditions,few studies have been done on this issue.Hi...  相似文献   

乌加河地震台、乌力吉地震台台基噪声特征对比分析     

段昊  安全  海峰  冯雪东  郭雷  王耀临 《地震地磁观测与研究》2022,43(4):87-94

利用2020年5月1—7日乌加河地震台、乌力吉地震台波形数据,应用噪声功率谱概率密度（PDF）方法,计算2个台站的台基噪声,分析了2种观察环境下的台基噪声特征及影响因素。结果显示,在小于0.1 Hz频段乌力吉地震台台基噪声值明显大于乌加河地震台,说明地震计在小于0.1 Hz频段受环境温度影响的特征较显著;在大于1 Hz频段2个台站台基噪声值均有台阶性升高频段,这是由在该频段台基噪声受人为活动影响所致。  相似文献   

连云港地震台台基噪声与干扰源分析     

立凯  瞿旻  秦磊  曾智 《地震地磁观测与研究》2022,43(3):60-64

通过对连云港地震台台基背景噪声进行计算和分析,得出该台台基背景噪声属于Ⅰ类噪声水平。分析该台6—7月观测数据,得出日夜噪声差值约3 dB。分析发现,该台人为干扰为基础建设的工程车干扰、景区人员聚集和车辆干扰;自然环境干扰主要来自大风干扰。  相似文献   

Geothermal Power Generation Potential in the Eastern Linqing Depression     

KANG Fengxin  ZHAO Jichu  TAN Zhirong  SUI Haibo  SHI Meng 《《地质学报》英文版》2021,95(6):1870-1881

China has been the leading country worldwide in direct geothermal utilization for a rather long time, which has contributed significantly to reducing carbon emissions. But the installed capacity of geothermal power generation in China is very small, and there are only a few geothermal power plants in China, specifically in Tibet, including the well-known Yangbajing geothermal power plant. Therefore, it is anticipated that more high-temperature geothermal resources will be discovered in order to promote China’s power generation. There is potential for high-enthalpy geothermal in the Eastern Linqing Depression in Shandong Province, where geothermal energy is stored in Ordovician and Cambrian carbonate strata. Based on the geothermal gradient in Cenozoic strata and the depth of the target geothermal reservoir, the temperature distribution pattern of the reservoir was analyzed, and two “sweet points” were identified in the Yucheng geothermal field and the Guanxian geothermal field, where the reservoir temperature is predicted to be higher than 200°C at a depth of less than 8000 m. Due to the low karst fissure ratio and the insufficient geothermal fluid in the geothermal reservoir, it is recommended that an enhanced geothermal system be set up, to increase the permeability of the natural fracture system in the carbonate formations and provide sufficient fluid for power generation through reinjection of used geothermal fluid. The power generation capacity of the two geothermal fields was estimated using a volumetric method, revealing a power generation capacity of 1621.02 MWe for the Yucheng geothermal field, and 1287.19 MWe for the Guanxian geothermal field.  相似文献   

Thermo-economic Investigation of an Enhanced Geothermal System Organic Rankine Cycle and Combined Heating and Power System     

WANG Lingbao  BU Xianbiao  LI Huashan 《《地质学报》英文版》2021,95(6):1958-1966

As a potentially viable renewable energy, Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGSs) extract heat from hot dry rock (HDR) reservoirs to produce electricity and heat, which promotes the progress towards carbon peaking and carbon neutralization. The main challenge for EGSs is to reduce the investment cost. In the present study, thermo-economic investigations of EGS projects are conducted. The effects of geofluid mass flow rate, wellhead temperature and loss rate on the thermo-economic performance of the EGS organic Rankine cycle (ORC) are studied. A performance comparison between EGS-ORC and the EGS combined heating and power system (CHP) is presented. Considering the CO2 emission reduction benefits, the influence of carbon emission trading price on the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) is also presented. It is indicated that the geofluid mass flow rate is a critical parameter in dictating the success of a project. Under the assumed typical working conditions, the LCOE of EGS-ORC and EGS-CHP systems are 24.72 and 16.1 cents/kWh, respectively. Compared with the EGS-ORC system, the LCOE of the EGS-CHP system is reduced by 35%. EGS-CHP systems have the potential to be economically viable in the future. With carbon emission trading prices of 12.76 USD/ton, the LCOE can be reduced by approximately 8.5%.  相似文献   

黄土缓坡片蚀过程及其水力参数适宜性试验研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

和继军  王硕  蔡强国  孙莉英  黎雪晴 《水科学进展》2021,32(1):97-108

为确定黄土缓坡片蚀过程中侵蚀限制条件的变化及水力参数的适宜性,采用模拟降雨试验,在60 mm/h雨强、3种坡度（7.5°、10°、15°）和2种坡长（5 m和10 m）条件下,验证含沙量作为表征参量判定片蚀过程侵蚀限制条件的可行性,提出检验水力参数与产沙量作用关系适宜性的评价方法。结果表明:①依据含沙量随径流的变化规律,片蚀过程依次经历输沙能力限制阶段、剥蚀能力限制阶段Ⅰ和剥蚀能力限制阶段Ⅱ共3个侵蚀阶段,其中剥蚀能力限制阶段Ⅰ的侵蚀量占绝对优势。②从水力参数的适宜性来看,径流功率和雷诺数均能很好地表征与产沙量的关系,径流剪切力和弗劳德数则不能有效反映与产沙量的关系。③在不同侵蚀限制阶段,径流功率和雷诺数与产沙量的作用关系是不同的。输沙能力限制阶段和剥蚀能力限制阶段Ⅱ时,径流功率和雷诺数与产沙量分别呈指数关系和线性正相关关系;剥蚀能力限制阶段Ⅰ时,该2种水力参数均与产沙量呈线性负相关关系,但作用关系不唯一,且存在雷诺数临界值,即在输沙能力限制阶段和剥蚀能力限制阶段Ⅱ,径流功率和雷诺数与产沙量的作用关系不受坡长效应影响;在剥蚀能力限制阶段Ⅰ,需要同时考虑坡长和雷诺数临界值的共同影响。该研究结果可为深入理解片蚀过程的复杂性提供参考依据。  相似文献   

冲积河流泥沙输移幂律函数指数变化规律          下载免费PDF全文

申红彬  吴保生 《水科学进展》2018,29(2):179-185

冲积河流泥沙输移幂律函数关系与不平衡输沙理论是对河道不平衡输沙同一物理现象的不同描述,两者既有区别也有联系。比较研究发现:对于恒定均匀流不平衡输沙过程,当输沙位于近平衡态时两者含沙量导函数表达式具有一阶近似等价性,当输沙远离平衡态时前者含沙量导函数中隐含考虑有泥沙恢复饱和系数的变化。基于两者等价性,推导建立了幂律函数指数计算表达式,表明指数随泥沙沉速、单宽流量和沿程距离而变化,且随着输移距离的增大呈指数衰减。基于前者含沙量导函数表达式结构特点,分析建立了相应泥沙恢复饱和系数变化的计算表达式。综合以上成果,改进提出了一种变幂指数的泥沙输移幂律函数计算模型。对库里·阿雷克沉沙池沿程断面输沙指数及含沙量计算结果表明,不同距离过水断面输沙指数的变化规律是合理的,含沙量计算值与实测值变化趋势基本符合。  相似文献